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Search resuls for: "Christophe Barraud"


6 mentions found


☆ Who Wall Street thinks will win the election
  + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Bradley Saacks | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
A survey of 119 investors found that 53% think former president Donald Trump will defeat Kamala Harris. Investors believe fossil fuel and industrial companies should do well under Trump, the survey said. AdvertisementMany of the bigwigs of finance have picked their sides, but Wall Street seems to believe one candidate has the upper hand in this year's presidential election. Betting markets have leaned toward former President Donald Trump, and the financial markets have already priced in a Trump win, according to billionaire investor Stan Druckenmiller. One of the world's most accurate economists, Christophe Barraud, for instance, is putting his credibility on the line for a Trump win.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Stanley Druckenmiller, —, Stan Druckenmiller, Emmanuel Cau, Trump, SumZero, Divya Narendra, Ken Griffin, Griffin, Druckenmiller, Hillary Clinton, Elon Musk, Christophe Barraud Organizations: Investors, Trump, Republican, Service, Barclays London, Billionaire Citadel, Future Investment Initiative, Tesla Locations: Saudi Arabia, Riyadh
☆ The world's most accurate economist predicts the election outcome and its potential shock impact on the 10-year Treasury
  + stars: | 2024-10-26 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +6 min
Right now, he has his sights set on the US election, with its high stakes and wide range of economic possibilities. AdvertisementThe third scenario is a Trump win with a Republican sweep, which Barraud believes is the most likely outcome. In the short term, it would have a positive impact on US economic growth, creating a GDP boost in 2025 between 2.1% and 2.3%, he said. If Harris wins with a dividend Congress, yields could drop further from where they are, he said. This time, election forecasting includes monitoring multiple poll-betting markets with the highest volume of users to gauge election outcomes.
Persons: Christophe Barraud, —, Barraud, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, there's, Harris Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Market Securities Monaco, Trump, Republican Locations: Washington
☆ The Trump trade: how a red wave could impact stocks, bonds, and commodities
  + stars: | 2024-07-19 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +9 min
Read previewAs we near the November elections, investors are increasingly focused on what a Donald Trump win would mean for global markets and economies. The charts below show how stock sectors moved in the 24 hours after the debate and how a Trump administration might impact sectors with varying regulatory burdens. If Trump wins, investors will need to cut through the noise and at least understand how he might impact different parts of the economy. Where monetary policy is concerned, leading economist Christophe Barraud believes a Trump administration could pressure the Federal Reserve to be very accommodative on rates, in other words, steeper or sooner cuts. It expects a Trump Administration to allow LNG export permits after the Biden Administration attempted to halt them.
Persons: —, Donald Trump, Goldman Sachs, Joe Biden, Trump, Solita, Samantha Lamas, Goldman, Goldman's Jan Hatzius, Christophe Barraud, Bloomberg Businessweek Trump, Morgan Stanely, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Service, Trump, Business, Trump Media, Technology, UBS, Americas Global Wealth Management, Morningstar, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg Businessweek, Korea, Asia Pacific's, Republican, Trump Administration, Biden Locations: Predictit, Mexico, Canada, China, Japan, Germany, Asia, Goldman Sachs, Washington
☆ The world's most accurate economist shares his US economic and political outlook, as well as the secret behind his accuracy
  + stars: | 2024-07-14 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +8 min
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Whether it's the markets or the Federal Open Market Committee, no one seems to be getting their forecasts right. But if you want the closest thing to accuracy, French economist Christophe Barraud may be your best bet. One caveat is that Trump would need 60 seats in the Senate to implement policy changes smoothly, Barraud noted. Where uncertainty in a Trump presidency remains is on the geopolitical front, Barraud noted.
Persons: —, Christophe Barraud, haven't, Barraud, it's, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, He's Organizations: Service, Federal, Market, Market Securities Monaco, Bloomberg, Business, Trump, Republican, Fed Locations: China, delinquencies, France, Italy, Ukraine, Russia
☆ The world's most accurate economist has already been proven correct about China this year. Here's what he says will happen next as the nation continues 'exporting deflation.'
  + stars: | 2024-01-25 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
Considering how well the US market and economy performed in 2023, it's understandable that domestic investors would be optimistic about 2024. But on the other side of the globe, trouble has been brewing in China for some time now. On the surface, the world's second-largest economy seemed reasonably healthy last year, with Chinese GDP rising 5.2% year-over-year. The problems in China continue to growOf the many risks investors face this year, geopolitics consistently ranks as the one they fear the most . "In terms of negative surprises, I'm really keeping an eye on China and the fact that they're clearly experiencing some kind of deflation," he said.
Persons: Christophe Barraud, Barraud, Bloomberg —, I'm, That's, It's Organizations: Bloomberg, Market Securities, Business Locations: China
☆ The world's most accurate economist told us his forecasts for the US economy in 2024, the biggest risks he's watching, and a trade to take advantage of
  + stars: | 2024-01-20 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
Bloomberg ranked Barraud as the top forecaster of the US economy in 2022 and 2023 — and every year from 2012 through 2020. He was also the top forecaster of the Eurozone economy in 2022, and of China's economy from 2017 through 2020. The chief economist and strategist at Market Securities is looking to continue his hot streak of correct calls in 2024. He recently discussed with Business Insider his forecast for the US economy and how investors should approach the new year. Barraud agrees with surveys that show geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, represent the biggest threat to the global economy.
Persons: Christophe Barraud, Barraud, He's Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Market Securities, Business, Federal, Fed, ECB
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