Andrew Kelly | ReutersGlobal markets have taken heart in recent weeks from data indicating that inflation may have peaked, but economists warn against the return of the "transitory" inflation narrative. Chief Investment Officer Christian Nolting told CNBC last week that the market's pricing for central bank cuts in the second half of 2023 were premature. "So from our perspective, we think inflation is going to be lower next year, but also higher than compared to previous years, so we will stay at higher levels, and from that perspective, I think central banks will stay put and not cut very fast," Nolting added. Although goods inflation will likely slow, BNP Paribas sees services inflation as stickier in part due to underlying wage pressures. "Admittedly, we think inflation volatility is still likely to fall from its current extremely high levels.

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