The RBA began tightening policy in May 2022 and had raised rates at every meeting since, other than a pause in April.
Along with a still-strong job market and a rebound in house prices, expectations have strengthened for a rate increase at the August meeting.
More than 90% of respondents, 23 of 25, in a July 4-5 poll expected the RBA to increase its official cash rate (AUCBIR=ECI) by 25 basis points to 4.35% at the Aug. 1 meeting.
"We suspect that the coming forecast update from the RBA staff will likely tip the balance in favour of an August rate hike.
Boyton said he expected a peak cash rate of 4.60% but the outlook was uncertain following the central bank's recent pause.
Persons:
Adam Boyton, Boyton, Chris Read, Morgan Stanley, Devayani Sathyan, Susobhan Sarkar, Hari Kishan, Ross Finley
Organizations:
Reserve Bank of Australia, ANZ, CBA, NAB, Westpac, Thomson
Locations:
BENGALURU, Australia