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Tingshu Wang | ReutersFrom Apple to Starbucks , U.S. consumer brands are reporting yet another quarter of China sales declines. Apple last week reported Greater China sales fell slightly to $15.03 billion in the three months ended Sept. 28, down from $15.08 billion in the year-ago period. The quarterly sales decline reduced Apple's China revenue share to 15.8% of total net sales, down from 16.9% in the year-ago period. Low consumer confidenceU.S. sportswear giant Nike said that Greater China revenue for the quarter ended Aug. 31 fell by 4% year-on-year to $1.67 billion. In Europe, luxury giant LVMH also felt the drag from the China market.
Persons: Tingshu Wang, Tim Cook, Apple, Brian Niccol, Niccol, Matthew Friend, Jean, Jacques Guiony, Isaac Stone Fish, Cummins, Walt, Fish Organizations: Reuters, Apple, U.S, Starbucks, Nike, Carrier, Coca Cola, RTX Corporation, Honeywell, Walt Disney, Caterpillar Locations: Chengdu, Sichuan province, China, U.S, what's, Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan, Greater China, Europe, Asia, Japan, COVID, Japan Asia
download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . LVMH, the largest of the luxury conglomerates, announced its third-quarter earnings this week, and the results were grim. AdvertisementWhile personal luxury sales in China grew by more than 37% each year from 2019 through 2021, that annual growth is not expected to hit more than 4.2% through 2028, according to EMARKETER data. AdvertisementEMARKETER's Canaves pointed to the collaborations and moves toward streetwear that helped some brands emerge from the last luxury slump. Of course, any expansion into new categories should not take attention from handbags and clothing, the revenue drivers of luxury brands.
Persons: LVMH, , Louis Vuitton, Salvatore Ferragamo, Goldman Sachs, Gucci, Hermès, Jean, Jacques Guiony, Adam Cochrane, Chanel, Canaves, Guiony, Birkin, Deutsche Bank's Cochrane, Cartier, Brunello Cucinelli, Rambourg, Louis Organizations: Service, Revenue, Louis, Burberry, Business, Deutsche Bank, Gucci, Deutsche Bank's, Chez Locations: China, Asia, Japan, COVID, streetwear, Paris
Luxury stocks may be a risky China stimulus bet
  + stars: | 2024-10-19 | by ( Hakyung Kim | In Hakyungkim | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +7 min
A post-pandemic spending surge led to luxury stocks such as LVMH to reach all-time highs in early 2023, but that soon changed. We believe improved confidence and sentiment is required to reach even our flat year-over-year Chinese luxury growth forecast for 2025," Wallace noted. Luxury stocks are feeling the pressure — year to date, U.S.-traded shares of major players LVMH and Kering are down about 17% and 41%, respectively. Analysts and investors are mixed as to whether the Chinese stimulus measures can revive luxury spending growth among consumers — and whether it will create a meaningful tailwind for luxury companies. Whether the luxury sector can continue growing at the same levels without as much Chinese consumer spending remains in question.
Persons: — stoking, Ben Harburg, Morgan Stanley, Ashley Wallace, Wallace, Jean, Jacques Guiony, Moncler, Hermes, Prada, Richemont, LVMUY CFRUY, , Edouard Aubin, Sauron, Harburg, LVMH's Guiony, we've Organizations: Alpha, Bank of America, of America, Consumers Locations: China, Covid, 3Q24, U.S, LVMH
LVMH reported a 3% decline in sales in its most recent quarter. The drop is driven by decreased demand from Chinese consumers, affecting luxury sales. AdvertisementFrench luxury conglomerate LVMH, the world's largest luxury company, reported a 3% year-on-year decline in sales in its most recent quarter. On Wednesday, LVMH shares fell by nearly 7% in early trading, driven by waning demand from Chinese consumers, who were once key spenders of European luxury goods. Some Chinese luxury consumers have been flocking to Japan to take advantage of lower prices caused by the country's currency downturn.
Persons: LVMH, , Louis Vuitton, Christian Dior —, lockdowns, Jean, Jacques Guiony Organizations: Service, Louis, National Development, Reform Commission Locations: Beijing, China, Covid, Asia, Japan, United States, Europe
The Dior and Louis Vuitton parent pointed to weak consumer demand in China. Wall Street analysts say recent stimulus measures likely won't be enough for spending in China to rebound. The company pointed to overwhelmingly weak demand in China, with organic sales in Asia (excluding Japan) falling 16%. The company gave vague forward guidance, and analysts on Wall Street say the country's recent stimulus won't be enough to reverse the weak demand. China's latest stimulus package, unveiled late last month, has aimed to prop up the country's weak consumer demand and struggling property sector.
Persons: LVMH, Hermes, Dior, Louis Vuitton, , Christian Dior, Jean, Jacques Guiony, Guiony, We've Organizations: L'Oreal, Wall Street, Service, Wall, Citigroup Inc Locations: China, Asia, Japan
New U.S. tariffs on $18 billion in Chinese goods take effect Friday as trade tensions intensify between the world’s two largest economies. For example, the U.S. imports almost no Chinese EVs, largely because of an existing 27.5% tariff that is now increasing to 100%. Lithium-ion batteries, however, are a different story, accounting for about $13 billion of the $18 billion in affected Chinese goods. Similarly, the U.S. has been increasing its Chinese imports of natural graphite, another crucial component of EVs. “Cheaper Chinese solars and cheaper Chinese EVs can actually take jobs away from a lot of manufacturers in, say, the West.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Chim Lee, ” Lee, Charles Benoit, “ that’s, Benoit, , Biden, Julie Kozack, Lee, it’s Organizations: Economist Intelligence Unit, Biden, China, European, Coalition for, Prosperous, International Monetary Fund, U.S Locations: U.S, Beijing, China, Asia, Southeast Asia, Mexico, Malaysia, Prosperous America
Why Trump’s trade hero turned against tariffs
  + stars: | 2024-09-14 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +15 min
Vice President Kamala Harris has lambasted Trump’s tariff plan as a tax, but President Joe Biden has maintained tariffs Trump put in place during his presidency. We used trade policy, or tariffs, as a form of reciprocity, where we said, OK, our tariffs are pretty high. So that’s what led to all these trade agreements, the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, GATT, which became the WTO (World Trade Organization), NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement) and other free trade agreements that we’ve reached. He began to entertain this idea of reciprocity, of trying to reduce foreign tariffs by offering cuts in our tariffs. How do those tariffs compare with the late 19th century tariffs?
Persons: CNN —, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Biden, Read, Douglas Irwin, Irwin, William McKinley —, Trump, IRWIN, there’s, It’s, we’ve, William McKinley WOLF, William McKinley, McKinley, they’ve, Bush, H.C ., William Jennings Bryan, that’s, they’re, it’s, Britain WOLF Organizations: CNN, Republicans, Democrats, Trump, Dartmouth College, Commerce, US Trade, Trade, WTO, World Trade Organization, American Free Trade, of Congress, University, Virginia’s, Federal, WOLF, Peterson Institute for International, Republican Party Locations: China, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Homestead , Pennsylvania, H.C, Buffalo, trillions, United States, it’s China, Britain, Japan
Hong Kong CNN —Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris’ running mate has a decades-long connection with China. “I remember waking up and seeing the news on June 4 that the unthinkable had happened,” Walz told Voice of America in an interview in 2014. The newlyweds spent their honeymoon taking students on two-week tours in China for sightseeing and classes on culture, education and history. In Chinese nationalist circles, which have an outsized voice on policy debates in China, there are no rosy illusions about Walz. The hashtag “Harris’ VP pick once taught in China” racked up 15 million views on microblogging site Weibo.
Persons: Hong Kong CNN —, Kamala Harris ’, Tim Walz, Walz, , Dalai Lama, Joshua Wong, Shen Dingli, ” Shen, ’ Walz, , Mao Zedong, Deng Xiaoping, ” Walz, Gwen, Cara Roemhildt, ” Roemhildt, Jeff Widener, ’ ”, Liu Dongshu, Liu Xiaobo, Lobsang Sangay, ” Tim Walz, X, Hong Kong’s, Wong, ” Jeffrey Ngo, “ Walz, ” Ngo, ” Shen Yi, “ We’re, ” Stephen Roach, Morgan Stanley Asia, Harris, Eric Fish, Hong Kong's, Joshua Wang, George H, Bush, Bush’s, there’s, Liu, “ Harris, China ”, , Xi Jinping, “ Heh, I’ve, they’re Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Democratic, United States ’, Republican, Communist Party, Star, Herald, CNN, Harvard University, Paramount, America, , of, People, Associated, Congressional, Commission, City University of Hong, Hong, Hong Kong Human Rights, Democracy, White Locations: Hong Kong, China, Beijing, Minnesota, Tiananmen, Nebraska, Shanghai, Foshan, Guangdong, America, Congress, City University of Hong Kong, Tibet, Dalai, Washington, , South China, Weibo
But China has been rocked by a number of high-profile stabbing cases in recent decades, including multiple such attacks at schools. These worries were clear on Chinese social media after the latest attacks, with several commentators connecting China’s dire economic circumstances to the violence, even as the attackers’ motives remained unclear. Rare violent crimeTwo of the most high-profile recent attacks came in June – and both targeted foreign nationals. Video Ad Feedback Four Americans are stabbed in a shock attack in China 04:20 - Source: CNNUltra-nationalism has risen across China and Chinese social media in recent years, as has anti-American and anti-Japanese sentiment. On social media, the belief that economic insecurity is making the country less safe remains palpable.
Persons: , haven’t, China –, Michelle Miao, , Mao Ning, Adam Zabner, David Zabner, Adam, Stabbings, Miao, CUHK Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Chinese University of Hong, Stanford University’s Center, Behavioral Sciences, CNN, Ministry of Public Security, World Bank, United Nations Office, Drugs, Americas, Xinhua, Youth Locations: Hong Kong, China, Guangxi, Weibo, , Chinese University of Hong Kong, , Iowa, Beishan Park, Jilin, Asia
Subsea cables are the backbone of the internet, carrying 99% of the world's data traffic. What are subsea cables? Subsea cables are the backbone of the global internet, carrying 99% of the world's intercontinental data traffic. More recently, U.S. tech giants including Meta, Google, Microsoft, and Amazon have invested significant sums to lay down their own cables. Many international subsea cable projects are reportedly circumventing China today due to concerns over data security and Beijing's expanding geopolitical influence.
Persons: TeleGeometry, Andy Champagne, Joe Vaccaro, Vaccaro Organizations: Photodisc, Getty, Yemen's, U.S, Asia America Gateway, Akamai Labs, CNBC, Cisco, Meta, Google, Microsoft, Amazon, U.S ., Echo, State Department, Wall Street, Submarine Systems, Team Telecom Locations: Yemen's Iran, China, Ireland, Asia, U.S, U.S . West Coast, Singapore, Indonesia, Africa, Europe, Pacific, Estonia, Hong Kong
Her boss, a woman who had been advocating for her to be given a leadership role, left the team while Ms. Zhao was on a five-month maternity leave. After college, Ms. Zhao set aside her dream of becoming a civil servant to pursue a higher-paying job. (Nearly a third of Chinese women have college degrees now, up from fewer than 1 percent in 1990.) Six months after Ning was born, Ms. Tang returned to her office, leaving the baby in the care of a grandmother. Her husband and in-laws oppose the move, but Ms. Tang doesn’t want to be held back.
Persons: doesn’t, Xi Jinping, , ” Joyce Zhao, Joyce Zhao, Ming, Zhao, Ms, , Ming’s, ” Ms, , ” Guo Chunlei, Guo Chunlei, Guo, Tianyi, ” Tang Pingjuan, Tang Pingjuan, Tang, Ning, Tang doesn’t Locations: Beijing, China, Hangzhou, Guangzhou, Shenzhen
Baidu's newly announced AI tools allow people with no coding knowledge to create generative AI-powered chatbots for specific functions, which can then be integrated in a website, Baidu search engine results or other online portals. watch nowThe basic Baidu tools are generally available to try for free, up until a certain usage limit, similar to some of Google's cloud and AI functions. Baidu this week also announced three new versions of its Ernie AI model — called "Speed," "Lite" and "Tiny" — that coders can selectively access, based on the complexity of the task. In a demonstration hall, Baidu business departments showed off how the AI tools could be integrated with virtual people doing livestreams, or directing search engine traffic to an AI-based interactive buying guide. Also on display was a humanoid robot developed by Shenzhen-based UBTech Robotics that used Baidu's Ernie AI model for understanding commands and reading written words.
Persons: Robin Li, Ernie bot, OpenAI, Ernie, Bo Du, Baidu, Buysmart.AI, Andy Qiu, That's, Qiu Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty Images, Baidu, CNBC, WestSummit Capital Management, Robotics Locations: Shenzhen, China, Getty Images SHENZHEN, Weibo, U.S
Read previewJapanese and Korean carmakers cracked the US market long ago — but don't expect Chinese EV seller BYD to repeat that feat. Advertisement"It'd be very difficult for a Chinese EV maker to enter the US market," Seth Goldstein, an equity strategist at Morningstar, told Business Insider. The bill, a key part of US President Joe Biden's economic agenda, offers tax credits worth up to $7,500 for EV makers, excluding any "Foreign Entity of Concern." BYD isn't the only company turning its back on the US EV market. Given that EV sales growth is stalling in US, it's perhaps little wonder companies like BYD are not too bothered.
Persons: , There's, Tesla, We're, Stella Li, BYD, Seth Goldstein, I'm, Suzuki, Jim Farley, Will Roberts, Goldstein, Roberts, Joe Biden's, Joe Biden, Demetrius Freeman, Rho Motion's Roberts, you'd, Li, carmakers Organizations: Service, Yahoo Finance, Business, Morningstar, Toyota, Motors, Nissan, Mazda, Lexus, Honda, Mitsubishi, Korea's Hyundai, Kia, North, Ford, EV, Rho, Energy, Treasury, Washington Post, Cox Automotive, Apple Locations: Korean, North America, , China, North American, Russia, Iran, North Korea, Brazil, Thailand, Americas, Asia, South America
China's economy is headed for an era of stagnation and disappointment, Nobel laureate Paul Krugman wrote. The country's economic model has been unsustainable for years, given ultra-low consumer spending. "Let's not gloat about China's economic stumble, which may become everyone's problem." AdvertisementBut even under better stewardship, China's economic approach has been unsustainable for years and was set to break down eventually. "Let's not gloat about China's economic stumble, which may become everyone's problem."
Persons: Nobel, Paul Krugman, , Krugman, Xi, That's Organizations: Service, New York Times Locations: China, Japan, Tokyo, Beijing
The U.S., China and India may take turns leading the global economy this century, according to an analysis from the Centre for Economics and Business Research. The CEBR forecast suggests China could potentially take the top spot as the world's largest economy by gross domestic product as early as 2037. "The ranking of which is the largest economy in the world — that doesn't take into account things like living standards. Around the world, policymakers are spending large sums of public funds to prepare for social and environmental challenges that may be ahead. Watch the video above to learn more about the race to be the world's largest economy.
Persons: Nina Skero, Mariana Mazzucato, we're, China that's, Joe Biden, Xi Jinping, Yasheng Huang, Rajiv Biswas Organizations: U.S, Centre for Economics, Business Research, University College London, Washington, MIT Sloan School of Management, P Global Market Intelligence, CNBC Locations: China, India, U.S, Japan, South Korea, Asia, Pacific
Analysts generally say that for consumers in China today, daily essentials, rather than discretionary goods, are in. Top picks Both are on Jefferies' top picks list for the China consumer in 2024. In addition to being a staple at business dinners in China, Moutai has tried to branch out with co-branding in chocolate, ice cream and coffee. But the company said it expected the Chinese market to "to return to mid single-digit growth" in coming periods. The firm analyzed 80 publicly-listed consumer companies with a majority of revenue from mainland China.
Persons: China haven't, Jefferies, they'd, Alibaba, Moutai, Gamble, It's, North America —, Andy, McKinsey's Daniel Zipser, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: OC, C, Nestle, PepsiCo, Procter, Foods, China, Pacific Sun Advisors, McKinsey Locations: China, Shanghai, Hong Kong, U.S, Wednesday's, Shenzhen, Friday's, China —, North America, Asia
REUTERS/David Kirton Acquire Licensing RightsSHENZHEN, China, Nov 16 (Reuters) - Tony Xiong is among the latest arrivals to the glitzy office towers in the newest part of Shenzhen, built to showcase China's economic miracle. Office workers are not the only ones grumbling about the unattractiveness of Qianhai, a special economic zone where Chinese dreams of global financial might and economic prosperity that once seemed inevitable are now darkened by half-empty skyscrapers and shopping malls as well as barely used motorways. And that's before China's tallest skyscraper of over 1,000 metres and a cluster of other towers are completed. With China entering a new era of sluggish growth, Qianhai may never reach the international status to which it aspires. The Qianhai Authority and China's State Council Information Office did not respond to Reuters requests for comment on the local and macro economic challenges.
Persons: David Kirton, Tony Xiong, Qianhai, Knight Frank, Antonio Fatas, Deng Xiaoping's, Xi Jinping, Xi, Zhiwu Chen, incentivised, Witman Hung, I've, Brian Miller, Klaus Zenkel, it's, Bill Deng, Zhang, James Pomfret, Marius Zaharia, David Crawshaw Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Reuters, Authority, Communist Party, University of Hong, Qianhai Authority, HSBC, UBS, Standard Chartered, Chamber of Commerce, Greater, Thomson Locations: Shenzhen, Guangdong province, China, Rights SHENZHEN, Hong Kong, Beijing, Shanghai, China's, Qianhai, University of Hong Kong, Guangzhou, Hengqin, Macau, Nansha, South China, Greater Bay Area, . Hong Kong
New York CNN —The US presidential election is less than a year away. Wall Street has a laundry list of uncertainties that it worries could threaten the current stock rally, including the upcoming presidential election. But history shows that stocks typically gain during the fourth year of presidential terms. The S&P 500 has gained 6.2% on average during the fourth year of presidential terms since 1932, according to Yardeni Research. That’s below the 13.5% gain the index has averaged during the third year of presidential terms since 1931.
Persons: , There’s, Darrell Crate, , Goldman Sachs, Joe Abbott, Abbott, Loretta Mester, Bryan Mena, Elisabeth Buchwald, Hawkish, Mester, Heidi Gartland, , ” Gartland, Read, Niron, Peter Valdes, Niron Magnetics, Jonathan Rowntree Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, The New York Fed, Management, Investors, Research, Yardeni Research, , CNN, Cleveland Fed, Reserve Bank, Cleveland, Regional, Bank, General Motors, China General Motors Locations: New York, East, Russia, Ukraine, Wisconsin, China, Minnesota
In electric vehicle motors, rapidly shifting magnetic fields spin a rotor made with magnets that contain “rare Earth minerals” such as terbium and dysprosium. China accounts for a large percentage of the world’s rare Earth minerals supply, according to the United States Geological Survey. And among those minerals used for EV motor magnets, China is responsible for about 90%, according to Niron. The technology could also make EV motors less expensive, he said, but declined to say by what percentage. Daniels would not say when GM expects to begin manufacturing EV motors using the new magnet technology.
Persons: Niron, Niron Magnetics, Jonathan Rowntree, GM EVs, , Kai Daniels, Stellantis, Rowntree, Daniels Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Motors, United States Geological Survey, GM, GM Ventures, Stellantis Ventures, Volvo Car Tech Fund, Chrysler, Dodge, Fiat, Sioux Community, University of Minnesota Locations: New York, Wisconsin, China, dysprosium, Minnesota, Sioux
In May 1905, Russia's navy suffered a resounding defeat by the Japanese at the Battle of Tsushima. The battle is a lesson about complacency in the face of new threats, a top US Air Force official says. AdvertisementAdvertisementGreat-power competitionJapanese soldiers relieve Russian troops in an outer fort at Port Arthur after the Russian surrender in 1905. Proctor via Wikimedia Commons"The Battle of Tsushima Straits did not go well for Russia," Kendall, a self-proclaimed history buff, said at the conference. If our power-projection capability and capacity are not adequate to deter Chinese aggression against Taiwan or elsewhere, war could occur," Kendall said.
Persons: , Frank Kendall, Kendall, aren't, George Rinhart, Port Arthur —, Korea's, Shigetada Seki, Port Arthur, Oriol, Tsushima, Oleg, Proctor, Theodore Roosevelt Organizations: Russia's, Russo, US Air Force, Service, Air Force, Air and Space Forces Association, Getty, Imperial, Siberian Railway, Asahi, Wikimedia, Imperial Japanese Navy, Russian, Baltic Fleet, 2nd Pacific Squadron, Wikimedia Commons, Mukden, Japanese Defense Ministry, US Defense Department Russia's Locations: Tsushima, Japanese, Asia, European, Imperial Japan, Imperial Russia, Pacific, Japan, Russia, China, Port, Europe, Korea, Dalian, Liaodong, Port Arthur, Tokyo, Russian Pacific, Chemulpo, Ulsan, Baltic, Russian, Vladivostok, Philippines, Madagascar, Manila Bay, Shandong, Okinawa, US, Britain, Germany, Imperial Germany, South, Soviet Union, Manchuria, Taiwan
The artificial intelligence behind ChatGPT-like products and autonomous driving is driving enormous demand for Nvidia's chips in China. Chinese companies also dominate the burgeoning electric car market , where Nvidia has had a fast-growing business of selling chips for assisted and fully autonomous driving. When it comes to such chips for cars, Nomura analysts said there's little reason to worry. Auto chip market BYD, Nio , Li Auto and Xpeng are among the China-based electric automakers using the Orin chip. In the automotive chip category, they noted Nvidia's Thor chip and Qualcomm's Snapdragon Ride Flex chip both fall into that more advanced category.
Persons: Orin, Orin X, Joel Ying, Li Auto, Albert Liu, Weeks, Kneron, Liu, Julian Ma, Ma, Inceptio, Nomura, Inovance Organizations: Nvidia, Nomura, Nomura China Technology, Auto, CNBC's East Tech West, Apple, HSBC, SEC, U.S, Management Locations: China, U.S, Nomura China, South, German, Inovance's, Hong Kong
For example, China's urbanization rate in 2022 was 64%, the same as Japan's back in the 1960s, she said, noting Japan's urbanization rate in the 1990s was a much higher 77%. China is also leading in innovation based on research and development spending as a percentage of sales, the report said. Easier said than done, especially since that debt and urban development are linked to a struggling real estate sector that's accounted for about a quarter of China's economy. After a summer of mounting worries about China's growth prospects, KKR's head of global macro, Henry McVey, made yet another trip to the region . He pointed to China's push to reduce carbon emissions and increase the integration of tech in the economy — such as through automation.
Persons: Yao Yang, Yao, Bernstein, Rupal Agarwal, Bernstein's Agarwal, BYD — Bernstein, Meituan, Henry McVey, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Tokyo, CNBC, National School of Development, Peking University, KKR, Citi Locations: China, Japan, Asia, Hong Kong
He was the US Special Envoy for Syria and the senior director for Iran, Iraq, Syria and Lebanon on the National Security Council staff during the Trump administration. After that, China’s National Bureau of Statistics said it would suspend publishing youth unemployment data in the future. What does it signify that China’s national power, which today is vast, is almost certain to be weaker in the future? If Xi and his strategists have a feasible plan for nimbly averting China’s demographic doom, they are keeping very quiet about it. This brings us back to the question of national security strategies for the United States and its allies.
Persons: Peter Bergen, Peter Bergen ”, Joel Rayburn, Trump, Biden, Saddam Hussein’s, Lloyd Austin, China’s, Xi Jinping, Stephen Shaver, , Ng Han Guan, Xi, China “, ” Trump Organizations: New, Arizona State University, Apple, Spotify, American Center for Levant Studies, New America, US, National Security Council, CNN, Strategy, Pentagon, of Defense, Development Research Center, Communist Party, UPI, Manpower, Census Bureau, National Bureau of Statistics, Financial, China’s Southwestern University of Finance, Economics, Rocky, United Nations, Beijing, Pew Research Center, Communist, Trump administration’s National Security, Twitter, Trump Locations: New America, Syria, Iran, Iraq, Lebanon, Washington, China, United States, Saddam Hussein’s Iraq, al Qaeda, Ukraine, People’s Republic of China, Beijing, India, Yarkent County, China's Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region, Saudi Arabia, USSR, Russia, Russia’s Ukraine, Vietnam, Korea, Italy, Japan, Taiwan, Hong Kong
REUTERS/Brendan McDermid Acquire Licensing RightsORLANDO, Florida, Sept 7 (Reuters) - If you think this time is different, and the post-2008 world of low interest rates and bond yields is over, think again. What's more, Fed officials' longer-term rate projections and New York Fed model estimates of the theoretical long-run equilibrium interest rate - or 'R-Star' - suggest policymakers probably agree. The Fed's persistently low long-term rate outlook and New York Fed's declining R-Star estimates despite the highest inflation, policy rate and bond yields in years, suggest rates and yields won't stay this high for long. With the fed funds target range currently 5.25-5.50%, Fed policy is extremely restrictive, by around 250 basis points or more. The Fed publishes its updated inflation, growth and policy rate outlook on September 20 in the latest Staff Economic Projections.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Steven Major, HSBC's, Jamie McGeever Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Rights, U.S ., Bank of America, New York Fed, The New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Reuters, Artificial, Fed, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Rights ORLANDO , Florida, Ukraine, U.S . Republic, China, Japan, York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina today is very similar to Japan's lost decade in the 1990s: StrategistKevin Hebner from TD Epoch say China's debt burden especially in the real estate sector poses a serious challenge to policymakers in Beijing.
Persons: Japan's, Kevin Hebner Locations: China, Beijing
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