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Here are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Monday: TD Cowen reiterates Nvidia as buy TD said Nvidia remains a top pick at the firm. Goldman Sachs upgrades Ibotta to buy from neutral Goldman Sachs reiterates Alphabet as buy Goldman lowered its price target on the stock to $208 per share from $217 citing a slew of headwinds for Alphabet. Wells Fargo upgrades Flutter to overweight from equal weight Wells says investors should buy the dip in shares of the gambling company. Goldman Sachs downgrades AutoZone to sell from buy Goldman downgraded the auto parts retailer due to "muted growth." Goldman Sachs upgrades Ibotta to buy from neutral Goldman says it likes the growth opportunity for the mobile tech company.
Persons: TD Cowen, Mizuho, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Wells, Truist, Morgan Stanley, Caterpillar, Piper Sandler, Tesla, Piper, wouldn't, it's, Baird, KeyCorp, Jefferies, it's bullish, Stock, GOOS, AppLovin, Oppenheimer Organizations: Nvidia, NVIDIA, Away Tech, Mizuho, AMD, Broadcom, UBS, Partners, Surgery Partners, Apple, VF Corp, Vans, UW, Walmart Locations: Wells Fargo, China
One of several Wells Fargo top trading ideas for the fourth quarter of 2024 is shorting Elon Musk's electric vehicle company, Tesla . One of Wells Fargo's top recommendations is to short Tesla , betting that the stock will fall. These dynamics, alongside improved earnings momentum, could make Las Vegas Sands an "idiosyncratic, self-help story plus a Macau/China macro play." LVS YTD mountain Las Vegas Sands stock. Wells analyst Elyse Greenspan expects improving organic revenue growth, free cash flow conversion and expanding profit margins will drive the stock higher.
Persons: shorting Elon, Wells, Colin Langan's, Langan, bady, Dan Politzer, Politzer, Willis Towers Watson, Watson, Elyse Greenspan, Willis Organizations: Wells Fargo, U.S, Presidential, Amazon, Micro, Sands, Vegas Sands Locations: Wells, Macao, Macau, China, Vegas
Meanwhile, Pivotal Research initiated coverage of Google-parent Alphabet with a buy rating and a price target that implied upside of nearly 30%. The investment firm upgraded the cleaning products maker to a buy rating from hold. Analyst Kaumil Gajrawala accompanied the move by raising his price target to $187 from $174. Simultaneously, the analyst set a new target price of $200, which is approximately 26% above Monday's close. Analyst Asiya Merchant maintained her price target of $37, which implies that shares of HP could rise 3%.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Kaumil Gajrawala, Gajrawala, Clorox, Lisa Kailai Han, Jeffrey Wlodarczak, Wlodarczak, Zuckerberg, Raymond James, Adam Tindle, Tindle, Atlassian, Asiya Merchant, Merchant, Mark Delaney, Ford, Delaney, they've, GOOG, Kamala Harris, — Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Ford Motor, Google, Jefferies, Meta, Citi, HP, HP Inc, Ford, EV, Ford Pro Locations: Monday's, China, Japan, EBIT
Local residents with umbrellas walk out of a metro station in rain during morning rush hour on September 20, 2024 in Beijing, China. China News Service | China News Service | Getty ImagesBEIJING — More economists are calling for China to stimulate growth, including those based inside the country. His presentation Saturday at Renmin University's China Macroeconomy Forum was titled: "A basket of stimulus and reform, an economic revitalization plan to substantially expand domestic demand." "The elephant in the room is the property market," said Xu Gao, Beijing-based chief economist at Bank of China International. To restore confidence and stabilize the property market, Xu said that policymakers should bail out the property owners.
Persons: Liu Shijin, Liu, Goldman Sachs, China's, Xu Gao, Xu, Nomura, Gabriel Wildau, Teneo, Yi Gang, Wildau, Yi Organizations: China News Service, Getty, Development Research, State Council, CNBC, China Macroeconomy, Goldman, Bank of China International, Center for, People's Bank of China Locations: Beijing, China, BEIJING, Renmin, Center for China, U.S
Morgan Stanley reiterates Disney as overweight Morgan Stanley lowered its price target on the stock to $110 per share from $130 but said it is sticking with Disney shares. Morgan Stanley upgrades Prosperity Bancshares to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said the regional bank has "best in class capital and growing liquidity." Morgan Stanley initiates MKS Instruments as overweight Morgan Stanley said the controlling and measuring device manufacturing company is well positioned. Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as overweight Morgan Stanley said it is sticking with the stock following its quarterly 10-Q report. " Morgan Stanley reiterates Walmart as overweight Morgan Stanley said it is sticking with its overweight rating on the stock following Walmart+ membership hitting a record high according to its survey checks.
Persons: Mizuho, Morgan Stanley, Disney, Lockheed Martin, Berkshire Hathaway, HOOD, Apple, Jefferies, Mars, Bernstein Organizations: Bank of America, Nvidia, Disney, Gulfport Energy, RBC, Lockheed, UBS, Berkshire, Berkshire Hathaway, Citi, RBC downgrades Moderna, Moderna, Walmart, underperform Bank of America, Netflix, Reuters, Kellanova, Boeing Locations: China, Gulfport, Berkshire, Underperform
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's inflation is likely to stay 'very low' for an extended period, strategist saysBecky Liu, head of China macro strategy at Standard Chartered Bank, discusses the outlook for the country's economy ahead of the Chinese Communist Party's third plenum.
Persons: Becky Liu Organizations: Standard Chartered Bank, Communist Locations: China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina is 'very keen' to step up economic support, strategist saysBecky Liu, head of China macro strategy at Standard Chartered Bank, says, however, that a "mega stimulus" is not yet on the table.
Persons: Becky Liu Organizations: China, Standard Chartered Bank Locations: China
"What we see right now is the unfolding of a slow-motion train accident," he told reporters at a briefing last week. "That's when trade becomes a security question and I think that is perhaps not fully appreciated in China just yet." There needs to be an honest conversation between Europe and China about what this is going to mean. The EU was China's largest regional trading partner until Southeast Asia recently surpassed it. The U.S. is China's largest trading partner on a single-country basis.
Persons: Jens Eskelund, Eskelund, I've, Markus Herrmann Chen Organizations: Future Publishing, Getty, European Union Chamber of Commerce, EU, of Commerce, Investment, China Macro Locations: Hefei, Anhui province, BEIJING, Europe, Beijing, China, Southeast Asia, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Quite unlikely' that China will hit its CPI inflation target of 3% this year: StanChart strategistBecky Liu, head of China macro strategy at Standard Chartered, says "our forecast for CPI inflation is only averaging 0.5% in 2024."
Persons: Becky Liu Organizations: Standard Chartered Locations: China
UBS upgrades Norfolk Southern to buy from neutral UBS said it sees margin improvement for the railroad. Goldman Sachs initiates Super Micro as neutral Goldman said the stock is an "AI winner" but that valuation is full right now. UBS reiterates Eli Lilly as buy UBS raised its price target on the stock to $910 per share from $810. UBS reiterates Nvidia as buy UBS said it's sticking with its buy rating after a series of investor meetings with the company." Argus upgrades New York Times to buy from neutral Argus said it sees revenue growth for the newspaper company. "
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Disney, Piper Sandler, Piper, Guggenheim, Baird, SQSP, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Bernstein, Tesla, underperform Bernstein, Eli Lilly, Wells, Melius, Citi downgrades Ferrari, Jefferies, Evercore, it's, Rosenblatt, Snowflake, Slootman's Organizations: BROS, Guggenheim, GSK, UBS, Norfolk Southern, Micro, JPMorgan, Nvidia, Kyverna Therapeutics, FLT, UDR, Conservative, America Health, RBC, Apple, Citi, Ferrari, Jefferies, BP, Barclays, Barclays downgrades, ISI, Toast Inc, Bank of America, Ball Corp, of America, Broadcom, New York Times Locations: Norfolk, China, New
China Evergrande Group's logo is displayed on a phone screen in this illustration photo taken on September 27, 2021. Jakub Porzycki | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesA liquidation order to property giant China Evergrande liquidation crisis this week deepened concerns about China's struggling real estate sector — but analysts say the spillover will likely be contained, with one saying it might actually be "good news." On Monday, a Hong Kong court issued a liquidation order to the embattled property developer after it failed to reach a restructuring deal with creditors. China Evergrande, once among the country's largest property developers, is the world's most indebted company — with more than $300 billion in liabilities. Still, questions remain on whether China will recognize the Hong Kong court order for Evergrande's liquidation — since most of the company's assets are in the mainland.
Persons: Jakub Porzycki, Shehzad Qazi, Lehman, Qazi, CNBC's, It's, China Evergrande, Evergrande, Linda Chan, Charlene Chu, we've, Chu Organizations: Nurphoto, CNBC, Lehman Brothers, Hong, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, China macrofinancial, Autonomous Research Locations: China, Hong Kong, Commerzbank
China Evergrande Group's logo is displayed on a phone screen in this illustration photo taken on September 27, 2021. Jakub Porzycki | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesA liquidation order to property giant China Evergrande liquidation crisis this week deepened concerns about China's struggling real estate sector — but analysts say the spillover will likely be contained, with one saying it might actually be "good news." On Monday, a Hong Kong court issued a liquidation order to the embattled property developer after it failed to reach a restructuring deal with creditors. In other words, no massive credit event," Qazi told CNBC. China Evergrande, once among the country's largest property developers, is the world's most indebted company — with more than $300 billion in liabilities.
Persons: Jakub Porzycki, Shehzad Qazi, Lehman, Qazi, CNBC's, It's, China Evergrande, Evergrande, Linda Chan, Charlene Chu Organizations: Nurphoto, CNBC, Lehman Brothers, Hong, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, China macrofinancial, Autonomous Research Locations: China, Hong Kong
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEvergrande: 'Real unknown' is how mainland China courts will treat winding-up petition, analyst saysCharlene Chu, China macrofinancial senior analyst at Autonomous Research, discusses the Evergrande liquidation order and says "the real question about the winding up petition is to what extent are the mainland authorities going to recognize what was decided in the Hong Kong courts."
Persons: Charlene Chu Organizations: China macrofinancial, Autonomous Research Locations: China, Hong Kong
UBS has highlighted several stock ideas it favors for 2024, as it forecasts massive cuts to interest rates next year. The investment bank expects the U.S. will see slower economic growth and strong disinflation leading to an interest rate cut of 275 basis points . Given the economic outlook, UBS strategists recommend a number of trades to clients for 2024. All the sectors apart from software trade on bigger discounts than normal against their US peers," the UBS strategists said. To reflect that view, UBS strategists said they favored gaining exposure to the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF in 2024.
Persons: Jonathan Pingle, Gerry Fowler, Sean Simonds, KWEB Organizations: UBS, Federal, CNBC, U.S, Investors, China Tech, Internet Technology, CSI China Internet Locations: U.S, China
He also lowered his price target by $6 to $120, implying just 3.9% upside from Tuesday's close. Analyst Shaun Kelley has a $40 price target on shares, implying shares could gain 11.4% from Tuesday's close. Rivian shares jumped more than 7% after the company increased its production forecast for the full year by 2,000 units to 54,000. Datadog shares have produced zero return over the past three years, Murphy noted, with shares down 9% since Oct. 15, 2020. UBS has a neutral rating on Apple and a price target of $190 per share, which implies upside of 4.5%.
Persons: Cowen downgrades Estee, TD Cowen, Estee Lauder, Oliver Chen, Chen, — Hakyung Kim, Shaun Kelley, Kelley, Goldman, Goldman Sachs, Neil Mehta, Mehta, There's, Colin Langan, Langan, Piper Sandler, Alexander Potter, Potter, Rivian, Mark Delaney, Morgan Stanley, Jonas, Mark Murphy, Murphy, David Vogt, Vogt, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Tech, UBS, JPMorgan, Revenue, Asia, Bank of America, Industry, Mehta ., Wall Street, Rivian, pullbacks, Pro, Pro Max, Apple Locations: China, Asia Pacific, Europe, Middle East, Africa, Tuesday's, U.S
About 30% of the S & P 500 is set to report earnings this week, bringing the reporting past the halfway mark. Monday McDonald's is set to report earnings before the bell, followed by a call with management at 8:30 a.m. What CNBC is watching: Pfizer is coming into this latest earnings report limping. What history shows: Starbucks only beats earnings expectations 55% of the time, according to Bespoke, but the stock averages a 0.5% gain on earnings days. What history shows: Apple shares tend to do well on earnings days, averaging a 1.3% advance, according to Bespoke.
Persons: It's, Oppenheimer, Brian Bittner, PFE, Kif Leswing, Cowen, Andrew Charles, bode, Tim Cook, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Apple, Pfizer, Meta, CNBC, Investment, AMD, Nvidia, Starbucks, Corporate Locations: U.S, Covid, China
Youth unemployment in China hit a record high of 21% in May. It's a problem not only for China's economy — it could hurt the US, as well. China's economy is on shaky ground as it emerges from very strict lockdown pandemic measures. That's compared to the US youth unemployment rate of 7.4% in May. "The stakes are high for correcting these imbalances, given how important the youth population is to China's economy," the note said.
Persons: There's, , China —, it's, China's, China — Benn Steil, Steil, Victoria University of Wellington Christian Yao, Alfred Wu, National University of Singapore's Lee, Wu, Goldman Sachs, they're, it'll Organizations: Service, Trade, National Bureau of Statistics, Weibo, China, Council, Foreign Relations, Victoria University of Wellington, China Macroeconomy, New York Times, National University of Singapore's, National University of Singapore's Lee Kuan Yew, of Public, NBC News Locations: China, decouple, Japan, United States
Bank of America upgraded three luxury stocks that are bucking the negative trends afflicting the broader sector in Europe. The investment bank expects profit margins to decline by one percentage point for the sector even as third-quarter revenue is seen growing modestly. Meanwhile, the investment bank upgraded Ermenegildo Zegna and Pandora to buy, and Hugo Boss to neutral from underperform. The investment bank believes a similar pattern will likely emerge in Europe with spending on the continent peaking early this year. Despite Pandora shares' 45% rally this year, the Bank of America analyst still considers it "one of the cheapest stocks in all of Consumer Discretionary."
Persons: Prada, Tod, Pandora, Hugo Boss, Ashley Wallace, Wallace, Pandora Wallace Organizations: of America, Bank of America, underperform, Zegna Bank of America Locations: Europe, United States, U.S, China
Investors should be cautious on Starbucks stock, according to TD Cowen. Starbucks stock has slipped more than 2% from the start of the year and was off 1.45% in premarket trading Tuesday. SBUX YTD mountain Starbucks stock has pulled back 2.4% from the start of 2023. Charles also noted U.S. headwinds associated with slower month-over-month non-farm payroll increases, which could be reflected in Starbucks' morning business. "Starbucks' morning-oriented business tracks changes in payrolls as changes in the number of commuters naturally impacts morning routines," Charles said.
Persons: TD Cowen, Andrew Charles, Charles, Michael Bloom Locations: China
"I used to love buying branded clothes," said teacher Zhang as she sifted through a pile of garments priced between 15 and 50 yuan ($2-$7). With wages and pensions hardly budging and the job market highly uncertain as more than one in five young Chinese remain unemployed, households' confidence and spending power are low in the barely growing economy. The real estate sector, one of the pillars of the economy, is struggling with massive debt. "One of my customers is a rich woman who used to go to Japan for shopping, but now she comes to my store," said Wang. ($1 = 7.3179 Chinese yuan renminbi)Additional reporting by Winni Zhou in Shanghai; editing by Marius Zaharia and Miral FahmyOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Amy Zhang, Zhang, Becky Liu, Gucci, Kering, Lu, Yunshan, I've, Wang, Winni Zhou, Marius Zaharia Organizations: Standard Chartered, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, HONG KONG, China, LVMH, Japan, Shanghai
Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen with a currency exchange rate graph in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. China's onshore yuan slid to a 16-year low, under pressure from a property slump, weak consumer spending and shrinking credit growth in the world's second-largest economy. ONSHORE YUAN HIT 2007 LEVELSThe onshore yuan sank to 7.3296 per dollar, its weakest since December 2007. The Australian dollar was about flat at $0.6384, while the New Zealand dollar rose 0.3% at $0.5885, with both languishing near their recent 10-month lows. “We see yuan staying under pressure (against the dollar) in the near term," said Becky Liu, head of China macro strategy at Standard Chartered Bank.
Persons: Florence Lo, Kirstine Kundby, Joseph Capurso, Becky Liu, BoE, Andrew Bailey, Joice Alves, Rae Wee, Zhou, Sharon Singleton, Chizu Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, U.S ., Nielsen, Danske Bank, Federal Reserve, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, New Zealand, Standard Chartered Bank, People's Bank of China, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: U.S, China, Beijing, China's, Japan, Asia, Bank
And, in the meantime, our China-focused names are poised to ride out the storm, while finding alternate routes to growth. Beyond the housing-sector woes, manufacturing activity is shrinking, a youth unemployment crisis is a ballooning, and consumer spending remains sluggish. With these macroeconomic headwinds holding back growth for some of the Club's key holdings, here's why we're sticking with these China-exposed names — and how each is responding. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, Lauder, Estee Lauder, we're, Tim Cook, That's, Bernstein, WYNN, Wynn, Stifel, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Yan Daming Organizations: Wall, Research, CNBC, Big Tech, Starbucks, Wynn Resorts, WYNN, Wynn, Visual China, Getty Locations: China, Beijing, Asia, Pacific, Hainan, India, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Americas, Europe, U.S, Macao, Wynn, Nanjing, Shanghai
The swaps allow exporters to place their dollars with banks and get yuan instead, but through a contract that will eventually reverse the flows and give them back their dollars. However, while they remove a much-needed source of dollar supplies into spot yuan markets, analysts reckon Chinese monetary authorities can't really force exporters to convert dollars. When exporters swap higher-yielding dollars for the cheaper yuan for even 3 months, they get local currency for business needs and also earn a pick-up of an annualised 3.5% on the swap deal. "By trading FX swaps, exporters can postpone their settlements while meeting their yuan demand," said Becky Liu, head of China macro strategy at Standard Chartered Bank. Exporters' swaps, meanwhile, give state banks a pile of dollars to use in their yuan operations, in which they can undertake swaps to acquire the dollars from the onshore forwards market and sell them in the spot market to stem fast yuan declines.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Ding, Gary Ng, Becky Liu, Jindong Zhang, Winni Zhou, Tom Westbrook, Vidya Ranganathan, Kim Coghill Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, U.S, Federal Reserve, Asia Pacific, Traders, Administration of Foreign Exchange, Standard Chartered Bank, China Merchants Bank, Thomson Locations: Rights SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, U.S, Shanghai, China, Natixis, Singapore
A record 38 QDII funds had been launched this year until August 17, outpacing the 31 funds launched in 2022, Morningstar data shows. Tianhong, which is planning new QDII products, obtained a $120 million fresh QDII quota in July, less than it had hoped for. Rather than foreign capital selling China equities, this time it's Chinese investors’ outbound investment,” Liu said. HUGE DEMANDThe QDII program, launched in 2006, remains a key outbound investment channel for mainland Chinese investors, alongside the Qualified Domestic Limited Partnership (QDLP) programme. Tracy Liu, an individual investor working in the information technology industry, invested in an India-focused QDII fund in March.
Persons: Aly, Ivan Shi, Liu Dong, Becky Liu, Liu, ” Liu, Desiree Wang, Tracy Liu, Summer Zhen, Samuel Shen, Jason Xue, Vidya Ranganathan Organizations: REUTERS, Morningstar, Domestic Institutional, Nasdaq, Ben Advisors, Connect, Bond, U.S, Dow Jones, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Tianhong, Management, Ant Financial, Standard Chartered Bank, Reuters, Qualified Domestic Limited, Asset Management Association of China, Guangfa NASDAQ, Technology, Morgan Asset Management, Morgan Asset Management China, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, U.S, HONG KONG, SHANGHAI, Hong Kong, Vietnam, India, outflows, Japan, Russia
Government policymakers struggling to address the problem are now leaning on colleges to do more to find jobs for graduates. The job performance of school administrators was already tied to the percentage of their students who find employment after graduation. In some cases, the scrutiny is so intense that students resort to fabricating job offers to placate school officials. Over the last three decades, as China’s economy grew by leaps and bounds, more people attended college, seeing it as a pathway to promising careers. This year’s estimated graduating class of 11.6 million students is expected to be the largest ever, and future classes are expected to be even bigger.
Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, China Macroeconomy, Renmin University of China Locations: China
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