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People look at models of houses at the 2021 Dalian autumn real estate fair at Dalian World Expo Center on October 15, 2021 in Dalian, Liaoning Province of China. Prices of new homes in China rose at a faster pace in October, traditionally a peak season for house hunting, a private survey showed on Friday, suggesting that recent support measures could be having some early impact in a crisis-hit market. The average price across 100 cities edged up 0.29%, compared with the previous month's 0.14%, according to data released by property researcher China Index Academy. On a year-on-year basis, the average price rose 2.08% versus 1.85% growth in September. Average new home prices fell 0.02% from a month earlier in smaller cities last month, the China Index Academy data showed.
Persons: Nomura Organizations: Dalian, China Index, Authorities, Nomura Locations: Dalian, Liaoning Province of China, China, Shanghai, Beijing
After months of incremental measures, Chinese President Xi Jinping in late September led a top-level meeting that vowed to "halt the real estate market decline." Earlier this month, the Finance Ministry introduced more measures aimed at stabilizing the real estate sector. Property sales and new home construction are unlikely to stabilize until 2027, Goldman forecast. watch nowS&P Global Ratings and Morgan Stanley this month also published reports forecasting China's real estate market will bottom in the second half of 2025. China's latest efforts to bolster confidence have given the real estate market a lift.
Persons: Xi Jinping, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Edward Chan, Nomura Organizations: China Vanke Co, Bloomberg, Getty, Finance Ministry, Goldman, China Index Academy, P Global, National Bureau of Statistics Locations: China, Hefei, Beijing
China's CSI 300 index has gained about 25% since the stimulus measures were announced. That would depend on whether the measures announced will likely target China's stock market or the real economy. Even if China's economy improves and its stock market soars, experts suggest it's unlikely to hurt the Indian equity market's growth outlook over the long term. For now, a strong and rapidly growing economy, as well as a "resilient" domestic investor base, continue to be significant drivers of Indian stock markets, according to Wall Street's observers. "The Indian market has numerous positive domestic drivers which underpin our overweight recommendation," Morgan Stanley's Jonathan Garner said in a note to clients this week.
Persons: India's, Chris Ma, Berstein's Rupal Agarwal, David Aserkoff, Aserkoff, Morgan Stanley's, Wall, Morgan, Jonathan Garner, Michael Bloom Organizations: CSI, Beijing, Citi, Central Locations: China, India, Asia, Eastern Europe, Africa
China's property stimulus measures delivered a modest boost to the market, but they are not enough to turn around the troubled sector, according to analysts. Home sales ticked up in some cities during China's week-long holiday, as stimulus measures boosted homebuyers' sentiment, a report by research group China Index Academy showed. Average daily sales in Beijing jumped 81%, in terms of floor area, compared to the same holiday period the year before. Last year's Golden Week holiday was between Sept. 29 and Oct. 6. The average daily sales figure stood at 107,000 square meters this year, the report showed, against 177,000 square meters in 2021, 158,000 square meters in 2022, and 145,000 square meters in 2023.
Persons: William Wu, Shen Meng Organizations: China Index Academy, Beijing, Daiwa, Chanson, CNBC, CIA Locations: Shanghai, Beijing, China, Guangzhou, Shenzhen
Goldman Sachs is the latest in a flurry of calls to upgrade China stocks after the Asian giant's recent wave of stimulus measures. Goldman predicts that Chinese stocks could even jump a further 15% to 20%, given the powerful comeback rally that has already occurred. It says the MSCI China index could have another 15% upside, and the CSI 300 index could enjoy a further 18% upside. In a Monday note, Citi also increased its price target for Chinese stocks. Following that, Wall Street started getting bullish on those stocks again, with Morgan Stanley predicting Chinese stocks are set to rally 10% and more.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, , Vishnu Varathan Organizations: CSI, Citi, Wall, BlackRock Investment Institute, Mizuho Securities Locations: China, China's
China's stock rally could extend another 15% to 20%, Goldman Sachs says. Goldman highlighted out still-low valuations and diminishing risk as tailwinds for a continued rally. AdvertisementThe blowout surge in China's stock market still has ways to go, with another 15% to 20% upside ahead, Goldman Sachs predicts. Third, earnings growth could pick up if the economy responds well to China's latest support measures. Goldman is optimistic in this outcome, estimating that the central bank's policy easing could uplift China's GDP by 40 basis points.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, , It's Organizations: Beijing, Service Locations: China, Beijing
The recent stimulus-triggered rally in Chinese stocks could have legs, said Goldman Sachs, whose strategists upgraded the regional equities and projected high double-digit returns. The Wall Street firm hiked its rating on Chinese stocks to overweight from equal weight and raised its 12-month price target on the MSCI China index to 84, implying an upside between 15% to 18%. The announcement prompted massive buying from hedge funds, who piled into beaten-down Chinese stocks like never before. the long-awaited "Beijing put" has been triggered," Goldman strategists said in a note to clients. The iShares MSCI China ETF climbed another 2.7% on Monday, jumping more than 30% from its mid-September low and pushing the fund's 2024 return to more than 40%.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, bullish, , Michael Bloom Locations: China, Beijing
As a result of that excitement, China ETFs are dominating the list of top performing funds in September, according to FactSet. The iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) was up about 22% on the month, while the KraneSharesCSI China Internet ETF (KWEB) was up more than 32%. Other top performers include the Global X MSCI China Consumer Discretionary ETF (CHIQ) and the Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF (PGJ) , with September gains of roughly 32% and 30%, respectively. The MSCI China Index's total annualized return during that period is under 1%. The average here is a gain of +78% over 176 trading days vs. a decline of -42% over 165 trading days," the note continued.
Persons: Todd Sohn, David Tepper, there's Organizations: People's Bank of, CSI, China Internet, Dragon China Locations: People's Bank of China, China, U.S
Instead, JPMorgan increased its overweight recommendations on other emerging markets. Even after the change, JPMorgan still holds 18 China stocks in its global emerging markets model portfolio. The JPMorgan analysts said uncertainties about the China economic outlook range from tensions with the U.S. to "lingering deflation pressure." During three periods of escalating U.S.-China trade tensions in 2018 and 2019, the MSCI China index fell each time, according to JPMorgan China Equity Strategist Wendy Liu. As part of its China stock downgrade, JPMorgan added shares of state-owned utility operator CR Gas , while removing shares of PDD, China Construction Bank and Kingdee International.
Persons: Pedro Martins, Chetan Seth, Jake Sullivan, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden's, Harris, Donald Trump, Wendy Liu, ByteDance, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Wednesday, Sunday, Reuters, Nomura's, Nomura, JPMorgan China Equity, CR Gas, China Construction Bank, Kingdee International, Kuaishou Technology, Meituan, Hong Locations: China, U.S, Nomura's Asia, Japan, Beijing, PDD, Hong Kong, Thursday's
BEIJING — China's property struggles and U.S. sanctions have significantly affected some of its cities, even as others benefit from Beijing's tech push, Milken Institute's best performing cities China index showed Tuesday. Since 2015, the index has studied China's large- and mid-sized cities for their economic vibrancy and growth prospects. The index looked at a group of 33 large cities and a group of 217 small cities, then ranked them separately. Historically, Wong pointed out, having control of Zhengzhou, Hefei, and Wuhan have been critical to ensuring control of the country. Correction: This story has been updated to reflect that there are 33 large cities and 217 smaller cities in the index.
Persons: Milken Institute's, Perry Wong, Wong Organizations: CNBC ., U.S, CNBC, Wuhan Locations: HANGZHOU, CHINA, China Vanke, Hangzhou, Zhejiang province, China, BEIJING, Zhejiang, Zhuhai, Guangdong, Hong Kong, Dongguan, The, Shenzhen, Beijing, Zhengzhou, Henan province, Hefei, Wuhan, Anhui, Central China's Hubei
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on May 31, 2024 in New York City. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Asia markets climb higherAsia-Pacific markets were mostly higher on Monday ahead of U.S. economic data later in the week. [PRO] Distinct marketWhile U.S. and Japanese indexes fell sharply amid recent volatility, the MSCI China index rose slightly, reinforcing China's distinct market status despite slower growth.
Persons: Disney, Indiana Jones, Donald Trump, Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Elon Musk, Elon Musk's, Warren, Tesla, Robyn Denholm, Musk, Hai Precision Industry —, , Australia's, Hong Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Wall, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Magic, Hollywood, Inc, Animal Kingdom, Trump, Trump Media, SpaceX, Twitter, Hai Precision Industry, SK Hynix, China's CSI, U.S Locations: New York City, U.S, Magic Kingdom, Disney's California, Friday's, Asia, Pacific, Taiwan, Australian, China
The latest global market volatility has reinforced China's status as a distinct market, even if its growth has slowed recently. While U.S. tech stocks plunged and Japanese stocks swung wildly in a historic two days of price action , Chinese stocks suffered less . The investors remained net buyers of Chinese stocks for the third quarter so far as of Aug. 6, the data showed. Finally, the low correlation of the China stock market with the U.S. stock market could provide investors with diversification benefits." Chinese stocks, especially those traded on the mainland, have historically been less correlated to global market moves due to Beijing's capital controls and other restrictions.
Persons: Matt Wacher, William Yuen, Invesco, That's, Steven Sun, Paul Christopher, Morningstar's Wacher, it's, Wacher Organizations: Nasdaq, Nikkei, Morningstar Investment Management, U.S, HSBC, Technology, Shanghai —, Bank of, Federal Reserve, Treasury, HSBC Qianhai Securities, National Bureau, Statistics, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Index Locations: Asia, U.S, Shanghai, China, Pacific, EPFR, Hong Kong, Bank of China, Wells Fargo
China has, in its own way, signaled it wants to support specific kinds of consumer purchases. Authorities on Thursday announced the equivalent of 300 billion yuan ($41.5 billion) in special bonds would go towards trade-ins and equipment upgrades — a significant expansion of an existing program. The 300 billion yuan ultra-long bond issuance is not a new government allocation, but rather a more detailed designation of a 1 trillion yuan ultra-long bond program announced earlier this year. "300 billion yuan is the largest equipment upgrade subsidy from the central government historically," the analysts said. Even the 300 billion yuan figure is split roughly between consumer-related trade-ins with business-side equipment upgrades.
Persons: Ding, Morgan Stanley, Tao Wang, Darius Tang, Corporates, Fitch Bohua, Michael Bloom Organizations: China Asset Management Co, UBS Investment Bank Locations: China, Beijing, Asia
China's new home prices inch up for 9th month in May, survey shows
  + stars: | 2024-06-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
A real estate complex under construction in Huai 'an city, Jiangsu Province, China, June 20, 2023. New home prices in China rose slightly for a ninth month in May, a private survey showed, driven higher by a slew of supportive steps to prop up the nation's crisis-hit property sector. The average new home price across 100 cities rose 0.25% on month in May, following a 0.27% gain in April, the data from real estate researcher China Index Academy showed on Saturday. China's property sector, a pillar of the economy, has lurched from one crisis to another since 2021 after a regulatory crackdown on high leverage among developers triggered a liquidity crisis. The government is struggling to boost home sales or increase liquidity by taking a series of stimulus and easing measures.
Persons: Huai Organizations: China Index, China Locations: Jiangsu Province, China
The index has rallied nearly 30% from its January low, having entered a bull market earlier this month. Longfor Group, the ninth largest homebuilder in China, surged 11%, becoming the top performing stock on the Hang Seng Index. “We think this is a largely symbolic move to show support for the sector with a ‘national team’ for the housing market,” said Citi analysts. “We are cautiously optimistic about the ‘government-led buying on unsold units’ as it’s still being rolled out in more cities, “ said Jeff Zhang, an equity analyst at Morningstar. Nasdaq Golden China Index, which tracks Chinese companies listed on Wall Street, has gained 11% since the start of April.
Persons: , , Jeff Zhang Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Longfor, China Holdings, National Development, Reform Commission, , Citi, ING Group, Morningstar, homebuyers, Communist Party, Nasdaq Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Hangzhou, Xi’an, Chengdu, Shanghai
It's now focused on finding industry leaders with high free cash flow. Hong Kong-based AlphaHill Capital is looking specifically for Chinese consumer names with free cash flow growth, said Siliang Jiang, the firm's partner and portfolio manager. Jiang expects the Chinese consumer will start to turn around in the second half of this year or next year. China's "Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) edged up in the past 9 months, despite falling property prices and fears of 'household balance sheet recession '. Two of their picks based on positive free cash flow are Li Auto and New Oriental Education .
Persons: Ding Wenjie, Ding, It's, Siliang Jiang, Jiang, Li, Liqian Ren, Ren, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi, China Asset Management Co, CNBC, Investors, China Merchants Securities, Baidu, Bank of America, Li Auto, New Oriental, Speed Railway, WisdomTree, Reuters Locations: China, India, Hong Kong, Tencent, Beijing, Shanghai, Shanghai . State
China stocks have staged such a strong rally after a protracted slump for the past few years that they're beating even the S & P 500 so far this year. The MSCI China index, which includes the mainland A-shares, Hong Kong-listed shares and U.S.-listed China names, has jumped around 9%, while the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF is up around 13%. Most analysts said whether the rally can be sustained will largely depend on China policy. How to play China Though most were bullish on China stocks, they would be selective in stock-picking. They include: SPDR S & P China ETF iShares MSCI China A ETF Global X MSCI China Consumer Disc ETF iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF — CNBC's Michael Bloom contributed to this report.
Persons: Bernstein, it's, , Goldman Sachs, Kevin Liu, CICC, Nomura's, Goldman, Kweichow, Ping, Morningstar, Michael Bloom Organizations: U.S, CSI China, Investors, CICC Research, CNBC, BYD, SAIC, Changan Automobile, Energy, Anhui, Cement, JPMorgan, Kuaishou, Ping An Insurance, China Merchants Bank, Hong, China, iShares, China Consumer Locations: China, Hong Kong
The Chinese stock market has rebounded and analysts said the rally looks set to continue. After six months of outflows, foreign investors are gradually putting money to work in China again. AdvertisementChina's stock market may have shaken its label as "uninvestable," with an economic rebound and a rally that could have plenty more room to run. LPL Financial strategist Adam Turnquist wrote this week that long-held bearish calls on China's property and stock market have shaken investor confidence. China's recent reputation as "uninvestable" has been fueled by mounting real estate troubles, a plummeting stock market and dismal consumer demand that's sparked a deflationary spell for the country.
Persons: , Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, Ray Dalio Organizations: Service, LPL, Billionaire Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing
Pinpoint Asset Management is a Hong Kong-based hedge fund with offices in Shanghai and Singapore. According to HSBC's Hedge Weekly report, the firm's China fund gained more than 2% through the first two weeks of April to bring its year-to-date returns to just under 8%. The firm's multi-strategy fund was up 1.8% for the month through April 15, to bring its 2024 gains to 6%. The China fund had a run of poor performance given the country's economic slowdown. The performance so far in 2024 has beaten out other funds focused on the region — Hedge Fund Research's China index was up just 0.43% through the end of March.
Persons: , Wang Qiang Organizations: Service, HSBC's, HSBC, Citadel Locations: Hong Kong, Shanghai, Singapore, China, Asia
Goldman Sachs has refreshed its conviction list of top stocks in Asia Pacific this month, adding some names and removing others. Here are two additions to Goldman Sachs' Asian conviction list, and two removals: China Resources Beer Goldman analyst Leaf Liu said he was positive on the outlook for Chinese beer manufacturer and distributor China Resources Beer . Goldman Sachs has a 12-month price target of 51 Hong Kong dollars ($6.51) on the stock, giving it potential upside of around 46%. NTPC India's power generation company NTPC — formerly the National Thermal Power Corporation — was another addition to Goldman's conviction list. Shionogi, China Medical System Meanwhile, the Wall Street bank removed two pharmaceutical players — Japan's Shionogi and the China-headquartered China Medical System — from its conviction list.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, China Resources Beer, Leaf Liu, CRB, , National Thermal Power Corporation —, Apoorva Bahadur, Bahadur, Goldman, — Japan's Shionogi, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: MSCI Asia, China Resources, China Resources Beer Goldman, China Resources Beer, Brands, Star, Heineken, Hong, Franklin FTSE, National Thermal Power Corporation Locations: Asia Pacific, Japan, China, ,, Tianjin, premiumization, Hong Kong, Franklin FTSE China, Shionogi
However, the company's revenues and profits have surged since then, and one outperforming fund manager sees the current valuation as a buying opportunity. Alibaba shares are traded in the U.S., Hong Kong and Germany. BABA 1Y line The slump in the company's share price came amid concerns of an economic slowdown in China and increased regulation of the internet sector by authorities in Beijing. Alibaba's cheap share buyback Lapping also pointed to the impact of Alibaba's share buyback program as distinct compared to many richly valued U.S. tech darlings. However, with its share price now 65% off its peak, Alibaba's compensation costs have dwindled dramatically.
Persons: Sean Peche, BABA, It's, Andrew Organizations: Ranmore Fund Management, Wall Street, Tech, Ranmore Global Equity Fund Locations: China, U.S, Hong Kong, Germany, Beijing
But according to CNN calculations based on official data, the average tourism-related spending per trip was below pre-pandemic levels, as consumer confidence remains weak amid deflationary pressure. However, the most recent holiday season took place over eight days from February 10 to February 18, which was one day more than previous periods. On average, 59.25 million domestic trips per day were made during this holiday period, slightly lower than the 59.29 million trips per day taken in 2019. Movie ticket sales reached a record 8 billion yuan ($1.11 billion) during the eight-day holiday season, according to data released on Sunday by China Film Administration. “The headwinds to growth remain severe and it will take more than a bump in holiday travel for market sentiment to recover,” said Neumann.
Persons: ” Nomura, , Frederic Neumann, Neumann, Organizations: Beijing CNN, CNN, Ministry of Culture, Tourism, Hangzhou East Railway, National Immigration Administration, China Film Administration, HSBC, China Index Holdings, Shenzhen Component Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Hangzhou, China's Zhejiang province, Macao, Asia, Shanghai, Shenzhen
Overall, the MSCI Asia-Pacific index gained 11.8% for 2023, with the MSCI China index losing around 11%. Those interested in stock-picking rather than passive investing can look to Morgan Stanley's list of Asian stocks it calls "alpha" opportunities for February. India's Tata Consultancy , an IT services and consulting company, which was upgraded by Morgan Stanley to overweight in January, was named as another top idea. Morgan Stanley believes "resilient revenue, strong [earnings before interest and taxes] margins, and positive management commentary will likely sustain valuation premium if execution improves." These are some stocks from the full list of Morgan Stanley's top overweight-rated stocks for February.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's, Morgan Stanley, MediaTek, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Investors, Nikkei, BSE, Alpha, Tata Consultancy Locations: Asia, China, India, Japan,
Hong Kong CNN —Global stock index compiler MSCI is deleting dozens of companies from its benchmark China Index, which could further exacerbate fund outflows from Chinese equities after a massive stock market rout. The index provider announced this week that it would drop 66 securities from the MSCI China Index, one of its flagship China indexes, as part of the company’s latest quarterly review. The MSCI China Index is the compiler’s key index tracking the Chinese stock market, covering about 85% of the total market capitalization of Chinese companies listed globally. On Monday, MSCI also announced changes to its other China-related indexes, including deleting dozens of stocks from MSCI China A Onshore indexes and MSCI China All Shares indexes. Hong Kong’s stock market reopened on Wednesday after a long holiday weekend, with the benchmark Hang Seng Index up 0.9%.
Persons: MSCI, , Luca Paolini, Hong Organizations: Hong Kong CNN — Global, Investors, Greentown China Holdings, Gemdale Corp, Uni, President, China Southern Airlines, Lufax Holdings, Genomics, Midea, MGI Tech, Management Locations: China, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Fuyang, China's, Anhui, AFP, Hangzhou, President China, Beijing, Geneva, Mainland
Evergrande liquidation: Here’s what may happen next
  + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( Laura He | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +9 min
But there is still little clarity over how the liquidation of Evergrande will unfold. That’s because the legal systems of Hong Kong and China remain distinct, despite Beijing’s growing control over the former British colony in recent years. No Chinese company as huge as Evergrande — which was once China’s second largest developer— has been wound up by a Hong Kong court. Hui Ka Yan, chairman of property developer China Evergrande. Since then, Evergrande has been building and selling apartments in mainland China, even though it has been unable to repay its debts.
Persons: Alvarez, Marsal, , , John Bringardner, Hong, Hui Ka Yan, Xu Jiayin, Hui, Xiao En, Bobby Yip, Xiao, Evergrande, Florence Lo, homebuyers, Will, Andy Wong, Diana Choyleva, Xiao Yuanqi, ” Bringardner, ” Choyleva, Choyleva, “ Evergrande Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Shimao, Kaisa Holdings, Group, , Real, Century Business Herald, China Index Academy, Enodo, Communist Party, China’s, Financial Regulatory Administration, Getty, People’s Bank of China, Finance Ministry, Evergrande, Marsal Locations: Hong Kong, United States, China, British, New York, China . Hong Kong, Shenzhen —, Asia, Florence, Beijing, Real, Hainan
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