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Goldman Sachs' list of top-performing longs in hedge funds has seen outsized gains in 2024, a sign that moves made by these firms have paid off this year. The bank's so-called very important positions, or "VIP," list has climbed about 30% year to date. Goldman strategist Ben Snider noted that hedge funds shifted somewhat to cyclical industrials from defensives in the third quarter, allowing them to benefit from the postelection rally. Goldman has a running list of its very important stock picks within hedge fund long holdings. However, most analysts surveyed by LSEG rate the stock a buy or strong buy, consensus price targets suggests shares may drop more than 23%.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Ben Snider, Snider, Mike Tyson, Jake Paul, AppLovin, Piper Sandler, James Callahan, Eli Lilly, Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy, Jr Organizations: China ADR, Netflix, Department of Health, Human Services, LSEG Locations: defensives, China
China stocks rallied to their best day in 16 years, with related U.S. ETFs also soaring after recent economic stimulus buoyed investor optimism in the market. The Shanghai Composite rallied 8.06% in its best day since September 2008, and capping a nine-day win streak for the index. It ended September up 17.39%, its first monthly gain in five and its best monthly performance going back to April 2015. The Shenzhen Composite Index closed up 10.9%, its best day since April 1996. The China ADR index gained nearly 6%.
Organizations: Shanghai, U.S, Tencent, Entertainment, Futu Holdings Locations: Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China, Shenzhen
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 26, 2023. Megacap growth stocks including Apple (AAPL.O), Microsoft (MSFT.O), Meta Platforms (META.O) and Tesla (TSLA.O) lost between 0.5% and 1.3% in premarket trading. Pressuring equities, the benchmark two- and 10-year Treasury yields have scaled multi-year highs after the Fed's hawkish longer-term rate outlook, a stance also projected by other major central banks. Meanwhile, a 25-basis-point rate cut is being priced in as early as March, growing to over 33% in June and July. DraftKings (DKNG.O) rose 3% after J.P. Morgan upgraded the online sports and gaming company's stock to "overweight" from "neutral".
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Moody's, Stuart Cole, Jerome Powell, Neel Kashkari, Austan Goolsbee, Goldman Sachs, Morgan, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Sunday, Apple, Microsoft, Dow e, Treasury, Equiti, Traders, Investors, Minneapolis, Chicago Fed, CNBC, PDD Holdings, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Bengaluru
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 29, 2023. The yield on the 10-year Treasury notes climbed to 4.25%, while two-year yield rose to 4.936%. Utilities (.SPLRCU) led declines among S&P 500 indexes, down nearly 2%, while China-exposed materials sector (.SPLRCM) fell 1.2%. Shares of Airbnb (ABNB.O) and Blackstone (BX.N) added 7.7% and 3.6%, respectively, as the companies were set to join the S&P 500 index. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 3.02-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and a 2.08-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Blackstone, Hugh Anderson, Alibaba, Christopher Waller, Goldman Sachs, advancers, Shristi Achar, Arun Koyyur, Shounak Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, China, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, HighTower Advisors, Labor, PDD Holdings, Baidu, Utilities, Nvidia, U.S, Traders, Federal, Dow Jones, Blackstone, Oracle, Barclays, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Las Vegas, Saudi Arabia, Russia, China, Bengaluru
The yield on the 10-year Treasury notes climbed to 4.23%, while two-year yield rose to 4.928% in the run-up to more economic data this week. "The recession is definitely delayed within the United States ... we are seeing fairly weak economic environments in both China and Europe." U.S. economic data since the Fed's July meeting has added to the impression the economy is cooling without cracking, likely bolstering the case against further interest rate increases. All three main U.S. stock indexes logged gains in the previous week after data pointed to a softening labor market. The S&P index recorded eight new 52-week highs and 13 new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 27 new highs and 63 new lows.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Blackstone, China stoked, Jason Pride, Alibaba, Goldman Sachs, advancers, Shristi Achar, Arun Koyyur, Shounak Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, China, Dow, Nasdaq, Apple, PDD Holdings, Baidu, Labor, Traders, Dow Jones, Blackstone, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, United States, Europe, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Bengaluru
People are seen on Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 19, 2021. Focus now shifts to a report on the personal consumption expenditures price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, to be released on Thursday, and non-farm payrolls data due on Friday. According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 27.49 points, or 0.62%, to end at 4,433.20 points, while the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) gained 114.49 points, or 0.84%, to 13,705.13. Micron's and Intel's shares gained for much of the session. Horizon's shares rose.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell, Powell didn't, Ross Mayfield, Gina Raimondo, Wang Wentao, Shristi Achar, Noel Randewich, Shounak Dasgupta, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Investment, Baird, Nvidia, Creative Planning, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, JD.com, Baidu, U.S . Commerce, Intel, Micron, Chinese Commerce, U.S . Federal Trade Commission, Horizon Therapeutics, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Bengaluru, Oakland, Calif
People are seen on Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 19, 2021. Horizon's shares rose 5.5%. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners for a 3.82-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and a 1.78-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded seven new 52-week highs and no new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 43 new highs and 101 new lows. Reporting by Shristi Achar A and Amruta Khandekar in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak DasguptaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Stocks, Jerome Powell, Roosevelt Bowman, Gina Raimondo, Wang Wentao, Goldman Sachs, decliners, Shristi Achar, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Bernstein Private Wealth Management, Traders, Fed, Nvidia, U.S, Baidu, U.S . Commerce, Intel, Micron, Chinese Commerce, Intel's, Dow Jones, U.S . Federal Trade Commission, Horizon Therapeutics, Creative Planning, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Bengaluru
People are seen on Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 19, 2021. Focus now shifts to a report on the personal consumption expenditures price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, which is set to be released on Thursday and the non-farm payrolls data due on Friday. ET, Dow e-minis were up 74 points, or 0.22%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 6.5 points, or 0.15%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 41.5 points, or 0.28%. Horizon Therapeutics' shares rose 5.2%. Reporting by Shristi Achar A and Amruta Khandekar in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak DasguptaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Stocks, Jerome Powell, Mark Haefele, Powell's Jackson, Shristi Achar, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Fed, UBS Global Wealth Management, U.S, PDD Holdings, Baidu, Dow e, U.S . Federal Trade Commission, Horizon Therapeutics, Therapeutics, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Xpeng, Bengaluru
People are seen on Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 19, 2021. The S&P 500 communication services (.SPLRCL) and technology (.SPLRCT) sectors led gains among the 11 major S&P sub-indexes, rising 1.2% and 0.8% respectively. Horizon's shares rose 5.8%. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners for a 5.47-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and a 2.95-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. Reporting by Shristi Achar A and Amruta Khandekar in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak DasguptaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Stocks, Jerome Powell, Peter Andersen, Gina Raimondo, Wang Wentao, decliners, Shristi Achar, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Andersen Capital Management, Traders, U.S, PDD Holdings, Baidu, U.S . Commerce, Intel, Micron, Chinese Commerce, Intel's, Dow Jones, Xpeng, U.S . Federal Trade Commission, Horizon Therapeutics, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Bengaluru
Data showed U.S. retail sales unexpectedly rose in May as consumers spent on a range of goods including vehicles. All 11 S&P 500 sector indexes rose, led by health care (.SPXHC), up 1.55%, followed by a 1.54% gain in communication services (.SPLRCL). The S&P 500 climbed 1.22% to end the session at 4,425.84 points. Advancing issues outnumbered falling ones within the S&P 500 (.AD.SPX) by a 7.1-to-one ratio. The S&P 500 posted 48 new highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 80 new highs and 72 new lows.
Persons: TD Cowen, Ross Mayfield, Baird, who'd, David Russell, Kroger, Shristi Achar, Sruthi Shankar, Noel Randewich, Vinay Dwivedi, Shounak Dasgupta, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, U.S . Federal, Treasury, Apple, Microsoft, Fed, U.S, Market Intelligence, Dow Jones, Kohl's Corp, Alibaba, People's Bank of China, Thomson Locations: China, Bengaluru, Oakland, Calif
Futures falter as Fed forecasts further rate hikes
  + stars: | 2023-06-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Traders see a 72% chance of a 25-basis-point rate hike in July, up from around 60% a day earlier, according to the CME Fedwatch tool. "Powell expressed that the committee seemed surprised about the resilience of current inflation even if Tuesday's CPI print showed a continued slowing in the headline inflation rate," said Charles Hepworth, investment director at GAM Investments. The S&P 500 (.SPX) and Nasdaq (.IXIC) rose for a fifth consecutive session on Wednesday, while the Dow (.DJI) ended down following the Fed decision. ET, Dow e-minis were down 78 points, or 0.23%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 18.25 points, or 0.41%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 107 points, or 0.7%. Reporting by Shristi Achar A and Sruthi Shankar in Bengaluru Editing by Vinay DwivediOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: TD Cowen, Powell, Charles Hepworth, Shristi Achar, Sruthi Shankar, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Fed, Traders, GAM Investments, Apple, Nvidia, Tesla, Dow e, Investors, Kohls Corp, Alibaba, People's Bank of China, Thomson Locations: China, U.S, Bengaluru
The Labor Department data showed headline and core CPI in March rose 0.1% and 0.4%, respectively, on a month-on-month basis. "We are finally starting to see the cumulative effects of the relentless rate hikes," said Peter Andersen, founder at Andersen Capital Management. US inflation, Fed rates and marketsMinutes from the U.S. central bank's policy meeting in March will also be watched closely by investors later in the day for further clues on the trajectory of interest rates. The Fed raised rates by 25 bps last month and signaled it was on the verge of pausing further rate hikes. ET, Dow e-minis were up 220 points, or 0.65%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 33 points, or 0.80%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 130 points, or 0.99%.
The Labor Department data showed headline and core CPI in March rose 0.1% and 0.4%, respectively, on a month-on-month basis. Stubbornly high rents kept underlying inflation pressures simmering, likely ensuring that the U.S. central bank will raise interest rates again next month. US inflation, Fed rates and MarketsMajor technology and other growth stocks such as Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O), Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) and Apple Inc (AAPL.O) edged higher as Treasury yields slipped. Minutes from the U.S. central bank's policy meeting in March will also be watched closely by investors later in the day for further clues on the trajectory of interest rates. The Fed raised rates by 25 bps last month and signaled it was on the verge of pausing further rate hikes.
Rising bond yields tend to weigh on equity valuations, particularly those of growth and technology stocks, as higher rates reduce the value of future cash flows. The three main U.S. stock indexes rallied on Friday and notched weekly gains as yields pulled back from their peaks after comments from Fed policymakers calmed jitters around aggressive rate hikes. Traders expect at least three more 25-basis-point hikes this year and see interest rates peaking at 5.44% by September from 4.67% now. ET, to assess the impact of higher rates on the manufacturing sector. Reporting by Sruthi Shankar and Bansari Mayur Kamdar in Bengaluru Editing by Vinay DwivediOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
HONG KONG, Feb 28 (Reuters) - A set of bumper earnings reports from the likes of Baidu Inc and other Chinese internet giants isn't impressing hedge funds and other investors who have cut exposure to the stocks and seem to be waiting for more good news. Despite easily beating expectations for their earnings and giving optimistic forecasts for the recovery in demand, shares in both companies fell. Mark Dong, co-founder of Minority Asset Management, who is based in Hong Kong, says expectations for Chinese growth are clouded by doubts over how Beijing plans to stimulate the economy and deal with external risks. The internet sector index (.H11137) nearly doubled between late-October and January but has since fallen 20%. Global hedge funds such as Bridgewater Associates, Tiger Asset Management and Coatue Management are big holders of China internet stocks, which makes the sector more vulnerable to the global economic cycle and geopolitical tensions.
Feb 24 (Reuters) - Shares of Chinese companies listed in the United States fell in early trading on Friday as reports that Washington was looking to expand the number of troops helping train Taiwanese forces added to rising Sino-U.S. tensions. The iShares China Large-Cap ETF slipped 2.9%, while KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF shed 2.8%. China's blue-chip CSI300 Index (.CSI300) closed 1% lower during Asia hours, while shares of aerospace defense companies jumped. Relations between the world's two largest economies worsened this month over the shooting down of the Chinese spy balloon, weighing on China ADRs after a sharp rally starting late last year. A multitude of factors weighed on China ADRs last year including a risk of delisting from U.S. exchanges over an audit dispute, trade friction and geopolitical worries.
China publishes rules to revive offshore listings
  + stars: | 2023-02-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
China's securities watchdog published rules on Friday to regulate offshore listings, reviving foreign initial public offerings (IPOs) by Chinese firms after a regulatory freeze imposed in July 2021. Daniel Tu Active Creation CapitalUnder its new filing system, which effectively ends decades of unregulated overseas IPOs by Chinese companies, the CSRC will vet offshore listings. Friday's rules, amending a December draft, stipulate that overseas listings should not jeopardize China's national interests. Chinese offshore listings ground to a halt after Didi Global Inc's New York listing in June 2021 that triggered Beijing's regulatory backlash over data security concerns. China's tech crackdown also contributed to a near freeze in overseas listings by Chinese companies.
The hedge funds that used that as a buying opportunity profited, with tourism and consumption stocks quickly rebounding after Beijing adopted a more targeted COVID-19 policies and reduced quarantines following widespread anti-lockdown protests. The MSCI China index rose by 36% over November and December, even as a surge in case numbers cast doubt over the economic recovery in the short term. The strategy, managed by chief investment officer Peng She, made a 20% net return in 2022. For 2023, hedge fund managers said they were even more bullish about China, expecting traditional valuation metrics to return to focus after a year driven by macro events. Reporting by Summer Zhen; Editing by Vidya Ranganathan and Jamie FreedOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS.N) fell 3.5% after the bank reported a bigger-than-expected drop in quarterly profit, weighing the most on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI). "Widely expected to be awful, Goldman Sachs' quarterly results were even more miserable than anticipated," said Octavio Marenzi, chief executive at consultancy Opimas. The S&P 500 energy (.SPNY) and consumer staples (.SPLRCS) sectors were up about 0.6% each, while financial stocks (.SPSY) fell 0.6%. Earnings from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley wrap up a mixed reporting season for big banks, most of which have put aside rainy-day funds to prepare for a looming recession. Analysts expect year-over-year earnings from S&P 500 companies to decline 2.4% for the quarter, according to Refinitiv data.
Alibaba has faced growth challenges amid regulatory tightening on China's domestic technology sector and a slowdown in the world's second-largest economy. Chinese tech stocks that trade in the U.S. jumped Wednesday morning after Chinese officials approved an expanded capital plan from Ant Group. U.S.-listed shares of Alibaba jumped more than 6% in premarket trading after the news, as did stock of JD.com . The moves come as investors are seeing signs of a more relaxed Chinese regulatory environment. Correction: Chinese tech stocks that trade in the U.S. jumped Wednesday morning.
Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) fell nearly 10% as the electric-vehicle maker missed Wall Street estimates for quarterly deliveries. Other rate-sensitive technology and growth stocks such as Alphabet Inc (GOOGL.O), Meta Platforms Inc (META.O), Microsoft (MSFT.O) and Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O) were up between 0.6% and 2.0%. The S&P 500 shed 19.4% in 2022, marking a roughly $8 trillion decline in market cap, while the Nasdaq fell 33.1%, dragged down by growth stocks. The S&P index recorded no new 52-week high and one new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 73 new highs and 23 new lows. Reporting by Shubham Batra, Ankika Biswas and Amruta Khandekar in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak DasguptaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
I noted last week that there is an unusual divergence in thinking among Wall Street strategists for earnings and prices in 2023. Yet, in 2023, strategists do not seem to agree on this. A survey of 22 strategists indicated the average price target for the S & P 500 for year-end 2023 was 4,078. That would be about 7% higher than where the S & P is now. It means "patient accumulation" of what seems like odd choices, including China ADRs and what Emanuel calls "Misperceived Value" stocks.
Southwest Airlines (LUV) – Southwest slid 4.1% in the premarket following thousands of flight cancellations over the holiday weekend, a higher amount than experienced by other major airlines amid winter storm issues. United Airlines (UAL), American Airlines (AAL), Delta (DAL) and JetBlue (JBLU) all rose in premarket action. Tesla (TSLA) – Tesla fell 5.3% in premarket trading, after falling for six consecutive trading days and nine of the past ten. Peloton (PTON) – Peloton is selling refurbished bikes at discounts of up to $500 compared with new ones. Peloton rose 1% in the premarket.
Hedge funds bought the dip in Chinese stocks last quarter after many technology names sold off amid political uncertainty, according to Goldman Sachs. U.S. hedge fund ownership of Chinese ADRs increased modestly during the third quarter after declining for four straight quarters, according to Goldman. At the start of the fourth quarter, 20% of equity hedge funds had a long position in at least one Chinese stock, the firm said. Alibaba remained the most popular China ADR among U.S. hedge funds, and it's the only Chinese stock to be included in Goldman's Hedge Fund VIP list . Brad Gerstner's hedge fund Altimeter Capital bought $69 million worth of Pinduoduo last quarter, according to a filing.
[1/2] Raindrops hang on a sign for Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., October 26, 2020. "At best it reduced the likelihood of a three-quarter point rate hike in December and brought it down to a half-point hike. ET, Dow e-minis were up 148 points, or 0.44%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 19 points, or 0.48%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 69 points, or 0.59%. Shares of megacap companies extended gains in premarket trading, with Alphabet Inc (GOOGL.O) up 0.8% after a near 9% surge in the previous session. Reporting by Shubham Batra, Sruthi Shankar and Devik Jain in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak DasguptaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
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