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Vietnam's real estate woes: how much worse can they get?
  + stars: | 2023-10-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
HANOI, Oct 26 (Reuters) - A rough year for Vietnam's real estate sector has seen developers miss interest payments on debt, amid a credit crunch spurred by ill-timed government measures, although spillover risk has been limited. Shares of the largest listed developer, Vinhomes (VHM.HM), part of the country's biggest conglomerate, Vingroup (VIC.HM), have fallen 13% this year. In September, the Asian Development Bank warned of potential spillover into banking from irregularities in corporate bonds and real estate markets, although troubled bonds made up just a small portion of total bank credit. While ill-timed government measures, companies' high debt and oversupply are responsible for the sectors' woes in both countries, conditions are different in Vietnam. Vietnam has a less acute situation of oversupply and speculation than China, he added, while real estate's contribution to its economy is also smaller.
Persons: Ho, Van Thinh Phat, Jean Xavier of S, Truong, Truong My Lan, Van Thinh, P's Xavier Jean, Francesco Guarascio @fraguarascio, Phuong Nguyen, Anne Marie Roantree, Clarence Fernandez Organizations: Dragon, Hung Thinh Corp, Moody's, Asian Development Bank, P Global, P, Southeast Asia Bank, Maritime Bank, Asia Commercial Bank, Vietnam Prosperity Bank, VP Bank, Bank, Van Thinh Phat Holdings Group, Thomson Locations: HANOI, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam, Phu, Hanoi, Southeast, Asia, Truong My, VIETNAM, CHINA, China
An investor sits in front of screens showing stock board information at a securities company in Hanoi, Vietnam July 6, 2018. That prevents many funds, investors and family offices from investing in companies listed there. MULTI-MILLION-DOLLAR PIEUnder the new plan, Vietnam would adopt a mechanism to settle payments on shares transactions that could meet the key requirement from FTSE for the upgrade. Active funds are estimated to have five times more investments in the FTSE emerging market, which could lead to far bigger gains for the HCMC market, which has currently a $179 billion capitalisation. Foreign investors need also to be consulted.
Persons: Le Thi Le Hang, Francesco Guarascio @fraguarascio, Lincoln Organizations: REUTERS, FTSE, Chi Minh City Stock Exchange, The bourse, State Securities Commission, Vietnam, Thomson Locations: Hanoi, Vietnam, China HANOI, China, Chi Minh, The, Indonesia, Philippines, Qatar, Sri Lanka, Kenya
Maika Elan | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesVietnam risks missing a self-established 2025 deadline to complete reforms that would enable it to upgrade its stock market to emerging economy status and attract billions of dollars in investments, three officials told Reuters. The government in July committed to aiming for an upgrade to emerging market status in at least one major index by 2025. But infighting is delaying much-needed market reforms, three officials familiar with the discussions said. Additional liquidity is seen as crucial for Vietnamese banks, which account for about a third of the stock market capitalization, to raise their comparatively low capital buffers, thus boosting financial stability. Index provider MSCI published in June a long list of reforms Vietnam needed to apply before an upgrade could be considered.
The government in July committed to aiming for an upgrade to emerging market status in at least one major index by 2025. But infighting is delaying much-needed market reforms, three officials familiar with the discussions said. Trinh Nguyen from Natixis, an investment bank, said Vietnam's market regulations were holding back the upgrade, limiting access to more liquidity. Index provider MSCI published in June a long list of reforms Vietnam needed to apply before an upgrade could be considered. Both the FTSE and MSCI have publicly said that Vietnam's prefunding requirement and strict limits on foreign ownership of shares are among the main hurdles to an emerging market status upgrade.
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