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Search resuls for: "Centre for Economic Policy Research"


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However, following the recent turmoil in Biden's party, Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party is now reappraising the odds of a "Trump 2.0 presidency." "I think the issue with Trump, he's very transactional, he's not very predictable. If you're Japan, they're looking at the future and wondering, 'this could be a fascinating few years for for us.'" Collateral damageA Trump presidency is concerning to Tokyo because Japan suffered from "collateral damage" during his first term, Pesek said. "Now Japan has to, in many ways, go back to the drawing board, and at least begin bracing for a Trump 2.0 presidency, which is not going down very well [in Tokyo]."
Persons: Shinz Abe, Donald Trump, Cheriss, Donald Trump's, William Pesek, Joe Biden's, Pesek, Biden, Nancy Pelosi, Trump, CEPR, He's Organizations: White, Washington , D.C, NurPhoto, Democratic, Liberal Democratic Party, Trump, Economic, Research Locations: Washington ,, Japan, Tokyo, Asia, China, North America
But over the longer term, the economic fallout caused by climate change is likely to be profound. Researchers have found that extreme temperatures reduce labor productivity, damage crops, raise mortality rates, disrupt global trade and dampen investment. An analysis by researchers associated with the Centre for Economic Policy Research found that in Europe, France, Italy, Spain, Romania and Germany have been most affected by climate-related disasters over the past 20 years. Such developments put added pressure on public spending, as governments are called on to replace damaged infrastructure and provide subsidies and relief. The analysis notes that tax revenues could also shrink when climate changes disrupt economic activity.
Organizations: Northern, Centre for Economic Policy Research Locations: Europe, United States, France, Italy, Spain, Romania, Germany, Central, Eastern
And, as it's global liquidity that matters, the bowl is also kept brimming as the Bank of Japan continues to buy government bonds at pace. But a study looking at the U.S. banking shock that led to the failure of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank last month and deposit runs across many regional banks suggests a different angle - a 'deposit glut' from within the richest countries that is increasingly unstable. "In a context of rising wealth inequality and growing corporate savings, an increasing share of bank deposits is uninsured and held by sophisticated agents," Vuillemey wrote. "This implies that these deposits are increasingly fragile, and that deposit insurance schemes ... are slowly losing bite." As illustrated in Technicolor in the SVB run, big uninsured deposits are volatile - sensitive as they are to any hint on the bank's health and moveable at push of a button.
A top tip for central banks: talk less, smile more
  + stars: | 2023-04-11 | by ( Ben Winck | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +8 min
WASHINGTON, April 11 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Investors hang on central bankers’ every word, hoping to gain an edge for their next trade. But with consumer prices rising at the fastest pace in decades, central bankers can’t easily cut borrowing costs, either. Chatty central banks are a relatively new phenomenon. Investors are also more sensitive to central banks today than in years past. Still, being more careful about what’s said, and how it’s said, could help central banks better balance their priorities.
LONDON, Feb 10 (Reuters) - The two investment obsessions of the year so far - artificial intelligence and super-tight labour markets - meet head on. Far from relaxing, should office or home-based workers now fret that we're in for anything but a tight jobs market over the coming years? Morgan Stanley's thematic research team said this week it was inundated with enquiries about generative AI during its recent client visits. Much like the pandemic, fear of automation could have as big an economic impact as its actual spread. US jobs growth by sectorMcKinsey chart on automation worldwideFathom chart on US vs China AIThe opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for Reuters.
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