Top related persons:
Top related locs:
Top related orgs:

Search resuls for: "Central Bank"


25 mentions found


Dollar pulls ahead as markets focus on Trump policies, Fed outlook
  + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
After stalling for three sessions, the greenback was back on the march higher, with investors lifting the dollar index measure against its key rivals closer to a one-year high of 107.07 hit last week. The dollar has rallied more than 2% since the Nov. 5 U.S. presidential election on bets Trump's policies could reignite inflation and temper the Fed's future rate cuts. The dollar index held steady at 106.56, up from a one-week nadir hit in the previous session. "The Russia-Ukraine conflict is heating up, which is further denting sentiment towards the euro alongside the prospects of trade tariffs," another "bullish cue" for the dollar index given the euro's heavy weighting, City Index's Simpson said. The dollar gave up some gains against the yen, down 0.33% at 154.91 yen , although the Japanese currency remained under pressure.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Matt Simpson, CME's, Michelle Bowman, Lisa Cook, Index's Simpson, Kazuo Ueda, Sterling, bitcoin, Bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Wednesday, Storm, ATACMS, Bank of Japan, Bank of England's Locations: Europe, China, Russia, Ukraine, Paris
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesFears are mounting that the U.S. could soon experience its own version of Britain's "mini-budget" crisis, with bond strategists warning that Donald Trump's return to the White House brings with it the specter of currency volatility and surging bond yields. The former president's economic agenda has ratcheted up concerns about a surge in consumer prices, which strategists say could spark significant shifts in bond yields and investor behavior. They warn a scenario that mirrors Britain's mini-budget crisis of 2022 is not out of the question. watch nowBritain's mini-budget crisis refers to a tumultuous period under former Prime Minister Liz Truss and ex-Finance Minister Kwasi Kwarteng. Bond yields tend to rise when market participants expect higher consumer prices or a growing budget deficit.
Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Trump, Remtulla, Liz Truss, Kwasi Kwarteng, Kwarteng, Althea Spinozzi, Trump's, Spinozzi, Angela Weiss, Paul Ashworth, Ashworth, Thierry Wizman, likelier, Wizman Organizations: Economic, of New, Bloomberg, Getty, EFG, CNBC, U.S ., Finance, U.S, Bank of England, Saxo Bank, White, Treasury, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, AFP, Capital Economics, Macquarie Group Locations: of New York, New York, U.S, Foreign, Treasurys, Treasuries, New York City, America
Gold gains on softer dollar, widening Russia-Ukraine tensions
  + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Close up stack of gold bars, financial wealth concepts and businessGold prices rose for a third consecutive session to a one-week high on Wednesday, driven by a softer dollar and escalating Russia-Ukraine tensions that raised the demand for safe-haven assets. Spot gold added 0.32% to $2,640.19 per ounce by 0323 GMT, its highest since Nov. 11. The U.S. dollar rally paused after hitting a one-year high last week, making bullion more appealing to buyers holding other currencies. The market is adjusting its expectations for the Fed's cuts next year as inflation is becoming a bigger concern, which could be negative for gold, Spivak added. Spot silver was steady at 31.22 per ounce, platinum added 0.1% to $975.10 at $973.90 and palladium flat at $1,035.43.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Washington, Ilya Spivak, Donald Trump's, Spivak, Jeffrey Schmid Organizations: U.S ., Federal Reserve, U.S Locations: Russia, Ukraine, , Kansas
If the Fed doesn't cut rates in December, we may see mortgage rates inch up. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowWhat Are Today's Mortgage Refinance Rates? See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering around 6.60%, according to Zillow data. But now that inflation has decelerated and the Fed has started cutting rates, mortgage rates have trended down compared to where they were a year ago.
Persons: Jerome Powell, It's, they've, Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Mortgage Research, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, ARM, . Government Locations: Chevron, Government
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump presidency adds to uncertainty for euro zone economy, European Central Bank's De Guindos saysLuis de Guindos, vice-president of the European Central Bank, discusses inflation and growth in the euro area, the upcoming presidency of Donald Trump in the U.S. and the ECB's latest Financial Stability Review.
Persons: De Guindos, Luis de Guindos, Donald Trump Organizations: Email Trump, European Central Bank Locations: U.S
China's central bank on Wednesday kept major benchmark lending rates unchanged, as Beijing assesses the effects of its recent stimulus measures. The People's Bank of China said it would keep the 1-year loan prime rate at 3.1%, and the 5-year LPR at 3.6%. The 1-year LPR affects corporate and most household loans in China, while the 5-year LPR acts as a benchmark for mortgage rates. Only retail sales beat expectations, with a 4.8% year-on-year increase, indicating that recent stimulus had started seeping into certain sectors of the economy. Goldman, however, maintained "overweight" stance on China equities, forecasting a 13% upside to the benchmark CSI 300 index next year.
Persons: Bruce Pang, Pang, Pan Gongsheng, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Donald Trump's Organizations: People's Bank of China, People's Bank of, Reuters, Ministry of Finance Locations: Beijing, China's, People's Bank of China, China, JLL
The outlook for equity markets looks "decent" going into 2025, according to Barclays, as central banks cut interest rates and the global economy remains resilient. The bank named "overweight-rated stocks in which our analysts have high conviction in 2025 and see value in owning on an individual basis." Here are three of Barclays' top picks, which it gives over 35% upside potential: Shell Barclays is bullish on Shell and has a target price of £36 ($45.60) on the stock, giving it around 40% upside potential. They are currently trading around a three-times discount to their five-year average, Barclays' analysts said. Barclays has a target price of 160 euros ($169.50) on the Amsterdam-listed stock, giving it 44% potential upside.
Persons: BeSi, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Barclays, Shell Barclays, Shell, London Stock Exchange, AstraZeneca, London, Stockholm Stock Exchanges, BE Semiconductor, BE Semiconductor Industries, Euronext Locations: U.S, , Euronext Amsterdam, Amsterdam
Rising global trade tensions present a risk to the euro area economy, the bloc's central bank found in its biannual Financial Stability Review out on Wednesday. The European Central Bank also said weak growth was now a bigger threat than high inflation in the 20-nation euro zone. The latest figures recorded euro zone economic growth at a two-year high of 0.4% in the third quarter, while headline inflation hit 2% in October. "Rising global trade tensions and a possible further strengthening of protectionist tendencies across the world raise concerns about the potential adverse impact on global growth, inflation and asset prices," the Financial Stability Review said. Economists say the knock-on impact of implementing these measures could drag on the euro, if a slowdown in exports spurs the ECB to cut interest rates further and faster.
Persons: Donald Trump's Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, U.S Locations: U.S, China
AdvertisementTraders see a 45% chance the Fed pauses rate cuts in December, up from 17% last week. The rising odds come as markets digest a win for Trump, whose policies could complicate the Fed's plans. After two consecutive interest rate cuts, markets think the Federal Reserve might be ready to hit pause. AdvertisementThe rising odds come as markets continue to digest a win for Donald Trump, and as Fed officials have sounded cautious on the path of future policy easing in recent remarks. AdvertisementThe rising odds of a pause also come as Fed speakers this week have struck a cautious tone.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joseph Stiglitz, David Kelly, Jerome Powell, he'd, Trump, JPMorgan's Kelly, They're, Kelly, Michelle Bowman, Lisa Cook, Cook, Powell Organizations: Trump, Reserve, JPMorgan, Fed, Federal, University of Virginia Locations: West Palm Beach , Florida, Charlottesville, Dallas
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPictet Chief Asia Strategist: Chinese companies are 'much better prepared' for Trump 2.0 tariffsDong Chen of Pictet argues that Chinese companies are better prepared to circumvent potential Trump 2.0 tariffs. Trump's win also strengthens the USD, resulting in postponed rate cuts by southeast Asian central banks.
Persons: Dong Chen, Pictet Organizations: Pictet, Trump Locations: Asia
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesDonald Trump's U.S. election victory has ratcheted up concerns about higher prices, prompting strategists to rethink the outlook for global bond yields and currencies. Trump's return to the White House is seen as likely to throw a wrench in the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle, potentially keeping an upward bias on Treasury yields. Bond yields tend to rise when market participants expect higher prices or a growing budget deficit. "Trump's election advances both possibilities as a trade war and increased fiscal spending work at cross purposes," he added. Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for the euro zone, stood at 2.337% on Wednesday, marginally lower for the session.
Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Alim Remtulla, Remtulla, Kamala Harris, there's, Trump, There's, Shannon Kirwin, Kirwin, Sameer Goel, CNBC's, doesn't, Goel, MUFG Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, EFG, Fed, CNBC, Treasury, Democratic, New York Stock Exchange, China News Service, Morningstar, European Union, Deutsche Bank, Trump, U.S, U.S ., Singapore, Malaysian, South Korean, ING Locations: Greensboro , North Carolina, Europe, United States, New York City, U.S, Mexico, Asia, China
The euro has declined rapidly, meanwhile, briefly dipping below $1.05 on Nov. 14 for the first time since October 2023. Modeling by Barclays' economists shows the euro hitting dollar parity with a 10% tariff on European products and subsequent retaliation. The bank said the prospect of Trump tariffs and fiscal reforms had caused it to revise its view that the dollar would gradually decline through the year, instead seeing the U.S. currency "stronger for longer." Since hitting a low in September 2022, the euro has been comfortably back above parity even if below its long-range average. One of those 2022 factors roared back into focus this week, weighing broadly on European assets: the threat of escalating tensions with Russia.
Persons: Donald Trump, James Reilly, Reilly, George Saravelos, Trump, Saravelos, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: U.S, Republican, China —, Federal Reserve, Capital Economics, Federal, European Central Bank, FX Research, Deutsche Bank, Trump, Barclays, ECB, Fed Locations: Congress, China, U.S, Europe, Russia, Ukraine
AdvertisementMeredith Whitney expects home prices to fall by 10% to 20% as the frozen housing market starts thawing. The veteran researcher said baby boomers aren't selling, restricting the number of homes available. Home prices are poised to fall by up to a fifth as the frozen housing market thaws — and that could help baby boomers sell at last and younger people to become homeowners, Meredith Whitney says. Advertisement"The problem is the baby boomers own 60% of the housing stock," she said, referring to single-family, owner-occupied homes. AdvertisementSeveral economists have predicted a "silver tsunami" as baby boomers sell their homes to downsize or move into care homes, increasing the available supply of single-family homes and reducing prices.
Persons: Meredith Whitney, It's, Price, Whitney, millennials Organizations: Meredith Whitney Advisory Group, Homeowners, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors, CNBC
AdvertisementRussia's central bank has been hiking its key interest rate to combat inflation. Business leaders have slammed Russia's increasing interest rate, saying it restricted their growth. Russia's top central banker, Elvira Nabiullina, told the government yesterday that the country is approaching a "turning point" for inflation and interest rates, Moscow-based RBC Group reported. Last month, to tame prices, Russia's central bank hiked its key interest rate to a record high of 21%. He also downgraded Russia's fixed capital investment growth from 1.9% to 1%, blaming the central bank's key rate.
Persons: Elvira Nabiullina, Nabiullina, Andrei Klepach, Alexander Shokhin Organizations: Business, RBC Group, State Duma, Industrialists Locations: Moscow, Ukraine, Russia, Russian Union
The outgoing American leader arrived for a family picture with world leaders during his final Group of 20 summit Monday, only to find the photo had already been taken without him. Chinese President Xi Jinping, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer were among those who did make it, smiling and raising linked hands for the traditional summit set piece. One cameraman spotted him behind a nearby palm tree alongside Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Italian premier Giorgia Meloni. Buda Mendes / Getty ImagesDuring the first session of the summit Sunday, Biden reflected on his impending departure from the White House. “As you know, this is my last G20 summit.
Persons: Joe Biden, Xi Jinping, Narendra Modi, Keir Starmer, , weren’t, , Biden, Justin Trudeau, Giorgia Meloni, Trudeau, Meloni, Sergei Lavrov, ” Biden, Rio de Janiero, Buda Mendes, Donald Trump, Jon Organizations: Indian, British, U.S, Canadian, Russian, Sunday, African Union, European Union Locations: Rio de Janeiro, Italian, Rio de
India's central bank will launch a pilot program in 2025 offering local cloud data storage to financial firms at affordable prices, according to two sources aware of the matter, who declined to be identified as conversations are confidential. The Reserve Bank of India's planned cloud platform will use local IT firms, pitting it against the likes of Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud and IBM Cloud, in a first-of-its-kind initiative from a major global central bank. In December last year, RBI governor Shaktikanta Das announced plans to set up a public cloud for the financial services industry. Initial work on the cloud is being driven by the research wing of the central bank called the Indian Financial Technology and Allied Services. It will then be developed further in partnership with one or more private sector technology firms, according to the sources.
Persons: Shaktikanta Das, EY Organizations: Bank, Reserve Bank of, Amazon Web Services, Microsoft, Google, IBM, International Data Corporation, Indian Financial Technology, Allied Services, Reuters
Three Wall Street banks have taken differing views on gold's trajectory in 2025, reflecting the complex economic outlook. Goldman Sachs expects the price of the yellow metal to reach $3,000 per ounce by December 2025, saying "Go For Gold" in a note from Nov. 17. The gold price has declined by 7% since late October as the risk of a disputed U.S. election result diminished. While maintaining a positive outlook on gold, UBS warned that its gains — gold had risen 35% this year until November — could slow down. Goldman Sachs pointed to a fivefold increase in central bank gold purchases, driven by concerns about financial sanctions and sovereign debt sustainability.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump's, Goldman, Daan Struyven, Karen Ward, Ward, Arend Kapteyn, Bhanu Baweja, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Trump, JPMorgan Asset Management, UBS Locations: U.S, Europe, Middle East, Africa, Switzerland, Russia, Ukraine
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCentral banks now 'focused on the fight for growth,' economist saysKokou Agbo-Bloua, global head of economics, cross-asset and quant research at Societe Generale, discusses the economic and central banking outlook.
Persons: Kokou Agbo Organizations: Societe Generale
Dollar sitting pretty, yen bears wary of Bank of Japan hawks
  + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Yen bears were tense in case Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda used a speech later Monday to flag a possible rate hike in December, in part due to the weakness of the currency. Markets imply around a 55% chance of a quarter-point rate hike to 0.5% when the BOJ meets on Dec. 19. Against a basket of currencies the dollar held at 106.730, having touched a one-year top of 107.07 on Friday. The rally has coincided with a savage swing in 10-year Treasury yields, which have climbed 70 basis points since the start of October, fuelling a 5.4% rise in the U.S. dollar index . Analysts generally assume Trump's touted policies of tariffs, reduced immigration and debt-funded tax cuts will be inflationary, so limiting the scope for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Donald Trump's, Katsunobu Kato, Jonas Goltermann, Trump, Howard Lutnick, Cantor Fitzgerald, Scott Bessent Organizations: Bank of Japan, U.S, Japanese Finance, Capital Economics, Trump, Federal Reserve, Central Bankers Locations: U.S, Japan, Canada
Gold gains 1% as dollar rally stalls
  + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices rose on Monday after last week's sharp declines, as a rally in the dollar paused, while market participants awaited comments from Federal Reserve officials this week for more clues on the U.S. interest rate path. Gold prices rose on Monday after last week's sharp declines, as a rally in the dollar paused, while market participants awaited comments from Federal Reserve officials this week for more clues on the U.S. interest rate path. Spot gold firmed 1% to $2,587.49 per ounce by 0150 GMT, after falling to its worst week in more than three years on Friday. "Gold prices are due for a slight recovery following recent bout of hefty sell-offs and we may expect some drift higher with some rollover in the dollar," said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong. This has not been fully priced in by markets yet, so any need for recalibration may still pose an obstacle for gold."
Persons: Yeap Jun Rong, Joe Biden's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Strong U.S Locations: U.S, Ukraine, Russia
City of London skyline view looking over the River Thames and Waterloo Bridge at sunset on 10th February 2024 in London, United Kingdom. European markets were on track to rise as a new trading week kicks off Monday, with investors looking to shake off last week's negative sentiment and attention turning to regional inflation data. Italy's FTSE MIB was also on track to open higher, adding 158 points to 34,060. Investors this week will be looking to several key regional data points, including the latest inflation data out of the U.K. on Wednesday. The figures come after Friday's U.K. gross domestic product reading, which came in at 0.1% in the third quarter, falling short of expectations.
Persons: Germany's DAX, Christine Lagarde Organizations: CAC, Markets, European Central Bank, ECB Locations: London, United Kingdom
View of the central business district skyline at sunset in Beijing, China. Asia-Pacific stocks were set to open mixed Monday as markets kickstart what ING calls a "quiet" week for economic data from the region. Key data this week from the region will include China's loan prime rate announcement, set for Wednesday. ING said no change is expected in China's LPR, with the one-year rate currently at 3.1% and the five-year LPR at 3.6%. Japan will release trade data on Tuesday and October headline inflation numbers on Friday, while Australia's central bank on Tuesday will release minutes of its meeting earlier this month..
Organizations: ING, Wednesday Locations: Beijing, China, Asia, Pacific, China's LPR, Japan
The 10-year Treasury yield ticked up marginally on Monday as investors looked ahead to fresh data and central bank commentary after closing out a week of gains. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note shifted half a basis point higher to 4.4316%. Meanwhile, the 2-year Treasury yield traded less than a basis point lower at 4.2992%. Yields and prices have an inverted relationship and one basis point is equivalent to 0.01%.
Organizations: Treasury
BEIJING, CHINA - SEPTEMBER 04: Buildings and vehicles are seen in the central business district during the rush hour on September 4, 2020 in Beijing, China. China's finance ministry is planning to front-load part of the 2025 local government special bonds quota to meet funding needs for major infrastructure projects, state-backed The Securities Times reported on Monday. The State Council, China's cabinet, typically determines and issues an advance allocation of new local government debt quotas for the following year in the fourth quarter, depending on economic conditions, the report said. By the end of October, local governments had issued 3.9 trillion yuan ($539 billion) in new special bonds, almost completing debt issuance under the 2024 quota, the report added. Earlier this month, China unveiled a 10 trillion yuan debt package to ease local government financing strains and stabilise flagging economic growth, as it faces fresh pressure following the re-election of Donald Trump as U.S. president.
Persons: Donald Trump Organizations: Securities Times, State Council, Ministry of Finance, Beijing Locations: BEIJING, CHINA, Beijing, China
The grandaddy of gold ETFs turns 20. Today, for the first time, thanks to the World Gold Council and State Street, you are able to buy gold just like it's a stock." They could own gold mining stocks, but there was an imperfect relationship between gold and gold miners. When the gold ETF was intrduced 20 years ago, there was a very small investor base for gold. In 2014, Van Eck launched the VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ), which provides the option to redeem shares for physical gold , including gold coins and bars.
Persons: I've, George Milling, Stanley, GLD, Van Eck, George Milling Stanley, We've Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, World Gold Council, State, Investors, U.S . Equity, State Street Global Advisors, United States Oil Fund, Street Global Advisors, Street Global, World Gold, U.S ., Trump, Trust, Street, MiniShares, NYSE, SEC, Edge Locations: United States, London, India, China, Turkey
Total: 25