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☆ Latinas contributed $1.3 trillion to U.S. economy, new report says. That number could be even bigger
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

That marks a real GDP growth rate of 51.1% between 2010 and 2021, meaning an economic contribution that's 2.7 times that of the non-Hispanic population. Despite those large figures, some economists think that U.S. Latinas could be contributing more to GDP than the report's figure. A growing forceWhen it comes to labor force participation, Latinas are outpacing other groups, the BofA report showed. Conversely, the non-Latino labor force growth rate was negative that year, meaning that more people left the labor force than entered it. "Whereas all Latinos are a source of economic strength, Latinas are drivers of vitality that the economy needs."

Persons: Manolo, Jeffrey Greenberg, Jeff Greenberg, Belinda Román, Mónica, Pérez, Matthew Fienup, David Hayes, Bautista, —, Latinas, Elise Gould, Andrew Lichtenstein Organizations: Miami, Universal, Getty, Bank of America, St, Mary's University, CNBC, Fayetteville State University, Latina, Center for Economic Research, California Lutheran University, Center, Latino Health, Culture, School of Medicine, UCLA, Drivers, Economic, EPI, Brooklyn Puerto Rico Day, Corbis Locations: Miami Beach , Florida, U.S, Florida, California , Texas, New York, Brooklyn, Bushwick, Brooklyn , New York

☆ China gears up for next week's Third Plenum meeting. Here's why real estate isn't likely the main focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesBEIJING — China's real estate problems may be massive, but analysts expect the upcoming Third Plenum to focus on other areas — such as high local government debt levels and a push for advanced manufacturing. "For real estate markets, I don't think it should be a focus of the plenum, because it's already [in a] state that everyone has a consensus [on]," Wang said. watch nowIn his view, excessive growth of the financial sector was behind the hollowing out of the U.S. industrial sector. "Consequently we must constrain the financial industry, including real estate. That's the underlying reason for tightened regulations on both real estate and finance."

Persons: Larry Hu, Hu, Xi Jinping, Deng Xiaoping's, Dan Wang, She'll, it's, Wang, hasn't, Yao Yang, Yao, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Chinese Communist Party, Bloomberg, Getty, BEIJING, Communist Party of, Macquarie, CNBC, Central Committee, Communist Party, Party, President, Hang Seng Bank, HSBC, HSBC It's, Committee, China Center for Economic Research, Peking University, U.S, China Morning Post, Financial Regulatory Administration, World Bank, Big Data Locations: Communist Party of China, Beijing, China, United States, Big Data China

☆ BOJ's hawkish rhetoric signals chance negative rates may end soon
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Leika Kihara | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Having watered down YCC at its last policy meeting, the BOJ's next goal is to pull short-term rates out of negative territory early next year, sources have told Reuters. That leaves open the chance of an policy change in January, when the BOJ next reviews its quarterly price forecasts. Most expect an end to both YCC and negative rates. "It's an awfully big upgrade and shows how the BOJ had made estimates that were way too low," said former BOJ top economist Hideo Hayakawa, who expects negative rates to end in April. Even if it ends negative rates, nominal short-term borrowing costs will remain well below levels that neither stimulate nor cool the economy - estimated by analysts to stand somewhere near 2%.

Persons: Issei Kato, Ueda, Kazuo Ueda's, Haruhiko Kuroda, Kuroda, Mari Iwashita, Hideo Hayakawa, Takahide, Leika Kihara, Takahiko Wada, Sam Holmes Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Daiwa Securities, Japan Center for Economic Research, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, TOKYO, U.S

☆ Can China's economy reverse a sluggish 2023 in the last quarter? Here's what to watch
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

In 2020, Beijing tried to rein in real estate developers' high reliance on debt with new restrictions on financing. "The decline in the real estate sector was the result of the government's intentional measures to correct the bubbles in the market," Yao said. But he and other economists mostly don't expect real estate to return to significant growth in the future. Morgan StanleyThis week, worries about China's real estate sector persisted with highly indebted Evergrande running into more liquidity problems — along with reports Wednesday its chairman has been put under surveillance. This month, weekly data from Nomura indicate the real estate sales slump has moderated.

Persons: Stringer, Yao Yang, Yao, Dan Wang, Morgan Stanley, Clifford Lau, William Blair, China's, Robin Xing, there's, Bruce Pang, Pang doesn't Organizations: Afp, Getty, National School of Development, Peking University, Hang, China Center for Economic Research, Communist Party, Financial Work, Communist Party of, Nomura, CNBC Locations: Chongqing, China, BEIJING, Covid, Beijing, Shanghai, Hang Seng China, Communist Party of China, JLL

☆ Explainer: More nuclear challenges await Japan after Fukushima water release
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( Kiyoshi Takenaka | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/2] Activists attend a protest against Japan's plan to release treated wastewater from the Fukushima nuclear power plant into the ocean, at the national assembly in Seoul, South Korea, August 24, 2023. MOLTEN FUEL REMOVALTepco has described the effort to remove highly radioactive fuel debris from reactor cores as an "unprecedented and difficult challenge never attempted anywhere in the world". That was the worst nuclear plant accident before the 1986 Chornobyl tragedy in Ukraine, then part of the Soviet Union. About 12.1 trillion yen had been spent on such activities by March 2022, Japan's audit panel, which reviews government expenditures, has said. That represents an expenditure of more than half of the government's estimate, even before really tough tasks such as fuel debris retrieval have begun, in turns raising concerns about cost overruns.

Persons: Kim Hong, Kiyoshi Takenaka, Katya Golubkova, Clarence Fernandez Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Tokyo Electric Power Co, Tepco, U.S, Japan, Japan Center for Economic Research, Thomson Locations: Seoul, South Korea, Japan, Pennsylvania, Ukraine, Soviet Union, Fukushima

"We expect inflation to quite clearly slow below 2%" toward the middle of the current fiscal year, Ueda told parliament. "Inflation is likely to rebound thereafter ... though there is high uncertainty" on the outlook, he added. Positive signs included a likely big increase in pay in this year's annual wage negotiations, which could help shake off Japan's deflationary mindset. The BOJ will review its quarterly growth and inflation forecasts at the July 27-28 policy meeting. Reporting by Leika Kihara and Tetsushi Kajimoto; Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman & Shri NavaratnamOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ A Mexico soccer icon entered politics. Prosecutors say narcos followed
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-03 | by ( Cuernavaca | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +27 min

Regional politicians, officials and military officers gathered in the Morelos state capital of Cuernavaca for breakfast in February 2022 to mark Mexico’s annual Army day. Mexican drug lords have a long tradition of buying off politicians in exchange for government protection of their illicit trade. Attempts to reach two of the alleged drug traffickers in the photo – Figueroa and Irving Solano Vera – were unsuccessful. Prosecutors in April asked the Morelos state congress to impeach Blanco so that he could be stripped of that shield. “He likes me very much because I’m not a politician,” Blanco told Reuters, in reference to the president.

☆ China’s Economy Won’t Be Number One
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-20 | by ( The Editorial Board | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

China’s ruling Communists believe the U.S. is in decline while they are the vanguard of history, but perhaps they’re getting ahead of themselves. That’s the latest judgment of the Japan Center for Economic Research (JCER), which now assesses that China’s economy won’t surpass America’s in size by 2035 after all. JCER issues a periodic assessment of trends in Asia-Pacific economies, and as recently as 2021 it forecast that China’s nominal GDP would exceed America’s by 2029. The Japanese think tank now estimates that the U.S. will maintain a healthy lead over the People’s Republic, with U.S. GDP exceeding $41 trillion in 2035. China’s will be closer to $36 trillion.

LDC is a nonprofit, nonpartisan group focused on reshaping perceptions of U.S. Latinos through data and economic research. In 2020, Latino consumption was measured at $1.84 trillion. Three-quarters of the Latino population were concentrated in just 10 states in 2020: Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina and Texas. According to the report, Latino growth staved off a decline in the population and labor force in three states — New Jersey, New York and Illinois — from 2010 to 2018. As a result, Latino real GDP contracted a small amount in 2020, by 0.8% compared to 4.4% for non-Latinos.

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