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Market Navigator: Will overheating hurt Nvidia?
  + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket Navigator: Will overheating hurt Nvidia? David Miller, Catalyst Funds, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss Nvidia ahead of it releasing quarterly earnings.
Persons: David Miller Organizations: Catalyst Funds, Nvidia
Investors face diminishing returns from cash alternatives as interest rates decline. Today, cash alternatives are yielding slightly less. Specifically, those who didn't have liquidity needs but chose to sit in cash anyway missed out on a strong year for the S&P 500. If liquidity needs arise, investors may be able to sell for a profit if the Fed's cutting cycle is steeper than expected, he added. Simply put, the M2 money supply, which includes cash and cash alternatives, has skyrocketed since 2020 by over 36%, debasing the dollar.
Persons: , Mark Malek, Siebert, Malek, David Miller, Miller, Millers Organizations: Service, Treasury, AAA, Catalyst Funds, Federal, World Gold Council, Investors Locations: Treasuries, Russia, Central
And, with earnings season set to ramp up, that could mean further gains. Already, on Friday, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo were rallying in midday trading after reporting their latest results this week, an auspicious start to the earnings season. A strong earnings season Earnings results next week will be dominated by reports from the banking sector, giving investors further insight into the health of the capital markets as well as the consumer. Several regional banks are also set to announce how they did in the most recent quarter as well, such as PNC Financial Services Group and Citizens Financial Group. Even so, investors are optimistic about the outlook for corporate profits this earnings season, especially with expectations having come down.
Persons: what's, Oppenheimer, Wells Fargo, Charlie Ashley, Ashley, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Ross Mayfield, Catalyst's Ashley, Baird's Mayfield, Mayfield, Charles Schwab, Huntington Bancshares Organizations: Dow Jones, Tech, Nvidia, JPMorgan Chase, Traders, Federal Reserve, Catalyst Funds, Nasdaq, Ashley . Bank of America, PNC Financial Services Group, Citizens Financial Group, Private Wealth Management, Treasury, Columbus, Columbus Day, Index, United Airlines, Hunt Transport Services, Citigroup, State, Goldman Sachs Group, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Johnson, Bank of America, PNC Financial Services, UnitedHealth, Price, PPG Industries, Steel Dynamics, Discover Financial Services, CSX, Abbott Laboratories, U.S . Bancorp, Financial Group, Philadelphia Fed, Retail, Manufacturing, Netflix, T Bank Corp, Elevance, Truist, Blackstone, Housing, Schlumberger, Procter, Gamble, Fifth Third Bancorp, Regions Financial, American Express Locations: Ashley, bullish, Prologis, NAHB
NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia Wall Street is bullish heading into Nvidia's earnings results next week, figuring any hiccups to its next generation AI chips does little to dim the earnings potential of a company that essentially has a monopoly on the market. Economists polled by FactSet anticipate PCE to show increases of 0.2% month on month and 2.6% from the year-earlier period. Wall Street anticipates that stocks could go higher from here, though the road from now to the end of the year could be bumpy. Other notable earnings results include tech names Salesforce and CrowdStrike, as well as consumer names such as Campbell Soup, Dollar General and Ulta Beauty. Earnings: Nvidia , Bath & Body Works , J. M. Smucker , Salesforce , CrowdStrike , NetApp , HP Thursday Aug. 29 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Nvidia's, chipmaker, they've, Harsh Kumar, Piper Sandler, Blackwell, Jensen Huang, Jim Cramer, Kumar, Louis Navellier, Jerome Powell, Jackson, Powell, FactSet, David Miller, Miller, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, He's, Campbell, Lululemon Organizations: Nvidia, Blackwell, Navellier, Associates, Federal Reserve, PCE, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, U.S, Catalyst Funds, Ulta, Dallas Fed, Richmond Fed, Body, HP, Autodesk, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Chicago, Michigan
The consumer will be in focus next week as investors head into the thick of earnings season and await some major macroeconomic reports. So far, just 14% of S & P 500 companies have reported earnings results. As one strategist noted, Wall Street is about to get insight into the economy from more than half the broad market index. The thick of earnings Earnings season is off to a strong start. Credit card company Visa will be reporting next week after American Express' results this week suggested inflationary pressures have reached the higher-end consumer.
Persons: Russell, We're, Terry Sandven, Sherwin, Williams, Charles Ashley, Read, Ashley, We've, It's, Lockheed Martin, Kimberly, Clark, General, Philip Morris, Lamb Weston, Northrop, Rowe Price Organizations: Federal, Nvidia, U.S, Bank Asset Management, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Whirlpool, Catalyst Funds, Visa, American Express, Google, Commerce, FactSet, Fed, Chicago, Verizon, Richmond Fed, Enphase Energy, Capital, Texas, Williams, Comcast, General Motors, United Parcel Service, Philip Morris International, GE Aerospace, PMI, O'Reilly, Grill, Business Machines, Vegas Sands, Ford Motor, Technology, NextEra Energy, GE, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, American Airlines, CBRE, Valero Energy, Hasbro, Tractor Supply, Northrop Grumman, Southwest Airlines, Honeywell International, Norfolk Southern, Rowe Price Group, Myers Squibb, Colgate, Palmolive Locations: , Freeport, McMoRan, Vegas, . Kansas, Michigan, Bristol
Wall Street is wondering whether the tech rally that's pushed the S & P 500 through record after record this year can continue, even as some cracks emerge in the market outlook. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 near record highs A peek inside the major indexes also reveals a similar pattern. Information technology is the best-performing sector in the S & P 500 this week, gaining 6.2%. As it is, the S & P 500 is already above 5,400, having advanced more than 13% this year. Winners and losers market David Miller, investment chief at Catalyst Funds, also said the S & P 500 could end 2024 with a 17% or 18% gain.
Persons: Jeff Klingelhofer, it's, Klingelhofer, Brian Nick, Nick, Dave Sekera, Dave Donabedian, Donabedian, David Miller, Miller Organizations: Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Apple, Thornburg Investment Management, CNBC, Macro, Federal Reserve, Morningstar, CIBC Private Wealth, Catalyst Funds, Microsoft, Google, Visa, MasterCard, American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, Novo Nordisk, TransDigm, Index, Retail, Manufacturing, Housing, Philadelphia Fed, Kroger, Darden, PMI Locations: U.S, NAHB
"If you look at AI stocks or Nvidia in particular … Nvidia's a phenomenal company, massive revenue growth, massive earnings growth, but there's a question — how wonderful are they? Miller said Nvidia is inherently different from companies such as Microsoft and Apple, which he thinks are worth their $2 billion valuations. Nvidia shares more than tripled in 2023 as investors flocked into the AI darling. Metallurgical coal companies are trading very cheaply alongside their thermal coal peers since investors are "throwing the baby out with the bathwater," Miller said. "There's going to be more metallurgical coal used over the next three to five years, but there's no new supply coming online."
Persons: David Miller, Miller, haven't, there's, Morningstar Organizations: Nvidia, Catalyst Funds, CNBC, Microsoft, Apple, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Metallurgical Locations: U.S
The fund manager hasn't departed from the offense-defense strategy he outlined last summer, and he's still confused as to why more of his counterparts haven't followed suit. Related storiesThe top fund manager added: "So that leads people to this conclusion that maybe I should just index and put it all in the S&P 500. Diversifying in these ways reduces risk while improving returns, the fund manager said. There are several considerations when looking at corporate bonds, Miller said, including the issuing company's debt load, cash flow, and industry. After explaining his process for selecting corporate bonds, Miller mentioned a few companies with attractive debt.
Persons: David Miller didn't, Miller, Morningstar —, hasn't, he's, haven't, you'd, that's, , Miller doesn't Organizations: Systematic Alpha Fund, Business, Retail, Catalyst Funds, BNP, Constellation Brands, Modelo, McDonald's, HCA Healthcare Locations: Europe, Japan, Corona
In the final week of February, Wall Street will strive to maintain its AI-fueled rally even as economic concerns linger and the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation measure is on deck. But many worry the writing is on the wall for these market leaders as economic and inflation risks linger. The 'lone cloud' of inflation The Fed's preferred inflation gauge will also be released in the week ahead. Investors are concerned that sticky inflation will mean that the Fed will hold onto its higher-for-longer interest rate policy. Next week will also be the final week of February, with stocks headed for another strong month of gains.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Patrick McDonough, Europe's, PGIM's McDonough, McDonough, Charlie Ashley, Dhaval Joshi, Joshi, Ashley, John Williams, TJX Cos Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Japan's Nikkei, Catalyst Funds, BCA Research, CPI, PPI, Dow, New, Dallas Fed, Fidelity National Information Services, Richmond Fed, eBay, Enterprise, Cruise Line Holdings, New York Federal Reserve Bank, York, Monster Beverage, Paramount Global, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Autodesk, Body, Hormel, PMI, Manufacturing Locations: U.S, Lowe's, Chicago, . Kansas, Michigan
Where markets go next may well depend on how Nvidia does after going forward. "The answer here will depend on NVDA," Tom Essaye of The Sevens Report wrote in a Thursday note. "The stock is at an all-time high ... and if it can hold (or extend) this rally ... it'll imply that tech can help lead this market higher." Nvidia and other artificial intelligence darlings, including Meta Platforms, powered the broader market last year, while other stocks underperformed. I'd rather take it elsewhere in something that hasn't had as much of a run as Nvidia has."
Persons: Tom Essaye, Essaye, Patrick McDonough, Solita Marcelli, Charles Ashley, hasn't, Said PGIM's McDonough Organizations: Nvidia, Revenue, Nasdaq, VanEck Semiconductor, Federal Reserve, Meta, UBS Global Wealth Management, Catalyst Funds
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