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☆ Stocks, property, bonds, the pound: Here’s what a new Labour government means for investing in the UK
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The Labour party's pledge, for example, to increase taxes on the compensation that private equity fund managers received raised a few eyebrows, and led to questions on what this could mean more broadly. In a note Friday, analysts at Jefferies said, despite concerns raised by a strong showing for the right-wing Reform UK Party, the Labour Party's U.K. election win would help make the U.K. appear "relatively stable." "A widely predicted Labour win in the UK could usher in an era of greater stability for the UK … which should help bolster investor sentiment towards the UK," she said. "U.K. bank stocks in the end are one of the biggest proxies for U.K. economic growth," he said. If results are as expected, attention will shift away from the U.K. election quickly, Shreyas Gopal, strategist, and Sanjay Raja, senior economist at Deutsche Bank, said in a note published Wednesday.

Persons: Vuk Valcic, hasn't, Jefferies, James McManus, Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves Lansdown, McManus, Liz Truss, Streeter, Richard Donnell, Nutmeg's McManus, CNBC's Silvia Amaro Friday, Mark Fielding, Fielding, Shreyas Gopal, Sanjay Raja, BoE, Francesco Pesole, Pesole Organizations: City of, Labour Party, Conservatives, U.S ., Labour, CNBC, Stock, Reform UK Party, Hargreaves, Deutsche Bank, ING, Bank of England, ECB Locations: Bishopsgate, City, City of London, London, France

☆ House building sector to see most positive impact from Labour government, researcher says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHouse building sector to see most positive impact from Labour government, researcher saysMark Fielding, head of European capital goods research at RBC Capital Markets, weighs in on the impact that the newly elected Labour government could have on stock markets.

Persons: Mark Fielding Organizations: Labour, RBC Capital Markets

☆ Citi upgrades India to 'overweight' citing stable earnings, economic growth
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Citigroup analysts upgraded India to "overweight" from "neutral" in their emerging markets allocation on Friday, citing strong earnings and economic growth momentum. It also attributed India's one-year forward price-to-earnings (P/E) of 20x, which is slightly higher than the long-term averages, to a stable earnings trajectory. The brokerage remains "overweight" on India's banks, insurers, public sector enterprises, autos and capital goods companies among others. Citi downgraded China to "neutral" from "overweight", saying the recent rally in its stock markets occurred despite weakening fundamentals. Citi reiterated its "overweight" rating on Taiwan and Korea, maintaining "underweight" on Latin American countries.

Persons: Surendra Goyal Organizations: Hong, Citigroup, Citi, Jefferies, Asia Locations: India, China, Asia Pacific, Japan, Taiwan, Korea

☆ As India heads to the polls, the pros name 8 top stocks to buy
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | In Amala-Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

"The stars have aligned for India in terms of demographics, population and market movements. Peeyush Mittal, portfolio manager at Matthews Asia, agrees with the consensus that Modi will win a majority once again — which would be a "non-event" for markets. Conrad Saldanha, portfolio manager at the Neuberger Berman Emerging Markets Equity Fund, agrees. Among the companies on his watch are power equipment player Bharat Heavy Electricals and engineering conglomerate Thermax , amid an expected expansion in power generation capacity. According to FactSet data, 24 of the 26 analysts covering the stock have a buy or overweight rating on it.

Persons: Narendra Modi, Neil Bahal, Peeyush Mittal, Modi, Mittal, Conrad Saldanha, Neuberger Berman, Bharat, Neuberger Berman's Saldanha, Saldanha Organizations: South, Bombay Stock Exchange, CNBC Pro, —, Matthews Asia, Reserve Bank of, India Fund, Neuberger, Markets Equity Fund, Cummins India, Investor, Bharat Electronics, ICICI, HDFC, IndusInd Bank, Apollo Locations: Hong Kong, India, Reserve Bank of India, Saldanha

☆ Data centers are set for an AI-fueled boost, UBS says — naming 3 stocks to play the trend
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-09 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Data centers house vast amounts of computing power needed for AI workloads, and that need is set to grow as many tech companies are rapidly developing infrastructure for artificial intelligence. The bank named three stocks to play the trend: U.S.-listed power management firm Eaton , French energy tech firm Schneider Electric and U.S. power tech firm Cummins . It says Eaton is the key U.S. play on data centers, with 14% exposure and "broad favourable trends" in electrification, while Cummins has "favourable backup power exposure" to data centers. UBS gave Eaton a price target of $330, representing marginal downside. It gave the stock a price target of 250 euros ($270), or around 20% potential upside.

Persons: Eaton, Cummins, Schneider, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS, Capital Goods, Schneider Electric

☆ Trump's proposed tariff would cost the average American household an extra $1,500 a year, left-leaning think tank says
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-29 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Trump's proposed import tariff would cost an extra $1,500 annually for Americans, according to a left-leaning think tank. Trump has championed his tax plan as favoring US interests over China, but the think tank argues he misunderstands tariffs. AdvertisementTrump's proposed import tariff would tack on an extra $1,500 per year for Americans, says a left-leaning Washington think tank. AdvertisementThe think tank estimated Americans will face a whopping $3.2 trillion influx of foreign goods. With a 10% tariff, that'd be an extra $300 billion in taxes on goods, roughly translating into $1,700 per household in the tariff's debut year.

Persons: Trump's, Trump, —, Brendan Duke, Ryan Mulholland Organizations: American Progress, Service, White, Republican Locations: China, Washington

☆ Here's how the project to develop one tractor might revolutionize the farming and automotive industries in the UK
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( Sponsor Post | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

A special cover is used on a farm's waste collection areas (known as slurry lagoons) to catch methane emissions that would otherwise escape into the air. CNH IndustrialThe potential of the methane tractor extends far beyond the farm. Industry leaders pulled together to work on the projectThe success of the methane tractor project is testament to the power of collaboration. Beyond the agricultural sector, the methane tractor project holds promise for transforming the entire automotive sector. By demonstrating the viability of alternative fuel technologies in heavy-duty vehicles, this initiative paves the way for a more sustainable future in transportation.

Persons: Andrew Damant, CNH, Derek Neilson, Eminox, David Phillips, Neilson Organizations: UK's Department for Business and Trade, Advanced Propulsion Centre, Eminox, Mobile, Automotive Transformation Fund, Advanced, Industry, Insider Studios, UK Department for Business, Trade Locations: Cornwall, Europe, CNH, New Holland

☆ India's inflation, growth at risk from Red Sea crisis-driven oil price rise, government says
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

India's national flag flaps next to the 'National Emblem' at the newly constructed Indian parliament building after the flag hoisting ceremony in New Delhi on Sept.17, 2023. India's inflation and economic growth are at risk from the rise in oil prices caused by disruptions in the Red Sea, the government said on Friday, highlighting the need to diversify trade routes. A combination of high freight costs, insurance premiums and long transit times can make imported goods "significantly more expensive", India's finance ministry said in its monthly economic review. India's shipments of agricultural commodities, textiles, chemicals, capital goods, marine and petroleum products may be impacted due to the disruptions, and affect the price competitiveness of exports. "To effectively address these challenges, there may be a need to diversify trade routes and transportation options," the finance ministry said.

Persons: Yemen's Locations: New Delhi, Red, Europe, Suez, Africa

☆ Employee Productivity Is Booming As Workers Get Better at Their Jobs
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-21 | by ( Neil Dutta | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

At the simplest level, labor productivity is how much output (widgets, meals, spreadsheet computation) one person can complete in an hour. Employers were running around with fishnets trying to find people, and workers used their leverage. By contrast, the late 1990s were a period of higher productivity growth and underestimated growth, starting the year at 2% but ending closer to 4%. But it's probably too soon to be thinking about these factors as the main driver of recent productivity growth. The investment implications of this are clear: Stronger productivity growth implies a higher speed limit for the economy.

Persons: —, it's, we'll Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of San, Labor, P Global, Manufacturing, Capital, Employers, downturns, Professional Locations: Silicon Valley, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

☆ TikTok debate reveals the risks for investing in China during U.S. election year
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-17 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The debate over whether Chinese-owned TikTok can operate in the U.S. is back with fervor, revealing more about the risk for Chinese stocks in a U.S. presidential election year. Such considerations motivated Goldman Sachs analysts to update their model for measuring the level of risk from U.S.-China tensions in Chinese stocks. Their barometer, created in 2020, "has correlated well with the U.S.-China events timeline, and China equity performance," the analysts said. Goldman's revised U.S.-China tensions barometer stands at a modest 53 out of 100, indicating a "somewhat benign" outlook for the bilateral relationship. But as the TikTok bill now makes its way to the Senate, many analysts expect its momentum to slow.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman's, It's, Raymond James, That's, Steven Mnuchin, CNBC's, Mnuchin, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Biden, Goldman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: U.S ., Goldman, U.S, Chinese Communist Party, IMEIK Technology, Postal Savings Bank Locations: U.S, China, Beijing

☆ A trusted indicator is fueling recession warnings from Jeremy Grantham and other gurus. What you should know about the Leading Economic Index.
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-21 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The Leading Economic Index fell for the 22nd consecutive month in January. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. The Leading Economic Index brings all of those together to gauge the future state of the economy across multiple dimensions, from growth and unemployment to consumer demand and homebuilding. Here's a screenshot showing the index's historic decline, from The Conference Board's latest release:AdvertisementThe Leading Economic Index has consistently declined ahead of previous recessions. There's no guarantee these four market veterans are right about the Leading Economic Index.

Persons: —, Here's, joblessness, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, Jeremy Grantham, Jeffrey Gundlach, Gary Shilling, There's Organizations: Service, Business, Conference Board, Treasury, Manufacturers, Institute, Supply, The Conference, Board, Rosenberg Research, North, DoubleLine, Conference Locations: North American

☆ The chief strategist at Citi Global Wealth shares his top growth investments for a resilient economy in 2024 — including his highest-conviction commodity that will triple its demand by 2030
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-07 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Inflation was certainly severe and very troubling for markets, but ultimately its sources were transitory, Wieting said. As other energy-based companies and commodities grapple with a transition to clean energy, copper is expected to reap the benefits. The transition to clean energy and the move toward electric vehicles means demand for copper will triple by 2030, according to Citi Global Wealth's 2024 outlook. He believes the Magnificent Seven will be a strong part of the economy going into 2024 once again. Therefore, investors should look for opportunities in mid-cap growth or those within the S&P 400, the benchmark for the US mid-cap stocks.

Persons: Steven Wieting, Wieting Organizations: Federal, Citi Global Wealth, Business, Housing, Citi Global

☆ Morning Bid: Small caps pick up baton, China rating hit
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 26, 2023. The likes of Microsoft (MSFT.O), Apple (AAPL.O), Nvidia (NVDA.O) and Amazon (AMZN.O) fell back over 1%, pressured by a modest bounceback in U.S. Treasury yields. China's blue-chip stocks slumped to their lowest since February 2019 amid fears of a possible cut to China's sovereign credit rating cut after Moody's outlook reduction. By Mike Dolan, Editing by Bernadette Baum; <a href="mailto:mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com" target="_blank">mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com</a>Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Russell, that's, Moody's, Isabel Schnabel, Michael Gibson, Christine Laggard, Mongo, Zero Fox, Bernadette Baum Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Reserve, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Treasury, Reserve Bank of Australia, Central Bank, Reuters, ECB, Barclays, Qatar, P Global, Federal, Division, Supervision, Financial Innovation, Descartes Systems, Health, Powell Industries, Dave, Buster's Entertainment, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Global, York, Treasuries, Europe

☆ US factory orders fall 3.6% in October
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Autonomous robots assemble an X model SUV at the BMW manufacturing facility in Greer, South Carolina, U.S. November 4, 2019. Factory orders fell 3.6% after a downwardly revised 2.3% inSeptember, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said on Monday, the biggest monthly drop since April 2020. Orders for durable goods fell 5.4%, with orders for transportation equipment slumping 14.7%. Electrical equipment, appliances and components orders fell 1.1%. Shipments of manufactured goods fell 1.4%.

Persons: Charles Mostoller, Lindsay Dunsmuir, Chizu Organizations: BMW, REUTERS, U.S, Commerce, Reuters, Machinery, Manufacturing, Thomson Locations: Greer , South Carolina, U.S, Commerce Department's

☆ US durable goods orders fall on weakness in transportation equipment sector
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Durable goods are seen on sale in a store in Los Angeles, California, U.S., March 24, 2017. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast durable goods orders would decline 3.1%. Durable goods orders rose 4.0% on a year-over-year basis in October. These so-called core capital goods orders were previously reported to have risen 0.5% in September. Business spending on equipment spending contracted in the third quarter.

Persons: Lucy Nicholson, Detroit's, Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, United Auto Workers, UAW, Data, Reuters, Manufacturing, General Motors, Ford, Chrysler, Civilian, Boeing, Machinery, Thomson Locations: Los Angeles , California, U.S, Department's

☆ US weekly jobless claims fall; business spending on equipment softening
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Though the weekly jobless claims report from the Labor Department on Wednesday also showed unemployment rolls declining for the first-time since mid-September, they remained near the highs for this year. The claims data covered the period during which the government surveyed businesses for the nonfarm payrolls component of November's employment report. Continuing claims fell 22,000 to 1.840 million during the week ending Nov. 11, the claims report showed. Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending plans, dipped 0.1% last month, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said. Business spending on equipment spending contracted in the third quarter.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, Nancy Vanden Houten, Unadjusted, Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Labor Department, Oxford Economics, Reuters, Fed, Bank of America Institute, Commerce Department, Commerce, Data, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York, California, Kentucky , Oregon , Kentucky, Illinois, Texas, Commerce Department's

☆ Buy these 33 top-rated stocks to build a diversified, downturn-resistant portfolio in 2024, according to UBS
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-21 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Economic growth should persist in 2024, albeit at a weaker pace, according to top strategists at UBS Global Wealth Management (GWM). "We do see the savings rate — the recent savings rate — as unsustainably low, and we expect it to rise over time," said Brian Rose, a senior economist and investment strategist at UBS GWM, during the webinar. "And really, the base of the economy depends very heavily on what happens to the savings rate." Rose continued: "If the savings rate just gradually drifts higher over time, then we can have a soft landing. 33 top stocks across sectorsWhile UBS is constructive about 2024, its strategists think investors should prepare for anything.

Persons: Solita Marcelli, Brian Rose, Rose, there's, Marcelli, Daniel Scansaroli, Nicolas Le Roux, Le Roux, financials Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management, UBS, Business, US, UBS GWM, Federal Reserve, UBS GWM's, Companies Locations: Americas, Ukraine, Israel, Europe, China, Japan, Australia

☆ US weekly jobless claims at three-month high; import prices tumble
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-16 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Job growth slowed in October and the unemployment rate climbed to 3.9%, the highest level since January 2022. Import prices dropped 0.8% last month after rising 0.4% in September. Economists had forecast import prices, which exclude tariffs, falling 0.3%. In the 12 months through October, import prices declined 2.0% after decreasing 1.5% in September. Excluding fuels and food, import prices dropped 0.2% after dipping 0.1% in September.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, Nancy Vanden Houten, Unadjusted, Goldman Sachs, Lou Crandall, Wrightson, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Labor Department, Oxford Economics, Reuters, Goldman, Treasury, Fed, Reuters Graphics, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City , New York, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York, Massachusetts, Oregon, Georgia, United States, China

☆ A 'once-in-a-generation' factory construction boom won't bow to economic jitters. How investors can play it
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Now, the window is opening on orders for the components that will go into the construction, he added. One of those exchange-traded funds is TCW Transform Supply Chain ETF (SUPP), a play on the reshoring theme. "[Yet] in just [the past] six months, we've added about $300 billion of orders for mega projects," he added. "The United States is experiencing a once-in-a-generation onshoring boom," the company said during its Oct. 27 conference call. Another top holding is Martin Marietta Materials , which produces the aggregates used for construction projects.

Persons: Chris Snyder, Eli Horton, we've, there's, Horton, Snyder, Eaton, Craig Arnold, Arnold, Martin Marietta, Hortons, we're, Michael Bloom, Nick Wells Organizations: UBS, Federal Reserve, hasn't, Steel, Trane Technologies, Waste Management, Martin, Martin Marietta Materials Locations: U.S, United States

But the major railroads hauled slightly fewer containers than a year ago and 11% fewer containers than four years earlier. The strong growth in manufacturing activity between the middle of 2020 and middle of 2022 was a rebound following the disruption caused by the first wave of the coronavirus pandemic and associated lockdowns. Since then spending has rotated back towards services and there has been little if any expansion in the manufacturing sector. Chartbook: U.S. manufacturing activityLack of growth is evident in industrial energy consumption. Three-quarters of all distillate fuel oils such as diesel are consumed in freight and manufacturing, according to data from the Energy Information Administration.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, Jobs, John Kemp, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Energy Information Administration, Thomson, Reuters Locations: IceStone, New York City , New York, U.S, Europe, China, doldrums

☆ Turbine troubles have sent wind energy stocks tumbling — and a slew of issues remain
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

A Siemens Gamesa blade factory on the banks of the River Humber in Hull, England on October 11, 2021. Siemens Energy made the headlines earlier this year when it scrapped its profit forecast and warned that costly failures at wind turbine subsidiary Siemens Gamesa could drag on for years. It sparked concerns about wider problems across the industry and thrust Europe's wind energy giants' earnings into the spotlight. Read more:Deutsche had previously highlighted challenges in the wind turbine industry including supplier delays, lower tax credits and rising rates. Reliability issues Those surveyed by ONYX also expressed reliability concerns, with 69% expecting more reliability issues due to aging assets and 56% seeing problems associated with new turbine technology.

Persons: PAUL ELLIS, Kepler Cheuvreux, Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Ben Uglow, Ørsted, Read, —, Ashley Crowther, Crowther Organizations: Siemens, AFP, Getty, Siemens Energy, Grid Technologies, Siemens Gamesa, Gas, Grid, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Vestas, ONYX Locations: Hull , England, Ukraine

☆ Euro industrial output up in August, but sharply down year-on-year
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

REUTERS/Phil Noble/File photo Acquire Licensing RightsBRUSSELS, Oct 13 (Reuters) - Euro zone industrial production rose by more than expected in August, data showed on Friday, as factories made more consumer goods although overall output was down by more than 5% from a year earlier. The European Union's statistics office Eurostat said industrial production in the 20 countries sharing the euro rose by 0.6% month-on-month in August for a 5.1% year-on-year decline. Output of non-durable consumer goods, such as food or clothing, rose by 0.5% for a second consecutive month. Compared with a year earlier, all types of production were some 5-7% lower, except for non-durable consumer goods, whose decline was 1.4%. The IMF cut its estimates for euro zone growth earlier this week to 0.7% in 2023 and 1.2% in 2024, from July forecasts of 0.9% and 1.5%.

Persons: Phil Noble, Philip Blenkinsop Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Reuters, IMF, Eurostat, Thomson Locations: Chesterfield, Britain, Rights BRUSSELS

☆ Low weekly jobless claims, shrinking trade deficit boost US economic picture
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

Trade balanceExports of goods and services increased 1.6% to $256.0 billion. Goods imports dropped 0.9% to $256.0 billion amid declines in imports of consumer and capital goods, potentially flagging softening domestic demand amid higher borrowing costs. Cell phones and other household goods accounted for the drop in consumer goods imports. The decrease in capital goods imports reflected declines in semiconductors and electric apparatus. Services imports increased $0.1 billion to $58.4 billion, supported by travel and other business services.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, Christopher Rupkey, Unadjusted, nonfarm payrolls, Oscar Munoz, Goldman Sachs, Veronica Clark, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Reuters, Employers, Institute for Supply Management, United Auto Workers, UAW, Ford, General Motors, Chrysler, Treasury, Challenger, Labor, Securities, Commerce Department, Goods, Services, Citigroup, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City , New York, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York, Ohio, California

☆ US factory orders beat expectations in August
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Factory orders rebounded 1.2% after falling 2.1% in July, the Commerce Department said on Wednesday. Orders rose 0.5% on a year-on-year basis in August. Civilian aircraft orders fell 15.9%, while motor vehicle orders rose 0.3%. Manufactured goods inventory rose 0.3%, while unfilled orders increased 0.4%. Shipments of these so-called core capital goods rose by an unrevised 0.7%.

Persons: Charles Mostoller, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci Organizations: BMW, REUTERS, Rights, U.S, Commerce Department, Reuters, Manufacturing, Federal Reserve, Machinery, Civilian, Thomson Locations: Greer , South Carolina, U.S

☆ Germany risks letting a good crisis go to waste
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( Pierre Briancon | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

Germany, the European Union’s largest economy and its traditional growth engine, is headed towards a contraction this year. Exports account for more than half of Germany’s GDP, compared to just a third in France and 37% in Italy, according to the World Bank. Germany’s growth potential is estimated at an annual 0.7% over the medium term by the Scope rating agency, about half the euro zone average. Exempting net public investment from the debt brake rule would help to reverse years of underspending. Unless they do, Europe’s leading economy risks letting a good crisis go to waste.

Persons: –, Hubertus Bardt, Germany’s, Carsten Brzeski, Oliver Rakau, Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Christian Lindner’s, Sebastian Dullien, Scholz, Destatis, Francesco Guerrera, Streisand Neto Organizations: Reuters, World Bank, EU, International Monetary Fund, Reuters Graphics Reuters, German Economic Institute, ING, Oxford Economics, BASF, Finance, Christian Democrats, Thomson Locations: Germany, Berlin, France, Italy, China –, Spain, Weimar Republic, China, Ukraine

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