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☆ Elon Musk's DOGE is looking to Argentina for inspiration to slash public spending
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( Thibault Spirlet | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Both men admire Javier Milei, the Argentine leader elected on a pledge to slash the state. About a year ago, standing in front of a whiteboard with a gleam in his eye, Javier Milei started pulling apart Argentina's government. Javier Milei pulls apart a chart of Argentina's state in a video published on September 9, 2023. AdvertisementHarsh medicineHis measures helped tame a crisis: Argentina's inflation was 25.5% when Milei took office, and as of October, it was 2.7%. Argentinians have taken to the streets to protest against Javier Milei's economic policies since his election.

Persons: Elon Musk, Vivek Ramaswamy, Javier Milei, Milei, Lex Fridman, — Milei, Maria Victoria Murillo, Argentinians, Javier, Luciano Gonzalez, Donald Trump's, Trump, Ramaswamy, Musk Organizations: Argentine, Ministry, of Environment, Sustainable, Government, Social Security, US, Institute of Latin American Studies, Columbia University, Anadolu, Getty Images Kimberley, Economics, America, Republicans Locations: Milei, Argentine, Argentina, Mar, Buenos Aires

☆ Britain’s 'mini-budget' disaster should serve as a warning to the U.S., bond strategists say
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesFears are mounting that the U.S. could soon experience its own version of Britain's "mini-budget" crisis, with bond strategists warning that Donald Trump's return to the White House brings with it the specter of currency volatility and surging bond yields. The former president's economic agenda has ratcheted up concerns about a surge in consumer prices, which strategists say could spark significant shifts in bond yields and investor behavior. They warn a scenario that mirrors Britain's mini-budget crisis of 2022 is not out of the question. watch nowBritain's mini-budget crisis refers to a tumultuous period under former Prime Minister Liz Truss and ex-Finance Minister Kwasi Kwarteng. Bond yields tend to rise when market participants expect higher consumer prices or a growing budget deficit.

Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Trump, Remtulla, Liz Truss, Kwasi Kwarteng, Kwarteng, Althea Spinozzi, Trump's, Spinozzi, Angela Weiss, Paul Ashworth, Ashworth, Thierry Wizman, likelier, Wizman Organizations: Economic, of New, Bloomberg, Getty, EFG, CNBC, U.S ., Finance, U.S, Bank of England, Saxo Bank, White, Treasury, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, AFP, Capital Economics, Macquarie Group Locations: of New York, New York, U.S, Foreign, Treasurys, Treasuries, New York City, America

☆ Euro-dollar parity is back in focus as Trump win sparks trade jitters
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The euro has declined rapidly, meanwhile, briefly dipping below $1.05 on Nov. 14 for the first time since October 2023. Modeling by Barclays' economists shows the euro hitting dollar parity with a 10% tariff on European products and subsequent retaliation. The bank said the prospect of Trump tariffs and fiscal reforms had caused it to revise its view that the dollar would gradually decline through the year, instead seeing the U.S. currency "stronger for longer." Since hitting a low in September 2022, the euro has been comfortably back above parity even if below its long-range average. One of those 2022 factors roared back into focus this week, weighing broadly on European assets: the threat of escalating tensions with Russia.

Persons: Donald Trump, James Reilly, Reilly, George Saravelos, Trump, Saravelos, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: U.S, Republican, China —, Federal Reserve, Capital Economics, Federal, European Central Bank, FX Research, Deutsche Bank, Trump, Barclays, ECB, Fed Locations: Congress, China, U.S, Europe, Russia, Ukraine

☆ A 'silver tsunami' of retirement-age baby boomers is creating a big opportunity for real-estate investors, research firm says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

AdvertisementThe growing ranks of boomers aged 65-plus could spark a boom in the senior housing market. It says this will drive strong demand for senior housing facilities, including assisted living, independent living, skilled nursing, and memory care. "That makes senior housing a compelling option for investors looking to break away from traditional property investment." Census Bureau/Capital EconomicsMeanwhile, around 11% of those over the age of 65 are currently living in a form of senior housing, according to the American Senior Housing Association. Related storiesRents, meanwhile, are seeing a strong uptrend, thanks to the supply of senior housing growing tighter after the pandemic.

Persons: that's, Imogen Pattison, Pattison Organizations: Capital, Capital Economics, Census, American Senior Housing Association, MAP

☆ Dollar sitting pretty, yen bears wary of Bank of Japan hawks
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Yen bears were tense in case Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda used a speech later Monday to flag a possible rate hike in December, in part due to the weakness of the currency. Markets imply around a 55% chance of a quarter-point rate hike to 0.5% when the BOJ meets on Dec. 19. Against a basket of currencies the dollar held at 106.730, having touched a one-year top of 107.07 on Friday. The rally has coincided with a savage swing in 10-year Treasury yields, which have climbed 70 basis points since the start of October, fuelling a 5.4% rise in the U.S. dollar index . Analysts generally assume Trump's touted policies of tariffs, reduced immigration and debt-funded tax cuts will be inflationary, so limiting the scope for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Donald Trump's, Katsunobu Kato, Jonas Goltermann, Trump, Howard Lutnick, Cantor Fitzgerald, Scott Bessent Organizations: Bank of Japan, U.S, Japanese Finance, Capital Economics, Trump, Federal Reserve, Central Bankers Locations: U.S, Japan, Canada

☆ How Europe can avoid a trade war in a 2nd Trump term
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

They say the EU will need to employ some retaliatory measures but has to be careful not to escalate. AdvertisementEconomists and analysts said that in order to avoid a trade war, policymakers in Europe need to employ a specific playbook to mitigate the economic drag while keeping trade tensions in check. Kenningham says the EU will likely hit the US with targeted tariffs on certain industries, rather than an across-the-board action. Related storiesTrade deals to avoid tariffsKenningham said EU policymakers could also negotiate a deal to avoid US tariffs. Advertisement"There is a possibility that if the strategy toward Europe is very aggressive, Europeans may change attitudes toward the Transatlantic Alliance.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Trump, Joachim Nagel, Emmanuel Macron, Mario Draghi, Andrew Kenningham, Kenningham, Harley, Carlo Bastasin, Bastasin Organizations: Biden, Italian, Capital Economics, European Union, EU, Trade, European, Brookings, Trump, Transatlantic Alliance Locations: Europe, China, European, EU, Trump's, Ukraine, Germany

☆ Here's the deflation breakdown for October 2024 — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

"We are seeing [deflation] to some extent," said Stephen Brown, deputy chief North America economist at Capital Economics. Energy prices and electronicsGasoline prices are also "way down," Zandi said. Consumers "could get more relief there because global oil prices are soft," Zandi said. Food prices are also generally underpinned by their own unique supply-and-demand dynamics, economists said. Lower energy prices can also take pressure off food prices, as it costs less to transport and distribute food to grocery store shelves.

Persons: Stephen Brown, Mark Zandi, women's outerwear, they've, Zandi, They've, Donald Trump's, they'd, Bacon Organizations: North, Capital Economics, U.S, Moody's, Finance, CPI, Bank of America, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Consumers Locations: U.S, North America, China

☆ What Trump's election victory means for global investors — and why it's different to 2016
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

President-elect Donald Trump's return to the White House has sent ripples through global financial markets, with many investors looking to recalibrate their portfolios for a dramatically different policy landscape ahead. Higher Treasury yields mean higher interest rates for corporate borrowers. Trump's tariffs Perhaps the biggest concern for investors globally is Trump's campaign promise of aggressive new tariffs , including the potential for a universal 10% tariff on all imports and a 60% tariff on Chinese goods. However, some Asian nations might benefit if higher tariffs on China prompt manufacturers to relocate. Europe Most analysts agree that U.S. trade tariffs are likely to hurt Europe, with some companies able to navigate the challenges better than others.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Russell, Mislav Matejka, David Seif, Goldman Sachs, Gareth Leather, Macquarie, Aditya Suresh, Mark Diethelm, Diethelm, Emmanuel Cau, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: White, Republican, Trump, U.S, Nasdaq, Treasury, Nomura, Federal Reserve, Asia Capital Economics, Capital Economics, U.S ., Union, Morningstar, Logitech, Barclays Locations: Congress, Treasurys, Trump's, U.S, United States, Korea, Taiwan, China, Vietnam, Asia, India, Europe

☆ Global manufacturing is poised for a temporary boom ahead of possible Trump tariffs
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Trump's proposed tariffs could lead to increased global manufacturing activity temporarily. Related Video China, Russia boast that trade is at an "all-time high" despite Western sanctions"Just as businesses try to get ahead of that, you could actually see a little bit of pop in global manufacturing, China manufacturing, as we head into the first quarter," he added. Exports could dip with focus on trade deficitsAny a temporary boost in trade would just be that: temporary. Advertisement"Higher US tariffs on Chinese exports could re-direct those exports into Asia, hurting local production," wrote the Nomura economists. "More tit-for-tat trade retaliation, trade policy uncertainty and delayed policy easing in some Asian economies will also likely spill into domestic demand," they added.

Persons: —, Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Lupton, Zichun Huang Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Capital Economics, Exports, Nomura Locations: China, Russia, Vietnam, Japan, South Korea, India, Asia

☆ Europe could try to stop — or get around — damaging Trump tariffs
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Critics of the proposed tariffs say the policy could lead to higher prices for U.S. consumers. That leaves Asia and Europe having to quickly consider ways to mitigate the future impact of export tariffs, and whether to retaliate or to try to negotiate a get-out deal. But economists also say that the EU could try to use the carrot instead of the stick with the U.S., suggesting there are three other ways Europe might try to stop, limit or avoid Trump's likely tariff policy altogether. German Chancellor Angela Merkel deliberates with U.S. President Donald Trump during the G-7 summit in Canada on June 9, 2018. Jesco Denzel | Bundesregierung | Getty ImagesWhether there Europe can reach consensus on how or whether to do a deal with Trump is debateable, however.

Persons: Caitlin Ochs, Reuters Donald Trump's, Europe scrabbling, Trump, Flach, Donald Trump, Jean, Claude Juncker, Andrew Kenningham, Didier Lebrun, Photonews, Mujtaba Rahman, Ursula von der, Von der, Joe Biden, Kenningham, Angela Merkel deliberates, Denzel, Carsten Brzeski, Emmanuel Macron, Angela Merkel, There's Organizations: Reuters, Trump, ING, Germany's, International Economics, Germany, U.S, EU, Capital Economics, European Union, Getty, Eurasia Group, Sustainable Steel, US Trade, Technology Council, Bundesregierung Locations: Upper Bay, New York, U.S, Europe, EU, China, Asia, Germany, Ukraine, Canada, France

☆ Here's what President-elect Trump's tariff plan may mean for your wallet
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Trump's plan would reduce average after-tax incomes by almost 3%, according to the tax think tank. "If we get tariffs, we will pass those tariff costs back to the consumer," Daniele said in September. A back-of-the-envelope calculation suggests a 10% across-the-board tariff would be roughly equivalent to a $320 billion tax on consumers, Cross said. "The administration could take tariff revenue and redistribute to households via tax cuts in some form or another," explained Pugliese of Wells Fargo. However, the typical U.S. household would still lose $2,600 a year from Trump's tariff plan, even after accounting for an extension of the 2017 tax cuts, according to an analysis by the Peterson Institute for International Economics.

Persons: Donald Trump, Scott Olson, Biden, Trump, There's, Mark Zandi, didn't, Mike Pugliese, Moody's, Philip Daniele, Daniele, Olivia Cross, Cross Organizations: Getty, NBC, Trump, CNBC, Tax, National Retail Federation, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, U.S, AutoZone, Capital Economics, U.S ., Peterson Institute for International Economics Locations: Grand Rapids , Michigan, Mexico, Wells Fargo, U.S, North America

☆ Volatility, higher rates, and surging bitcoin. Here's what analysts are saying about Trump's victory.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Will Martin | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Analysts expect Trump's economic policies to increase inflation, and push interest rates higher. AdvertisementDonald Trump's victory is set to herald a new era of higher inflation, tighter monetary policy, and surging cryptocurrencies, analysts said in initial reactions to the presidential election result. The economic impact of Trump's second term is likely to be volatile, said Lindsay James, investment strategist at UK-based Quilter Investments. However, such cuts could be shortlived if Trump's trade policies, which include proposed near-universal tariffs, prove to be inflationary as expected. Bitcoin could hit $100,000One asset that analysts expect to surge in the wake of Trump's victory is bitcoin, which rallied sharply early on Wednesday morning.

Persons: Donald Trump, —, Donald Trump's, Lindsay James, Elon Musk, Thomas Matthews, Trump, Russ Mould, AJ Bell Organizations: Service, Investments, Federal Reserve, Capital Economics, Rabobank, White

☆ Bank of Japan likely to stay course with a rate hike in December or January, analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Lin Lin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

After a messy election, the Bank of Japan decided to hold its benchmark policy rate at 0.25%, as expected. These outlook risks highlight that the timing of the next BOJ rate hike could depend heavily on developments overseas, as well as the exchange rate and its impact on the Japanese economy, Otani added. He added that it would surpass the 13 trillion yen ($84.6 billion) allocated in last year's supplementary budget. When Ishiba returns, he is expected to hold an extraordinary Diet session, during which he hopes to pass the supplementary budget plan, according to local news. Then I would probably rule out a rate hike in December, because that would create a lot of uncertainty about the fiscal situation."

Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Stefan Angrick, Angrick, Akira Otani, Goldman Sachs, Otani, Marcel Thieliant, Shigeru Ishiba, Ishibia, Ishiba, Thieliant Organizations: Japan, Bank of Japan, Moody's, Liberal Democratic Party, Asia Pacific, Capital Economics, CNBC, Democratic Party Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Brazil

☆ Switzerland is now flirting with deflation, causing a dilemma for its central bank
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Urbazon | Istock | Getty ImagesSwitzerland could be at risk of slipping into deflationary territory next year, as a stronger Swiss franc beleaguers policymakers' efforts to get a handle on price growth. The central bank also revised down its forecasts, putting the average annual inflation rate for 2024 at 1.2% from 1.3%, while projecting price increases will grow by 0.6% in 2025, compared with a previous outlook of 1.1%. Foreign exchange (FX) interventions take place when a bank buys or sells its currency in the FX market to raise or lower its value against another currency. Swiss inflation has meanwhile continued to fall. In March, with inflation at 1.2%, the SNB become the first major Western central bank to cut interest rates.

Persons: Thomas Jordan, Adrian Prettejohn, Sophie Altermatt, Julius Baer, Prettejohn, Jordan Organizations: Istock, Getty, Swiss National Bank, Capital, Capital Economics, CNBC, FX Locations: Bern, Switzerland, Adrian Prettejohn Europe, Europe

☆ How a Trump or Harris presidency could impact your investments
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +12 min

This is the first in a five-part series about the impact both Trump and Harris presidencies could have on US consumers. To date, Trump and Harris have outlined specific policy proposals that will impact different parts of the stock market. The guide covers four specific asset classes, and is divided between the Trump and Harris impact on each. Advertisement"Our upbeat projections for the stock market in 2024 and 2025 are predicated on a view that hype over AI will continue to fuel a stock market bubble," the research firm said. And since presidential actions usually impact rates, the bond market will be shaped by what either Trump or Harris end up doing.

Persons: Harris, —, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Today's, they're, BofA, It's, Financials, Trump's, Trump, Peter Berezin, Joe Biden's, Bonds, Crypto, Bernstein, Gautam Chhugani, bitcoin, Chhugani, Harris Harris, she's, I'm, Larry Fink, Biden, it's Organizations: Trump, Service, Business, Wall, Bank of America, Allies, Foundation, BCA Research, Harris, Democratic, Economics, Capital, Federal, Harris Capital Economics, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, bitcoin, BlackRock, Capital Economics, Fed Locations: China

☆ The bond market is selling off after traders got their Fed forecasts wrong
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Bonds have sold off as traders reassess the path of Fed Reserve rate cuts. AdvertisementThe bond market is in sell-off mode as traders reassess the path of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. That would be a big surprise to traders, with the market pricing in a 90% chance of a 25-basis point interest rate cut from the Fed next month. AdvertisementFed officials, for their part, have indicated they're likely to move cautiously, though more rate cuts are still their base case. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said she expects interest rates will fall "gradually," and Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid endorsed a "cautious and gradual" approach to cutting interest rates.

Persons: Bonds, —, Donald Trump, Torsten Sløk, Sløk, Mary Daly, Neel Kashkari, Lorie Logan, Jeff Schmid, Trump Organizations: Trump, Service, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, Bloomberg, Bond, Treasury Bond ETF, Federal, Market, San Francisco Fed, Minneapolis, Dallas, Kansas City, House Locations: Atlanta

U.K. net borrowing rose to £16.6 billion ($21.59 billion) in September, the Office for National Statistics said Tuesday , up £2.1 billion from the year before. Chancellor Rachel Reeves gives a speech at the Treasury on July 8, 2024 in London, England. Reports suggest she may use the budget to change the way debt is calculated by the Treasury in order to create more room for capital expenditure. The latest borrowing figures "highlight the limited scope the [Finance Minister] has to increase day-to-day spending without raising taxes," Alex Kerr, U.K. economist at Capital Economics, said in a note. A change in debt rules would allow for borrowing for public investment by an additional £53 billion, Kerr added.

Persons: Chancellor Rachel Reeves, Rachel Reeves, Alex Kerr, Kerr, Reeves, — Jenni Reid Organizations: National Statistics, Treasury, Labour, Finance, Capital Economics Locations: London, England

☆ The Trump trade is back on as betting markets swing in favor of a win for the former president
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Betting odds favor Trump winning the November election, with Polymarket odds at 59.5%. The Trump trade is back on, with Trump Media stock, bitcoin, and bank stocks rising. AdvertisementThe Trump trade has been regaining momentum as betting odds rise in favor of the former President winning the election in November. The Trump trade in markets weakened after the mid-September debate between Kamala Harris and Trump, as Harris was largely viewed as the winner of their one-and-only meeting. Here's what's moving in markets that suggest the Trump trade is back on as investors bet on a victory for the former president.

Persons: Trump, —, Harris, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump's, Bernstein, Gautam Chhugani, Chhugani Organizations: Trump, Trump Media, Service, House, Bank, Washington DC, Biden White, P Bank ETF, Regional Banking Locations: Polymarket, Trump, United States

☆ European Central Bank set for third interest rate cut of the year in meeting this week
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

European flags flutter in front of the European Central Bank (ECB) building prior to a news conference following the meeting of the governing council of the ECB in Frankfurt/Main, Germany, on September 12, 2024. Daniel Roland | Afp | Getty ImagesThe European Central Bank is on course to deliver its third interest rate cut of the year at its meeting this Thursday, as policymakers say inflation risks are easing faster than previously expected. Headline price rises in the euro area cooled to 1.8% in September, below the central bank's 2% target. Bank of France Governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau last week described an October rate cut as "very likely" and said such a step "won't be the last." This led him to forecast ECB rate cuts will take place both this week and at each of the central bank's forthcoming meetings, until the deposit rate hits 2.5%.

Persons: Daniel Roland, Francois Villeroy de Galhau, Villeroy, Christine Lagarde, Joachim Nagel, Germany's Bundesbank, Jack Allen Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, Afp, Getty, Bank of France, France, European Union, Citi, Media, U.S, U.S . Federal, Barclays, Capital Economics, Reynolds, Bank of America Global Research Locations: Frankfurt, Main, Germany, U.S .

☆ China needs at least 2.5 trillion yuan in additional borrowing to meet 5% growth target: Economist
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina needs at least 2.5 trillion yuan in additional borrowing to meet 5% growth target: EconomistJulian Evans-Pritchard, head of China economics at Capital Economics, discusses the outlook for China's economy.

Persons: Julian Evans, Pritchard Organizations: China, Capital Economics Locations: China

☆ Singapore keeps monetary policy steady as third-quarter growth picks up
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"The risks to Singapore's inflation outlook are more balanced compared to three months ago," MAS said in a statement, adding that growth momentum has picked up. The Monetary Authority of Singapore said it will maintain the prevailing rate of appreciation of its exchange rate-based policy band known as the Nominal Effective Exchange Rate, or S$NEER. Capital Economics markets economist Shivaan Tandon concurred, saying "the risk of keeping monetary policy too tight for too long will take center stage soon prompting the central bank to pivot". Singapore is often seen as a bellwether for global growth as its international trade dwarfs its domestic economy. As a heavily trade-reliant economy, Singapore uses a unique method of managing monetary policy, tweaking the exchange rate of its dollar against a basket of currencies instead of domestic interest rates like most other countries.

Persons: Selena Ling, Shivaan Tandon Organizations: MAS, Monetary Authority, Capital Economics Locations: Singapore, Singapore's

☆ China is trying to give investors the one major thing missing from its economic stimulus blitz
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

China is expected to announce extra fiscal policy support on Saturday. The lack of consumer support in China's last stimulus package disappointed investors. According to a Bloomberg survey, most analysts expect authorities to pledge $283 billion of fiscal stimulus at Saturday's highly anticipated press conference. Chinese authorities followed up by announcing Saturday's press conference, which promised to introduce new measures centered on fiscal policy. Some analysts remain less sure about what fiscal stimulus will actually achieve on its own, pointing out that Beijing needs to pursue structural reforms to revive consumer confidence.

Persons: —, Lan Fo'an, China's, Mark Williams, Stephen Roach, Arthur Kroeber, Gavekal Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Finance, Analysts, CSI, Reform Commission, Capital Economics, Asia, Financial Times Locations: China, Beijing, Yale

☆ How Russia's war economy and defense spending could actually make it weaker
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Russia's President Vladimir Putin visits Uralvagonzavod, the country's main tank factory in the Urals, in Nizhny Tagil on February 15, 2024. Ramil Sitdikov | Afp | Getty ImagesRussia's war-orientated economy and plans for unprecedented military spending risk deepening major imbalances within the government's finances, analysts say. Russia's military-industrial complex, feeding an insatiable war machine, has expanded significantly since the war began, as a result. Signalling its commitment to prosecuting the war in Ukraine, combined spending on both national defense and security will account for around 40% of Russia's total government spending in 2025, the draft budget suggested. Notably, defense spending will exceed twice the amount allocated for social needs such as pensions, Reuters noted.

Persons: Vladimir Putin, Uralvagonzavod, Ramil Sitdikov, Mikhail Mishustin, Tursa, Liam Peach, Peach, Alexander NEMENOV, ALEXANDER NEMENOV, Alexander Nemenov Organizations: Afp, Getty, Reuters, Sputnik, Capital Economics, Russian Statistics Agency Locations: Urals, Nizhny Tagil, Ukraine, Russia, Russian, Western, Central, Eastern Europe, Moscow, AFP

☆ Left and right prey on weak French government as it prepares 'austerity' budget
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

French Prime Minister Michel Barnier (C) ahead of his general policy statement to the French National Assembly in Paris on October 1, 2024. The budget is being widely previewed as an "austerity" budget that will see the government of new Prime Minister Michel Barnier present tax-hiking and cost-cutting measures that could rile opposition parties on both the left and right, and even the centrists that put him in power. In sum, Barnier's government is a fragile one and vulnerable to predatory challenges from the left and right of the political spectrum. But such a large dose of austerity may make even 1.1% growth difficult to achieve," he said in emailed analysis. "Finally, even if the budget is passed and does not dent economic growth too much, France's fiscal position would still be precarious.

Persons: Michel Barnier, Alain Jocard, Barnier, Antoine Armand, France's, —, La France Insoumise, Remon Haazen, Emmanuel Macron, Macron, Andrew Kenningham, Kenningham, Marine Le Pen, Carsten Nickel, Nickel, Tom Weller, voigt, Benoit Tessier Organizations: French, French National Assembly, EU, Afp, Getty, National Assembly, Finance, European Commission, Republique, La, Populaire, Capital Economics, Republicans, Stade de France, Olympic Games Locations: Paris, France, La France, Europe, French

"We have kind of a two-level house — it's not a two-story, but there are two levels," Smith-Frady told Business Insider. AdvertisementIn May 2024, the average cost of flood insurance in Florida was $781 a year, according to personal-finance company NerdWallet. Advertisement"It basically makes the home a total loss if they don't have flood insurance," Meyer Lucas said. "In Florida, there's really high flood risk, which I think is broadly understood, but that the cost associated with that flood risk is not being captured in home values." "The storms are happening so diversely in so many different areas of the state," D'Amario told Business Insider.

Persons: Helene, —, Hurricane Helene, Alexis Smith, Smith, Frady, Idalia, She's, Katie Mallah, Mallah, Katie Mallah Mallah, it's, Heather Cameron, Cameron, Holly Meyer Lucas, Meyer Lucas, Jon Schneyer, Pete, haven't, Jesse Gourevitch, there's, Ryan D'Amario, D'Amario Organizations: Service, FEMA, Business, Flood Insurance, Hurricanes, Sunshine State, Farmers Insurance, Bankers Insurance, Miami Herald, Capital Economics, Palm, Street Journal, Environmental Defense Fund Locations: Florida, St, Petersburg, Hurricane, Bradenton, North Carolina, Tampa, Sarasota, St . Petersburg, Shore, Shore Acres , Florida, Insurify, Palm Beach, Nature, Appalachia, Gulf

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