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Microsoft emerged as the most under-owned megacap stock among institutional investors, signaling a rebound could be on the horizon, according to Morgan Stanley. Morgan Stanley thinks that stocks tend to experience a technical pull higher when active ownership is much lower than their weightings in the S & P 500, and vice versa. The gap between Microsoft's S & P 500 weighting and institutional ownership stood at 2.08% by the end of the third quarter, making it the most under-owned Big Tech name, Morgan Stanley said. After Microsoft, Apple is the second-most under-owned megacap tech stock coming out of the third quarter. On the flip side, the most over-owned tech stock at the end of September is software company Intuit , which could see a technical downward pull soon, according to Morgan Stanley.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Donald Trump Organizations: Microsoft, Big Tech, Apple, Intuit, Adobe
The narrative from Silicon Valley is that the AI train has left the station and any smart investor had better hop on before these products become “superintelligent” and start solving all the world’s problems. Now, some of the leading language models appear to be hitting a wall, according to at least three reports last week. But if we have indeed hit a scaling wall, “it may mean that the the mega-cap technology companies have over-invested” and it’s possible that they could scale back in the near future. That’s the AI optimist/pragmatist view. For a less rosy outlook, I turned to Gary Marcus, NYU professor emeritus and outspoken critic of AI hype.
Persons: CNN Business ’, New York CNN — It’s, OpenAI, , that’s, , Orion “, Ilya Sutskever, ” Sutskever, Marc Andreessen, Sam Altman, ” Gil Luria, Davidson, it’s, ” Luria, Gary Marcus, ” Marcus, “ LLMs Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Nvidia, Tech, ” Bloomberg, ” Reuters Locations: New York, GPT
Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple, Microsoft and Meta as overweight The firm says "mega-cap tech under-ownership narrows" in the third-quarter but that it's sticking with all three stocks. " UBS upgrades Comfort Systems to buy from neutral UBS says the HVAC company is a beneficiary in tech and data center cooling. UBS upgrades American Water Works to buy from neutral UBS says it sees "consistent" total returns for the water company. " Jefferies reiterates Netflix as buy The firm raised its price target on the stock to $1,000 per share from $800. TD Cowen names Datadog a best idea The firm says the stock is a top idea in 2025.
Persons: Stifel, it's, Morgan Stanley, Okta, , Jefferies, Uber, Needham, Joby, Piper Sandler downgrades Kraft Heinz, Piper, Kraft Heinz, Piper Sandler, Paul, Tyson, NFLX, TD Cowen, United, Datadog, Scott Thomson, it's bullish Organizations: Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Barclays, UBS, Comfort Systems, Works, Edison Electric, Kraft, Apollo, TAM, Netflix, Bank of America, Bank of, Scotiabank, JPMorgan Locations: Bank of Nova Scotia, robotaxis
Evercore ISI gives its top tech picks for 2025
  + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Hakyung Kim | In Hakyungkim | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +6 min
Evercore ISI already named its favorite technology stocks to own heading into 2025. Against that background, Evercore ISI analysts recently picked five tech stocks they're most sure of entering next year. Arista Networks The cloud network equipment company's conservative revenue guidance for 2025 leaves room for upside potential, according to Evercore ISI. Evercore ISI raised its 12-month price target on Arista to $450 from $425, indicating more than 20% upside from Friday's close. International Business Machines IBM is likely to top revenue estimates in 2025, Evercore ISI said.
Persons: ChatGPT, haven't, Evercore, Amphenol, Donald Trump's, Vertiv, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: ISI, Arista, Arista Networks, Apple, Business Machines IBM, Evercore, IBM, Holdings Vertiv Holdings Locations: CY25, capex, Wallingford , Connecticut, Waterville , Ohio
.SPX 1M mountain S & P 500, 1 month The S & P is still about 3-4% above levels where chart readers would start to get more concerned about the underlying trajectory. Even in Friday's 1.3% slide in the S & P 500, only two-thirds of all stocks were down on the day and the equal-weight S & P was off a modest three-quarters of a percent. It makes sense that the market wasn't able to summon a sustained thrust of exuberance after the election anxiety evaporated, given the somewhat demanding starting point. A more mature economic and risk cycle and vulnerability to higher rates among smaller, lower-quality stocks mean they aren't likely to lead from here, Pies says. Is the market presciently foretelling an unleashing of transactional fervor that will return Wall Steet's middlemen to their former glory?
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Russell, Jay Powell, Warren Pies, Goldman Organizations: Nasdaq, KBW, ICE, Trump, Federal Reserve, Investors, Bank, 3Fourteen Research, Wall Street Locations: Friday's
Now, ValueAct has engaged another titan of the market, Meta Platforms, announcing an approximately $1 billion dollar position in the company. With the stock price up about 56% in 2024, ValueAct still sees significant untapped value in Meta. ValueAct has shown at Microsoft and Salesforce that it is very good in helping companies trim fat and build muscle. The AI spending, while concerning to some in the market, can be the muscle that strengthens Meta's core FoA business. It should more than justify Meta's AI spend.
Persons: ValueAct, Mason Morfit, Mark Zuckerberg, OpenAI's GPT, Meta, Martha Stewart Living, Ken Squire Organizations: Reality Labs, Facebook, Microsoft, Meta, RL, Spotify, OpenAI, Adobe, New York Times, Expedia, Century Fox, KKR, 13D Locations: Salesforce
Club holdings Alphabet and Amazon found themselves on the fault line. Battleground tech GOOGL YTD mountain Alphabet (GOOGL) year-to-date performance Third Point, the hedge fund run by Dan Loeb, sold its entire nearly $333 million position in Alphabet last quarter. Third Point trimmed its Amazon holdings by nearly 28%. A fund's holdings may very well have changed by the time the previous quarters' filings are revealed. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Wall, Dan Loeb, David Tepper, Seth Klarman, Philippe Laffont's Coatue, Bill Ackman's Pershing, Daniel Sundheim, Coatue, Donald Trump's, Eli Lilly, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Jim Cramer, Sebastien Bozon Organizations: Management, Group, D1, Amazon, Big Tech, Nasdaq, Health, D1 Capital, GE Healthcare, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, AFP, Getty Locations: 13Fs, Danaher
Markets sink: Stocks are taking it on the chin Friday, capping off a week in which the S & P 500 fell about 2%. Bright spots : The two best-performing S & P 500 sectors this week are financials and energy. Health care was far and away the worst-performing group in the S & P 500. Next week: There's 11 companies in the S & P 500 reporting next week. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, There's, Donald Trump's, Jerome Powell, Trump, , Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Eli Lilly, we'll, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Traders, – BlackRock, Energy, Coterra Energy, Disney, Department of Health, Human Services, pharma, Nvidia, Walmart, Viking Holdings, TJX Companies, Palo Alto Networks, Target, Williams, Club, BJ's, Ross Stores, Baidu, PDD Holdings, GE Healthcare, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Wells Fargo, Sonoma, Snowflake, Palo Alto
Third Point slashed and dissolved its stakes in some key megacap technology holdings, while opening a fresh position in Tesla during the third quarter. Regulatory filings released Thursday revealed that the Dan Loeb-run hedge fund opened a stake worth roughly $105 million in the electric vehicle behemoth during the period. Tesla shares rallied more than 32% during the period, and they have surged more than 24% in November as investors bet that the company will benefit from CEO Elon Musk's close relationship with President-elect Donald Trump . MSFT YTD mountain Apple shares this year Beyond these key Magnificent Seven players, Loeb liquidated positions in both Verizon Communications and ridesharing giant Uber Technologies . Along with Tesla, Loeb revealed a new position in Brookfield Corp worth about $251 million and fresh stakes in Flutter Entertainment and CVS Health .
Persons: Dan Loeb, Elon Musk's, Donald Trump, Tesla, Loeb Organizations: Tesla, Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Verizon Communications, Uber Technologies, Brookfield Corp, CVS Health, Intercontinental Exchange Locations: China
The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) has been getting a lot of attention, and rightly so. Things have recently accelerated in November, and Tuesday, the IGV Software ETF was one of just three ETFs we track to make new all-time highs. Within the IGV Software ETF, it also has the third biggest weighting, but it's behind both CRM and ORCL. More importantly, MSFT has been noticeably lagging the IGV ETF across various time frames. The potential good news is that: 1. the ratio line remains in a long-term uptrend and 2. the last two oversold conditions happened near major relative trading lows.
Persons: IGV, MSFT, it's Organizations: Software Sector, Technology Trust, IGV Software, Microsoft, NASDAQ, Software, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: MSFT
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Wall Street firm Jefferies boosted its Salesforce price target to $400 per share from $350, implying 40% updside from Friday's close. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jeff Marks, Jefferies, Marks, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Devices, Broadcom, Nvidia, Wall Street, Federal Reserve, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Friday's
With the S & P 500 trading around record highs and hanging around 6,000, one Wall Street firm revised its year-end S & P 500 price target, expecting more gains before the end of the year. We use the S & P 500 Short Range Oscillator as our guide to when the market is overbought or oversold. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Dow, Donald Trump administration's, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Eaton, Trump's, Oppenheimer, Wells, Tyson, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Honeywell, BlackRock, Tyson Foods, AstraZeneca, Club, Disney, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Dover, Wells Fargo
One thing that's widely understood is the artificial intelligence revolution is still in its infancy, and Nvidia is the go-to company for what's needed to run AI workloads. Microsoft : "We expect capital expenditures to increase on a sequential basis, given our cloud and AI demand signals," CFO Amy Hood said. Put another way, can the world's most valuable company, at nearly $3.6 trillion, get even more valuable? On current numbers, Nvidia is trading at about 37x calendar year 2025 earnings estimates. Visitors check out Nvidia's AI technology at the 2024 Apsara Conference in Hangzhou, China, on September 19, 2024.
Persons: hasn't, Donald Trump's, Trump, Piper Sandler, Morgan Stanley, Nvidia's, NVDA, OpenAI's, we're, Anat Ashkenazi, Susan Li, Andy Jassy, Amy Hood, Hood, Piper, Blackwell, Hopper, Melius, , Jensen Huang –, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Nvidia, Apple, Wall Street, White, Nvidia —, Melius, Blackwell, Trump, Google, AWS, Microsoft, Melius Research, Biden, CNBC, Visitors, Nurphoto, Getty Locations: China, CapEx, Beijing, U.S, Hangzhou
They have also considered the impact of potential tariffs proposed by former President Donald Trump. Some on Wall Street view a Harris win as a potential obstacle for antitrust and megacap technology stocks. "Regulatory scrutiny will probably help a lot of M & A activity under Trump — Harris, it'll be a little more of the status quo," said Jay Woods, chief global strategist at Freedom Capital Markets. This could "slow the pace of the AI revolution," he said in a recent post to X that also called a Harris win "more bullish" for the industry. Some investors also view Tesla as a likely winner under a Trump administration, given CEO Elon Musk's close ties to the former president.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Roger McNamee, Harris, Trump, Trump — Harris, it'll, Jay Woods, McNamee, Vivek Arya, Joe Rogan, Arya, Ed Mills, Raymond James, of America's Brad Sills, Raymond James ' Mills, Dan Ives, Trump's, Tesla, Elon Musk's, Capital's, Wolfe, Chris Senyek Organizations: Elevation Partners, Tech, Antitrust, Google, Justice Department, Trump, Freedom Capital, Bank of America, PHLX Semiconductor, Democrat, Republican, SOX, Devices, Qualcomm, Nvidia, Broadcom, Texas Instruments, Intel, of America's, Microsoft, Oracle, Wedbush Securities, Investors Locations: stoke, Taiwan, China, Washington
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFederated Hermes: We like small- and mid-cap tech stocks on growth prospects in a less-crowded spaceCharlotte Daughtrey of Federated Hermes is positive on the SMID space as they are trading at a discount and should benefit from the Fed rate cut cycle. She says both US presidential candidates are pro-growth, which will benefit these companies.
Persons: Daughtrey, Hermes Organizations: Federated
Among the megacap stocks, Alphabet , Amazon and Microsoft grew year-over-year, cloud-based revenue by 35%, 19% and 20%, respectively. But of the five largest companies that have so far reported results — Meta Platforms , Alphabet, Amazon, Apple and Microsoft — only two finished the week higher. META 5D mountain Meta, 5 days Commentary from some of the tech companies signaled that AI demand remains robust. Amazon CEO Andy Jassy justified stepped up AI spending, saying that investors will be rewarded over the long haul. AMZN 5D mountain Amazon, 5 days Meanwhile, the still enormous spending patterns among megacap technology companies signals no downturn for de facto AI leader Nvidia.
Persons: Gene Munster, Sundar Pichai, Andy Jassy, Ray Wang, Wang, Mark Malek, Constellation's Wang, Satya Nadella's, Eric Clark, Clark Organizations: Microsoft, Apple, Constellation Research, Brands, Nvidia
These are the most overbought stocks as November kicks off
  + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Pia Singh | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Investors have been accumulating shares of several big-name companies, from GE Vernova to United Airlines , during the market's recent dip. But those and other overbought stocks could be due for a pullback, according to one popular yardstick. Strong earnings from tech giants Amazon and Intel late Thursday were partly responsible for equity gains on Friday, as investors still look to megacap tech stocks for leadership. CNBC Pro screened for stocks that are considered technically overbought on the basis of their 14-day relative strength index, or RSI. Companies with a 14-day RSI above 70 are often regarded as overbought, signaling a pullback may be ahead, while a 14-day RSI below 30 often suggests a stock is oversold and could see future upside.
Persons: Nicole DeBlase, DeBlase, FactSet, Estée Lauder, Dr Pepper Organizations: GE Vernova, United Airlines, Dow, Nasdaq, Amazon, Intel, CNBC Pro, Companies, GE, FactSet, Electric, Deutsche Bank, Pharmaceuticals, eBay Locations: United, U.S, Chicago, China
Friday, November 1, 2024: Cramer on the potential tailwinds for this mega-cap tech stockJim and Jeff discuss the share moves for this mega cap tech stock. They also talk about earnings for this mega-cap tech stock. Finally, they break down this health and science stock's lawsuit victory.
Persons: Cramer, Jeff
Given the uncertainty surrounding the election next week and some mixed mega-cap technology earnings this week, I want to book some 2024 chip stock profits. I want to hedge my exposure by owning put options in the high-flying VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) . SMH YTD mountain VanEck Semiconductor ETF, YTD Risk can happen fast. Nonetheless, I'm looking to hedge given the big gains this year for the market and tech. This is downside risk mitigation and in the event this trade doesn't pay off, the Big tech exposure I have in my portfolio will continue to create 2024 gains.
Persons: SMH Organizations: VanEck Semiconductor, Semiconductor, Nasdaq, Boeing, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Jim Cramer said Thursday that Microsoft shares below $400 each would be an interesting buy level. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Stocks, Thursday's, Eaton, it's, Jim, Linde, Sanjiv Lamba, Estee Lauder, Bristol Myers, Uber, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Linde, Merck, LIN Locations: SharkNinja
Thursday, October 31, 2024: Cramer says wait to buy this mega-cap tech stockJim Cramer and Jeff Marks discuss the share moves in this mega-cap tech stock. They also discuss the earnings beat of this 'Mag 7' stock. Finally, they talk about this CEOs plan for this food retail stock.
Persons: Cramer, Jim Cramer, Jeff Marks
Wall Street faces another key litmus test Thursday with results from megacap technology giants Apple and Amazon . For Apple, Wall Street also wants to see its latest iPhone pick up steam, and investors seek more insight into when the company's AI initiative will begin lifting sales. For Apple, Wall Street expects EPS of $1.60 on $94.58 billion in revenue. Amazon's retail business also remains top of mind for Wall Street ahead of the busy holding shopping period. Apple For Apple, Wall Street is eagerly searching for signs of strong demand for its latest iPhone model and updates on its AI strategy.
Persons: Jason Helfstein, Brent Thill, Bank of America's Justin Post, Doug Anmuth, Goldman Sachs, Eric Sheridan, Ronald Josey, Morgan Stanley, Erik Woodring, Jefferies, Edison Lee, Samik Chatterjee, Davidson's Gil Luria, Wamsi Mohan, Tim Long, AAPL, Long Organizations: Apple, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Wall, LSEG, Amazon, StreetAccount, Jefferies, Bank of America's, Apple Intelligence, " Bank of America, Barclays Locations: Amazon
Wall Street's bullish sentiment on Microsoft hasn't faded, even after the tech giant forecast disappointing revenue growth numbers. The company's revenue increased 16% year over year in the quarter, and its net income rose 11% during the period compared to the year-ago quarter. That forecast led shares to slip nearly 4% in premarket trading, despite the company's strong earnings performance. That would be the company's fastest ever AI-related revenue growth rate. Barclays, which has one of the lowest price objectives on Wall Street, said it sees Microsoft shares being "range bound" in the short term.
Persons: Morgan Stanley —, Bernstein, Morgan Stanley, Keith Weiss, Weiss, Kirk Materne, Materne, Raimo Lenschow Organizations: Microsoft, LSEG, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Barclays, Citi, 25X, Investors Locations: Wells
Amazon reported a much better-than-expected third quarter Thursday, with strong growth across online sales, its cloud business and advertising. Commentary Cloud unit Amazon Web Services (AWS) revenue in the third quarter was essentially in line with the consensus forecast. Growth on a constant currency basis held steady from the second quarter at 19%, breaking a three-quarter streak of accelerating revenue growth. Quarterly results As for the rest of the company, Amazon delivered revenue beats across Online Stores (7% revenue growth), Subscription Services (11% revenue growth), and Advertising Services (19% revenue growth). Smaller businesses like Physical Stores (5% revenue growth) and Other (7% revenue growth) were better than expected too.
Persons: Andy Jassy, Jassy, it's, Kuiper, That's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Nathan Stirk Organizations: Amazon, LSEG, Management, Walmart, Target, Microsoft, North America, International, Web Services, AWS, Subscription Services, Advertising Services, Seller Services, CNBC, Getty Locations: North, North America, United Kingdom, Germany, Sutton Coldfield, England
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email"Future is bright" for tech giants as they both enable AI and use it to expand margins: CIOJason Ware, Albion Financial Group CIO, discusses the latest U.S. mega-cap tech earnings and how AI is propelling growth.
Persons: Jason Ware Organizations: Albion Financial
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