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Now that the central bank is lowering rates — with a new quarter point rate cut announced by the Fed on Thursday — experts say having money in cash can still be a competitive strategy. Yet just how much cash to set aside is a question every individual investor needs to determine. Strive for at least a six-month emergency fundMost financial advisors recommend having cash set aside so that unexpected expenses don't blow your budget or cause you to rack up credit card debt. However, having a year's worth of expenses set aside may also be reasonable, depending on your household budget, she said. For many individuals, inflation and having too many expenses has made finding cash to set aside more difficult.
Persons: Nopphon, Greg McBride, Callie Cox, that's, Cox, Natalie Colley, Colley Organizations: Istock, Getty, Federal Reserve, Fed, Ritholtz Wealth Management, Francis Financial, Finance Locations: New York
This, despite the fact that younger investors were more optimistic about the economy, their incomes, their living situations, and their investments. Millennial investors have been deeply scarred by two life-changing crises in their young lives. But if you look at hard numbers from the Federal Reserve about what millennial investors actually own, you can see that this stereotype is misguided. When you compare millennials' cash levels with Gen X's cash levels at the same age, though, the risk aversion becomes clear. But when it comes to younger investors, I think the scars run deeper than worries about a coming downturn.
Persons: Cash, it's, millennials, Gen Xers, boomers, There's, would've, you'd Organizations: Bank of, Federal Reserve, University of Michigan, Occupy, Dow, Netflix Locations: eToro, United States, YOLO
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCox: Corporate America has consistently proven Wall Street wrong. Callie Cox, Chief Market Strategist at Ritholtz Wealth Management, sees opportunities in stocks despite lowered Q3 earnings estimates, advising investors to reallocate tech holdings into value options.
Persons: Callie Cox Organizations: Cox, America, Ritholtz Wealth Management
U.S. equity futures fell on Sunday evening as investors braced for key inflation data, after almost completely reversing its violent market rout last week. S&P 500 futures dipped 0.08% and Nasdaq 100 futures inched lower by 0.05%. Fear often works in our favor as stock market investors. "Another round of good [inflation] data could help calm fears that the Fed is potentially losing the plot," Cox said. "Retail sales and retailer earnings may show that fears of a job market slowdown are overblown," she added.
Persons: Callie Cox, they'll, Cox Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Ritholtz Wealth Management, CNBC, Walmart
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets are going through a growth scare but it's not as bad as people think, says Ritholtz' CoxCallie Cox, Ritholtz Wealth Management chief market strategist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss how Cox would advise investors regarding the market's sharp pullback, the process for getting market rebalanced, and much more.
Persons: Ritholtz, Cox Callie Cox, Cox Organizations: Ritholtz Wealth Management
Cash has poured into money market funds since the Federal Reserve began its rate hiking cycle. Short-term debt has been a popular investment over the past few years, and money market funds are a top example. For perspective, there was roughly $4 trillion in total money market funds as of the fourth quarter of 2019, according to the St. Louis Fed . Money market funds hold very short-term debt, and many currently offer a yield above 5%. "Historically, you don't tend to see money market inflows stop or convert to outflows until you get below say 3% on those rates.
Persons: Cash, Louis Fed, Sam Huszczo, Huszczo, Todd Sohn, Ken Brodkowitz, weren't, Brodkowitz, Strategas, Sohn, " Sohn, Callie Cox, Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Investment Company Institute, SGH Wealth Management, Federal, Bond, SEC, Gries Financial Partners, Fidelity, Income, Morningstar, US Treasury, Ritholtz Wealth Management, Ritholtz Locations: Detroit , Michigan, BlackRock
Stock futures rose modestly on Sunday evening as Wall Street gears up for a busy week of corporate earnings. S&P 500 futures gained 0.2%, while Nasdaq 100 futures added 0.3%. The move in futures comes after a volatile week in the stock market. This week's earnings slate will play a role in determining whether tech stocks can now bounce back. Another key event this week will be the Federal Reserve meeting, with the central bank set to release a new policy statement on Wednesday.
Persons: Russell, it's, Callie Cox Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Ritholtz Wealth Management, Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Federal Reserve
The prospect of "higher for longer" rates has also made short-term fixed income assets especially attractive. "We had a lot of investors who were in, if not cash, then sub-2-year duration fixed income at the start of the year." Takeaways for investors It doesn't hurt for retail investors to review their fixed income allocation now that the year is halfway over. A combination of fixed income assets may be what it takes to benefit from today's higher rates, lock in yields and capture rising prices once the Fed cuts. "We don't buy that there's one fixed income asset class that you should tilt toward," said Calcagni.
Persons: , Don Calcagni, it's, Shannon Saccocia, Neuberger Berman, Michael Rosen, Rosen, Janus Henderson, Vishal Khanduja, Eaton Vance, Khanduja, Callie Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, FedWatch, Investment Company Institute, Money, Mercer Advisors, Investors, Municipal, Angeles Investment Advisors, AAA CLOs, Janus Henderson AAA CLO, SEC, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Bond, Ritholtz Wealth Management, Stay Locations: Santa Monica, Calif
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBelieve in the bull market but have rational optimism, says Ritholtz's Callie CoxCallie Cox, Ritholtz Wealth Management chief market strategist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the strategist's thoughts on the current market rally, what would spur a selloff in equities, and if a September rate cut is on the cards.
Persons: Ritholtz's Callie Cox Callie Cox Organizations: Ritholtz Wealth Management
High interest rates have not been bitcoin's friend in the past, and the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield recently reaching new generational highs comes at an especially inconvenient time for the cryptocurrency. "We continue to see high yields as a negative for bitcoin and in particular crypto more broadly," said Needham analyst John Todaro. The central bank chief also left the door open for higher interest rates , saying he doesn't think levels are currently too high. In the past, high yields have put pressure on crypto, giving investors fewer reasons to bet on high-risk assets such as bitcoin in the face of high yield, low risk assets like government bonds. Callie Cox, an analyst at the investment company eToro, said bitcoin could actually continue to do well — partly as a result of high interest rates.
Persons: it's, Needham, John Todaro, Jerome Powell, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Callie Cox, bitcoin, What's, Crypto, Cox Organizations: Treasury, Wolfe Research
Investors were handed an income opportunity they haven't seen in more than a decade when the 10-year Treasury yield climbed near 5% on Thursday. US10Y 5Y mountain 10-year Treasury A 5% yield on the 10-year is a good value, said Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab's chief fixed income strategist. A real yield is a bond's nominal yield minus inflation. "With the 10-year yield nearing 5%, it could be your sign to pick them up." There is also the Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) , which has lost 2.59% and charges 0.06% in fees.
Persons: Barry Glassman, Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab's, Callie Cox, Schwab's Jones, Amy Arnott, Morningstar, Arnott, Cox, John Croke ,, Jones, Morningstar's Arnott Organizations: Treasury, Wealth Services, LendingClub, Vanguard Locations: eToro
In the final quarter of the year, bitcoin is likely to see continued chop and although there's room for some upside, it may be limited. Despite this, it remains on pace for an 11% decline in the third quarter, historically a weaker quarter for the cryptocurrency. Meanwhile, holding a non-yielding asset like gold or bitcoin could become "less interesting" as rates go higher, Amberdata's Magadini said. There's a significant crowd on both sides, Cox said – "that's why bitcoin is up 60% in a year when the Fed has hiked interest rates so aggressively." The answer to that depends on interest rates, which will probably stay high."
Persons: Bitcoin, bitcoin, Greg Magadini, Rob Ginsberg, wouldn't, haven't, Callie Cox, That's, Amberdata's Magadini, Cox Organizations: SEC, , Wolfe Research, Fed
The 2023 stock market rally caught many investors off guard, with mountains of excess cash sitting in money market funds. "Money market balances are building up, which is unusual given how much the stock market has rallied recently. And history suggests that money market funds are not always fuel for a buy-the-dip trend to support a late-stage rally. Through that lens, the growth of money market funds in 2023 can also be linked to the regional bank crisis earlier this year. Clissold said discussions with wealth advisory clients suggest that "some of that money market fund money does leak into the stock market," albeit over time.
Persons: Emmanuel Cau, Callie Cox, Cox, Todd Sohn, Sohn, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clissold, John Tobin, Dreyfus, I'm, corporates, Tobin Organizations: Bank of America, EPFR, Investment Company Institute, Nasdaq, Barclays, Money, Federal Reserve, Ned, Ned Davis Research, BNY Mellon Investment Management, CIO Locations: U.S
Bitcoin rose more than 2% to $26,517.09. The crypto market move higher coincided with gains in the major stock averages. "Add in summer trading volumes, and you have a recipe for day-to-day volatility. Crypto has been suffering since the spring from low liquidity and thin trading volumes, which has exacerbated moves on both the upside and the downside. "The correlation between equity indices and bitcoin has declined to near zero in 2023," said Sam Callahan, lead analyst at Swan Bitcoin.
Persons: Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin, Ether, Cardano's, Callie Cox, Jerome Powell, Crypto, Sam Callahan Organizations: Federal, Swan Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Jackson
With the second half of the year now underway, investors may want to take another look at their fixed income portfolio. High yields have been a boon to income investors, as the Federal Reserve increased interest rates over the past year. "For more of our clients, we're looking to have the fixed income of the portfolio provide lower correlation and income," he said. Greg Wilensky, head of U.S. fixed income at Janus Henderson Investors, generally prefers securitized assets such as asset-backed and mortgage-backed securities. "You can't think of high yield bonds in the same thought as Treasurys," said Cox of eToro.
Persons: James Franke, Sonal Desai, She's, We're, It's, Desai, Franke, Rothschild, Callie Cox, Greg Wilensky, Janus Henderson, Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Rothschild Investment, Franklin, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors Locations: Treasurys, U.S, eToro
The crypto market leader finished May down 7.9%, according to Coin Metrics, while ether posted a 2% loss. Absent other clear catalysts – such as the U.S. regional bank crisis whose start and end coincided with the crypto rally – price movements in June will probably be determined yet again by inflation, monetary policy and regulatory updates. "Crypto investors will probably follow the economy for clues on where prices go next," said Callie Cox, an analyst at the investment company eToro. "Bitcoin and ether are likely to gather assets from the more speculative crypto currencies that investors have abandoned since the various scandals," she added. Prices, like growth stock valuations, have come down and made the asset more digestible, and interesting, particularly for institutional investors.
Persons: Bitcoin, Crypto, Callie Cox, Sylvia Jablonski, eToro's Cox, Joel Kruger, There's, it's, Defiance's Jablonski Organizations: Fed, Metrics, LMAX, CNBC Locations: Defiance
New York CNN —The White House and House GOP negotiators are rushing to finalize a deal to raise the country’s debt limit. With that X-date only about one week away, there’s still no deal to raise the debt ceiling – putting Americans’ finances in danger. If you invest in bonds, pay attention to when your Treasury bills are maturing. Stick with high-quality investmentsSteer clear of corporate junk bonds or emerging market bonds, CNN has previously reported. Federal government contractors could also see a lag in payments, which could affect their ability to compensate their workers, CNN previously reported.
Short-term Treasury bills have garnered investors' attention as yields pop amid the Federal Reserve's rate hiking campaign and debt ceiling tensions in Washington. This doesn't necessarily mean it's time to cut bait on your short-term bond holdings, however. Issues with longer duration are likely to see greater price fluctuation in response to changes in interest rates. The inverted yield curve also resulted in higher yields for short-term issues, but sharp price declines. Some investors built ladders — that is, a portfolio of bonds with different maturities — to take advantage of those higher yields.
Persons: Paul Olmsted, Bonds, Olmsted, we've, Brenna McLoughlin, Kevin Brady, Callie Cox, Cox Organizations: Morningstar, Treasury, Wealthstream Advisors, Wealthspire Advisors Locations: Washington
Bitcoin prices have been under pressure in 2022 after the collapse of algorithmic stablecoin terraUSD and subsequent bankruptcy filings from lender Celsius and hedge fund Three Arrows Capital. Bitcoin rose about 2% to $28,174.29, according to Coin Metrics, after starting the week with a sharp drop. Investors grew optimistic after the CPI report showed the inflation rate eased on an annual basis to 4.9% in April, which was slightly less than what economists polled by Dow Jones expected. "When it comes to inflation data, bitcoin embraces its identity as a riskier asset," said Callie Cox, an analyst at investment company eToro. "Inflation is coming down, just as the Fed intended, and that's easing fears about the economy's future," she added.
Cryptocurrencies fell on Monday as investors put excitement from Ethereum's "Shapella" upgrade behind them and refocused on upcoming bank earnings and recession concerns. Bitcoin fell 3% to $29,515.35, according to Coin Metrics, falling below the key $30,000 it hit last week for the first time since June. Crypto is coming off a winning week in which prices were boosted by optimism around Ethereum's latest tech upgrade, dubbed "Shapella" (also known as "Shanghai"). Crypto investors are watching bank earnings this week for more insight about the health of the sector and possibility of a coming recession. For this week, any downside potential "should not be severe" or keep bitcoin from continuing on its uptrend, Hasegawa said.
While ether climbed throughout the week, bitcoin – the outperformer this year – was trading more choppily. Or will it be an event where people are losing money broadly and economic concerns spill over into the crypto space." "I think it could go either way, but so far what we see in the crypto space is encouraging," he added. "Investors could continue to be picky and look for perceived quality, even in the crypto space," she said. "That's helped bitcoin this year since it's seen as a risk asset outside of crypto, but a store of value within crypto.
If the fed funds rate is discounted by core PCE inflation, the real interest rate is currently a positive 0.275%, and rising. Using annual headline PCE inflation of 5% in February, the real fed funds rate is only -0.125%. Real policy rates were positive for at least two decades up until 2002. For its part, the Fed sees the real fed funds rate ending this year around +180 bps, based on its median fed funds and PCE inflation projections of 5.1% and 3.3%, respectively. Bank of America rates strategists think this is far too optimistic, and real policy rates will be much lower.
U.S. equity futures were slightly higher on Wednesday evening as traders digested the latest policy update from the Federal Reserve. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 71 points, or 0.2%. S&P 500 futures rose 0.2%and Nasdaq 100 futures advanced by 0.1%. The Fed's decision and subsequent comments by Chair Jerome Powell at the conclusion of the policymakers' two-day meeting weighed on stocks. "Investors thought the banking crisis could weigh on growth enough to ease inflation, but the Fed isn't taking any chances.
Cryptocurrencies stood out this week as bank shares tumbled and the global liquidity crisis rocked the stock market. Bitcoin versus the banks The price of bitcoin twice rose above the key $25,200 level to more than $26,000, according to Coin Metrics. BTC.CM= 1Y mountain Bitcoin, 1-year Bitcoin's outperformance amid a crisis in the traditional banking system had some wondering if the price rallied on a potential narrative shift. Though bitcoin was initially designed to be digital cash and an alternative financial system, it spent much of last year trading like a speculative asset. "In practice, bitcoin isn't isolated from the traditional banking system.
It's headed for its best week since January 2021, which was right before the first bull run that year. Ether rose 3.5% to $1,744.24 and is on pace for its best week since August 2021. The bank's fate continued to weigh on investors even after the embattled lender said it will borrow up to 50 billion Swiss francs ($54 billion) from the Swiss National Bank. Investors have welcomed resilient crypto prices amid the banking crisis this week. The week kicked off with the closures of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank late Sunday but attention was on First Republic Bank throughout the week.
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