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☆ China's carbon emissions set to peak before 2030 - expert poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

SINGAPORE, Nov 21 (Reuters) - China is on track to meet a goal to bring its climate-warming carbon dioxide emissions to a peak before 2030, according to a poll of 89 experts from industry and academia published on Tuesday, though questions remain over how high the top will be. More than 70% of respondents said China, the world's biggest carbon dioxide emitter, will be able to meet the target, with two saying its emissions had already peaked, in a poll compiled by the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA), a Helsinki-based think tank. Still, "experts remain concerned about how high the peak emissions would reach compared to previous levels," CREA said, with a majority of respondents expecting the total to be at least 15% higher than the 2020 level. Half of the experts surveyed by CREA said they believed China would reach peak primary energy consumption before the end of this decade, though nearly a quarter still forecast it would continue to rise even after 2035. CREA's lead analyst Lauri Myllyvirta said last week it was likely China's emissions would go into a "structural decline" from next year, with renewable sources capable of meeting new energy demand.

Persons: CREA, CREA's, Lauri Myllyvirta, David Stanway, Sonali Paul Organizations: Centre for Research, Energy, Clean, Dubai, U.S, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, China, Helsinki, Beijing

☆ China emissions could go into 'structural decline' next year - research
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

SINGAPORE, Nov 14 (Reuters) - China's greenhouse emissions could start going into "structural decline" as early as next year as power generation from fossil fuels starts to fall, analysis from the Helsinki-based Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA) showed. However, CREA's lead analyst, Lauri Myllyvirta, said emissions could start to go into "structural decline" as early as 2024, despite an estimated rebound of 4.7% year on year in the third quarter of 2023. Factors such as record levels of new renewable installations, a rebound in hydropower generation and a moderate economic recovery that has not relied on infrastructural investment "all but guarantee" a decline in China's CO2 emissions next year, he said. "This would push fossil fuel use - and emissions - into an extended period of structural decline." Editing by Gerry DoyleOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Xie Zhenhua, Lauri Myllyvirta, David Stanway, Gerry Doyle Organizations: Research, Energy, Clean, Carbon, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Helsinki, Dubai

A Baidu search for the question "should China be more responsible for climate change? ", or variations of it, did not produce any articles critical of China's climate policy in the first few dozen results. Instead, the results, many from state media outlets, focused on China's leadership in the fight against climate change and calls for developed countries to take more responsibility. China's foreign ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment on this story, but government spokespeople have long defended China's record on climate change and press freedom. Despite the extreme weather, China has reinforced its message about energy security rather than climate change in recent months, said CREA's lead analyst, Lauri Myllyvirta.

Persons: Doksuri, Tingshu Wang, Li Shuo, We're, Su, Fang Kecheng, Pan Zhongdang, Xi Jinping, Li, Lauri Myllyvirta, David Stanway, Barbara Lewis Organizations: REUTERS, Greenpeace, Weibo, Baidu, Chinese University of Hong, Communications, University of Wisconsin, Environmental Studies, New, Centre for Research, Energy, Clean, Thomson Locations: Zhuozhou, Hebei province, China, BEIJING, Beijing, Hebei, Chinese University of Hong Kong, United States, Madison, New York, Shanghai Campus, Shanghai

TUA Assicurazioni, a non-life company founded in 2003, is valued at around 300 million euros ($335 million), according to the sources. Two sources mentioned German insurance heavyweight Allianz (ALVG.DE), fellow German insurer Talanx (TLXGn.DE) and France's Groupama as potential bidders. One of them also named Italy's Itas as one of up to five parties that could bid in the second round. Talanx has expressed interest in ICCREA's non-life business and is competing with Swiss Helvetia Group (HELN.S), Groupama and Italian cooperative insurer Assimoco. ($1 = 0.8946 euros)Additional reporting by Gianluca Semarero in Milan, writing by Keith Weir Editing by Keith Weir and Louise HeavensOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: TUA, TUA Assicurazioni, Italy's, ICCREA, Talanx, Rothschild, Mediobanca, Groupama, Gianluca Semarero, Keith Weir, Louise Heavens Organizations: Generali, Cattolica, Allianz, Swiss Helvetia Group, Itas, Thomson Locations: MILAN, Generali, Mediobanca, Talanx, Milan

☆ The West’s oil war against Russia is starting to lose momentum
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-24 | by ( Sam Meredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"Russia's export revenue in April was down substantially year-on-year, mainly due to the impact of the EU import ban and lower oil prices. Russia's oil revenue recovery expected to continueAt the start of the year, data showed Russia's revenue from fossil fuel exports had collapsed in December. It appeared to underscore the effectiveness of policymakers targeting Russia's oil revenues and sparked calls for even tougher measures to help Kyiv prevail. CREA's latest findings, however, show that Russia's oil tax revenues rose 6% month on month in April due to the increase of export revenues in March. It means that after bottoming out at the start of 2023, Russia's oil tax revenues have since recovered due to increased sales.

Persons: Vladimir Putin's, Lauri Myllyvirta, CREA, Myllyvirta, Vladimir Putin, Vyacheslav Lebedev, Mikhail Klimentyev, Isaac Levi Organizations: Europa Press, Getty, Centre for Research, Energy, Clean, European Union, Seven, Clean Air Energy, Coalition, CNBC, Kremlin, Afp Locations: Ceuta, Spain, Russia, Ukraine, Finnish, Moscow, Hiroshima, Japan, U.S, EU

☆ The West’s oil war against Russia is starting to take its toll — sparking calls for tougher measures
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-11 | by ( Sam Meredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Russia's revenues from fossil fuel exports collapsed in December, according to a new report, significantly hampering President Vladimir Putin's ability to finance the war in Ukraine. "The EU's oil ban and the oil price cap have finally kicked in and the impact is as significant as expected," Lauri Myllyvirta, lead analyst at CREA, said in a statement. It's essential to lower the price cap to a level that denies taxable oil profits to the Kremlin, and to restrict the remaining oil and gas imports from Russia," Myllyvirta said. The G-7, Australia and the EU implemented a $60-per-barrel price cap on Russian oil on Dec. 5. Together, the measures reflected by far the most significant step to curtail the fossil fuel export revenue that is funding the Kremlin's onslaught in Ukraine.

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