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☆ We asked Americans what they’d heard about Trump and Harris throughout the campaign. Here’s what they told us
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-10 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Georgetown University, University of Michigan and s3mc.orgGeorgetown University, University of Michigan and s3mc.orgWhat also stands out in the charts over time is the lack of a sustained narrative about either candidate. On average, over the 20 weeks The Breakthrough survey was fielded this year, roughly 76% of US adults said weekly they’d heard at least some news about Trump. In the 15 full weeks of data following Harris’ entry into the race, a slightly smaller share – about 71% on average – said they’d heard something about her. Sentiments expressed by political independents when talking about the news surrounding Trump were negative throughout the campaign. Their sentiment when discussing what they’d heard about Harris, which was close to neutral at the start of her candidacy, declined modestly throughout the fall, undercutting her advantage over Trump on that metric.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump’s, Joe Biden, Harris, ”, Harris –, SSRS, Trump, Gallup’s Frank Newport, “, …, Hillary Clinton, they’d, Biden, –, undercutting, Jennifer Agiesta, Edward Wu Organizations: CNN, Trump’s, Trump, Georgetown University, University of Michigan Locations: Puerto Rico

☆ How exit polls work and what they will tell us on election night
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Exit polls are conducted by Edison Research for the National Election Pool on behalf of a consortium of media companies: CNN, ABC, CBS and NBC. The polling locations were themselves selected through random sampling, meaning the resulting interviews should be representative of Election Day voters across the state or nationally. In addition to the national exit poll, there are also exit polls conducted in specific states with key, competitive presidential or down-ballot races. Even so, exit polls are still polls, with margins for error – which means they’re most useful when treated as estimates, rather than precise measurements. That’s particularly true for the earliest exit poll numbers, which won’t yet have been adjusted to match the final election results.

Persons: who’ve, CNN’s Jennifer Agiesta Organizations: CNN, Edison Research, ABC, CBS, NBC Locations: Arizona, Georgia, Florida , Michigan, Nevada , North Carolina , Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, Wisconsin

☆ What Americans heard about Trump heading into the campaign’s final week: fascism and french fries
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-03 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Conversations around Vice President Kamala Harris, by contrast, continued to focus largely around broader and more conventional stories about her campaign. The poll, conducted by SSRS and Verasight on behalf of a research team from CNN, Georgetown University and the University of Michigan, was fielded from October 25-28. Georgetown University, University of Michigan and s3mc.org“Numerous former officers in the 2016-2020 Trump administration are sounding alarms that Trump will dismantle democracy if he’s elected,” wrote one Democratic-leaning independent. Georgetown University, University of Michigan and s3mc.orgWhen the survey asked respondents what they’d been hearing about Harris, the words “campaign,” “rally,” “interview,” “polls” and “ad” all cracked the top 10. Overall, the sentiment behind the words Americans used in describing what they’d heard about both Trump and Harris remained more negative than positive, with the sentiment around Harris continuing to dip from the earliest days of her campaign.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, SSRS, Trump’s, Trump, –, “, Arnold, ”, Joe Rogan, “ Trump, ‘, Hitler, ’, they’d, Harris, Jennifer Agiesta, Edward Wu Organizations: CNN, Georgetown University, University of Michigan, Madison, Fame, ”, Trump, Beyoncé Locations: Puerto Rico, Houston

☆ Harris media blitz and Trump campaign rallies capture Americans’ attention
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-19 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

The survey also finds dishonesty remaining a central theme of the election, with “lies” the most common word used in conjunction with Trump’s campaign. While both Harris and Trump have been holding rallies and speaking with podcasters, Harris has ramped up her media appearances. Mentions of the campaign made up 36% of the responses about Harris, and 28% of the responses about Trump, a 10-point rise for each candidate compared with the start of the month. “She is doing the media blitz everyone wanted.”Georgetown University, University of Michigan and s3mc.orgBy contrast, when Americans were asked to describe the news about Trump, “rally” was the second-most commonly word used in response. “He’s been posting all of his political rallies there.”Georgetown University, University of Michigan and s3mc.orgDemocrats, in particular, were also likely to mention Detroit.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, SSRS, ”, Howard Stern, Stephen Colbert, “ He’s, Hurricane Milton, “, Jennifer Agiesta, Edward Wu Organizations: CNN, Georgetown University, University of Michigan, Trump, CBS, s3mc.org Democrats, Detroit, Detroit Economic, Hurricane, Democratic National Convention, ABC Locations: California, New York, Aurora , Colorado, Coachella , California, Detroit, Florida

☆ Pro-Trump forces flood airwaves with ads attacking Harris over past transgender stances
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( Steve Contorno | David Wright | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +12 min

The Trump campaign put nearly $14 million behind the ad in the first two weeks of the month. The Trump campaign disputed the report. As pro-Trump advertisers have put more money behind ads attacking transgender policies, economic messaging has also been a consistent, though shifting, point of emphasis. Harris’ campaign did not respond to a request for comment. President Trump is for you.”Democrats in the presidential race have offered no defensive response.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, It’s, CNN’s KFile, Harris, “, ”, Bret Baier, Trump, –, ” Trump, Kamala, Harris ’, Wednesday’s Fox, Terry Schilling, Andy Beshear, Beshear, Glenn Youngkin, Rodrigo Heng, Lehtinen, ” “, ” Heng, wouldn’t, Chris LaCivita, Miriam Adelson –, MAGA, Colin Allred – who’s, Sen, Ted Cruz, Texas –, Ohio Sen, Sherrod Brown, DeWine, Allred, Brown, Schilling, ” Schilling, Heng, Joe Biden, Jennifer Agiesta, Alayna Treene, Kate Sullivan, Kristen Holmes Organizations: CNN, Republicans, Trump, Fox News, New York Times, of Prisons, Fox, Democratic Gov, Republican Gov, statehouse, Virginians, National Center for Transgender Equality, “, Gallup, Democratic Party, ”, Preserve America, Badger State, PAC, Democratic, GOP, White Locations: Washington, Kentucky, Virginia, Wisconsin, Texas, Ohio

☆ CNN Poll: Harris and Trump are tied in North Carolina, while vice president leads in Nebraska’s 2nd District
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

CNN —Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are tied among likely voters in North Carolina, while Harris holds a comfortable lead in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, according to two new CNN polls conducted by SSRS. In North Carolina, Harris and Trump stand at 48% each among likely voters. In Nebraska’s 2nd District, the so-called blue dot encompassing Omaha, Harris has 53% to Trump’s 42%, the poll finds. An 86% majority of Democratic likely voters and 69% of independent likely voters favor keeping the current system, while 69% of GOP likely voters say they’d rather move to a winner-take-all system in the state. But just 41% in North Carolina say they’re very confident, rising to a 59% majority in Nebraska’s 2nd District.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, SSRS, Mark Robinson, Trump, Barack Obama, Joe Biden, they’ve, White, Biden, Brian Snyder, Josh Stein, Robinson, Stein, Tony Vargas, Don Bacon, Vargas, Bacon, Jim Watson, CNN’s Jennifer Agiesta, Edward Wu Organizations: CNN, Congressional, Gov, Democratic, Trump, North, Nebraska’s, Sun, College, Cornhusker State, Republican, Obama, Biden, Reuters Male, GOP, Republican Rep, Republicans, Getty Locations: North Carolina, Nebraska’s, The, Carolina, Omaha, Nebraska, Maine, Wilmington , North Carolina, Congress, Trump, North Carolina’s, North, Charlotte , North Carolina, AFP, The Nebraska

☆ Black voters: Harris still lags behind Biden’s 2020 margins but new CNN poll suggests she has room to grow support
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Edward Wu | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

In the latest poll, 79% of Black registered voters say they would definitely vote, up from 68% in the June poll. The poll suggests Trump’s improvements among Black voters relative to 2020 are driven largely by Black voters under the age of 60. Harris is also generally viewed more favorably among Black registered voters compared with registered voters overall, even after accounting for Black voters’ overwhelming Democratic lean. Democratic Black likely voters, however, are twice as likely as Democratic likely voters overall to consider the economy their top issue (42%, compared with 19%). Results among Black registered voters have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 7.8 percentage points; among Black likely voters, it is plus or minus 7.7 percentage points.

Persons: CNN — Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, SSRS, Joe Biden’s, Black, Trump, CNN’s, Harris, That’s, – Harris, Biden, Joe Biden, Andrew Harnik, don’t, CNN’s Jennifer Agiesta, Ariel Edwards, Levy Organizations: CNN, Trump, CNN’s, Biden, Black, Girard College, Democrats, Democratic Party, Black Democratic, Democratic Black, Democratic, White Americans, Black Americans Locations: Black, Philadelphia , Pennsylvania, United States

☆ CNN Poll: Harris leads Trump among young voters but falls short of Biden’s 2020 winning margin
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

Harris leads Trump 52% to 40% among these likely voters younger than 35. Where female likely voters younger than 35 prefer Harris over Trump, 53% to 39%, male likely voters are closely divided. And among registered voters, young women are 15 points likelier than men to express a positive view of Harris. The CNN Poll was conducted by SSRS online and by telephone September 19-22, 2024, among 2,074 registered voters nationwide drawn from a probability-based panel. Likely voters include all registered voters in the poll weighted for their predicted likelihood of voting in this year’s election.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Joe Biden, Biden, There’s, Young Trump, Obama, Trump, Trump’s, they’ve, Young, aren’t, Young Harris, CNN’s Jennifer Agiesta, Edward Wu Organizations: CNN, SSRS, Trump, Democratic, Quinnipiac University, Harvard Institute of Politics, Young, GOP, Young Republican, Republican, Democratic Party, Republicans, White, Trump voters

☆ CNN Flash Poll: Majority of debate watchers say Harris outperformed Trump onstage
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN —Registered voters who watched Tuesday’s presidential debate broadly agree that Kamala Harris outperformed Donald Trump, according to a CNN poll of debate watchers conducted by SSRS. The vice president also outpaced both debate watchers’ expectations for her and Joe Biden’s onstage performance against the former president earlier this year, the poll found. Debate watchers said, 63% to 37%, that Harris turned in a better performance onstage in Philadelphia. That June debate was a rare presidential debate win for Trump: In 2020 and 2016, Biden and Hillary Clinton were seen by debate watchers as outperforming him across the presidential debates. Results for the full sample of debate watchers have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5.3 percentage points.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, SSRS, Joe Biden’s, Harris, Trump’s, Trump, Biden, Hillary Clinton, Harris ’, CNN’s Jennifer Agiesta Organizations: CNN, Trump, Democratic, Republican Locations: Philadelphia, Trump, Harris

☆ Tim Scott launches multimillion dollar outreach effort to get Black and Latino voters to support the GOP
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( Kit Maher | Eva Mckend | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott, a contender to be former President Donald Trump’s running mate, is launching a multimillion dollar effort to recruit Black voters to support Republicans in 2024. And that translates into a lot of ticked off people who are looking at the Republican Party,” he said. Trump won roughly 1 in 10 Black voters nationally in 2020, according to multiple estimates, including 12% in CNN’s exit poll. In the same survey, 14% of Black voters said that if the election were held today, they would vote for Trump vs. 49% for Biden. As CNN’s Kevin Liptak reported last week, Biden’s aides say they aren’t taking Black voters for granted as surveys suggest an erosion of support, particularly among Black men.

Persons: South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Donald Trump’s, Scott, Trump, Biden, ” Scott, “ It’s, ”, aren’t, “ I’ve, we’re, “, ‘, I’m, ’ ” Scott, ” Trump, Kevin Liptak, Biden’s, ” Jennifer DeCasper, ” DeCasper, CNN’s Jennifer Agiesta Organizations: CNN, South, GOP, Great Opportunity PAC, Republican National Committee, Republican, Trump, Republican Party, Black Colleges, Universities, Act, Detroit, Biden, New York Times, Siena College, Black, Trump . Younger, Fox News Locations: South Carolina, Michigan, North Carolina , Georgia, Arizona , Nevada, Pennsylvania, Washington ,, Milwaukee, Philadelphia, Atlanta, Bronx, Siena, CNN’s

☆ Biden calls Trump ‘unhinged’ and says ‘something snapped’ in former president after he lost 2020 election
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-11 | by ( Samantha Waldenberg | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +1 min

CNN —President Joe Biden on Saturday called Donald Trump “clearly unhinged” and claimed that “something snapped” in the former president after he lost the 2020 election. “It’s clear that … when he lost in 2020, something snapped in him,” Biden told supporters in Seattle at a private fundraiser Saturday, according to reporters in the room. “He’s not only obsessed with losing in 2020, he’s clearly unhinged. Trump continues to hold an advantage over Biden, according to a CNN poll conducted by SSRS last month. “By the way, remember when he was trying to deal with Covid, he said just inject a little bleach in your veins?” Biden told a crowd of builders last month.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump “, ”, “, ” Biden, “ He’s, he’s, Biden, Trump, SSRS, Biden’s, Jon Shirley, “ I’ll, Jennifer Agiesta Organizations: CNN, Biden, “, Covid, Microsoft Locations: Seattle, Manhattan, ” Saturday’s Washington

☆ CNN Poll: Americans still broadly oppose overturning Roe; they’re less united on what abortion laws should look like
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Roughly half of US adults, 49%, want to see federal politicians work to enshrine abortion access nationally, while 37% say abortion laws should be left to states, and 14% call for nationwide restrictions. The poll comes in the wake of two years of largely state-level skirmishes over abortion laws following the overturn of Roe – political fights with tangible consequences for residents’ access to abortion in those states. The share who view their state’s abortion laws as too restrictive rises to 43% in the states where abortion is currently legal with gestational limits of 6-18 weeks, and to 52% in the states where it is banned. Among those who disapprove of overturning Roe, about two-thirds (64%) in states with gestational limits and three-quarters (74%) in states where abortion is banned find their state’s laws too restrictive. The CNN poll was conducted by SSRS from April 18-23 among a random national sample of 1,212 adults drawn from a probability-based panel, including 967 registered voters.

Persons: Roe, Wade, Dobbs, shouldn’t, state’s, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Laws, they’d, Biden, aren’t, he’s, he’ll, Trump, SSRS, CNN’s Jennifer Agiesta, Ed Wu Organizations: CNN, SSRS, Jackson, Health Organization, White Evangelical, Arizona Supreme, Republican, GOP, Biden, Trump, Democratic, Surveys Locations: Arizona, Florida , Maryland, New York

☆ US government is changing how it asks about race and ethnicity and adding new category
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( Nicole Chavez | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

CNN —The Office of Management and Budget on Thursday announced changes to how the federal government asks about people’s race and ethnicity, including in the US census. Under the previous standards, Hispanic or Latino ethnicity was measured in a question separate from the one on racial identity. “Thanks to the hard work of staff across dozens of federal agencies and input from thousands of members of the public, these updated standards will help create more useful, accurate, and up to date federal data on race and ethnicity. “The U.S. Census Bureau commends the scientific integrity and collaboration with our fellow federal statistical agencies and departments throughout this process. These efforts aim to improve federal race and ethnicity statistics and ensure data more accurately reflect the racial and ethnic diversity of the U.S. population,” the agency said.

Persons: ” Karin Orvis, “ We’ve, Maya Berry, Arturo Vargas, ” Vargas, Judy Chu, CAPAC, ” Chu, CNN’s Jennifer Agiesta Organizations: CNN, Management, Budget, OMB, Census Bureau, Arab American Institute, Black, AAI, National Association of Latino, Fund, Congressional Asian Pacific American Caucus, Pacific, Democratic Locations: Indian, Alaska, Eastern, America, “, California

☆ A Biden-Trump rematch would be mostly about Trump
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( Zachary Wolf | Analysis Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Most Biden supporters (68%) said they would be casting their vote against Trump as opposed to just 32% who said it would be a vote to support Biden. It’s the opposite for registered voters supporting Trump; 60% said it would be a vote for Trump compared with 40% who would be casting a vote against Biden. For now, Trump has an edge; he gets the support of 49% of registered voters in CNN’s poll compared with 45% who back Biden. Trump’s roseMore Americans have an unfavorable opinion of Biden than have an unfavorable view of Trump in CNN’s poll. Concerns about Biden’s age stickThe most-cited concern about Trump among Republicans and Republican-leaning registered voters is his demeanor.

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Donald Trump, SSRS, Trump, ”, Jennifer Agiesta, Ariel Edwards, Levy, Biden’s favorability, Trump’s, It’s, Haley, Nikki Haley, Jake Tapper, “ We’ve, ” Haley, Tapper, “, I’m, He’ll, he’ll, souring, it’s, Kamala Harris, Hillary Scholten, CNN’s Manu Raju, ” Scholten, Raju Organizations: CNN, Trump, Biden, Republican, Quinnipiac, Republicans, Democratic, Haley Republicans, South Carolina Gov, GOP, Republican Party, Teamsters, United Auto Workers, UAW, Michigan Democrat Locations: CNN’s, Agiesta, Quinnipiac, Iowa, New Hampshire, Trump, – Pennsylvania, Wisconsin , Michigan, Georgia, Arizona, Nebraska, Washington ,, Belt, Michigan, –, Israel, Gaza

☆ Final day ahead of caucuses begins with Trump boosted by new poll
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-14 | by ( Gregory Krieg | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

“Our grassroots supporters have put us in position to win, and now we have to show up to Caucus for President Trump on Monday and get the job done,” Trump said in a statement late Saturday, after the poll’s release. The DeSantis campaign seized on that uncertainty in a late Saturday night message to supporters who might have felt stung by the latest horse-race numbers. Like everyone else, Trump was thinking about the weather – and what it could mean for the caucuses – upon setting foot in Des Moines. Nearly 90% of Trump-backing likely caucus-goers say in the poll that they are extremely or very enthusiastic about voting for him. The Florida governor entered the 2024 GOP presidential primary as the odds-on favorite to challenge Trump for the nomination.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Iowa’s, ” Trump, ’, Haley, Iowans, ”, ” Haley, You’ve, Bobby Kaufmann, “, It’s, DeSantis, He’ll, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, MAGA, “ Vivek, ‘, Vivek, don’t, Nikki, Joe Biden, Lloyd Austin, he’s, Jennifer Agiesta, Kate Sullivan, Veronica Stracqualursi Organizations: CNN, Hawkeye State Republicans, Des Moines Register, NBC, South Carolina Gov, Florida Gov, Republicans, Iowa, Hawkeye State, GOP, Trump, ”, Iowa State University –, New, Republican, United Nations Locations: Iowa, Cedar Falls, Indianola, Des Moines, “, Dubuque, Mississippi, Cedar Rapids, Sioux City, Ankeny, Ames, Adel, New Hampshire, Florida

☆ Bill Barr, on a mission to stop Trump, still might vote for him
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-03 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

Bill Barr was the attorney general under Trump and says the former president should not be anywhere near the Oval Office. BARR: “No, I really don’t think that’s a valid argument, because, as the indictment says, they’re not attacking his First Amendment right. So, free speech doesn’t give you the right to engage in a fraudulent conspiracy.”Did Trump know he lost the election? And in terms of his personal ethics, I think there’s some red flags there that I think people should be paying attention to. I don’t think he’s morally superior, necessarily, to Trump.”Are you doing interviews like this to make sure Trump is not the nominee?

Persons: CNN —, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Joe Biden’s, Biden, CNN’s Jennifer Agiesta, Ariel Edwards, Levy, don’t, Bill Barr, Barr, CNN’s Kaitlan Collins, Collins, BARR, “, they’re, Jack Smith, Trump’s, Steve, Bannon, Roger, Stone, ’ –, I’ve, it’s, Smith, You’ve, there’s, – Organizations: CNN, Trump, Republican, GOP, Republicans, Justice Department, Justice, “, America, Department, Republican Party Locations: Republican, Florida , Georgia, Virginia

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