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Nvidia 's slump is hitting some technical milestones that suggest the stock could continue to slide, according to Raymond James. Raymond James chart analyst Javed Mirza said in a July 25 note to clients that Nvidia has triggered a "mechanical sell" signal based on a moving average convergence/divergence indicator, or " MACD ," which measures price momentum — and it is not the only technical signal flashing sell. The key level to watch is Nvidia's 50-day moving average, currently around $118 per share, according to Mirza. "A multi-day close below important technical support at the 50-day moving average … would confirm a new short-term corrective phase was underway. If that view spreads to executives at Big Tech companies such as Alphabet, it could result in new orders for Nvidia slowing down.
Persons: Raymond James ., Raymond James, Javed Mirza, Mirza, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Big Tech
The upcoming earnings report for Apple could create a big market move that options traders can take advantage of, according to Goldman Sachs. John Marshall, head of derivatives research at Goldman, said in a note to clients that the tech giant's earnings report after the bell on Aug. 1 could deliver a positive surprise. "[Goldman] Hardware analyst Michael Ng expects Apple (AAPL) to deliver an EPS beat at upcoming quarterly earnings driven by solid growth expectations for iPad/Mac and Services. A straddle is a type of options strategy involving a call and put option on a stock with the same expiration date and strike price. The Goldman note was written before Wednesday's tech sell-off, in which Apple fell 2.9%, so investors may want to consider other strike prices as well.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, John Marshall, Goldman, Michael Ng, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Apple, Goldman, Services
Analyst Rob Ginsberg said in a July 24 note that the Invesco MSCI Global Timber ETF (CUT) appears to be on the verge of a breakout. "The ETF has carved out a very compelling multi year base and is on the verge of breaking out through $34. The timber ETF closed at $33.56 per share on Wednesday. CUT launched in 2007 and is a relatively small ETF, with about $55 million in assets, according to FactSet. Basic Materials ETF (IYM) is up 0.7% in July, compared to a decline of 0.6% for the S & P 500 .
Persons: Rob Ginsberg, WestRock, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wolfe Research, ETF, Basic Materials
Shares of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) were rocked by geopolitical developments from the U.S. last week, even as the firm reported earnings that beat expectations. TSMC and other semiconductor shares fell last Wednesday after reports of potentially tighter restrictions surfaced. Price target hikes for TSMC Over July 18 and 19, after those developments, 22 of 42 analysts who cover TSMC's Taiwan-listed shares hiked their price targets for the stock, according to FactSet. None reduced or left the price target unchanged. Analysts gave the stock potential upside of 30.5% based on the consensus price target.
Persons: Biden, TSMC's, Donald Trump, TSMC, Needham, Morningstar, Morgan Stanley, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Arjun Kharpal Organizations: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, U.S, Bloomberg, Revenue, North America, Taiwan, CNBC, U.S . Needham, Management Locations: China, North, Taiwan, U.S, TSMC
Analysts expect Tesla to post 62 cents in earnings per share on $24.77 billion in revenue. Although the revenue estimate is slightly higher than the $21.30 billion Tesla posted in the first quarter, the earnings forecast is 30% below the previous year. Last quarter, Tesla reported adjusted earnings of 45 cents per share on a 9% decline in revenue to $21.30 billion compared with the fourth quarter. Evercore's Chris McNally also sees further downside to Tesla shares. Jonas holds a $310 price target on Tesla shares, indicating 23% potential upside from Monday's close.
Persons: Tesla, Elon Musk, Ronald Jewsikow, Jewsikow, Dan Levy, Levy, Chris McNally, McNally, Wells, Colin Langan, Langan, Joe Biden's, Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas, Jonas, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Barclays, Tesla, U.S, Trump Locations: Monday's, Wells Fargo
Warren Buffett 's Berkshire Hathaway has a new Wall Street analyst covering its stock, and he has mixed feelings about the conglomerate. The analyst thinks Berkshire is grappling with weakness in its noninsurance businesses including railroad, utilities service and retail, while its insurance operations continue to outperform. "Berkshire Hathaway's old-school conglomerate structure has faced challenges in a number of key areas of late despite being powered by an insurance business that continues to shine," Kligerman said in a note. Berkshire's insurance business has been a bright spot for the conglomerate. Correction: Of the seven analysts covering Berkshire, three have a hold rating, according to CNBC's research.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Cowen's Andrew Kligerman, Berkshire, Kligerman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Berkshire, BNSF Locations: Omaha , Nebraska, Berkshire, U.S
For Europe, the prime concern is tariffs," wrote Goldman analysts. "If the entire impact came in 2025 this would be enough to eliminate any growth that year (our current top-down forecast is 4%)," Goldman wrote. Within sectors, beneficiaries of rising trade risks tend to be defensive stocks such as utilities, health care as well as Europe's GRANOLAS stocks, according to the bank. But he says a "meaningful selloff" in mega tech will see other names "pushed down as collateral damage." And if the AI narrative plays out as expected, a material sell-off in Mega Tech will present a buying opportunity in those names as well," he wrote.
Persons: Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, Europe's, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Louis Navellier, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bloomberg, Taiwan, Trump, U.S, JPMorgan, China Gas, Power, Huaneng, Republicans, National Security, Hire, GSK, Roche, ASML, Nestle, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, L'Oreal, LVMH, AstraZeneca, SAP, Sanofi, Liquide, Tobacco, Dassault Systemes, Intercontinental Hotels, Nvidia, Navellier, Associates, Mega Tech Locations: China, Taiwan, U.S, Hong Kong, Europe, United States, Germany, France, Stellantis
Investors could be "significantly" undervaluing CAE stock, a Canadian aerospace training and simulation company, according to Goldman Sachs. In a recent report, the Wall Street investment bank reiterated a buy rating on CAE, which operates two primary businesses: civil aviation and defense. In the report, Poponak analyzed both CAE's civil aviation and defense businesses in isolation and compared to competitors. The civil aviation segment's growth and margin profile isn't accurately reflected in CAE's current valuation multiple, the analyst added. CAE's valuation seems to reflect that investors have assigned the defense business little to no value, Poponak wrote.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Noah Poponak's, Poponak, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CAE, Wall Locations: Canadian, U.S
Increased shipments of Apple's iPhones will be a key "volume driver" for the supply chain, according to Morgan Stanley. But the situation is set to change, with Apple Intelligence predicted to be a "key iPhone replacement driver." It raised its price targets for several stocks in the Apple supply chain. Largan reported first-quarter revenue that was below expectations but Morgan Stanley believes that was the trough. Morgan Stanley said Genius has a "good chance" of making a breakthrough in the periscope high-end lens segment in the second half of this year.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Hon Hai, Hai, Luxshare's, Max, Morgan, Largan, Genius, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Apple Intelligence, Apple, Max, AAC Locations: Asia, Taiwan, India, Zhengzhou, China
The broadening market rally has Bank of America forecasting further upside for the S & P 500 . Strategist Stephen Suttmeier estimates the broad market index will reach 6,150, which is 8.5% higher than Tuesday's close. Suttmeier said the S & P 500's broadening market rally participation supports more upside potential to the 6,150 level. In addition, the strategist said the number of S & P 500 stocks trading above their 50-day and 200-day moving averages has improved to indicate stabilizing market breadth. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 in 2024 Suttmeier believes the iShares Russell 2000 ETF , which tracks the benchmark small-cap index, can break out to as high as 260.
Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, Russell, Suttmeier, , Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, NYSE, Dow Jones
JPMorgan highlighted Amazon as its best idea going into the second-quarter earnings season for technology stocks, followed by Uber and Google . JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth wrote that the Wall Street bank remains bullish on larger players in the industry, for now. The analyst highlighted Amazon as his favorite stock for the near and long term. Amazon stock has gained 27% this year. "Google remains focused on innovation, and we continue to believe there is healthy runway across Search and YouTube ads as AI drives higher ROI & TV dollars shift online," the analyst wrote.
Persons: Uber, Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Google, Amazon Web, Costco, YouTube
But for those looking for alternatives, UBS has refreshed its list of "highest conviction and most investable" tech stocks in Asia. So far, UBS' Asian Super 8 has gained 8.3% since its inception in February, beating the 6.7% returned by the benchmark MSCI Asia-Pacific index. "We believe the valuation discount across the value chain in Asia's technology sector offers a defensive catch-up play for investors," UBS' analysts wrote. Tencent has been making headlines recently, with several analysts bullish, including Goldman Sachs , which included the stock in its conviction list. The company, which also goes by the name Foxconn, is expecting over 40% year-on-year growth in its AI server sub-segment this year, UBS' analysts noted.
Persons: Tencent, Goldman Sachs, Hon Hai Taiwan's, Hai, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, UBS, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, U.S, Hai Precision Industry, Taiwan Stock Exchange, Lenovo Lenovo, Lenovo, Hong Kong Exchange Locations: Asia, China, U.S
Regional bank stocks are breaking out, and they may be able to continue to climb even if second-quarter earnings results are modest. The SPDR S & P Regional Bank ETF (KRE) has risen for six straight trading sessions, and on Monday it closed at its highest level since December. KRE 1Y mountain This regional bank ETF is at its highest level since December. The group still trades below historical valuations more than a year after the failure of Silicon Valley Bank, Bank of America said. Notable regional bank earnings reports this week include Citizens Financial Group on Wednesday, M & T Bank on Thursday and Fifth Third Bancorp on Friday.
Persons: Ebrahim Poonawala, Banks, Poonawala, Goldman, Ryan Nash, Nash, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: P Regional Bank ETF, Federal Reserve, Fed, Bank of America, Silicon Valley Bank, Western Alliance, WAL, York, Citizens Financial Group, T Bank, Fifth Third Bancorp Locations: Silicon
Morgan Stanley says it's time for stock-picking in Europe as earnings season and rate cuts are imminent. Stock-level dispersion refers to the range of returns for stocks, while market breadth tracks the number of stocks going up relative to those declining. It named its top picks for Europe, which are its analysts' "highest conviction ideas" within the universe of stocks that they cover. Morgan Stanley called Commerzbank "one of the best yield payers in the sector," and is strongly profitable. "Repsol's financial framework also remains solid, where there is both ability and willingness for high distributions and dividend growth," Morgan Stanley analysts wrote.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Europe, Merck, Electronics Locations: Europe
Jefferies has identified a lesser-known and potentially undervalued Taiwanese company poised to benefit from the growing artificial intelligence sector. The investment bank said Insyde Software, listed on the Taipei Exchange, is well positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for AI-enabled personal computers and servers. Jefferies initiated coverage of Insyde with a research note titled "Firmware Leader and Yet-to-be Discovered AI Play" on July 9 with a "Buy" rating and a price target that suggests a potential 42% upside from current levels. However, the stock has already risen by more than 30% since the ratings action, according to FactSet data, which shows the stock currently offers 17% upside potential. Founded in 1998, Insyde has established itself in the firmware industry, commanding over 50% market share in the personal computer segment, Jefferies suggests.
Persons: Jefferies, Insyde, Matt Ma, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Interactive, Microsoft, Nvidia, Qualcomm, Intel, Dell, HP Locations: Taipei, Taiwan
Tesla 's massive rally might soon run out of steam, Wells Fargo warned investors in a new note. Analyst Colin Langan reiterated his underweight rating on the electric vehicle manufacturer, contrasting with Wall Street's bullish sentiment. TSLA YTD mountain TSLA YTD chart Langan attributed the rally to temporary optimism driven by better deliveries, the approval of Elon Musk's compensation package , hype around Tesla's robotaxi and technical factors. Retail interest likely surged in recent months, while professional investors took the opportunity to cover short positions or raise underweight holdings. "The stock rose ~40% (S & P +4%) over the last month, mostly driven by 'razzle-dazzle' headlines as most fundamentals remain weak," Langan wrote in a report entitled, "Will retail puppy love last?"
Persons: Tesla, Wells, Colin Langan, Langan, Elon, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Tesla
Citi has identified several undervalued global stocks exposed to artificial intelligence that present substantial investment opportunities. AI has driven approximately half the 11% return in the MSCI All Country World Index so far, according to Citi. The picture resembles the S & P 500 , where mega-cap stocks focused on AI have driven much of the rally. While many AI stocks have benefited from both expanding multiples and upward earnings revisions, Citi has identified a subset of 19 stocks that buck this trend. This dual tailwind of improving valuations and fundamentals has not been present in stocks with medium or low AI exposure — such as those in the table above.
Persons: Drew Pettit, Beata Manthey, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi, Digital Realty Trust, Apple, Toyota Motor, Visa, ServiceNow, Samsung Electronics
The uncertainty has led Morgan Stanley to reiterate its recommendation to buy dividend stocks. The investment bank noted that the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan High Dividend Index has slightly underperformed the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan index in the second quarter of the year, albeit by only 0.34 percentage points. "We still prefer Dividend stocks given cautious risk sentiment in Asia/EM and see support in valuations for quality dividend stocks due to their defensiveness. Investor appetite on corporate reform and shareholder return theme in Asia/EM also remain high, which are likely to benefit dividend stocks." The company provides distillery services and Morgan Stanley sees it benefitting from "improving demand for high-end products and mid-market brands."
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Wuliangye, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Asia, UST, U.S . Treasury, Wuliangye Yibin Company, China's Shenzhen Stock Exchange, FTSE, G, Won, Korea Exchange, American Locations: Japan, Asia, Pacific, China, FTSE China, Korean, U.S
"A solid iPhone replacement cycle and spec upgrade should help HH's better sales/earnings in 2025-26," the investment bank's analysts wrote. The bank expects the China-based design and manufacturing giant to see strong margins as demand for its casings increases in tandem with better iPhone shipment cycles between 2025 and 2026. "We lift Foxconn Industrial Internet (FII)'s 2024-26E earnings by 2-6% on potentially better iPhone casing sales and strong AI server contribution," the analysts wrote. "We expect BYDE's casing profitability to gradually improve on better operation efficiency (higher automation rate, improving yield)," the analysts wrote. They have lifted the company's 2025-2026 earnings expectations by 2% to "reflect potentially better iPhone volume, robust auto expansion as well as rising AI-related contribution (server, robot)."
Persons: Ming, Chi Kuo, Ross Young, Hai, BofA, Foxconn, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Tech, Apple, Bank of America, Hai Precision Industry, Taiwan Stock Exchange, American Depository, New, Industrial, Taiwan Stock Exchanges, U.S . Its, Shenzhen Stock Exchange, China 5G, Semiconductor, Hong Kong Exchange, Hong Locations: U.S, New Taiwan, China, Shanghai, Taiwan, U.S . Its Shanghai, Hong Kong
Strong consumer demand has helped the U.S. economy weather the Federal Reserve's rate hikes, avoiding a hard landing where growth and employment turn lower. The high-end consumer Inui estimates the net worth of high-end consumers is actually accelerating to a high-single-digit rate. "As a result, discount retailers are facing high shrinkage, restaurants are becoming increasingly promotional to boost traffic and retailers with strong value propositions are gaining share." HSBC called McDonald's one of the stocks that offers "a strong value proposition" to consumers tightening their belts. Another retailer HSBC named was Target , which has an "expect more, pay less" strategy emphasizing private labels to boost sales.
Persons: HSBC's, Nicole Inui, Hilton, Marriott, Inui, Innui, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: HSBC, Viking Holdings, Worldwide Holdings, Marriott International, Royal, Motors Locations: U.S, Americas, Royal Caribbean
Shares of Dutch food delivery marketplace Just Eat Takeaway.com could more than double over the next 12 months, according to Jefferies analysts. Jefferies remains bullish on Just Eat, even as the company's U.S. business Grubhub has faced the pressures of government price controls imposed on restaurants since the Covid-19 pandemic. Just Eat expects a $100 million EBITDA impact from the amending of the fee caps, the Jefferies note reported. Shares of the delivery firm have also moved away from their high during the Covid pandemic, and are now down 18.1% year-to-date and 22.5% in the last 12 months. It also trades as an American Depository Receipt in the U.S. — CNBC's Michael Bloom contributed to this report.
Persons: Jefferies, Grubhub, Giles Throne, Throne, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Jefferies, U.S ., TKWY, Euronext Amsterdam, London Stock Exchange, American Locations: U.S, New York, New York City
Investors should take a look at the options market to bet on the long-awaited rebound of Wells Fargo , according to the derivatives research team at Goldman Sachs. John Marshall, the firm's head of derivatives research, said in a note to clients that Wells Fargo looks like an options trade candidate ahead of its earnings report. Wells Fargo is set to release its latest earnings before the bell on Friday. WFC 5Y mountain Wells Fargo is off to a strong start in 2024 after a long period of underperformance. Wells Fargo has been a long-term underperformer among bank stocks, and it is still under regulatory restrictions related to a fake accounts scandal under a previous CEO.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, John Marshall, Wells, Goldman, Richard Ramsden, Richard, Wells Fargo, Marshall, NII, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells, underperformance, 2H24
Mainland China investors these days are often focused on how well U.S. stocks are doing — and bemoaning tepid performance at home. But a look at first-half performance shows that many China stocks still rose by double-digits, including a few artificial intelligence plays. Zhongji Innolight Ranking third in CSI 300 performance in the first half was Zhongji Innolight, which climbed 70%. Nomura rates Zhongji Innolight a buy and its analysts met with the optical communication company in late June. The broad mainland China stock market, measured in Class A shares, has underperformed over the past two years, said Wanda Wang, a research manager at Morningstar.
Persons: BofA, Nomura, Wanda Wang, That's, Invesco's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, CSI, Apple, Foxconn, Bank of America Securities, Industrial, FII, Avary Holding, Avary, Chartered Bank, HSBC, JPMorgan, Nomura, Nasdaq, U.S, Morningstar, Capital, Shenzhen Stock Exchange Locations: China, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Avary Holding Shenzhen, Hong Kong
Goldman Sachs has refreshed its lists of top global stock picks for July, adding some and removing others. The stocks are featured in the investment bank's "Conviction List - Directors' Cut" which seeks to offer investors a "curated and active" list of 15 to 25 buy-rated stocks. Stocks on the list are selected by a subcommittee designated by the bank's Investment Review Committee for each region. "The subcommittee will collaborate with each sector analyst to identify top ideas that offer a combination of conviction, a differentiated view and high risk-adjusted returns," Goldman Sachs said. The investment bank's analyst Ben Andrews expects the company's organic growth and margins to surpass consensus estimates.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Ronald Keung, Keung, Goldman, Ben Andrews, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: bank's Investment, Tencent Holdings China, HK, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, U.S, ISS, Copenhagen Stock Exchange Locations: Asia, Pacific, Europe, Danish, U.S
Tightness in labor markets is boosting the use case of robotics, Morgan Stanley says, predicting a boom in humanoids — or robots in human form. "Advancements in AI are transforming the robotics industry," Morgan Stanley analysts said in a June 26 report called: "Humanoids: Investment Implications of Embodied AI." The bank forecasts a humanoid population of 40,000 by 2030, 8 million by 2040 and 63 million by 2050. Morgan Stanley is not alone in its bullish stance on humanoids. Still, Morgan Stanley outlined a number of sectors set to potentially benefit from humanoids, with social care likely to be the largest total addressable market.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, it's, Elon Musk, Morgan Stanley's, , Michael Bloom, Lora Kolodny Organizations: Labor, Morgan Locations: China, United States, Asia, Europe
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