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☆ Buying opportunity or time to bail? What to do with gold following the postelection selloff
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-14 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

First, let's recognize the strength of the uptrend in gold leading into November 2024. While the two trends were both higher in October, a post-election surge in the US Dollar appeared to signal the end of the golden era of gold in 2024. And while the long-term chart of gold remains in decent shape, the short-term reversal in recent weeks has pushed gold stocks down to key price support. Now the GDX is testing its 200-day moving average, which also represents a 50% retracement of the 2024 bull phase. In terms of a longer-term inflection point for gold, it's all about finding signs of accumulation.

Persons: it's, wasn't, we'd, David Keller Organizations: Nasdaq, Gold Miners, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Why a breakout in this software stock may be just beginning, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

But after a strong October, TTWO appears to be setting up for a significant breakout that yields a healthy upside price target. After reaching a peak of around $170 in early February, the stock pulled back to just below its 200-day moving average. We can determine an initial upside target simply by measuring the price range of the basing pattern, in this case from $140 to $170. That 61.8% retracement sits right around $167, forming the upper end of the price range we outlined on the daily chart. So a breakout above $170, while an important signal on the daily chart based on the basing pattern, also represents a significant break above a major Fibonacci retracement level.

Persons: TTWO, Alan Shaw, David Keller Organizations: CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ While the Magnificent 7 stocks flounder, this forgotten growth name is breaking out
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

With the Magnificent 7 stocks floundering this week, and about 30% of the S & P 500 members breaking below their 50-day moving average in October, where can investors find emerging strength? The structure of the daily chart remains positive as long as Visa remains above the $290 price point, which now serves as potential support. The weekly RSI has remained above 40 during pullbacks in October 2023 and June 2024, demonstrating that the overall momentum picture remains bullish on the long-term time frame. Similar to the buy signal in November 2023, we see this as a sign of renewed bullish sentiment for Visa. And as long as Visa remains above moving average support, this payment processor could be headed to much further gains into early 2025.

Persons: David Keller Organizations: Visa, RSI, pullbacks, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Forget AI stocks, this supermarket name is more exciting, says chart analyst
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

We can see the cup-with-handle pattern developing on the daily chart, consisting of a six-month rounded bottoming pattern followed by a brief pullback in the month of October. The key to a cup with handle pattern is the "rim" of the cup, which is essentially a trendline connecting the highs during the price pattern. Other indicators on the chart seem to suggest that an impending breakout is likely, especially the RSI which has been in a bullish range since July of this year. Similar to the daily chart, we can see the weekly RSI has been in a bullish range for the last five years. This continued bullish momentum range suggests a bullish secular trend, reinforcing the upside potential represented on the daily chart.

Persons: I'm, I've, David Keller Organizations: Kroger Co, Kroger, RSI, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ The breakout in cruise line stocks may be just getting started, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

While charts like Carnival Corp. (CCL) have once again become overbought, the strength of the recent breakout suggests they may just be getting started. The longer a resistance level is tested, the more meaningful it becomes when the price finally breaks above this price ceiling. As long as CCL remains above this breakout level, the uptrend phase appears to be in good shape. Note the daily RSI which has pushed above the crucial 70 level on the recent breakout. The recent breakout for cruise lines like Carnival Corp. suggests that the uptrend phase may just be beginning.

Persons: Alan Shaw, Alexander Elder, David Keller Organizations: Carnival Corp, RSI, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Charts indicating Alphabet may be bottoming here even with government break-up overhang
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Let's dig into what this pattern represents, and what key price level investors should be watching for in the days to come. This week's sell-off could result in the formation of the right shoulder, completing the set-up of this bullish price pattern. Further price support could emerge at the 61.8% retracement level using the March to September rally as a framework for the analysis. Note how this neckline lines up almost perfectly with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level using the framework described above. Other Magnificent 7 stocks Interestingly enough, Alphabet is not the only Magnificent 7 name testing its 200-day moving average this week.

Persons: GOOGL, David Keller Organizations: Inc, Microsoft Corp, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

The nation is finally beginning to see that “country music is for everyone,” and Mickey Guyton loves it. Guyton, 41, has been a trailblazer in country music for years: In 2021, she became the first Black woman to co-host the Academy of Country Music Awards and the first Black woman solo artist to be nominated for a Grammy in a country music category. “Country music is a very universal music about life, and we’re all living, right? Beyoncé’s “Cowboy Carter” will compete for best country album at the Grammys, according to The Hollywood Reporter. “But there’s one thing you can’t stop: It’s the amount of people that are singing country music.

Persons: Mickey Guyton, Guyton, she’s, ” Guyton, Anthropologie, George Floyd, She’s, ”, Breonna Taylor, Grant Savoy, Grayson Clark, “, Texan Beyoncé, Cowboy Carter, Jada Watson, Beyoncé, Beyoncé’s, Carter ”, it’s, ’ Organizations: Academy of Country, CMT, of, Texan, Nashville, Hollywood, ”, Convention, U.S, NBC News, DNC Locations: New York City, of America, Arlington , Texas, California, It’s

☆ Nike stock chart is showing signs of a bottom and a turnaround ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Before this week's downside price gap, it's worth noting that Nike was testing a major resistance level into last week. To add to this "confluence of resistance," we can also see the 200-day moving average looming large, currently sitting just above $91. The weekly chart can provide some additional context as to what the recent upswing means relative to the long-term trend for Nike. The long-term trend has been decidedly negative for NKE, with price remaining below the 150-week moving average since Q2 2022. Nike also sits below a downward-sloping 40-week moving average, which is essentially the same as the 200-day moving average on the daily chart.

Persons: downtrend, NKE, David Keller Organizations: Nike Inc, Nike, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ A key chart breakout by this materials stock suggests more upside to come
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

But improved price action this week suggests Freeport-McMoRan, Inc. (FCX) may be poised for further upside into the fourth quarter. So with a bearish momentum reading at the May peak, then a bullish momentum reading at the August and September lows, FCX was primed for an upside breakout. The breakout in March 2024, leading to the May peak, suggested a new uptrend as the price exited this basing pattern. The stock gapped higher on Tuesday, pushing above short-term resistance around $46 as well as a trendline using the May and July highs. The stock did become overbought this week, with the RSI popping just above the 70 level on the recent breakout.

Persons: FCX, David Keller Organizations: Inc, Freeport, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: Freeport, McMoRan

☆ Rallying Microsoft shares could be forming the troubling 'bear flag' chart pattern
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The foundation of Dow's work was based on the analysis of price trends, comparing swing highs and swing lows to define and track the trends over time. An initial look at the chart of Microsoft (MSFT) may suggest a consistent uptrend of higher highs and higher lows. And while this short-term uptrend is a valid observation, this also means Microsoft may be forming the dreaded "bear flag" pattern, which often precedes a major downdraft. A bear flag pattern occurs when you have an initial downtrend, in this case, the drop from $470 to $385 from early July to early August of this year. If MSFT would drop below $410 in the coming weeks, that would complete the bear flag pattern, and would also push the price back below the 200-day moving average.

Persons: Charles Dow, Downside, David Keller Organizations: Microsoft, MSFT, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Solar stocks get a Harris bump. What the charts say about whether the rally is for real
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

But the stock quickly dropped to find new support around $210, eventually settling into a trading range between $200 and $240. This price range lines up well with previous resistance from 2023, adding further conviction to the importance of these levels. But if RUN can finally break above the $24 level, that would mean clear skies ahead from a technical perspective. While solar stocks still have much to prove, their technical configurations suggest investors should watch this space closely leading into the November elections. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: Kamala Harris, FSLR, it's, David Keller Organizations: Nasdaq, Inc, Sunrun Inc, CMT, Sierra Alpha Research, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Investors should wait before chasing Meta here, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

After reaching a peak around $320 in July 2023, META spent four solid months bouncing between price support around $280 and retesting the July peak. With this week's earnings beat, we'll likely see META test the upper end of this new trading range. Here we can see the recent trading range in much better context, but we can also see weakening momentum conditions. The declining momentum on the weekly chart suggests a serious headwind to META's attempt to break out of its recent trading range. The 2023 range was finally eclipsed once we saw an upside break above a clearly defined resistance level.

Persons: we'll, David Keller Organizations: Meta, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ 3 dividend-paying stocks with attractive charts as broader market struggles
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-25 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A subsequent pullback saw the price bounce off that breakout level, which also lined up with the 50-day moving average. This is a sector full of low-volatility, high yielding stocks that have often provided downside protection in down market phases. ES just broke to a new three-month high this week, and the stock features a dividend yield around 4.5%. When the broad market averages take a bearish turn, equity investors are often best served by getting defensive. These three stocks feature improving technical profiles, along with dividend yields well above the average for the S & P 500.

Persons: Philip Morris, BTI, Eversource, we've, David Keller Organizations: American Tobacco PLC, Eversource Energy, Eversource, Nasdaq, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S, British American

☆ Downside targets to watch for Nvidia, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

It's time to consider downside targets for A.I.-darling Nvidia. The first half of 2024 was all about stocks like Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) riding the A.I. On the short-term chart of NVDA, we can see a series of bearish engulfing patterns in mid-June and again in mid-July. And when the price returned to that price range earlier this month, we saw the same pattern of short-term distribution. This support level also lines up with a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the April to June rally phase, and also lines up with the 50-day moving average.

Persons: I'd, David Keller Organizations: A.I, Nvidia Corp, Nvidia, Nasdaq, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Opinion | Becoming a Dallas Cowboys Cheerleader Is Like Getting Into Harvard
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Jessica Grose | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

As a way to dissociate from political news, I’ve spent the past week mainlining stories about the Dallas Cowboys Cheerleaders; it started when I binged the new Netflix docuseries “America’s Sweethearts,” which follows the women trying out and training for the 2023-2024 squad. I’m a New York Jew who got kicked out of ballet class when I was 4 because I lacked any discernible talent or interest. So I didn’t expect to fall in love with a show that is so steeped in Southern and dance culture. Because the newbies are competing for positions against veterans, the acceptance rate in any given year can be comparable to that of an Ivy League school. The seven episodes of the Netflix series weren’t enough for me.

Persons: I’ve, I’m, Caitlin Dickerson, Reece, ”, “ Organizations: Dallas Cowboys Cheerleaders, Netflix, Jew, Ivy League, Cowboys, CMT Locations: New

In a more defensive environment, we instead gravitate to lower volatility, higher dividend-paying stocks. By October, AT & T had pounded out a series of higher lows, confirming a rotation to a bullish trend. As a long-term trend gauge, I would assume that any price action above this trendline is still within the context of a bullish phase. I've also drawn a short-term trendline in pink, lining up the price lows in April, May, and June. Since an uptrend is formed by a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, then a consistent short-term uptrend would most likely remain above this trendline.

Persons: we've, I've, I'm, David Keller Organizations: CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, & $

Some venues have already sold out of original tickets, but verified resellers, including StubHub and Vivid Seats, have many tickets available. Here's what fans need to know about how to buy Alan Jackson concert tour tickets. How to buy tickets for Alan Jackson 2024 concert tourWith ticket sales beginning on June 7, Alan Jackson's Last Call tour still has original tickets remaining for multiple locations. How much are Alan Jackson tickets? With the singer's neurological condition causing a gap in the Last Call Tour dates, it is unknown whether Jackson will announce further dates and locations.

Persons: Alan Jackson, Charcot, Marie, Jackson, We've, Alan Jackson's, StubHub, tacking Organizations: Business, CMT, UT, TicketMaster, CMT Research Foundation Locations: Boston, Rapids, MI, Fayetteville, Kansas City, Salt Lake City, Oklahoma, Fort Worth , TX, Orlando, Tampa, Milwaukee, Fort Worth , Texas

☆ S&P 500 levels to watch if troubling chart patterns in Nvidia and other tech mean a sell-off is near
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Some concerning candle patterns for leading technology names have caused me to focus on potential downside targets for the S & P 500 . To be clear, this is a short-term pattern, and is really just intended to inform our thinking for the next couple trading sessions. The most important level to watch is S & P 5,200, which would represent about a 5% pullback from the recent market peak. A move below S & P 5200 would cause me to revisit long positions and start to raise cash due to an elevated risk of a correction. If and when the S & P pushes below 4950, I would be positioned way more defensively, waiting for some signs of accumulation to emerge.

Persons: I've, David Keller Organizations: Nvidia Corp, Semiconductor, Nvidia, Micron Technology, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ There's trouble brewing in the financial sector, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-13 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The financial sector, along with other value-oriented sectors, is beginning to significantly underperform the major equity benchmarks over the last six weeks. We'll share a potential short candidate, close to breaking down through a key support level that could indicate much further downside to come. First, let's visualize the relative performance of the financial sector, along with three other value sectors that have all shown deterioration since April. In searching through the financial sector for an actionable chart to play potential downside, I discovered that Progressive Corp. (PGR) is showing all the signs of a bearish rotation. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: PGR, I'm, David Keller Organizations: Progressive Corp, Progressive, PGR, CMT

☆ It may be time to take profits in this outperforming bank stock, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Shares of Citigroup (C) have far outpaced the major equity benchmarks in 2024, gaining around 22% year-to-date versus the S & P 500's 13%. Soon after, the stock broke above its 40-week moving average, validating the strength of the rally off the October low. Then in February 2024, the stock pushed above the 150-week moving average, validating the strength and persistence of the uptrend phase. The weekly PPO indicator has since registered a sell signal, indicating that the previous uptrend phase is likely terminated. But a failure to regain the 50-day moving average in early June would mean the previous uptrend phase is most likely exhausted.

Persons: David Keller Organizations: Citigroup, RSI, CMT

☆ The charts say more pain for Salesforce could be ahead in the short-term before bottoming
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-30 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

What do the charts say after this sudden 20% drop in price? After making a new all-time high of around $318 in early March, Salesforce demonstrated choppy, sideways price action into mid-April. A gap lower in price pushed CRM below its 50-day moving average, which often serves as an early warning sign of an impending trend change. From mid-April until this week, Salesforce has again settled into a sideways price range, this time between $268 and $290. While CRM was in a somewhat precarious position leading into this week, the gap lower post-earnings represented a sudden revaluation for this former technology leader.

Persons: Let's, Salesforce, we'd, it's, David Keller Organizations: CRM, CMT

☆ A beaten-up video game stock primed to make another run at its record high, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-23 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

We're using the closing prices here to make it easier to detect a "bullish momentum divergence," which is where prices are trending down, but price momentum is actually trending higher. This disagreement between price and momentum often occurs at market lows and can serve as an important indicator of a trend rotation. In August-September 2023, this bullish divergence led to a 20% rally into year-end 2023. Off the COVID low in 2020, we've seen fairly consistent support around $110, which was last tested in March 2023. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: we've, David Keller Organizations: Arts, EA, Electronic Arts, RSI, CMT

☆ The outlook on gold and gold stocks into the summer is looking strong, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Let's take a look at how gold stocks have fared and see how recent price action suggests the uptrend is nowhere near completed. While gold stocks tend to be very much tied to the performance of the underlying commodity, there will often be periods of dislocation, where gold and gold miners appear to be more disconnected. This appears to have occurred in the first quarter, when physical gold was fairly flat, but gold miners were sold off into a February low. The chart of Royal Gold (RGLD) shows that the early breakouts are beginning to occur. Given the strength in the charts of physical gold and gold miners, this group may serve as a compelling opportunity going into the summer months.

Persons: Let's, David Keller Organizations: Nasdaq, Gold Miners, CMT

☆ Software stock forming a 'big base breakout' that heralds more gains ahead, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

But the real story from a technical perspective is that this week's move appears to complete a "big base breakout" pattern — a sign of potentially much greater gains in the coming months. This resistance level continued to hold, with subsequent peaks through the end of 2022 and into 2023 all hitting this same price point before rebounding lower. In March of this year, SQSP finally broke above this resistance level around $33.70, which then became a support level in late April. 'Big base breakout' The daily chart shows how often this $33-34 range was tested all through 2023 and into early 2024. One of the key features of a "big base breakout" is a frequent test of the upper end of the trading range.

Persons: Squarespace, SQSP, Alan Shaw, David Keller Organizations: Squarespace Inc, CMT

☆ Recent breakdown suggests $52,000 is the next stop for bitcoin, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( David Keller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

With bitcoin finally breaking below that support level at $60k this week, we see much further downside potential before the long-term uptrend resumes. You may also notice the breakdown below an ascending 50-day moving average during the second week in April. Going into May, bitcoin is making lower lows and lower highs, and now sits below a downward-sloping 50-day moving average. BTC.CM= 1Y mountain Bitcoin, 1-year Where could we expect potential support if the downtrend continues? The 200-day moving average is right around there, and big round numbers like $50k and $60k have often served as important thresholds for the cryptocurrency.

Persons: Bitcoin, bitcoin, It's, David Keller Organizations: RSI, CMT

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