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☆ Be careful what you wish for: The S&P 500 typically falls after the first rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

On average, the S & P 500 is usually up 2% 65 days before the first cut from the central bank following a hiking cycle, according to data from Strategas. But it's usually down by 1.5% 65 days after that initial rate reduction, implying that stocks may not be off to the races after the big announcement. In 1974, for example, the S & P 500 was down more than 8% in the 65 days prior and off by more than 25% in the same period following the cut. But in 1989, the broad index was up more than 12% in the 65 days preceding the rate reduction and still higher by more than 9% in the period after. Fed funds futures indicate a chance of at least one rate cut as early as September, with the potential for a second at the last meeting of the year in December, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool .

Persons: Ryan Grabinski, Chris Zaccarelli, Grabinski Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Independent

☆ Interest rates and the AI-fueled rally remain top of mind for stock investors in the week ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

The Fed and economic policy were top of mind this week given the central bank's Wednesday decision to yet again leave interest rates unchanged , as it has since last summer. This week included the conclusion of April's trading month, which marked the first down month of the year for all three major market averages. Indeed, some recent earnings reports have raised doubts about the economy, with brands from McDonald's and Starbucks evidencing signs of strain among consumers. While no new inflation numbers are scheduled for release next week, investors will see reports on March wholesale inventories, March consumer credit and May consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan. AI trade Though interest rates took center stage this week, investors also continued monitoring companies tied to the artificial intelligence boom amid the stocks' recent choppiness.

Persons: they're, Jerome Powell, Larry Tentarelli, David Donabedian, Sam Stovall, There's, Stovall, Tom Hainlin, Tentarelli, CFRA's Stovall, Lyft, Cabot, Aramark, Tempur Sealy, Nikola, Walt Disney, Sally Beauty, Warby Parker, Krispy Kreme, Papa John's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, CIBC Private Wealth, Dow, CFRA, Citigroup, Bank of America, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, University of Michigan, Nvidia, Disney, Spirit Airlines, Tyson Foods, Pharmaceuticals, Lucid, Palantir Technologies, Simon Property, Tech, Lab, Goodyear Tire, Noble Corp, Vornado Realty, Coty, BellRing, Consumer, UBS, BP, Nintendo, Bloomin, Duke Energy, Rockwell Automation, Ferrari, NRG Energy, Electronic Arts, Cirrus, Adaptive Biotech, Arista Networks, Dutch Bros, Holdings, Virgin Galactic, IAC, Rivian Automotive, Brighthouse, Occidental Petroleum, Assurant, Kinross Gold, Labs, Diamond, Reddit, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Embraer, Health, United Parks & Resorts, Emerson Electric, Brookfield , New York Times, Food, Reynolds Consumer Products, Teva Pharma, Uber Technologies, Dine Brands, Liberty Broadband, Fox Corp, Cushman &, Liberty Media, Arm Holdings, Kodiak Gas Services, Solaredge Technologies, AMC Entertainment, Cheesecake, News Corp, Toyota Motors, Fair, US Foods, Hyatt Hotels, Warner Bros, Hilton, Warner Music Group, Unity Software, Insurance, Gen, Honda, AMC Networks Locations: Central, McDonald's, Expeditors, Occidental, Angi, Brookfield , New, Ambev, Cushman & Wakefield, Michigan

☆ JPMorgan is still doubting the bull with lowest S&P 500 target
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Even as the S & P 500 nears a new high, JPMorgan's Dubravko Lakos-Bujas remains relatively pessimistic on how 2024 will pan out. In a Friday client report, he called the early results and forward guidance from S & P 500 companies "lackluster." Just about one out of every 10 S & P 500 companies has reported results, according to FactSet. His concerns come as the S & P 500 is poised to hit an all-time high closing level on Friday. The average analyst has a 4,914 target for the S & P 500 at the end of 2024, according to CNBC Pro's Market Strategist Survey.

Persons: JPMorgan hasn't, Dubravko, Bujas Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal, Traders, Fed, CNBC Pro's, Survey

☆ Finding quality stocks in what could be a tougher year for investors
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Investors may want to look at quality names as the market stalls. In a turbulent environment, traditional market wisdom suggests investors can be best served by having exposure to quality stocks. The average price target implies a gain of 6.2% over the next year, adding to its advance of more than 56% in 2023. Wells Fargo's Michael Turrin recently hiked his price target on Microsoft to $435 per share from $425, seeing an "uplift" driven by artificial intelligence. The average analyst also anticipates a better path ahead, with a price target reflecting an upside of about 24%.

Persons: CMEGroup's, Wells Fargo's Michael Turrin, ResMed, RMD, Peter Low Organizations: Traders, Federal Reserve, CNBC, CNBC Pro, Microsoft, FactSet, Oil, Exxon Mobil, Exxon, Super

It helped that Treasury yields fell in response to cooling inflation, said Burns McKinney, portfolio manager at NFJ Investment Group in Dallas, Texas. The Fed might have a better-than-we-thought shot of threading the needle and cooling inflation without killing the economy in the process," said McKinney. The Nasdaq 100 index (.NDX) of top technology stocks boasted its biggest first half gain on record, adding around 39%. For the week, the S&P 500 added 2.35% while the Nasdaq added 2.20% and the Dow climbed 2.02%. For the quarter, the S&P 500 added 8.3% while the Nasdaq climbed 12.8% and the Dow rose 3.4%.

Persons: Burns McKinney, McKinney, Brendan McDermid, Dow, Russell, Hawkish, Jerome Powell, Jefferies, Sinéad Carew, Sruthi Shankar, Johann M Cherian, Shashwat Chauhan, Shinjini Ganguli, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Apple, Nasdaq, Dow, Apple Inc, Investors, Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, April's, NFJ Investment, Dow Jones, Reuters Graphics Traders, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Microsoft, Nvidia, Nike Inc, Carnival Corp, Thomson Locations: Dallas , Texas, New York City, U.S, New York, Bengaluru

Investors perked up on signs of cooling U.S. inflation from measures that are closely watched by the Federal Reserve. Excluding volatile food and energy, the core PCE index gained 0.3%, down from 0.4% in the previous month. It helped that Treasury yields fell in response to cooling inflation, said Burns McKinney, portfolio manager at NFJ Investment Group in Dallas, Texas. The Fed might have a better-than-we-thought shot of threading the needle and cooling inflation without killing the economy in the process," said McKinney. The CBOE Market Volatility Index (.VIX), Wall Street's fear gauge, earlier slipped to a one-week low at 12.96 points.

Persons: Apple, Burns McKinney, McKinney, Russell, Hawkish, Jerome Powell, Jefferies, Sinéad Carew, Sruthi Shankar, Johann M Cherian, Shashwat Chauhan, Shinjini Ganguli, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Nasdaq, Apple Inc, Investors, Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, April's, NFJ Investment, Dow Jones, Reuters, Microsoft, Nvidia, Nike Inc, Carnival Corp, Thomson Locations: Dallas , Texas, U.S, New York, Bengaluru

☆ Futures rise ahead of inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

SummarySummary Companies Nike slides after downbeat Q1 sales outlookApple up as Citigroup starts coverage with "buy"May PCE data due at 8:30 a.m. "The backdrop for equities is still no recession, inflation is sticky and financial conditions are still loose. "Key risks ahead for U.S. equities remain potential expanded export controls on AI chips and the upcoming Q2 earnings season." The Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditure index (PCE) for May, will be released at 8:30 a.m. Adobe (ADBE.O) slipped 0.8% after UK's competition regulator ordered a second round of review of its deal to buy Figma.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Peter Garnry, Jefferies, Sruthi Shankar, Johann M, Shinjini Organizations: Nike, Apple, Citigroup, Dow, Federal Reserve, Saxo Bank, Nasdaq, Reuters, Traders, Dow e, Nike Inc, Apple Inc, Carnival Corp, Thomson Locations: U.S, North America, Bengaluru

Helped by gains in Apple, technology stocks (.SPLRCT) rose 1.6% and led advance among the 11 major S&P 500 sectors. Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the PCE price index gained 0.3%, down from 0.4% in the previous month. Despite a recent streak of losses, the three main U.S. indexes were on course to end June and the second quarter on a high note as investors expect the Fed's aggressive tightening will not derail the U.S. economy. The CBOE Market Volatility Index (.VIX), Wall Street's fear gauge, slipped to a one-week low at 13.48 points. The S&P index recorded 67 new 52-week highs and no new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 76 new highs and 24 new lows.

Persons: we're, Peter Andersen, Jerome Powell, Jefferies, Sruthi Shankar, Johann M Cherian, Shashwat Chauhan, Shinjini Organizations: Nike, Apple, Dow, Nasdaq, Apple Inc, Commerce Department, Andersen Capital Management, Traders, Dow Jones, Treasury, Nike Inc, Carnival Corp, NYSE, Thomson Locations: Boston, U.S, Bengaluru

With inflation still high, Phil Blancato CEO Ladenburg Asset Management said Powell is "not wrong" to keep policy tight. Apple Inc (AAPL.O) hit an all-time high during the session and registered a record closing high for the second session in a row. [1/2]Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., June 27, 2023. The S&P banks index (.SPXBK) slipped 0.5% ahead of the Fed's annual stress test results after markets close on Wednesday. The S&P 500 posted 39 new 52-week highs and 6 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 70 new highs and 127 new lows.

Persons: Fed's Powell, Jerome Powell, Powell, Quincy Krosby, Phil Blancato, Brendan McDermid, decliners, LPL's Krosby, Oppenheimer, Mills, Sinéad Carew, Sruthi Shankar, Johann M, Vinay Dwivedi, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, European Central Bank, Global, LPL, Management, Independence, Traders, Dow Jones, Apple Inc, Microsoft, P's, Nvidia, Wall Street Journal, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Investors, Netflix Inc, NYSE, Thomson Locations: Quincy, United States, China, New York City, U.S, New York, Bengaluru

[1/2] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., June 27, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermidJune 28 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Dow closed lower on Wednesday on the prospect of further interest rate hikes after U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said he did not see inflation falling to the central bank's target rate "this year or next year." According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 1.14 points, or 0.02%, to end at 4,377.37 points, while the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) gained 36.08 points, or 0.27%, to 13,591.75. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell 63.90 points, or 0.19%, to 33,862.84. The S&P banks index (.SPXBK) slipped ahead of the Fed's annual stress test results after markets close on Wednesday.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, Powell, Phil Blancato, Blancato, Tesla, Michael Green, Oppenheimer, Mills, Sinéad Carew, Sruthi Shankar, Johann M, Vinay Dwivedi, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Federal, European Central Bank, Management, Independence, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Apple Inc, Microsoft, P's, Nvidia, Wall Street Journal, Wall, Traders, Netflix Inc, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United States, China, New York, Bengaluru

Apple Inc (AAPL.O) rose 0.7% to an all-time high, while Amazon (AMZN.O), Alphabet (GOOGL.O) and Tesla (TSLA.O) rose between 1.1% and 3.2%. The S&P banks index (.SPXBK) slipped 0.5% ahead of the results due after markets close on Wednesday. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.01-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and a 1.07-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded 36 new 52-week highs and six new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 50 new highs and 79 new lows. Reporting by Sruthi Shankar and Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru Editing by Vinay DwivediOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Dow, Michael Green, Jerome Powell, Patrick Kaser, Oppenheimer, Mills, Sruthi Shankar, Johann M, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Nasdaq, Apple, Microsoft, Federal, Apple Inc, Management, Nvidia, Wall Street Journal, Central Bank, U.S, Brandywine, Traders, Dow Jones, Bank, Netflix Inc, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United States, China, bank's, Bengaluru

☆ S&P 500, Nasdaq futures down as chip stocks fall, focus on Powell
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Semiconductor stocks including Intel (INTC.O), Marvell Technology (MRVL.O) and Qualcomm (QCOM.O) fell more than 1% each. Investors are focused on a panel discussion of key central bank policymakers including Powell and European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde at the ECB annual forum in Sintra, Portugal. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit more than one-year highs last week while the Dow scaled a six-month peak before hawkish comments from Powell sparked a selloff. Investors will also keep an eye on bank stocks, with the Fed scheduled to release 2023 results of its annual stress test of large banks after markets close on Wednesday. ET, Dow e-minis were up 20 points, or 0.06%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 4 points, or 0.09%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 36 points, or 0.24%.

Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde, Russ Mould, AJ Bell, Dow, General Mills, Sruthi Shankar, Johann M, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, Federal, Nvidia, Devices, Wall Street Journal, Commerce Department, Semiconductor, Intel, Marvell Technology, Qualcomm, European Central Bank, ECB, Traders, Dow e, Boeing, Thomson Locations: China, U.S, Sintra , Portugal, Bengaluru

Adding to uncertainty was the start of the second quarter's final week on Monday, weeks ahead of the financial reporting season. Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 15, 2022. But Carnival (CCL.N) slumped 7.6% after the cruise operator forecast third-quarter earnings below Wall Street expectations. The S&P 500 posted 18 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 154 new lows. On U.S. exchanges 9.28 billion shares changed hands compared with the 11.62 billion average for the last 20 sessions.

Persons: Tesla, Aston Martin, Vladimir Putin's, Putin, Jerome Powell, Carol Schleif, they've, Schleif, Chris Zaccarelli, Zaccarelli, Brendan McDermid, Powell, Goldman Sachs, UK's Aston Martin, decliners, Sinéad Carew, Sruthi Shankar, Johann M, Shinjini Ganguli, Richard Chang Organizations: Pfizer, Aston, Dow, Nasdaq, Monday, U.S . State Department, Meta Platforms Inc, Inc, Tesla Inc, BMO, Investors, Independent, Alliance, Dow Jones, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, University of, Pfizer Inc, UBS, Ares Management, NYSE, Thomson Locations: Russia, Minneapolis, Charlotte, North Carolina, New York City, U.S, New York, Bengaluru

June 26 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed lower on Monday, as investors were wary of making riskier bets after Russia's aborted weekend mutiny. Investors were uncertain about the implications of the rebellion by Russian mercenaries that raised questions about President Vladimir Putin's future. Growth stocks weighed the most on the main indexes, with Meta Platforms Inc (META.O), Alphabet Inc (GOOGL.O) and Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) falling sharply. With this uncertainty in mind Schleif noted that investors were taking some profits in growth stocks that had advanced sharply this year. But Carnival (CCL.N) slumped after the cruise operator forecast third-quarter earnings below Wall Street expectations.

Persons: Vladimir Putin's, Putin, Jerome Powell, Carol Schleif, they've, Schleif, Chris Zaccarelli, Zaccarelli, Goldman Sachs, UK's Aston Martin, Sinéad Carew, Sruthi Shankar, Johann M, Shinjini Ganguli, Richard Chang Organizations: Monday, U.S . State Department, Meta Platforms Inc, Inc, Tesla Inc, Nasdaq, BMO, Independent, Alliance, Dow Jones, University of, Pfizer Inc, UBS, Ares Management, Thomson Locations: Russia, Minneapolis, Charlotte, North Carolina, U.S, New York, Bengaluru

Technology (.SPLRCT) and real estate sectors (.SPLRCR) were the other top gainers among the 11 major S&P 500 sectors. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) was down 19.60 points, or 0.06%, at 33,707.83, the S&P 500 (.SPX) was up 6.90 points, or 0.16%, at 4,355.23, and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) was up 51.68 points, or 0.38%, at 13,544.20. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 2.97-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and 1.37-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded 17 new 52-week highs and one new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 37 new highs and 67 new lows. Reporting by Sruthi Shankar and Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru; Editing by Shinjini GanguliOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Tesla, Aston Martin, Jerome Powell, Randy Frederick, Charles Schwab, Goldman Sachs, UK's Aston Martin, Lockheed Martin, Sruthi Shankar, Johann M, Shinjini Organizations: Pfizer, Aston, Dow, Nasdaq, Technology, University of, Dow Jones, Pfizer Inc, Inc, UBS, Tesla, Ares Management, Lockheed, Northrop Grumman Corp, Raytheon Technologies, NYSE, Thomson Locations: Russian, U.S, Russia, Bengaluru

Powell is due to deliver his semiannual monetary policy testimony before the House Financial Services Committee at 10 a.m. Still, the benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) has advanced 14.3% so far this year. It holds chances of a recession at 25%, and in that base case, it expects the S&P 500 to rise to 4,500 - about 2.5% higher than current levels. ET, Dow e-minis were down 17 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 1.25 points, or 0.03%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 12.5 points, or 0.08%. Reporting by Shubham Batra and Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru; Editing by Arun KoyyurOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Tesla, Jerome, Powell, Peter Andersen, Goldman Sachs, Li Auto, Cleveland Fed's Loretta Mester, Shubham Batra, Johann M, Arun Koyyur Organizations: FedEx, China, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Financial, Fed, Andersen Capital Management, Tesla Inc, Dow e, Coinbase, Nio Inc, Xpeng, Thomson Locations: Texas, U.S, China, Chicago, Bengaluru

All S&P 500 sub-sectors fell, with the rate-sensitive real estate sector (.SPLRCR) leading the declines, with a 0.8% drop. In the previous session, Wall Street's main indexes fell as investors booked profits in the wake of a sustained market rally amid signs of weakening global demand. Still, the benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) has advanced around 14% so far this year. If a U.S. recession becomes more likely, Goldman Sachs (GS.N) said investors should maintain upside exposure to equities by using options to hedge a potential 23% fall in the S&P 500 index (.SPX). It holds chances of a recession at 25%, and in that base case, it expects the S&P 500 to rise to 4,500 - about 2.5% higher than current levels.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Volcker, that's, Peter Cardillo, Goldman Sachs, Li Auto, advancers, Shubham Batra, Johann M Cherian, Ankika Biswas, Stephen Culp, Arun Koyyur Organizations: FedEx, China EV, Dow, Financial, U.S, Fed, Spartan Capital Securities, United Parcel Service, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nio Inc, Xpeng, Adobe, Capital Markets, NYSE, Thomson Locations: China, U.S, Bengaluru

Fed Governor Christopher Waller warned on Friday "core inflation is not coming down like I thought it would." Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said he was "comfortable" with further rate increases given that inflation was still not on the path back to 2%. Markets now await comments from more Fed officials including Fed Vice Chair Michael Barr later in the day, and Fed Chair Jerome Powell's semiannual monetary policy testimony to the U.S. House Financial Affairs Committee on Wednesday. Adding to the dour mood, China cut its benchmark lending rates by a smaller-than-expected 10 basis points. U.S.-listed shares of Chinese companies including Alibaba Group , JD.com and PDD Holdings (PDD.O) fell between 1% and 6% in premarket trading.

Persons: Eli Lilly, Christopher Waller, Thomas Barkin, CMEGroup's, Waller, Barkin, Michael Barr, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Hogan, Daniel Zhang, Shristi Achar, Shubham Batra, Johann M, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: Therapeutics, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Richmond Fed, Traders, Microsoft, U.S . House Financial, Housing, Capitol, Riley, Fed, Alibaba, PDD Holdings, Dow e, Adobe Inc, Ford, General Motors, Tesla Inc, Dice Therapeutics, Thomson Locations: China, U.S, Bengaluru

Eight of the 11 S&P 500 sub-sectors were in the red, with the energy index (.SPNY) leading declines. U.S. markets ended lower on Friday as comments from Fed officials curtailed optimism that the central bank was nearing the end of its aggressive interest rate hikes. Traders now see a 72% chance of Fed hiking its key benchmark rates by 25 basis points in July, according to CMEGroup's Fedwatch Tool. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 2.43-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and a 1.82-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded 11 new 52-week highs and no new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 38 new highs and 40 new lows.

Persons: Eli Lilly, Tesla, Rivian, homebuilding, Sam Stovall, CMEGroup's, Michael Barr, Jerome Powell's, Morgan Stanley, Daniel Zhang, advancers, Shristi Achar, Shubham Batra, Johann M, Vinay Dwivedi, Shounak Organizations: Therapeutics, Nike, Dow, Nasdaq, U.S . Federal Reserve, CFRA Research, Tesla Inc, Reuters, EV, U.S . House Financial, PayPal Holdings, KKR & Co, Alibaba, PDD Holdings, Dow Jones, Adobe Inc, Dice Therapeutics, NYSE, Thomson Locations: U.S, Europe, China, Bengaluru

A 1.7% decline in Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) and a 1.3% dip in Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O) weighed on the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq. S&P 500 fell 0.36% to end the session at 4,409.77 points. Of the 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, eight declined, led by communication services (.SPLRCL), down 1%, followed by a 0.83% loss in information technology (.SPLRCT). Declining stocks outnumbered rising ones within the S&P 500 (.AD.SPX) by a 1.4-to-one ratio. The S&P 500 posted 24 new highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 112 new highs and 67 new lows.

Persons: Christopher Waller, Thomas Barkin, Sam Stovall, Morgan Stanley, Sruthi Shankar, Shristi, Noel Randewich, Vinay Dwivedi, Richard Chang Organizations: Microsoft, Nasdaq Adobe, Nasdaq, Dow, Federal, Richmond Fed, CFRA, University of Michigan's, Microsoft Corp, Inc, Nvidia Corp, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Adobe Inc, iRobot Corp, Micron Technology, Thomson Locations: U.S, Bengaluru, Oakland , California

☆ US consumers' near-term inflation expectations hit two-year low; sentiment rises
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-16 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Summary Consumer sentiment index rises to 63.9 in June from 59.2One-year inflation expectations drop to 3.3% from 4.2%Long-run inflation expectations dip to 3.0% from 3.1%WASHINGTON, June 16 (Reuters) - U.S. consumers' near-term inflation expectations dropped to more than a two-year low in June and the outlook over the next five years improved slightly, according to a survey on Friday that also showed sentiment perking up. "The Fed will be gratified that the surge in inflation expectations in the late-1970s and early 1980s has not been repeated," said Conrad DeQuadros, senior economic advisor at Brean Capital in New York. The University of Michigan survey's reading of one-year inflation expectations dropped to 3.3% this month, the lowest since March 2021, from 4.2% in May. The survey's preliminary reading on the overall index of consumer sentiment came in at a four-month high of 63.9 in June compared with 59.2 in May. Its measure of consumer expectations rose to 61.3 from 55.4 last month.

Persons: Conrad DeQuadros, Joanne Hsu, Robert Frick, Lucia Mutikani, Daniel Wallis, Chizu Organizations: University of Michigan's, Fed, Wednesday, Brean, The University of Michigan, Treasury, Reuters, Consumers, Navy Federal Credit Union, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, New York, U.S, Washington, Vienna , Virginia

☆ Wall Street futures rise as economic data fuels hopes of Fed policy shift
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

SummarySummary Companies Futures up: Dow 0.01%, S&P 0.06%, Nasdaq 0.09%June 16 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures inched up on Friday as signs of easing price pressures and slowing economic growth raised hopes the Federal Reserve could end its monetary tightening campaign soon. ET, is expected to show the index rose to 60 in June from 59.2 in May. Meanwhile, a simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts on Friday, known as triple witching, could cause a spike in market volatility. ET, Dow e-minis were up 5 points, or 0.01%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 2.75 points, or 0.06%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 14.5 points, or 0.09%. Reporting by Sruthi Shankar in Bengaluru Editing by Vinay DwivediOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Sruthi Shankar, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Nvidia, University, Dow e, Adobe Inc, iRobot, Amazon.com, Thomson Locations: U.S, Bengaluru

Gains in megacap stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft set up the tech-heavy Nasdaq for its eighth consecutive week of gains, while the benchmark S&P 500 was set for its fifth straight week of rise. Trading, however, is expected to be volatile on Friday due to the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts, known as triple witching. ET, is expected to show the index rose to 60 in June from 59.2 in May. The S&P index recorded 19 new 52-week highs and no new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 74 new highs and 10 new lows. Reporting by Sruthi Shankar and Shristi Achar A in Bengaluru Editing by Vinay DwivediOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott, Sruthi Shankar, Shristi, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: Nvidia, Adobe, Dow, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Trading, University of, Dow Jones, Adobe Inc, iRobot, NYSE, Thomson Locations: U.S, Bengaluru

The benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) built on Thursday's 20% rise from its Oct. 12 finishing low, heralding the start of a new bull market as defined by some market participants. The S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 4.93 points, or 0.11%, at 4,298.86, taking this week's advance to 0.38% and extending its winning streak to four weeks, the longest since the July-August 2022 period. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 43.17 points, or 0.13%, to 33,876.78, for a weekly gain of 0.33%. Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.49-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.84-to-1 ratio favored decliners. The S&P 500 posted 15 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 53 new lows.

Persons: Dow Jones, Tim Holland, Brendan McDermid, Rick Meckler, Wells, Sruthi Shankar, Shristi, Vinay Dwivedi, Richard Chang Organizations: Adobe, Citi, Nasdaq, Tesla Inc, General Motors Co, GM, Orion, Dow Jones, Apple Inc, Devices, Nvidia Corp, NYSE, American Stock Exchange, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Brendan McDermid Traders, Cherry Lane Investments, Target Corp, Adobe Inc, Netflix Inc, Thomson Locations: Wells Fargo, New York City, U.S, Bengaluru

☆ Futures dip after Wall St rally, focus on Fed
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The S&P 500 (.SPX) has risen 20% from its Oct. 12 closing low, heralding the start of a new bull market, as defined by some market participants. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 have notched new year-to-date highs in recent sessions, boosted by an AI-driven rally in megacap stocks, a better-than-expected earnings season and expectations that the Fed is nearing the end of its rate-hiking cycle. Fed fund futures are pricing in a 76% chance that the U.S. central bank will hold interest rates at the current 5%-5.25% range at its June 13-14 policy meeting, according to CMEGroup's Fedwatch tool. Signs of a resilient U.S. economy and hopes of the Fed pausing its aggressive monetary tightening have pushed volatility gauges tumbling. ET, Dow e-minis were down 75 points, or 0.22%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 6.25 points, or 0.15%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 5.75 points, or 0.04%.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Sruthi Shankar, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, BNP Paribas, Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Microsoft Corp, Tesla Inc, General Motors, Tesla, GM, Dow e, Target Corp, Citi, Thomson Locations: megacap, U.S, Bengaluru

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