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With Federal Reserve rate cuts expected to begin in September, income investors may want to make sure their portfolio is in check. Instruments like money market funds and high-yield savings accounts will react pretty quickly to rate cuts. Some $6.24 trillion is currently sitting in money market funds, as of the week ended Wednesday, according to the Investment Company Institute . Clark Bellin, chief investment officer at Bellwether Wealth in Lincoln, Nebraska, is bullish in investment-grade corporate bonds right now. He prefers individual bonds over bond funds because the investor has more control.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Rick Rieder, Lawrence, Clark Bellin, Bellin, he'll, Fidelity's Michael Plage, Treasurys, Patience, BlackRock's Rieder Organizations: Federal, Treasury, U.S, BlackRock, Investment Company Institute Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Hauppauge, Lincoln , Nebraska
US stocks tested record highs as Fed chairman Jerome Powell delivered his speech at Jackson Hole. "The time has come for policy to adjust," Powell said, confirming imminent interest rate cuts. AdvertisementUS stocks tested record highs on Friday as Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell delivered remarks at the Jackson Hole economic symposium. AdvertisementOf note about Powell's Jackson Hole speech, according to Renaissance Macro Research, is that it didn't include the word "gradual." AdvertisementIf Friday's surge higher holds, it could buck the trend of the stock market's reaction to Powell's previous Jackson Hole speeches.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Jackson, Powell, , Susan Collins, Raphael Bostic, Powell's Jackson, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick Organizations: Service, Federal, Treasury, CNBC, Macro, Interactive Brokers
Read previewMarkets are confident that rate cuts will benefit stocks and the economy, but one strategist says lower borrowing costs won't stave off a recession. Yet, BCA Research chief asset allocation strategist Garry Evans said this week that lower rates can't avert a looming downturn. "There's things that are breaking down quite rapidly now," Evans said, including recent manufacturing data. Related storiesEvans said labor and manufacturing data, plus a range of global data like weak Japanese exports, are showing signs of a tough economic outlook worldwide. AdvertisementEvans said the Fed will likely cut rates in September, but that it won't prevent a pending recession.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Jackson, Stocks, Garry Evans, Evans Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Research, CNBC, Labor Department, Wednesday, Institute for Supply Management
He offered details on the Fed's thinking as the next Federal Open Market Committee meeting approaches in September, with all eyes on the first interest rate cut since the pandemic began. AdvertisementIt's all but certain that the Fed will cut rates in September. That leaves the big question of how much — not if — the Fed will cut rates, and the upcoming jobs report will likely shed some light on that question. "Today, the labor market has cooled considerably from its formerly overheated state. "But the inflation and labor market data show an evolving situation.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Jackson, precarity, Austan Goolsbee, we've Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, CME, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Democratic, Chicago Fed
NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia Wall Street is bullish heading into Nvidia's earnings results next week, figuring any hiccups to its next generation AI chips does little to dim the earnings potential of a company that essentially has a monopoly on the market. Economists polled by FactSet anticipate PCE to show increases of 0.2% month on month and 2.6% from the year-earlier period. Wall Street anticipates that stocks could go higher from here, though the road from now to the end of the year could be bumpy. Other notable earnings results include tech names Salesforce and CrowdStrike, as well as consumer names such as Campbell Soup, Dollar General and Ulta Beauty. Earnings: Nvidia , Bath & Body Works , J. M. Smucker , Salesforce , CrowdStrike , NetApp , HP Thursday Aug. 29 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Nvidia's, chipmaker, they've, Harsh Kumar, Piper Sandler, Blackwell, Jensen Huang, Jim Cramer, Kumar, Louis Navellier, Jerome Powell, Jackson, Powell, FactSet, David Miller, Miller, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, He's, Campbell, Lululemon Organizations: Nvidia, Blackwell, Navellier, Associates, Federal Reserve, PCE, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, U.S, Catalyst Funds, Ulta, Dallas Fed, Richmond Fed, Body, HP, Autodesk, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Chicago, Michigan
New York CNN —Stocks rose Friday morning as Wall Street cheered a signal from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell that long-awaited interest rate cuts are finally coming. Powell said that “the time has come” to ease rates, currently perched at a 23-year high, at a key economic summit in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. He also noted that the labor market has cooled enough not to pressure inflation higher and that the central bank does not want to see more weakening in job market conditions. Some officials also fretted that the softening labor market could weaken considerably if policy stays restrictive for too long. Recent data has shown that US job growth was weaker than previously estimated in the 12 months leading up to March.
Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, Powell, there’s, , Jack Janasiewicz Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Dow, Nasdaq, Labor Statistics, Solutions, National Association of Realtors, Target, Boeing Locations: New York, Jackson Hole , Wyoming
US stocks surged as Fed chair Jerome Powell signaled imminent interest rate cuts. "The direction of travel is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on incoming data," Powell said. AdvertisementUS stocks rallied on Friday with the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining more than 450 points after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell confirmed that interest rate cuts are near. That should pave the way for an interest rate cut at the Fed's FOMC meeting in September. AdvertisementWith interest rate cuts imminent, investors are now asking how big the Fed will cut rates by.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, , Ryan Detrick Organizations: Jackson, Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal, Treasury, Fed Locations: Here's
It's the first time the inflation rate has been below 3% since March 2021, and it adds to the case that the Federal Reserve could cut rates at its next meeting. Over the month, the consumer price index rose 0.2% in July. The Fed is watching for inflation to cool before committing to rate cuts. Many economists think it's well past time for the Fed to cut interest rates and have expressed worries about the rapidly cooling labor market. AdvertisementThe labor market is cooling off, and it might be harder to get a job than a few years ago.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Nick Bunker, Claudia Sahm, Powell Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Core CPI, of Labor Statistics, Fed, North America, Bureau of Labor Statistics, New Century Advisors, Federal Reserve
Gold prices inch lower as U.S. inflation data looms
  + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices edged lower on Wednesday as investors remained on the sidelines ahead of a key U.S. inflation print later in the day that could set the tone for the Federal Reserve's September policy meeting. Gold prices edged lower on Wednesday as investors remained on the sidelines ahead of a key U.S. inflation print later in the day that could set the tone for the Federal Reserve's September policy meeting. Data on Tuesday showed that U.S. producer prices increased less than expected in July, reinforcing market view that cooling inflation will allow the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates soon. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said he wants to see "a little more data" before he's ready to support lowering interest rates. Gold, often used as a hedge against geopolitical risks, thrives when interest rates are low.
Persons: Kyle Rodda, Raphael Bostic, Ismail Haniyeh Organizations: Federal, Fed, Federal Reserve, Traders, Atlanta Fed, Investors Locations: U.S, Iran, Gaza, Israel
US stocks rallied on cooling inflation data from the producer price index report. Investors are hoping for evidence of further cooling in Wednesday's consumer price index. Starbucks gained 23% on Tuesday on news Chipotle boss Brian Niccol will be the new CEO. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the producer price index rose 0.1% in July, underwhelming estimates of a 0.2% increase. Investors will now watch for further disinflationary signals in Wednesday's consumer price index report.
Persons: Brian Niccol, , Dow, Jamie Cox Organizations: Investors, Starbucks, Service, Labor Statistics, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Fed, Harris Financial Group, Bank of America
Gold dips as investors book profits, U.S. inflation data in focus
  + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Prices rose more than 1% in the previous session. "Prices will benefit if the U.S. inflation data comes in on the softer side of the ledger, which would reignite hopes of an aggressive rate cut from the Fed in September." The CPI data is expected to show that headline and core prices rose 0.2% month-on-month. Markets see about 50% chance of a 50 basis point rate cut in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. "If markets become more optimistic of a 50 bp cut coming to fruition, this could propel the gold price to make a run at the $2,500 level," Waterer said.
Persons: Alexander Manzyuk Gold, Tim Waterer, Waterer, Benjamin Netanyahu Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, KCM, Fed, Traders Locations: Siberian, Krasnoyarsk, Russia, U.S, Gaza
Last week, three online banks cut their 1-year CD rates, according to BTIG. Meanwhile, Synchrony slashed its online savings rate by 10 basis points to 4.65%. "We believe online banks are intentionally trying to shift customers toward savings rates, which are floating, over term rates," he said. The annualized seven-day yield on the Crane 100 list of the 100 largest taxable money funds is 5.11%, as of Monday. With both high-yield savings and money market funds, the rates can fluctuate.
Persons: Marcus, Goldman Sachs, Sallie Mae, Synchrony, Jerome Powell, Vincent Caintic, Christine Benz, Benz, Winnie Sun, Cathy Curtis, Curtis Organizations: Federal, Morningstar, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Sun, Wealth Partners, CNBC, Money, Curtis Financial, Treasury Locations: Capital
Stocks were higher on Tuesday after PPI showed wholesale inflation was less than expected in July. Investors are now bracing for the consumer inflation reading due out on Wednesday. AdvertisementUS stocks were up on Tuesday after the producer price index for July showed wholesale inflation rose less than expected. Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that producer prices increased 0.1% last month compared to estimates of 0.2%. The cooler-than-expected reading should boost optimism for consumer prices to show a decline in inflation when the consumer price index is released on Wednesday.
Persons: , Chris Zaccarelli, Laxman Narasimhan, Brian Niccol, Elon Musk Organizations: PPI, Investors, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Fed, Depot, Bank of America, Starbucks, Trump Media, Elon
Gold subdued as investors focus on U.S. inflation data
  + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Gold prices struggled for momentum on Monday as investors looked forward to a key inflation report that could shed more light on the U.S. central bank's next policy move. Spot gold eased 0.13% to $2,427.86 per ounce by 0352 GMT, trading in a narrow $10 price range. The U.S. consumer price index data, due on Wednesday, is expected to show that headline and core prices rose 0.2% month-on-month. "Further inflation progress reflected in the upcoming CPI data could see gold eye for a retest of its all-time high once more," said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong. Among other metals, spot silver fell 0.3% to $27.36 per ounce, platinum shed 0.47% to $917.83 and palladium fell 0.2% to $903.48.
Persons: Ilya Spivak, Yeap Jun Rong, Michelle Bowman Organizations: Metals, U.S, Federal, Hamas Locations: Krasnoyarsk, Russia, bank's, U.S, Gaza
US stocks were lower on Monday as investors looked to new economic data due out in the week. This week, markets will get updates on consumer and producer inflation and retail sales for July. The stock market ended last week nearly flat after the biggest sell-off in over two years. On Tuesday, data on wholesale inflation will be released, though the main event for the week will be consumer inflation data on Wednesday with the consumer price index report for July. On an annual basis, inflation is expected to show prices rose 3% last month, in-line with June figures.
Persons: Organizations: Service, Bank of America Locations: June's
We've explained how current high-yield savings accounts beat inflation rates, and what Fed rate cuts mean for your savings. How does inflation affect savingsIn order to understand how high-yield savings accounts beat inflation, you first have to understand what inflation is. Dixon says that, while high-yield savings accounts are good for shorter-term savings such as emergency funds, investing can be a good longer-term strategy — as long as you understand the risk. If your savings aren't kept in a high-yield savings account, the interest you earn on your savings could be outpaced by the current inflation rate. Using a high-yield savings account can help you save your savings from inflation because current high-yield savings account rates are higher than current inflation rates.
Persons: , We've, Patrina Dixon, there's, Dorsainvil, Dixon, it's, aren't Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve, Consumer, Dorsainvil, YGC, CME, Am Locations: CFEI, U.S
Veteran investor David Roche expects a bear market in 2025 caused by smaller-than-expected rate cuts, a slowing U.S. economy and an artificial intelligence bubble. "I think [a bear market] is probably coming, but probably in 2025. Roche expects the Fed to resist reducing rates to the market's desired 3.50%. "The second thing is that profits [won't] fulfill expectations, because the economy is going to be slowing," Roche warned. The third factor Roche expects will lead to a bear market is the AI sector.
Persons: David Roche, CNBC's, Roche Organizations: Quantum Strategy, U.S, Presidential
Looking back, quarterly earnings also played a key role in big stock moves for the portfolio. Looking ahead, we'll see an update on some key inflation data, plus a closer look at the state of the housing and retail sectors. ET: Producer Price Index Earnings: Home Depot (HD), Pandora (PANDY), Nu Holdings (NU), Sea Limited (SE) Wednesday, August 14 8:30 a.m. ET: Consumer Price Index Earnings: Tencent Holdings (TCEHY), Cisco (CSCO), UBS (UBS), JD.com (JD) Thursday, August 15 8:30 a.m. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Walt, Jim Cramer, we've, JD.com, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Walt Disney, Microsoft, Ford Motor, Wynn Resorts, DuPont, Devices, Procter, Gamble, Club, Abbott Laboratories, Federal, Traders, Sun Life, Nu Holdings, Sea, Tencent Holdings, Cisco, UBS, Philadelphia Fed, Walmart, Materials, Deere & Co, Ross Stores, Lenovo, Housing, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: U.S, Dover, Wells Fargo, Nextracker, Eaton
However, investors can continue generating portfolio income if they snap up the right dividend stocks. Dividend yields that are too high may also raise the question of whether the company can sustain these payments to investors. Data storage player Seagate Technology made the cut, with a three-year annualized dividend yield of 7.9%, according to Bank of America's analysis. Bank of America rates KeyCorp as a buy, and it sees the company and its peers benefiting as the Fed dials back its policy. Devon, which the bank rates as a buy, this week surpassed the Street's estimates on core earnings per share in the second quarter, per FactSet.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Wamsi Mohan, Mohan, Ebrahim Poonawala, Kraft, Merck Organizations: Federal Reserve, FedWatch, Bank of America, Seagate Technology, Bank of, KeyCorp, Devon Energy, Kraft Heinz, Simon Property Group Locations: Devon, Bank
Prices of safe-haven gold edged higher on Thursday, supported by Middle East tensions and optimism surrounding U.S. rate cuts, while traders awaited economic data for clues on the Federal Reserve's policy trajectory. Gold prices rose more than 1% on Thursday, supported by firm safe-haven demand and growing expectations for a sizeable interest rate cut from the U.S. Federal Reserve in September. Spot gold rose 1.27% to settle at $2,463.3. Brokerages including J.P.Morgan, Citigroup and Wells Fargo have forecast a 50-basis-point interest rate cut by the Fed in September after last week's U.S. jobs data. Gold prices fell as much as 3% on Monday, caught in a global sell-off driven by fears of a U.S. recession.
Persons: Alex Ebkarian, Bullion Organizations: Federal, U.S . Federal Reserve, J.P.Morgan, Citigroup, Fed Locations: Iran, Israel, Wells, U.S
Mortgage rates plunge to lowest level in more than a year
  + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
Washington CNN —US mortgage rates plummeted this week after weaker-than-expected employment data raised the odds of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates next month. The standard 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.47% this week, mortgage financing giant Freddie Mac said Thursday. Mortgage rates have steadily fallen over the past several weeks since reaching a 2024 peak of 7.22% in early May. Mortgage rates track the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield, which moves in anticipation of the Fed’s decision on interest rates. Lower mortgage rates and a bigger housing stock will eventually entice more buyers to eventually enter the market.
Persons: Freddie Mac, That’s, , Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, “ Homebuyers, ” Lawrence Yun, Lisa Sturtevant, Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, Las, P Global, Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, CNN, Treasury, National Association of Realtors, Fed, NAR, , Bright MLS Locations: New York, San Diego, Las Vegas, Tampa, Denver, Minneapolis, United States
Gold buoyed by Fed rate-cut hopes, geopolitical concerns
  + stars: | 2024-08-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
An employee handles one kilogram gold bullions at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold prices firmed on Wednesday on mounting bets of U.S. interest rate cuts in September and rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with markets awaiting U.S. economic data for clues on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path. Spot gold rose 0.4% to $2,399.38 per ounce, as of 11:29 a.m. Bullion is considered a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainties and tends to thrive in a low interest rate environment. Meanwhile, China's central bank held back on buying gold for its reserves for a third straight month in July, official data showed on Wednesday.
Persons: Everett Millman, Bart Melek, they're, Millman Organizations: Co, Gainesville, TD Securities Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, U.S, Israel, China's, China
Now could be a good time to start buying stocks with high dividend yields, according to BMO Capital Markets. The highest-paying S & P 500 stocks have significantly underperformed the index over the last year and a half, even with the rebound they've enjoyed in recent months, said chief investment strategist Brian Belski. They are rated outperform by the firm's analysts and fall within the top 25% of S & P 500 stocks by dividend yield. Digital Realty Trust, which pays a 3.28% dividend yield, owns, develops and operates data centers — which are expected to see surging demand thanks to AI . Host Hotel & Resorts, which owns luxury and upper-upscale hotels, has a 4.92% dividend yield and is down 16% so far this year.
Persons: they've, Brian Belski, Belski, AbbVie Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, Federal, Fed, BMO, Pfizer, pharma, AbbVie, Cerevel Therapeutics, American Electric Power, Southern Company, Utilities, Digital Realty Trust, Host Hotels, Resorts Locations: Southern
Squeeze on carry trades leave currency markets on edge
  + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The Japanese yen and U.S. dollar on display in Yichang, Hubei province, Nov 13, 2023. The yen was 1% lower on Tuesday at 145.78 per dollar in early trading, after rising for five straight sessions and touching a seven-month high of 141.675 on Monday. "Sell-offs that manifest themselves through wild swings in the currency markets are sharp and swift, but usually very short lived," said Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group. "Markets are clearly nervous about the divergent paths central banks are taking, leading to lots of volatility." The dollar index , which measures the U.S. unit versus six rivals, was flat at 102.87 in early trading after touching a seven-month low of 102.15 on Monday.
Persons: Jamie Cox, James Athey, undervaluation Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Federal, Harris Financial, Traders, Bank of Japan, Marlborough Investment Management Locations: Yichang, Hubei province, recessionary, Japan, Switzerland, Tokyo
In an August 1 note to clients, the bank's top global strategist urged investors to sell stocks when the Federal Reserve issues its first rate cut. Hartnett and his team studied the last 12 rate-cutting cycles going back to 1970 and identified three varieties of rate cuts. Hartnett said surging global central bank rate cuts are signs that the economy is in for a rough stretch. Investors expect the Fed to cut rates for the first time this cycle at its September meeting. "Emergency Fed rate cuts being priced in makes little sense given the economic backdrop in the U.S. and would only serve to destroy policy maker credibility."
Persons: , America's Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, Louis, Jean, Louis Nakamura, Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, Kantrowitz, Hartnett's, Jim Smigiel Organizations: Service, America's, Federal Reserve, Business, Bank of America Bank of America, Bank of America, Louis Fed, Bank of America's, Global, SEI Locations: U.S
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