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☆ Stock market today: Indexes close at record highs and tech soars after Fed rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Indexes rallied to record highs as investors cheered Wednesday's rate cut from the Fed. Jobless claims reinforced the Fed's message of a strong labor market, with last weeks's claims down 12,000. AdvertisementMajor stock indexes surged to record highs on Thursday, a day after a jumbo rate cut from the Federal Reserve. On Wednesday, the Fed cut interest rates for the first time in four years, slashing its benchmark rate by 50 basis points. The Fed's dot plot shows the central bank will likely cut another 50 basis points this year and 100 basis points next year.

Persons: —, Dan Ives, Ives, Jerome Powell, Powell, Richard Bernstein Organizations: Fed . Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Service, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Broadcom, ASML, Labor Department, Treasury, Fed, Trump Media Locations: Here's

☆ It's a big week for central banks around the world, with a slew of rate moves on the table
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Kevin Dietsch | Getty ImagesA flurry of major central banks will hold monetary policy meetings this week, with investors bracing for interest rate moves in either direction. The U.S. central bank is widely expected to join others around the world in starting its own rate-cutting cycle. Elsewhere, Brazil's central bank is scheduled to hold its next policy meeting across Tuesday and Wednesday. Traffic outside the Central Bank of Brazil headquarters in Brasilia, Brazil, on Monday, June 17, 2024. The central bank delivered its first interest rate cut in more than four years at the start of August.

Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin, Kevin Dietsch, John Bilton, CNBC's, Bilton, David Volpe, Volpe, 25bps, Wilson Ferrarezi, BOE, Ruben Segura Cayuela Organizations: Federal Reserves, Washington , D.C, Federal, Traders, The Bank of England, Norway's Norges Bank, South Africa's, Bank, Bank of Japan, Morgan Asset Management, European, Bank of England, ECB, Emerald Asset Management, Banco Central, TS Lombard, Central Bank of, Bloomberg, Getty, Reuters, Bank of America Locations: Washington ,, U.S, Brazil's, Brazil, Central Bank of Brazil, Brasilia, South Africa, Norway, Japan

☆ Here are the stocks that win when the Fed cuts rates with no recession
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Fed funds futures have fully priced in that the central bank will lower interest rates, according to CME's FedWatch tool . Many now expect the Fed will achieve the coveted "soft landing" outcome, which means inflation is curbed without tipping the economy into a recession. Rate cuts without a recession has historically been a positive mixture for stocks. Given this backdrop, CNBC Pro screened for names that have performed nicely in past periods where the Fed pulled rates lower without the U.S. economy tipping into a recession. To find these companies, CNBC Pro searched the S & P 500 for members with the highest median gain one year after the Fed has cut rates without an official recession.

Persons: Genuity, LSEG, Paul Lejuez, WMT Organizations: Reserve, CNBC Pro, Nike, Dow Jones Industrial, Intel, Boeing, Walmart, Dow, Citi, Wall Locations: U.S, Rochester , New York

☆ Stock market today: S&P 500 goes for 5-day win streak as markets look ahead to next week's Fed meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks jumped on Friday as S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 aimed for a five-day win streak. Investors are focused on the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate cut announcement next week. The Fed is expected to cut rates for the first time since 2019, with about even odds for a 25- or 50-basis point cut. Based on probabilities from the CME's FedWatch Tool, there's a 49%/51% split on whether the Fed will deliver a 50-basis point or 25-basis point interest rate cut, respectively. AdvertisementNext week's expected interest rate cut from the Fed will represent the first time the central bank has lowered rates since 2019.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, it's, Aditya Bhave Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal, Service, Federal Reserve, Bank of America Locations: Here's

☆ Wall Street mounts a comeback, and Honeywell finally hints at what may be next
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Jensen Huang, Goldman Sachs, Vimal Kapur, Morgan, Kapur, We've, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Club, Nvidia, Broadcom, Nvidia's, Technology Conference, Honeywell, Laguna Conference, Signet Jewelers, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Kroger

☆ Stock futures are little changed as traders brace for August consumer inflation report: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. stock futures were little changed Tuesday night ahead of the August consumer inflation report due Wednesday morning. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures both dipped 0.1%. Traders are anticipating a key economic report Wednesday morning: August's consumer price index. The CPI report and Thursday's producer price index could help determine the size of a widely expected rate cut at the end of the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting on Sept. 18. Fed funds futures trading suggests a 69% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut and a 31% likelihood of a 50-basis-point reduction, according to CME's FedWatch Tool.

Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, CME's, Kristina Hooper, Hooper Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, GameStop, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Nvidia, JPMorgan, CPI, Federal

☆ No bear market for stocks in sight even as macro and policy uncertainty threaten further volatility, Goldman Sachs says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Higher valuations, a mixed macro outlook, and policy uncertainty raise the risk of further declines for stocks. Yet, odds of a bear market are low amid a strong private sector and coming rate cuts, Goldman Sachs says. AdvertisementMacro and policy uncertainty have raised warning signs for further volatility for stocks in recent weeks, but the risk of a steeper correction into bear market territory looks remote, Goldman Sachs analysts said. According to the bank, there's an elevated risk that investors pullback amid lofty valuations, a mixed macro outlook, and policy uncertainty. The firm's outlook comes as indexes have been rattled in recent months by volatility stemming from weaker-than-expected macro data.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, — Organizations: Service, Fed

☆ Citi says buy this boat dealer because Fed rate cuts will increase affordability
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-09 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

MarineMax is a smart pick for investors looking for beneficiaries of lower interest rates, according to Citi. Analyst James Hardiman upgraded shares of the boat dealer to buy from neutral and upped his price target by $4, or 10%, to $44. Key to Hardiman's upgrade is the idea that the stock can get a boost when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. After holding interest rates steady at 5.25% to 5.50% for more than a year, the long-awaited first cut may come as soon as next week. Shares briefly popped more than 7% in early Monday trading, a reprieve after a tough 2024, when MarineMax shares have tumbled more than 21%.

Persons: James Hardiman, CME's, Hardiman Organizations: Citi, Federal Reserve

☆ Dollar droops after benign inflation data; kiwi firm before RBNZ decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar remained on the back foot on Wednesday after tumbling versus major peers overnight as a benign reading for U.S. producer prices reinforced bets on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. Risk-sensitive currencies stayed strong after the unexpected softening in inflation buoyed equities, even with crucial U.S. consumer price index figures still looming later on Wednesday. New Zealand's dollar hovered near a four-week high ahead of a Reserve Bank of New Zealand policy decision, with markets split over the potential for a rate cut. The dollar was stable at 147.06 yen as it continued to consolidate around the 147 level this week. The kiwi edged up 0.07% to $0.6081, close to Tuesday's high of $0.60815, a level last seen on July 18.

Persons: CME's, Carol Kong, Sterling, Tony Sycamore Organizations: Australian, New, Reserve Bank of New, Traders, Federal, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, U.S, CPI, CBA, IG Locations: Reserve Bank of New Zealand

☆ Oil prices ease as markets refocus on demand worries
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices edged lower on Tuesday, breaking a five-day streak of gains, as markets refocused on concerns about demand after OPEC on Monday cut its forecast for demand growth in 2024 due to softer expectations in China. Oil prices edged lower on Tuesday, breaking a five-day streak of gains, as markets refocused on concerns about demand after OPEC on Monday cut its forecast for demand growth in 2024 due to softer expectations in China. Global benchmark Brent crude futures dipped 41 cents, or 0.5%, lower to $81.89 a barrel at 0005 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell to $79.63 a barrel, down 43 cents, or 0.5%. Brent had gained more than 3% on Monday, while U.S. crude futures had risen more than 4%.

Persons: Brent, John Kirby, CME's Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, of, Petroleum, White House, Wednesday's, U.S Locations: China, Iran, United States

☆ JPMorgan raises 2024 recession odds to 35%
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The bank raised its probability for a U.S. or global recession to 35% by year end, chief global economist Bruce Kasman told clients in a Wednesday note. Meanwhile, JPMorgan kept its odds for a recessionary period by the second half of 2025 at 45%. But traders got better news on the labor market front on Thursday, with the volume of weekly jobless claims coming in lower than economists expected. To be sure, despite raising his odds, Kasman said investors should not assume all signs point to a recession. In fact, Kasman described his increase to near-term recession risk as modest.

Persons: Bruce Kasman, Kasman, Goldman Sachs Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal, Fed Locations: U.S

☆ Fundstrat's Tom Lee makes another bold call, calling for big rally post-Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Fundstrat's Tom Lee is out with his next eye-popping prediction — and it implies good news for the market in the coming days. "In short, we see a risk-on rally starting Wed that could add +100 points to the S & P 500," he told clients. Lee said investors should expect a gain of at least 6% for small caps during this run alone. "We still see this as the 'summer of small caps' so our preference is to be buying," he said. A rise of 5% would propel the S & P 500 to a new all-time intraday high, topping the record set earlier this month.

Persons: Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, Russell, CME's Organizations: Federal Reserve

☆ S&P 500 futures are little changed as Wall Street awaits Fed decision: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

S&P 500 futures are near flat Tuesday night as investors parsed the latest earnings reports and readied for the Federal Reserve monetary policy decision coming Wednesday afternoon. Futures tied to the broad index lost 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures ticked higher by 0.2%. Fed funds futures are pricing in a strong likelihood that central bankers will keep rates steady at the 5.25% to 5.5% range, according to CME's FedWatch Tool. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are tracking to end July down 0.4% and 3.3%, respectively. The Dow and Russell 2000 are slated to finish the month higher by more than 4% and 9%, respectively.

Persons: Dow, Russell, Jerome Powell, CME's, Powell, Bryce Doty Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Microsoft, Sit Investment, Fed, Boeing, Albemarle, Qualcomm, Etsy

☆ Here's everything you need to know about the Fed decision coming Wednesday
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Market pricing currently indicates an absolute certainty that the Fed will approve its first reduction in more than four years — when it meets Sept. 17-18. They don't want investors to start pricing in a rate cut coming in September and there's literally nothing else that could possibly happen," he said. "Opening the door for that rate cut is probably the most appropriate thing for them at this point," Reynolds added. Expectations for easingGlenmede expects that starting in September, the Fed could cut at each of the three remaining meetings. The Fed will not provide an update on its quarterly summary of economic projections at this meeting.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Chris Kleponis, they've, Michael Reynolds, Reynolds, there's, it'll, Powell, Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, Mericle, Bill English, We've Organizations: Banking, Housing, Urban, Capitol, AFP, Getty, Glenmede, Fed Locations: Washington ,, Yale, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ The first Fed interest rate cut in years is on the horizon. Here's what homeowners, buyers need to know
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Ana Teresa Solá | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Valentinrussanov | E+ | Getty ImagesThe Federal Reserve is poised to make the first interest rate cut in years this fall, which can influence mortgage rates to go down. To that point, people in the market to buy a home have been eagerly waiting for the Fed to cut rates. The Fed is meeting this week, but experts say it seems more likely that the first rate cut will come in September. That would be the first rate cut since 2020 in the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic. While mortgage rates are fixed and mostly tied to Treasury yields and the economy, they are partly influenced by the Fed's policy.

Persons: Chen Zhao, Freddie Mac, Refinance, it's, Zhao, Selma Hepp, Hepp, Jacob Channel, there's Organizations: Fed, Treasury, Mortgage, Association, Finance Locations: Redfin

☆ Gold shines on rising Fed rate-cut outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Spot gold rose 0.1% to $2,461.27 per ounce, as of 0218 GMT. Fed Governor Christopher Waller and New York Fed President John Williams both noted the shortening horizon toward looser monetary policy. Separately, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said he is "very encouraged" on broadening declines in inflation. "Over the next 6-12 months, regardless of who wins the (U.S.) election, we see gold rising to $2700-$3000 and silver to $38," Citi Research said. Spot silver rose 0.2% to $30.35, platinum steadied at $994.81 and palladium gained 0.4% to $955.77.

Persons: Ryan McIntyre, Christopher Waller, John Williams, Thomas Barkin, CME's Organizations: Sprott Asset Management, Holdings, New York Fed, Richmond Fed, Federal, Citi Research, Investors, U.S Locations: U.S, ., China

☆ Oil prices tick up as crude, gasoline inventories ease
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices edged higher on Thursday as crude stocks fell after U.S. refineries ramped up processing and as gasoline inventories eased, signaling stronger demand. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose 36 cents, or 0.5%, to $82.47 a barrel. U.S. crude inventories fell by 3.4 million barrels to 445.1 million barrels in the week ended July 5, far exceeding analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 1.3 million-barrel draw. Gasoline stocks fell by 2 million barrels to 229.7 million barrels, much bigger than the 600,000-barrel draw analysts expected during the U.S. Fourth of July holiday week. Lower interest rates decrease the cost of borrowing, which can boost economic activity and oil demand.

Persons: Brent, Beryl, Price, CME's, Jerome Powell Organizations: . West Texas, U.S, of, Petroleum, Federal Locations: Los Angeles , California, U.S, CME's FedWatch

☆ Gold eases from May peak on profit taking
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A view of ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold, which are placed in a workroom, at Novosibirsk Refining Plant, Russia's leading gold refining and bar manufacturing plant, in Novosibirsk, Russia on Sept. 15, 2023. Spot gold fell 0.4% at $2,382.17 per ounce as of 0346 GMT, after rising to its highest level since May 22 on Friday. Traders are also pricing in a rising chance of a second rate cut in December. Elsewhere, top consumer China's central bank refrained from gold purchases to its reserves for a second consecutive month in June. "China may have paused their gold purchases, but it remains in demand overall.

Persons: We're, Kyle Rodda, CME's, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Matt Simpson, bullish, Simpson Organizations: Novosibirsk Refining Plant, Capital.com, Federal, Fed Locations: Novosibirsk, Russia, China

☆ Treasury yields are flat as investors gear up for inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%The 10-year Treasury yield was flat 4.257% on Monday. The 2-year Treasury yield was fractionally higher at 4.736%. Treasurys were muted entering the final week of June, with investors set to zero in on Friday's key inflation report. With a summer interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve seemingly off the table, markets are hunting for more signs that September may be the month. That may come in the form of Friday's personal consumption expenditures price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge.

Persons: Michelle Bowman, Lisa Cook Organizations: Federal Reserve, Reuters, Traders Locations: U.S

☆ Oil prices edge up on optimistic demand outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices ticked higher on Wednesday on upbeat global demand views from the U.S. Energy Information Administration and OPEC. Oil prices ticked higher on Wednesday on upbeat global demand views from the U.S. Energy Information Administration and OPEC. U.S. crude oil stocks fell by 2.428 million barrels in the week ended June 7, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures. Inventories were expected to have fallen by slightly over one million barrels last week, a preliminary Reuters poll showed. Data from the EIA, the U.S. government's statistics arm, is expected later on Wednesday.

Organizations: U.S . Energy Information Administration, OPEC, Brent, U.S, West Texas, EIA, of, Petroleum, ANZ, American Petroleum Institute, Investors, Consumer, Federal Locations: China, U.S, Friday's

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Apple shares pop, Musk drops OpenAI lawsuit
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-12 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Musk drops OpenAI suit Elon Musk dropped his lawsuit against OpenAI, CEO Sam Altman and President Greg Brockman, which alleged breach of contract and fiduciary duty. Apple pops Apple 's shares rose to a record high a day after it announced its push into artificial intelligence. Get the CNBC Daily Open report in your inbox every morning and keep up to date with the markets wherever you are. For more, CNBC's Jeff Cox explains there could be a huge impact from the consumer price index and the Fed meeting.

Persons: Paul Jacobson, Elon Musk, Sam Altman, Greg Brockman, Siri, OpenAI, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, David Malpass, Dennis Lockhart, Jeff Cox, — CNBC's Lim Hui Jie, Lisa Kailai Han, Alex Harring, Spencer Kimball, Hayden Field, Samantha Subin, Ashley Capoot, Michael Wayland Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, General Motors, GM, OpenAI, Microsoft, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Federal Reserve, Brent, Bank, Biden, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Atlanta Fed Locations: New York City, U.S, San Francisco

☆ Stock futures are little changed as investors gear up for start of Fed policy meeting: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Stock futures are near flat Monday night as investors await the start of June's Federal Reserve policy meeting. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures both also traded near their flatlines. This comes as traders prepare for the two-day Fed policy meeting commencing Tuesday. The meeting will conclude on Wednesday with an interest rate policy decision and a subsequent press conference featuring Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Fed funds futures were indicating virtually no chance of a cut at this week's meeting, according to CME's FedWatch Tool.

Persons: Jerome Powell, CME's, We've, Zachary Hill Organizations: June's Federal, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Horizon Investments, Oracle

☆ Fed rate cut guessing game dominates ahead of 5 major events for investors
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-07 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Market wrap : Stocks were mixed and drifting in Friday afternoon trading. Wall Street's earlier gains Friday came despite a surge in bond yields and another pushout of Federal Reserve interest rate cut odds. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley, Friday's, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Abbott Laboratories, Nvidia, Apple, Developers, FDA, Broadcom, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Wells

☆ It's time to take your cash out of CDs and money market funds as the Fed gets ready to cut rates, says a chief strategist at a $1.4 trillion firm. Here are 3 ways to earn attractive returns for years
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The last year and a half has been the best period in more than 20 years to be sitting in cash. Related stories"We know those attractive cash rates aren't going to last forever. Just as the aggressive rate hiking cycle took Treasury yields higher, interest rate cuts will eventually take all cash rates lower as well," Gillum said. And third, investors can build a bond ladder, meaning they stagger their money in different bond durations. "Bonds offer an optionality that you don't get from cash.

Persons: Lawrence Gillum, Gillum, there's Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, LPL, Business, Bloomberg, Aggregate Bond, BNY Mellon, Schwab U.S, Fed

☆ Snap up gold ETF ahead of potential interest rate cuts as deficits persist, market pro says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-04 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

It's likely to further appreciate due to a lack of progress in narrowing the deficit, Tentarelli said. Historically, gold prices have been inversely correlated with real bond yields, meaning when yields decline, gold should rally further. "Even if there's no rate cuts, I like gold based on the macro of deficit spending," the Merrill Lynch alum said. In that event, investors will want to hold the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) ETF, Tentarelli said. But, for most, the "smartest way" to play gold is through the ETF, Tentarelli said.

Persons: Larry Tentarelli, Tentarelli, Merrill Lynch Organizations: Federal Reserve, Costco, Treasury, @HG, Copper Miners Locations: yawning, Freeport, McMoRan, Monday's

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