War and climate change are the main risks that could threaten aggressive Fed rate cuts, Macquarie said. That's because conflicts in the Middle East and a parched Panama Canal risk creating supply shocks that stoke inflation. Sign up for our newsletter to get the latest on the culture & business of sustainability — delivered weekly to your inbox. "War and climate change are becoming the main risk to the view that the Fed cuts aggressively," analysts led by Thierry Wizman wrote in a note on Friday. Such turmoil can end up pinching consumers because the Red Sea is a major shipping artery — the Suez Canal, which connects the Red Sea to the Mediterranean Sea, carries about 12% of global trade.

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Persons: Macquarie, Thierry Wizman, Wizman Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Fed, Drewry, . Shipping, Maersk, CMA CGA, UK, International Monetary Fund Locations: Panama, Red, Africa, Yemen, Suez