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Read previewUma Moriarity, a senior investment strategist at a real estate investment firm based outside of Philadelphia, is feeling better about deal-making in commercial real estate. A reduction in the Fed's benchmark rate would bring relief to the $22.5 trillion US commercial real estate market, which was shaken by a series of interest rate increases beginning in March 2022. AdvertisementThe increases diminished commercial property values, raised mortgage defaults, and triggered the sector's worst downturn since the financial crisis more than 15 years ago. "We're looking at a very good 2025 and beyond," Mark Rose, the CEO of the real estate services firm Avison Young, said. "Commercial property prices have increased over the past few months as bond yields have declined," Peter Rothemund, the co-head of strategic research at Green Street, said in the firm's recent property pricing report.
Persons: , Uma Moriarity, Moriarty, Mark Rose, Avison Young, Richard Barkham, We've, Fitch, CMBS, Peter Rothemund, Alan Todd, Todd, CLO Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, CenterSquare Investment Management, Green, Mortgage, Association, Bank of America, Bank of America Securities Locations: Philadelphia, Trepp
However, investors were also content to ramp up credit risk, directing more than $1.6 billion into ETFs with underlying bank loans and collateralized loan obligations, or CLOs, State Street found. Big institutional investors can purchase bank loans — which lending institutions make to companies — and benefit from the loans' floating coupon rate. CLOs are similar to bank loans: These are pools of floating rate loans made to businesses, which can be non-investment grade. Bank loans and CLOs tend to have less price sensitivity to changes in rates, meaning they are short duration. "Rate policy is evolving and uncertain, and it's unlikely to be less cloudy as we get into the summer months."
Persons: Matthew Bartolini, CLOs, Janus Henderson, Bartolini Organizations: State, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research, Street Global Advisors, CLOs, AAA, SEC, Janus Henderson AAA CLO, CNBC, Bank Locations: CLOs, SPDR Americas, BlackRock
The prospect of "higher for longer" rates has also made short-term fixed income assets especially attractive. "We had a lot of investors who were in, if not cash, then sub-2-year duration fixed income at the start of the year." Takeaways for investors It doesn't hurt for retail investors to review their fixed income allocation now that the year is halfway over. A combination of fixed income assets may be what it takes to benefit from today's higher rates, lock in yields and capture rising prices once the Fed cuts. "We don't buy that there's one fixed income asset class that you should tilt toward," said Calcagni.
Persons: , Don Calcagni, it's, Shannon Saccocia, Neuberger Berman, Michael Rosen, Rosen, Janus Henderson, Vishal Khanduja, Eaton Vance, Khanduja, Callie Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, FedWatch, Investment Company Institute, Money, Mercer Advisors, Investors, Municipal, Angeles Investment Advisors, AAA CLOs, Janus Henderson AAA CLO, SEC, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Bond, Ritholtz Wealth Management, Stay Locations: Santa Monica, Calif
There's a lot to like right now in the fixed income market, according to BlackRock's Rick Rieder. He finds European credit, both investment grade and BB-rated high yield, attractive in part because of the strong U.S. dollar. They have also added high quality CLOs and high-quality European securitized assets. "We're getting more yield than BB high yield. We're getting almost as much yield as full high yield — and our volatility is 60% of that market, just because we diversified," Rieder said.
Persons: BlackRock's Rick Rieder, Rieder, Bond, Fed Governor Waller, I've, He'd, Morningstar, We've, we're, BINC, We're, they'll Organizations: CNBC, SEC, Federal Reserve, Fed, AAA, BlackRock AAA, BlackRock AAA CLO, U.S, CLOs, MBS Locations: BlackRock, CLOs, European
Right now, securitized products in general look relatively cheap, said John Kerschner, head of U.S. securitized products and portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors. To meet this need, Janus launched its Securitized Income ETF (JSI) in November, which invests across the securitized space. JSI YTD mountain Janus Henderson Securitized Income ETF Collateralized loan obligations Another fund Kerschner manages is the Janus Henderson AAA CLO ETF . One way investors can get broad exposure to CMBS via BlackRock's iShares CMBS ETF . CMBS YTD mountain iShares CMBS ETF year to date However, Janus' Kerschner pointed out that all office work isn't going away.
Persons: Nick Travaglino, Nuveen, Travaglino, John Kerschner, Janus Henderson, Janus, Kerschner, Rick Rieder, I've, Rieder, CLOs, it's, isn't, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Kershner, We're Organizations: Investors, Fund, Janus Henderson Investors, SEC, Janus Henderson AAA CLO, Bank of America, AAA CLOs, BlackRock AAA CLO Locations: CLOs, BlackRock, Moody's, CMBS, multifamily
And that's seen by the dot plot and their own inability to predict when interest rate cuts are going to happen." Related storiesWhen the yield curve is inverted, meaning short-term rates are above longer-term ones, a barbell strategy in bonds means betting on long- and short-duration bonds. And that barbell is kind of what investing in the yield curve looks like today", Huffman said. But if interest rates fall, you will be forced to reinvest in a lower interest rate environment. Avoid the 10-year or 30-year duration bonds because they will face a negative yield curve role, which could reduce their total return potential, she added.
Persons: Taylor Huffman, Huffman, it's Organizations: PT Asset Management, Business, Management's, Bond, Securities
The balanced portfolio – which typically allocates 60% of assets toward stocks and 40% to fixed income –could use a rethink in today's higher rate environment, according to BlackRock's Rick Rieder. "For 30 years, fixed income was a hedge," said Rieder, the asset manager's global chief investment officer of fixed income, in a phone call with CNBC. A 60/30/10 split Rather than a 60/40 split toward equities and fixed income, Rieder said he would consider a 60/30/10 allocation if he had to build a balanced portfolio. That is, he'd maintain a 60% allocation toward stocks, but keep 30% of the portfolio in "higher income, shorter duration" assets. In addition to AAA-rated CLOs, Rieder also likes European investment-grade credit as a U.S. dollar investor.
Persons: BlackRock's Rick Rieder, Jerome Powell, Rieder, Jared Woodard Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, AAA, Bank of, CLOs Locations: Central
The firm began coverage of this corner of the ETF space on Monday. An ETF play Woodard's team began coverage of one CLO fund: the Janus Henderson AAA CLO ETF (JAAA) . "Among covered ETFs with higher credit quality, it has the highest yield," Woodard said. There is also BlackRock's AAA CLO ETF (CLOA) , an actively managed offering with an expense ratio of 0.20% and a 30-day SEC yield of 6.59%. Investors digging into the CLO ETF space shouldn't just focus on yield, of course.
Persons: Jared Woodard, Woodard, Jerome Powell, CLOs, Janus Henderson, JAAA Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of America, AAA, Janus Henderson AAA CLO, SEC, AA, AAA CLO, CLOs, BBB
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPatient Capital's Samantha McLemore names this energy company as a buy for its significant upsideSamantha McLemore, Patient Capital founder and ClO, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss whether she believes the market needs a rate cut and her investment plays.
Persons: Samantha McLemore Organizations: Patient Capital
Delinquent assets are taking over investment products that bundle risky commercial real estate debt, Bloomberg reported. Issuers are extending maturities and buying back delinquent loans. Between 2019 and 2021, CLO issuance skyrocketed from $19 billion to $45 billion, Bloomberg found. Others are using cash reserves to buy out delinquent loans, purchasing a record $1.3 billion last year, according to JPMorgan estimates cited by the outlet. AdvertisementIssues with CLOs reflect a bigger theme in commercial real estate, as even investment grade projects face debt concerns.
Persons: , CLOs Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Investment, JPMorgan, Barclays
Risk-taking investors also fared well in high-yield bonds, as the fund category generated a 2023 total return of 6.98% through Friday. Big performers in that category include the Pacific Income Advisors High Yield (MACS) Fund (PIAMX) for investors with managed accounts. The BondBloxx CCC Rated USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (XCCC) was also among the strongest performers in the fund category. See below for a list of top performing high yield bond funds, according to Morningstar Direct. "I think these historically high yields have offered attractive entry points for high quality," said Murphy.
Persons: It's, Morningstar, it's, Thomas Murphy, Rowe, Murphy Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Morningstar, Morningstar . Bank, SEC, Pacific Income, PIAMX, Morningstar Direct Locations: U.S
The third quarter saw roughly $3 billion in new collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) backed by CRE loans, according to a Friday report by DBRS. This marks a significant turn from the second quarter, which saw less than $1 billion in CRE CLO issuance. Office-backed loans represented almost half of all CRE delinquencies in the third quarter, according to DBRS. An overall 3.27% delinquency rate for CRE CLOs in the third quarter was roughly in line with the second quarter rate, according to DBRS. There were $2.67 billion in delinquent CRE CLO loans as of September, a $20 million increase from the second quarter.
Persons: Marco Bello, DBRS Morningstar, CLOs, Loans, CRE CLOs, CRE, Matt Tracy, David Gregorio Our Organizations: U.S, DBRS, CRE, Thomson Locations: Miami, Biscayne Bay, Brickell, Downtown, Miami , Florida, U.S, DBRS, delinquencies
FILE PHOTO: Signage is seen outside the Blackstone Group headquarters in New York City, U.S., January 18, 2023. REUTERS/Jeenah Moon/File Photo/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 16 (Reuters) - Blackstone (BX.N) is in the final stages of raising about $400 million for its Blackstone Private Credit Fund (BCRED) to secure additional investment advantage, the Financial Times reported on Thursday. The private equity firm will sell loans that BCRED owns to the CLO to enhance competitiveness, FT said. Blackstone, which also manages multiple other funds, faced a significant decline in withdrawal requests from Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust (BREIT) in September, Kathleen MacCarthy, its global co-head of real estate, said then. Financial Times had in August reported that Blackstone, , plans to launch a private equity fund for wealthy individuals early next year.
Persons: CLOs, Blackstone, Kathleen MacCarthy, Mrinmay Dey, Dhanya Ann Thoppil Organizations: Blackstone Group, REUTERS, Blackstone, Blackstone Private Credit Fund, Financial Times, The, Reuters, Unified Women’s Healthcare, Blackstone Real, Income, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, The New York, Bengaluru
Jeffrey Sherman touted bonds over stocks and flagged signs of weakness in the US economy. DoubleLine's deputy chief investor told Insider the Federal Reserve is an "enemy to everything." NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementAdvertisementBonds are more enticing than stocks, the US economy is showing cracks, and the Federal Reserve is an enemy to investors, according to Jeffrey Sherman. He warned investors against trusting the central bank to balance inflation and growth while also shoring up asset prices.
Persons: Jeffrey Sherman, Sherman, , Jeffrey Gundlach's, TCW, scrambles Organizations: Reserve, Service, Federal Reserve, Bank, Fed
The Janus Henderson AAA CLO ETF (JAAA) , which buys highly rated collateralized loan obligations, has grown rapidly this year and outperformed many popular bond ETFs. The fund has a 30-day SEC yield of 6.66%, putting it above the yield of U.S. Treasuries. JAAA YTD mountain The JAAA ETF has held up this year despite rising interest rates. There are other CLO ETFs on the market, including the BlackRock AAA CLO ETF (CLOA) that launched earlier this year, but JAAA is the largest. Given the size and depth of the AAA CLO market, the fund should have no problems operating until it is about $20 billion in assets, at least, he estimated.
Persons: Janus Henderson, John Kerschner, Kerschner, JAAA Organizations: Janus Henderson AAA CLO, SEC, CLOs, Treasury, Treasury Bond ETF, CNBC, JPMorgan AAA CLO, BlackRock AAA, AAA Locations: JAAA
How the SEC could respond to Grayscale's bitcoin ETF win
  + stars: | 2023-09-01 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHow the SEC could respond to Grayscale's bitcoin ETF winVedder Price attorney Jeremy Senderowicz, Grayscale CLO Craig Salm and Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan join CNBC's Bob Pisani on "ETF Edge" to discuss how the SEC could respond to Grayscale's legal win in its pursuit of a spot bitcoin ETF.
Persons: Vedder Price, Jeremy Senderowicz, Craig Salm, Matt Hougan, Bob Pisani Organizations: SEC
Specialist asset managers minted CLOs worth more than half a trillion dollars in 2021, a year of heavy post-pandemic monetary stimulus. S&P Global estimates that more than one in 25 U.S. businesses and almost one in 25 European companies will default by March 2024. That has squeezed equity returns, and without equity investors, CLOs cannot be put together. S&P calculates that while CLO equity investors were able to get a 15% annual return before 2022, deals priced now would offer about 7%. "The (CLO) equity doesn't make enough money to justify buying it."
Persons: Florence Lo, CLOs, Morgan, Rob Shrekgast, KopenTech, Neha Khoda, It's, Marta Stojanova, You've, Aza Teeuwen, Laila Kollmorgen, Kollmorgen, tranches, BoFA, Naomi Rovnick, Chiara Elisei, Dhara Ranasinghe, Alexandra Hudson Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of America, Casino, Bed, TwentyFour, PineBridge Investments, Alexandra Hudson Our, Thomson Locations: CLOs, U.S
Big money investors pumped billions into buying up apartment buildings in the pandemic era. But fault lines have emerged for investors who paid top dollar for assets that depended on substantial rent increases and persistent low interest rates to achieve profitability. In those years, investors purchased $355.5 billion and $299.2 billion worth of apartment buildings, according to MSCI — unprecedented sums that far surpassed the previous $194 billion record of multifamily sales in 2019. "It's early, but it's going to become a bigger story, especially if interest rates stay high and lending standards are tight," said Alan Todd, the head of commercial-mortgage-backed-securities strategy at BofA Global Research. As these short-term debts come due, they will be difficult to swap with commensurately sized loans today, because of the falling values, higher interest rates, and lender caution.
Guest view: Direct lending may be entering new era
  + stars: | 2023-04-13 | by ( Armen Panossian | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
NEW YORK, April 13 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Challenges in the banking system are expanding the opportunities available to direct lenders. I believe direct lenders’ market share will increase significantly in the future due to the substantial mismatch of supply and demand that has emerged in the market for funding large-scale LBOs. Direct lenders, including funds at Oaktree, are now seeking to fill this gap. Not all direct lenders will be able to take advantage of this opportunity, though. This, in turn, is attracting interest and capital from those direct lenders able to fill the massive gap.
Investors showed outsize interest in apartment buildings during the pandemic. Rents and occupancy rates were rising, interest rates remained relatively low, and rental-property prices were climbing with no sign of letting up during a surge in housing demand. Laguna Point did not respond to a request for comment. Marc McDevitt, a senior managing director at Cred iQ, said it was possible Laguna Point had lost some, or even all, of its investment in the deal. While offices have been going through a paradigmatic shift as more workers do their jobs remotely, apartment buildings have experienced robust demand from tenants.
BlackRock launched the AAA CLO ETF (CLOA) less than a month ago, and the product already has about $30 million in assets under management. Panagram Structured Asset Management is exploring riskier versions in the same ETF sector, launching the BBB-B CLO ETF (CLOZ) and surpassing the $20 million mark in less than two weeks. Fixed income funds boom The growth of these funds comes after a boom in fixed income ETFs in 2022, as rising interest rates and high inflation sent investors hunting for ways to generate additional yield. Invesco and VanEck also launched CLO ETFs last year, presenting additional investment options. However, there are diversification benefits to having floating rate ETFs for investors, especially in the U.S. where most fixed income products have a fixed rather than a floating rate, Kerschner said.
This exercise now has more impetus on expectations that junk bond prices will continue to rally in the wake of Powell's comments, which raised hopes of slowing rate hikes and a so-called economic soft landing. Junk bond spreads on average tightened 37 basis points on Wednesday, the day of Powell's remarks, from a day earlier, according to ICE BAML data. This is around the level in September when banks sold only about half of the total $15 billion of debt through a U.S. dollar bond, leveraged loan and a Euro-denominated loan. Reuters could not confirm the exact amount sold in these sales and balance of LBO debt still left with banks. Banks could consider selling larger parcels of LBO debt in the primary bond markets where there has been a surge in new issue supply, said the sources.
As part of the shift, companies typically propose changes to their loan agreements with lenders, adjusting for the price difference between SOFR and Libor. The adjustment of the credit spread adds basis points to the interest rate on a loan to make up for the fact that SOFR has traded lower than Libor. The difference between SOFR and Libor can be as much as 25 basis points for loans with maturities of five to seven years. There will likely be more disagreements over credit spread adjustments as companies stop using Libor prior to its end. “There’s no reason to burn bridges over a few basis points,” Mr. Kerschner said.
Banks’ buyout-debt machine defies quick jumpstart
  + stars: | 2022-12-08 | by ( Neil Unmack | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Asset managers like Blackstone (BX.N) or Axa (AXAF.PA) pick the underlying loans, while investment banks underwrite the CLO securities and place them with credit investors. Many of the bonds that come out the other side get an ultra-safe AAA credit rating. The combination of higher funding costs and slower private-equity dealmaking has pushed sales of European CLO securities down 67% year-on-year, according to JPMorgan analysts. So, for example, 70% of the whole portfolio would have to default, with the creditors recovering just half of their money, before AAA tranches see a loss. That means banks’ biggest CLO risk is an even sharper slowdown, not a blowup.
REUTERS/Hannah McKay/File PhotoSummarySummary Companies Pension funds still need to raise cashCredit funds pick up bargains from pension fund salesSome credit funds already sitting on profitsLONDON, Nov 18 (Reuters) - Credit funds at Blackstone, Apollo, DZ Bank and Astra Asset Management picked up bargains from UK pension funds during their scramble for cash, and some say pension schemes are still offloading assets as pressures persist. Hedge funds and private equity firms have taken advantage of the forced sales to snap up deals - including certain portions of collateralised loan obligations (CLOs), securities that pension funds invest in. The credit funds are already sitting on juicy profits on some of these trades. This is because these pension funds must match their portfolios to what they will owe retired members. Even though the markets have calmed, some pension funds are still dealing with the implications," said Mody.
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