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CFRA Research says investors should temper expectationsJustin Sullivan/GettyAccording to CFRA Research analyst Angelo Zino, investors should manage expectations around guidance for Nvidia's highly anticipated Blackwell launch. Still, Zino expects Blackwell chips will be sold out for much of 2025. "We expect Blackwell to be supply constrained through CY 25, given heightened demand from hyperscalers to support next-generation data centers. In addition to Blackwell expectations/performance concerns that will likely dominate NVDA's Q&A session on the call, we expect investors to dissect any comments on tariffs/Sovereign AI after Trump's victory," Zino said. CFRA Research rates Nvidia at "Buy" with a $160 price target.
Persons: Justin Sullivan, Getty, Angelo Zino, Blackwell, Zino Organizations: CFRA Research, Sovereign, CFRA, Nvidia
Under a 25% tariff on goods from China, the Wall Street investment bank sees an EPS loss for Apple of 9.2%. Those estimates make Apple the fifth most vulnerable tech company to potential tariffs on goods from China in Morgan Stanley's research coverage. Bank of America analyst Wamsi Mohan agrees, seeing any tariff impact as "manageable." He sees a 60% tariff on Chinese goods possibly resulting in about a 4% hit to Apple's EPS. By contrast, Dell – which he noted looks positioned to be "most vulnerable" to tariffs – could see an EPS impact of up to about 90%, according to his model.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Tim Cook's Apple, Morgan Stanley, Erik Woodring, Trump, Tesla, , Morgan, it's, Angelo Zino, Zino, Wamsi Mohan, Apple, Bernstein, Toni Sacconaghi, Sacconaghi, It's, BofA's Mohan, Mohan, Jason Snipe Organizations: Apple, Wall, CNBC, of, Bank of America, Dell, Odyssey Capital, Apple Intelligence Locations: China, U.S, India, Vietnam, Malaysia
Tesla, the world’s largest maker of EVs, is the only automaker making a profit on its US EV sales. So if the EV tax credit goes away, the price of all EVs might come down. ‘It will only help Tesla’Musk signaled during the campaign that he would support ending the EV tax credit, even if raised the cost of Tesla purchases for American buyers. But the rest of the auto industry wants to keep the tax credit in place. He said that Tesla’s pricing and scale in the EV space “is an apples to oranges when compared to the rest of the auto industry once the EV tax credit disappears.”
Persons: Trump, Elon Musk, Donald Trump’s, Tesla, , , Donald Trump, Jim Watson, Joe Biden’s, Biden, Garrett Nelson, Nelson, Dan Ives Organizations: New, New York CNN, Tesla, EV, Motors, Ford, Alliance, Automotive Innovation, Global, Real, Republican, Reuters, Trump, CNN, CFRA Research, , Wedbush Securities Locations: New York, Butler , Pennsylvania, AFP, , Detroit
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump's tariff threats might be bargaining tools rather than firm policies, says strategistSam Stovall, Chief Investment Strategist of CFRA Research, says President-Elect Donald Trump is unlikely to 'upend the apple cart' with his proposed tariffs.
Persons: Sam Stovall, Donald Trump Organizations: CFRA
S&P 500 futures are near flat Thursday night as investors wondered what's next for the market after the postelection rally wavered. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 25 points, or 0.1%. S&P 500 futures also slipped 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures shed 0.2%. The Dow fell more than 200 points in the session, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite each slipped about 0.6%. The Nasdaq Composite has dropped 0.9% this week, while the S&P 500 and Dow have shed 0.8% and 0.5%, respectively.
Persons: what's, Pizza, Berkshire Hathaway, Dow, Stocks, Jerome Powell, Donald Trump's, Sam Stovall Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Materials, Berkshire, Federal, Dow, CFRA Locations: New York City, Dallas
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNeed upward earnings revisions to justify current valuations, says CFRA's Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the rerating of the current equity market, what's happening with valuations at current levels, and much more.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research
Tesla stock surged 12% in premarket trading following Trump's election victory. Musk's big bet on Trump has boosted analysts' confidence in Tesla's future prospects. AdvertisementElon Musk's big bet on Donald Trump is already paying off for Tesla. AdvertisementIn his victory speech early Wednesday, Trump paid tribute to Musk's efforts, calling him a "super genius" and a "new star." Trump win an 'overall negative' for EV industryDespite the surge in Tesla shares, Trump's victory could be bad news for the wider EV market.
Persons: Elon Musk, , Elon, Donald Trump, Dan Ives, Musk, Gene Munster, Munster, Trump, Tesla's robotaxis Garrett Nelson, Ives, Nelson, Tesla, BYD Organizations: Trump, Service, Fox News, CNN, Electoral, Wedbush Securities, Tesla, Deepwater Asset Management, EV company's, Tesla's, CFRA Research, EV, Business Locations: Tesla, Butler , Pennsylvania, China
Markets, in particular, crave certainty, and the clear path forward will allow companies to adjust their business and hiring plans. But stocks may also be reacting to Trump’s victory, in particular. Trump flipped several swing states from President Joe Biden’s 2020 victory, and Republicans also took control of the Senate. So Trump’s victory, at least for now, appears to be keeping those rates somewhat higher. Other so-called Trump trades, including shares of his social media stock, Trump Media & Technology Group, surged Wednesday morning.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden’s, refocusing, Sam Stovall, Bitcoin, Crypto, Trump’s, Germany’s DAX, Australia’s, , Neil Newman, Hong, ” Daniel Murray Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Dow, Nasdaq, Republicans, Fed, JPMorgan, Democratic, CFRA Research, Gross, Treasury, Trump, Trump Media & Technology Group, CAC, Nikkei, Advisory, EFG Asset Management Locations: New York, Europe, Asia, China, Tokyo, Shanghai
Even Warren Buffett thinks his stock is too expensive
  + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( John Towfighi | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
CNN —Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway has over $325 billion in cash on hand. Berkshire Hathaway was a net seller of stocks across its portfolio that quarter and grew its cash-on-hand to record amounts. Berkshire Hathaway’s actions signal to investors that its stock might be overvalued, Cathy Seifert, an analyst at CFRA Research, told CNN. Buffett will repurchase shares when he thinks the price is “below Berkshire’s intrinsic value, conservatively determined,” according to Berkshire Hathaway’s regulatory filings. “All this suggests that Buffett has serious concerns about the economic backdrop and the current state of the stock market,” Mould said in a note.
Persons: CNN — Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, Cathy Seifert, they’re, ’ ” Seifert, He’s, ” Robert Korajczyk, Aswath, , ” Damodaran, “ They’ve, Russ Mould, AJ Bell, ” Mould, ” Korajczyk Organizations: CNN, Berkshire, Securities, Exchange, CFRA Research, Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway’s, Northwestern’s Kellogg School of Management, NYU Stern School of Business Locations: Berkshire, , ,
What happens to stocks during election week? In general, the market has a slightly bullish bent during election week, but you can slice it different ways. The average percentage change for the S & P 500 in the week of the election is up 0.7%, with the index gaining 63% of the time, according to Birinyi Associates. That is why the S & P 500 is only 2% below its historic high. S & P 500 earnings estimates Q3: +8.4% Oct. 1: +6.0% Q4: +10.7% Technology: +14.6% Source: LSE Seasonals are important as well The seasonal trend is very strong.
Persons: Phil Mackintosh, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: Birinyi Associates, Nasdaq, Democrat, Republican, LSE
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCFRA: Lower demand for Berkshire Hathaway's products highlights economic slowdownCathy Seifert, Vice President of CFRA Research, discusses about Berkshire Hathaway’s Q3 results, its recent stock selling-spree, and what all that says about the broader US market and economy.
Persons: Cathy Seifert Organizations: Berkshire, CFRA Research, Berkshire Hathaway’s
That’s why Trump, who closely follows the stock market and obsessed over it as president, should be nervous about the recent trend on Wall Street. If the market goes down, the incumbent party gets replaced,” Stovall told CNN in a phone interview Monday. Market indicator was right in 2016 and 2020Vice President Kamala Harris should feel relieved the market has seen solid gains. In 2016, the S&P 500 dipped 2.2% in the lead-up to Trump’s matchup with the Democratic nominee, Hillary Clinton. Yet there’s another market indicator that offers a reason for hope for the Harris camp.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, CFRA Research’s Sam Stovall, Trump, ” Stovall, , Stovall, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Barack Obama, Kamala Harris, Dwight Eisenhower, Adlai Stevenson, Hillary Clinton, Clinton, Obama, Joe Biden, Hubert Humphrey, Richard Nixon, Harris, Humphrey, Jimmy Carter, Carter, , Doug Ramsey, Dow, We’re, ” Ramsey Organizations: New, New York CNN, White, , CNN, Lehman Brothers, AIG, Trump, Democratic, State, Democratic Party, Investment, Federal, Dow Jones Locations: New York, Chicago, Vietnam, Iran, Monday’s
Investors are expecting the Dow Jones Industrial Average to get a boost from the inclusion of the biggest artificial intelligence beneficiary of the last year. The 30-stock Dow has underperformed this year and last after failing to capitalize on the artificial intelligence boom that helped bolster the comparatively tech-heavy S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite. By comparison, the S & P 500 has surged 20% in 2024, after climbing 24% last year. Nvidia shares have gained 179% this year, and last advanced 1.8% in midday trading. Meanwhile, Intel shares have tumbled more than 55% in 2024; on Monday, it was last off by another 3.5%.
Persons: Dow Jones, CFRA Research's Angelo Zino, Dow, Nvidia doesn't, Ned Davis, Zino, bullish Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Ned Davis Research, Blackwell, Intel, Amazon, Walgreens, Alliance, Walgreens Boots Alliance
Stock futures dipped in overnight trading Sunday as investors geared up for the highly-anticipated U.S. presidential election. S&P 500 futures and Nasdsq-100 futures edged lower. Stocks are coming off a strong start to November, with Amazon and big technology stocks boosting the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500- 0.8% and 0.4%, respectively. Along with the election, Wall Street is bracing for the latest rate decision from the Federal Reserve. Earnings seasons presses on with about a fifth of the S&P 500 slated to report in the coming week.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, CFRA Research's Sam Stovall, CNBC's, We've, Jerome Powell, Sarah Min Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Amazon, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, NBC, U.S . House, Republican, Democratic, Federal Reserve, Traders, Micro, Moderna, CVS Health, Qualcomm, Wynn Resorts
The S&P 500 enjoyed a compound annual growth rate of 12.1% from Trump’s surprise election in November 2016 through Biden’s 2020 victory, according to CFRA. “The Trump market was so strong because of a combination of very low inflation, very low interest rates and tax cuts,” said Stovall. The S&P 500’s growth rate under Democrats is 10% compared with 6.7% under Republicans, according to CFRA. In those six years since 1945, where such a dynamic has been in place, the S&P 500 has enjoyed a sizzling growth rate of 16.8%. In fact, the market has generally performed better during times of higher, not lower, tax rates across changes in all three categories, BMO found.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, ” Trump, Biden, Sam Stovall, Stovall, Bill Clinton, Kamala Harris, “ Biden, ” Stovall, Trump, Clinton, , , Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, CFRA, ” Brian Belski, Richard M, Nixon, George W, Bush, . Bush, , Richard Nixon, Bush –, ” Belski, Gridlock, Harris, BMO’s Belski Organizations: New, New York CNN, Biden’s, CFRA Research, Biden, Trump, Wall, , Democrats, Republicans, Gross, Democratic, BMO Capital Markets, Clinton, Congress, Investors, Republican, White, BMO Locations: New York
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailApple reports revenue and earnings beat, iPhone revenue sees record Q4CNBC's Steve Kovach, Mike Santoli, and Angelo Zino, CFRA Research senior equity analyst, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk quarterly results.
Persons: Steve Kovach, Mike Santoli, Angelo Zino Organizations: Apple, Research
New York CNN —Apple CEO Tim Cook said the company’s Apple Intelligence AI tools would “supercharge” the iPhone 16 when he introduced the new device last month. Now the world is about to get its first glimpse of whether the promise of Apple’s artificial intelligence technology is also supercharging deflated iPhone sales. That means people who bought the iPhone 16 in the first month it was on sale didn’t have access to those AI features until just recently. That figure will include sales of earlier iPhone models that happened during the quarter, too, but could indicate that the iPhone 16 helped raise sales slightly. In the year-ago quarter, when the iPhone 15 launched, iPhone sales grew about 2.8% year-over-year.
Persons: Tim Cook, supercharge, Wall, , Angelo Zino, Dan Ives Organizations: New, New York CNN, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Wall, CFRA Locations: New York, China
The Nasdaq Composite rose to a fresh record on Tuesday as investors readied for key corporate earnings releases, including reports from notable tech names. The tech-heavy Nasdaq advanced 0.78% to a record close of 18,712.75. Ahead of their earnings releases, shares of Meta jumped 2.6%, and Alphabet advanced 1.8% on Tuesday. This will mark the busiest week of the earnings season with more than 150 S&P 500 companies scheduled to have reported by Friday’s close. Notably, the blue-chip Dow broke a five-day losing streak, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq notched its eighth positive session of the last nine.
Persons: “ It’s, Sam Stovall, Friday’s, Jonathan Krinsky, , Dow Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Microsoft, Apple, Meta, Research, Traders, Treasury, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWould not surprise me if earnings results exceed estimates, says CFRA's Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Stovall's thoughts on the overall earnings season, what could change for markets post-election, and much more.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research
The S & P 500 typically advances about 7% from November to April, compared to the index's average 2% rise from May to October, according to CFRA Research chief investment strategist Sam Stovall. This year's market strength follows a standout 20% gain for the S & P 500 in 2023's "best six months" period, he noted. "This double-dose of double-digit returns has caused investors to wonder if the market has used up its energy reserves and may be headed for tough times," Stovall wrote. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has advanced more than 22% in 2024. Stocks were bhigher on both Friday and Monday , with the S & P 500 trading within a hair's breath of this month's all-time high of 5864.67.
Persons: Sam Stovall, Russell, Stocks, Stovall Organizations: Stock Traders, Research, Investors Locations: U.S
Apple’s AI features for iPhones will be available for free to users with any iPhone 16, iPhone 15 Pro and Pro Max, who update to iOS 18.1. Apple Intelligence is also available for iPad and Mac models that support iPadOS 18.1 and macOS Sequoia 15. The AI features rolling out with iOS 18.1The Apple Intelligence features rolling out Monday include improvements to writing and editing, Siri and the Photo app. “Some market participants are optimistic that Apple Intelligence could dramatically boost iPhone shipments soon,” Kuo said in the blog post. Following Apple's new product announcements, customers can pick up the new iPhone 16, 16 Plus, 16 Pro and 16 Pro Max, Apple Watch Series 10, AirPods 4, AirPods Pro 2 and AirPods Max from UK Apple Stores today.
Persons: Pro Max, Siri, Angelo Zino, Dan Ives, ” Ives, didn’t, Chi Kuo, Kuo, ” Kuo, Max, Peter Nicholls, , Wedbush’s Ives, CFRA Research’s Zino, ” Zino, Apple’s Organizations: CNN — Apple Intelligence, Apple Intelligence, Pro, Microsoft, Google, Apple, Developers Conference, Big Tech, Apple Apple, CFRA Research, CNN, Wedbush Securities, TF International Securities, Regent, AirPods, Apple Stores Locations: London, England
Earnings growth is falling short of expectations thus far
  + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Corporate earnings are not meeting expectations thus far. Roughly 160 S & P 500 companies have posted third-quarter results thus far, with their bottom lines growing an average of just 2.6%, per FactSet. The blended growth rate, which includes the reports already out and estimates for those on the docket, points to overall S & P 500 earnings growing at 3.4% from the year-earlier period. The S & P 500 rebounded slightly from a three-day slide on Thursday due in part to strong earnings reports. Companies slated to report earnings after the close Thursday include Deckers, Capital One and DexCom.
Persons: Joseph Cusick, " Cusick, Sam Stovall, Stovall Organizations: Calamos Investments, Research, Whirlpool, PayPal, CNBC, Companies, Tech, Amazon, Apple
Bank of America and Goldman Sachs are among the banks that have raised price targets in recent weeks. AdvertisementNvidia stock is trading at record highs, but that's not deterring top Wall Street analysts from being bullish. Goldman Sachs, $150 price targetGoldman analysts raised their price target to $150 from $135 a share, implying 6% upside from the stock's current levels. AdvertisementStrategists said they changed their price target after a meeting with Huang. Bernstein, $155 price targetBernstein raised its price target to $155 a share shortly after the chipmaker reported its second-quarter earnings in August.
Persons: Blackwell, Goldman Sachs, , Jensen Huang, Goldman, Huang, CFRA, Angelo Zino, NVDA, Zino, Bernstein, Rasgon Organizations: Nvidia, Bank of America, Service, Wall, Bank, Blackwell, Accenture, Microsoft, ServiceNow, Foundry, CNBC Locations: bullish, CY23, Blackwell
The U.S. presidential election is fast approaching, but it may not have as much an impact on markets as people may think, some investors say. History suggests the strong performance bodes well for a post-election pop into year's end. When Trump was elected in the 2016 presidential election, investors expected energy would perform well — but the subsequent two years proved unfavorable for the sector. During the 2000 election, volatility lasted for more than 30 days, through December. "We encourage investors to keep their long-term objectives in mind during periods of uncertainty and position for election related volatility," Guerra wrote.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris, Sam Stovall, Stovall, Joe Biden's, Dan Chung, John Stoltzfus, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management's Monica Guerra, Guerra, Ross Mayfield, Baird Organizations: U.S, NBC News, Republican, Dow Jones Industrial, CFRA, Oppenheimer Asset Management, Presidency, Senate, Republicans, Trump, Morgan Stanley Wealth
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - OCTOBER 16: Traders and others work on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) floor in New York City. U.S. stock futures ticked higher Sunday night after the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 notched their best weekly win streaks of 2024. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.13% and 0.16%, respectively. Roughly one-fifth of S&P 500 companies are set to report through Friday. Of the 14% of S&P 500 companies that have already posted third-quarter results, 79% have beaten expectations, according to FactSet's John Butters.
Persons: FactSet's John Butters, Sam Stovall Organizations: NEW, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, U.S, CFRA Research Locations: New York City . U.S
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