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The final month of the year is typically a good month for the stock market. The S & P 500 could rise to about 6,081, from where it closed last week at 6,032.38. That means the S & P 500 would top 6,100, according to Johnson, who sees small-cap and midcap stocks as primary beneficiaries of the broadening rally. This means the S & P 500 could end the year around 6,140. On average, the S & P 500 gains 1.6% during this period.
Persons: Craig W, Johnson, Piper Sandler, SPX, Oppenheimer's Ari H, Wald, CFRA's Sam Stovall, Roth, JC O'Hara, Santa Claus, bode, Jonathan Krinsky Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Dow Locations: Santa
Oracle has soared 75% this year, headed for its second-best year on record and best since 1999, when shares roughly quadrupled in price. "The company is delivering a lot of value to its customers," said Dan Flax, senior research analyst at Neuberger Berman. ORCL ALL mountain Oracle, long term Now, refocusing on its cloud infrastructure business has helped Oracle master the AI ecosystem, fueling interest from investors. Still, investors such as Laffer Tengler Investments CEO Nancy Tengler view Oracle as operating in a sweet spot in the worlds of cloud computing and AI inference. "There's not a lot of companies that are growing" at the rate of Oracle.
Persons: ChatGPT, Jensen, That's, Bill Clinton, Dan Flax, Neuberger Berman, Larry Ellison, Elon Musk, hyperscalers, Angelo Zino, Zino, Robert Pavlik, Ellison, Larry, Kim Forrest, He's, Steve Jobs, What's, Forrest –, Nancy Tengler, Tengler Organizations: Oracle, Nvidia, Devices, Microsoft, Forbes, CFRA, Bokeh Capital Partners, Amazon, Tengler Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNeed upward earnings revisions to justify current valuations, says CFRA's Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the rerating of the current equity market, what's happening with valuations at current levels, and much more.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research
Investors are expecting the Dow Jones Industrial Average to get a boost from the inclusion of the biggest artificial intelligence beneficiary of the last year. The 30-stock Dow has underperformed this year and last after failing to capitalize on the artificial intelligence boom that helped bolster the comparatively tech-heavy S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite. By comparison, the S & P 500 has surged 20% in 2024, after climbing 24% last year. Nvidia shares have gained 179% this year, and last advanced 1.8% in midday trading. Meanwhile, Intel shares have tumbled more than 55% in 2024; on Monday, it was last off by another 3.5%.
Persons: Dow Jones, CFRA Research's Angelo Zino, Dow, Nvidia doesn't, Ned Davis, Zino, bullish Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Ned Davis Research, Blackwell, Intel, Amazon, Walgreens, Alliance, Walgreens Boots Alliance
CFRA trimmed its Amazon price target to $219 a share on October 21, indicating 13% upside ahead. The firm has a "buy" rating on the stock and a $210 price target, which implies an 8.3% gain from current levels. The firm said investors have toned down margin expectations due to Amazon's spending in new investment areas, such as Project Kuiper. AdvertisementWedbush reiterated its "outperform" rating and $225 price target, implying a 16% gain from current levels. Morgan Stanley has a $210 price target for the stock, representing upside of about 8% from Wednesday's share price.
Persons: , Arun Sundaram, Sundaram, Justin Post, BofA, Scott Devitt, Wedbush, Morgan Stanley, Bullish, Brian Nowak Organizations: Service, CFRA, Bank of America, Amazon Web Services, 3Q, JPMorgan, Wedbush Securities
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWould not surprise me if earnings results exceed estimates, says CFRA's Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Stovall's thoughts on the overall earnings season, what could change for markets post-election, and much more.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect smooth sailing in the markets for the next 3-6 months, says CFRA's Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment analyst, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, how long the bull market can run, state of the economy, and more.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research
Bull markets tend to sputter in year three
  + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
.SPX mountain 2022-10-12 The S & P 500 has gained more than 60% during this bull market. However, prior bull markets have shown a tendency to lose a little steam in their third year. Bank of America research showed that 10 prior bull markets for the S & P 500 had an average return of -2% in months 25 to 36. Another thing to keep in mind is that even positive third years for bull markets tend to be bumpy. Of course, a slump for the S & P 500 could be an opportunity for small-cap stocks to catch up .
Persons: Ritesh Samadhiya, Sam Stovall, Russell Organizations: Bank of America
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSeems like China's stimulus hype is fading, says CFRA's Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist and Barbara Doran, BD8 Capital Partners CIO, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall Sam Stovall, Barbara Doran Organizations: CFRA Research, BD8 Capital
Nike is 'dead money' for a few quarters: Analyst
  + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNike is 'dead money' for a few quarters: AnalystCFRA's Zachary Warring says it could take Nike at least a year to work through the challenges it's currently facing, from stiffer competition to better capturing demand.
Persons: CFRA's Zachary Warring, it's Organizations: Nike
The recent hype lifted Tesla's stock into positive territory for the year, and it's now up nearly 5% in 2024. A high-risk, high-reward venture Analysts polled by LSEG have a consensus price target of $210.71 on Tesla shares, implying a decline of 19% from Friday's close. "We believe widescale Tesla robotaxi deployment is unlikely in the coming years," Spak added. Still, the bull case around Tesla's robotaxi ambitions highlights the company's potential to provide cost-effective technology. Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas is a Tesla bull with an overweight rating and a $310 price target — reflecting 19% upside.
Persons: it's, It's, Tesla, CFRA's Garrett Nelson, I've, Nelson, Bernstein, Nikhil Devnani, Joseph Spak, Spak, Tesla's, Elon, Bernstein's Devnani, Goldman Sachs, Mark Delaney, Morgan Stanley, Adam Jonas, Jonas, hasn't, CFRA's Nelson, Nelson's, Morgan Stanley's Jonas Organizations: Investors, Tesla, CNBC, LSEG, UBS, Guggenheim, Vehicle Passenger Service Locations: Los Angeles, U.S, Europe, China, Friday's, United States
Recent comments from Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang seemed to revive investment in the turbulent AI sector this week, while leading portfolio managers to recenter attention on the winning trades. Nvidia shares rallied more than 8% on the heels of Huang's remarks, which soothed some recent market jitters over the delayed payoff from AI investments. For the week, AI and semiconductor names such as Advanced Micro Devices, Marvell Technology, Super Micro Computer and Broadcom rallied double digits. NVDA 1M mountain Nvidia shares over the past month. Longer term, he views Apple as the leading AI device play and AI personal assistant, especially as more consumers adopt its Vision Pro headset.
Persons: Jensen Huang, We're, Huang, Goldman Sachs, Huang's, Jensen, John Belton, CFRA's Angelo, Apple, Zino isn't, Belton, Mark Malek Organizations: Nvidia, Technology, Devices, Marvell Technology, Micro Computer, Broadcom, Gabelli, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Meta, Micron Technology, Apple Intelligence, Dell, Materials, KLA Corporation, Microsoft
Look for post-election market rally, says CFRA's Stovall
  + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLook for post-election market rally, says CFRA's StovallSam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, and Dean Maki, chief economist at Point72 Asset Management, join CNBC's "Squawk on the Street" to discuss market movers, economic expectations and more.
Persons: CFRA's Stovall Sam Stovall, Dean Maki Organizations: CFRA Research, Point72 Asset Management
The S & P 500 was higher Tuesday, one day after the broad market index posted its worst day in nearly two years amid revived fears of a recession. The current pullback has all the hallmarks of a market correction, the strategist said. So, don't rush to try to catch a falling knife," Malek said. The S & P 500 on Tuesday traded about 7% below a record high reached last month. Besides, he said, it is hard to think of a market correction occurring in August, when a bottom is historically more likely to happen in the month of October.
Persons: Thomas Salopek, Salopek, Mark Malek, Siebert, Malek, CFRA's Sam Stovall, Stovall, Strategas, Chris Verrone, Verrone Organizations: Nasdaq, JPMorgan
The S & P 500 is off by nearly 9%, and it could soon join the tech-heavy index. .VIX 1D mountain VIX On Wall Street, however, many investors expect the fears of a slowing economy are overdone, and that markets are overreacting. "We don't see an earnings recession, we don't see an economic recession," said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research. The strategist expects the S & P 500 could fall into a correction, somewhere between 10% and 15%. To be sure, investors who aren't expecting a recession say any weakness in the consumer should continue to be monitored.
Persons: It's, Stocks, Mark Malek, Siebert, Malek, nonfarm, John Butters, , Sam Stovall, Stovall, that's, aren't, Siebert's Malek, Jamie Meyers, he's, we've, it's, I've, Meyers, CFRA's Stovall Organizations: Nikkei, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta's, Bank of America, CFRA, Nvidia Locations: Japan, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRisk of recession would hurt the mid and smalls more than the large caps: CFRA's Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, what to expect from earnings this week, the Fed's inflation fight, and more.
Persons: smalls, Sam Stovall Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research
"We will continue to have both bulls and bears because you have both sides who are talking about the uncertainty, increased uncertainty regarding the presidency," Stovall added. A 'Red Wave'? "It seems as if the greatest likelihood is a red wave," Stovall said. Trump trade hurt? To be sure, Sunday's announcement could pump the brakes on the so-called Trump trade seen since the late-June debate.
Persons: Joe Biden's, Biden, Kamala Harris, Sam Stovall, Trump, Stovall, it's, , PredictIt, Harris, CFRA's Stovall, Wells, Stephen Baxter, Baxter, Oppenheimer, Hogan, Riley, It's, Kim Forrest, Forrest, Fred Imbert Organizations: Trump, CFRA, Democratic National Convention, Republican, Democratic, Medicaid, Med Adv, Bokeh Capital Partners Locations: Friday's
AdvertisementThe stock market is in for a correction, as a trio of unfavorable factors will weigh on equity prices, according to Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist of CFRA Research. Tech stocks, which have dominated the market in recent years, are trading at a 68% premium. Stocks could see their first "crack in the ice" in the tech sector, he added, pointing to lofty valuations among mega-cap tech stocks. AdvertisementOther forecasters have warned of limited upside to the market as stocks — particularly tech stocks — continue to climb higher. According to one valuation metric, the stock market looks to be the most overvalued since 1929, which could pave the way to a steep correction, elite investor John Hussman warned.
Persons: Sam Stovall, , Stovall, Stocks, John Hussman Organizations: Service, CFRA Research, Wall, Treasury, Tech, CNBC
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCFRA's Sam Stovall: The projected S&P decline is due to the 10-year yield and inflation readingsSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what might be a catalyst for an S&P 500 decline, whether sideline cash will soon get put to work, and more.
Persons: Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research
The S&P 500 is likely to fall at least 5% in the coming months, one strategist predicted. CFRA's Sam Stovall said a pullback tends to follow a great first quarter for the benchmark index. On the bright side, Stovall said the S&P's full-year gain is usually over 20% after a stellar start. AdvertisementBrace for stocks to take a breather and retreat by at least 5% after a breathless start to the year, one strategist warned. The S&P 500 surged by more than 10% in the first quarter.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall, Stovall, , Brace, Sam Stovall, CFRA Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Microsoft, Yahoo Finance, Wall Street, CFRA Locations: Friday's
June's historical average return comes out at just 0.1% while July typically sees a 1.2% gain, according to Stovall. Summer exception This summer could prove to be an exception to the typical summer lull, given the upcoming presidential election, Stovall said, noting that the broad market index has posted an average 3.7% summer increase during the 19 election years since World War II. Ahead of this year's election, Stovall expects a few aerospace and defense contractors to stand out. Other areas of the market that should survive and thrive during a slow summer period are consumer staples companies, tobacco names, health-care distributors and pharmaceuticals, Stovall said. Costco and Walmart shares are up roughly 29% and 2% this year, respectively, posting strong returns as consumers have become more motivated by price and value in a high-inflation environment.
Persons: Sam Stovall, Stovall, CFRA, Eli Lilly, Lockheed Martin, Morgan Stanley, Becton Dickinson, Christopher Horvers, FactSet Organizations: Day, Labor, Walmart, Lockheed, Dynamics, Republicans, Costco, JPMorgan
East West Bancorp shares have eked out a small gain in 2024, up 2%. Despite the heightened scrutiny around regional banks, little-known East West Bancorp has been able to pull ahead thanks to a key customer base: Asian Americans. American dream = home ownershipPart of what's helping East West succeed with Asian Americans goes all the way back to its origins. East West Bancorp was founded in 1973 as a federal savings and loan in the Los Angeles area to service the Chinese American and immigrant community struggling to obtain mortgages and business loans. East West also drives cross-border activity between the U.S. and other Asian countries, such as Thailand and Vietnam.
Persons: Alexander Yokum, Wells, Timur Braziler, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, , Braziler, Christopher Del Moral, Niles, it's, Del, Steven Leung, Leung, CFRA's Yokum, Yokum, Dominic Ng, that's Organizations: East West Bancorp, Regional Banking, Bancorp, West Bancorp, CFRA, Federal Housing Finance Agency, East, East West, U.S, Bancorp's Locations: Southern California, U.S, United States, East, Los Angeles, Asia, FactSet, East West, New York, Beijing, China, Shanghai, Thailand, Vietnam, Washington
Stocks are riding high heading into Nvidia's earnings results after the market close Wednesday. U.S. stock market benchmarks have been hovering near all-time highs. But Nvidia will test the sustainability of recent market highs given its huge size in broad market indexes, as well as its influence over investor psychology. Consider that the Jensen Huang-led company is in more than 6,000 long-only institutional funds, and in just 21 short-only funds, according to data from S & P Capital IQ. Beat and raise Many investors expect a strong showing from Nvidia will keep markets on their recent upward ascent.
Persons: Jensen Huang, Sam Stovall, Stovall, CFRA's Stovall, Piper Sandler, Harsh Kumar, Kumar, , Blackwell, Huang, Zachary Hill, Hill, We've, Chris Zaccarelli Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Nvidia, CFRA, Microsoft, Investments, Independent
Now that the Dow Jones Industrial Average has made headlines by crossing the 40,000 level for the first time ever on Thursday, what comes next? History shows the 128-year-old-average tends to pull back a bit after crossing large, round number thresholds. "History tends to confirm that the market typically takes a breather after eclipsing millennium milestones." Bear market declines of 20% or more also happened just 5% of the time. .DJI 1Y mountain The 30-stock Dow crossed the 40,000 level on Thursday after flirting with the threshold in April.
Persons: Sam Stovall, Stovall, Dow Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Walmart, Nasdaq Locations: 39,8907.88
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCFRA's Sam Stovall on why he's raising his S&P 500 12-month price target by 8%Sam Stovall, CFRA chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, why he's raising his S&P 500 12-month price target by 8%, state of the economy, and more.
Persons: Sam Stovall
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