Read previewThe US unemployment rate is up nearly 0.5% from its cycle low on a three-month moving average basis, which has historically been a reliable indicator that an economic recession is near.
But even if the Sahm Rule does officially trigger, this time is different, according to Goldman Sachs.
Advertisement"Job growth is far from weak, and with final demand still growing at a robust pace, it appears set to remain fairly solid," Goldman Sachs said.
"The Fed has 525bp of room to cut and no reason to hesitate anymore if it needs to push back," Goldman Sachs said.
AdvertisementTemporary 'frictions' drive unemployment rateAccording to the bank, some of the rise in the unemployment rate has been driven by "temporary labor market frictions."
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—, Goldman Sachs
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