One of the key points for their model is an expectation that gas prices will remain largely stable. The economists caution a slight surge in prices could shift expectations towards a Trump victory. "All else equal, if gas prices surge back close to $4 per gallon, [former President Donald] Trump will win." AdvertisementBiden's presidency has endured major shocks in the oil market, which have sent gas prices as high as $5 a gallon in the summer of 2022. The popular gas-pricing app said in its 2024 outlook that gas prices could average $3.15 in November with a potential range of $2.99-$3.31.

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Persons: Biden, —, Joe Biden, Biden's, Mark Zandi, Brendan Lacerda, Justin Begley, Donald, Trump, Moody's, Nikki Haley, Nate Silver Organizations: Trump, Service, Biden, Arizona Locations: Ukraine, North Carolina