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Recent consumer survey data on iPhone sales points to a lack of growth for Apple , according to KeyBanc Capital Markets. AAPL YTD mountain AAPL, year-to-date Nispel thinks the iPhone SE is "not purely additive" to overall iPhone sales, citing data from the firm's consumer iPhone survey for September. Additionally, among those who are likely or extremely likely to upgrade to the iPhone 16, 61% are interested in the iPhone SE. "We think this shows the iPhone SE is not incremental, and could possibly be cannibalistic to iPhone 16 sales," the analyst wrote in a Thursday note. "From our view, if iPhone SE is successful, iPhone Units could rise but [average sales prices] could fall, contrary to consensus."
Persons: Brandon Nispel, Nispel Organizations: Apple, KeyBanc, Markets Locations: U.S
Apple 's high stakes September launch event left some Wall Street analysts feeling unsettled. The largest company in the U.S. announced a host of new products Monday at its California headquarters, including a new Apple Watch, AirPods and the highly anticipated iPhone 16 that harnesses AI tools called Apple Intelligence. The delayed AI launch also creates uncertainty for sales volumes over the next two quarters, Long added. UBS analyst David Vogt viewed the event as "anticlimactic," adding that Apple offered no "killer" AI application. Elsewhere, Piper Sandler's Matt Farrell reiterated his neutral rating and $225 price target, noting that a slow rollout of Apple Intelligence could actually hamper enthusiasm for the features.
Persons: Tim Long, Apple, Long, Bernstein's Toni Sacconaghi, David Vogt, Wells, Aaron Rakers, Samik Chatterjee, MoffettNathanson's Craig Moffett, Tim Cook, Piper, Matt Farrell, Brandon Nispel Organizations: Apple, U.S, Apple Watch, Apple Intelligence, Barclays, UBS, Beta Locations: California, China, Europe
In fiscal 2022 and 2023 combined, Disney's experiences unit, which houses the parks, generated 67.5% of the company's operating income. That represents a significant deceleration in growth from its first and second quarters, when operating income rose 8% and 12%, respectively. Nispel argued that negative sentiment around Disney's theme parks performance could be a reason to have less conviction on the stock in the near term. The more excitement around its movies, the more interest in everything from theme parks to streaming services to branded merchandise. Operating income, in particular, rose more than $350 million year over year to $254 million.
Persons: that's, Disney, we're, Jim Cramer, Jeff Marks, amortization —, Brandon Nispel, Nispel, Bob Iger, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Jim, Romulus, King, KeyBanc's Nispel, Jim Cramer's, Mickey Mouse, Minnie Mouse, Gary Hershorn Organizations: Disney, Magic, Club, Magic Kingdom, DIS, Comcast, CNBC, KeyBanc, Universal, Americas, , Hulu, ESPN, Walt Disney World, Corbis, Getty Locations: California, Florida, Magic, Orlando , Florida, Orlando, Animal Kingdom
Disney's streaming margins, while still negative due to losses and nowhere near Netflix's, have improved significantly in recent quarters and are now on the doorstep of an important milestone. Disney's streaming overview Disney+ is its flagship streaming service across the globe. The ARPU discrepancy on Disney+ core helps explain why Netflix is much more profitable than Disney's streaming business. Given that Disney's streaming business has rolled out pretty much everywhere across the globe, Cruetz said moving forward "it's about driving more penetration in those markets." The latest is a matchup with Disney and HBO's parent Warner Bros Discovery , whose flagship streaming service is called Max.
Persons: Bob Iger, Disney, Iger, Covid, Morgan Stanley, It's, That's, Cowen, Doug Creutz, Hulu's, Cowen's Cruetz, Brandon Nispel, Cruetz, TD Cowen, Max, Creutz, cannibalization, it's, KeyBanc's Nispel, Wells Fargo, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Presley Ann Organizations: Disney, Netflix, ESPN, Reliance Industries, Century Fox, CNBC, Comcast, Capital, Warner Bros Discovery, Getty Locations: Netflix's, Hulu, India, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, U.S, Canada, Europe, Africa, West Asia, Los Angeles
The bank's price target implies more than 35% upside. Citi also increased its price target to $47 per share from $38, which implies more than 30% upside from Thursday's $36.06 close. The firm upgraded shares of the drive-through coffee company to buy from hold and raised its target price to $46 per share from $33. Dutch Bros stock has ticked up roughly 4% in 2024, lagging the broader market. The firm upgraded the conglomerate to buy and raises its price target to $115 per share from $91.13.
Persons: abate, Jon Tower, Brian Evans, TD Cowen, Cowen, Andrew M, Charles said, — Brian Evans, Chris O'Cull, Wesley Brooks, Brooks, Brandon Nispel, Nispel, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Warner Bros, Discovery, HSBC, Citi, Cheesecake, Bros, MMM
Elsewhere, Bank of America raised its price target on Nvidia, calling for more than 25% upside. 7:07 a.m.: Deutsche Bank deals latest blow to regional bank after earnings disappoint Deutsche Bank joined the post-earnings dogpile on New York Community Bank . Analyst Bernard von-Gizycki downgraded the regional bank to hold from buy and slashed to price target to $7 from $15. Analyst Alicia Yap upgraded the consumer internet stock to buy from neutral and raised her price target by $6 to $50. — Alex Harring 5:45 a.m.: Bank of America hikes Nvidia price target Don't expect Nvidia to lose momentum anytime soon, according to Bank of America.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Bernard von, Gizycki, — Alex Harring, There's, Alicia Yap, Sea's, Shopee, Alex Harring, what's, Tim Cook, Brandon Nispel, AAPL's, AAPL, Morgan Stanley, Erik Woodring, we're, Tim Long, Piper Sandler, Harsh Kumar, Meta, Ross Sandler, Benjamin Black, Mark Kelley, Bernstein, Mark Shmulik, LSEG, Rufus, Eric Sheridan, Brian Nowak, outsized, Brad Erickson, Vivek Arya, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Apple, Bank of America, Nvidia, Deutsche Bank, New York Community Bank, von, Investors, Traders, Citi, Nasdaq, Conference, Barclays, Vision, Meta, Wall Street, Amazon, RBC Capital, Enterprise, SAP, VMWare, Dell Locations: Wall, New, Thursday's, Friday's premarket, China, genAI, CY25
Apple earnings: Here's what to expect
  + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailApple earnings: Here's what to expectBrandon Nispel, Keybanc Capital Markets senior analyst, joins 'Power Lunch' to preview Apple ahead of the company's earnings report after the bell today.
Persons: Brandon Nispel Organizations: Keybanc Capital Markets
Media analysts widely expect the league to select at least three distributors for its next media rights deal after the current setup expires in 2025. Comcast's NBCUniversal could be a frontrunner for a spot in the NBA's new media deal alongside Amazon, Nispel said. NBA players could be poised to earn sky-high paydaysThe NBA's last media deal — the $24 billion contract it struck in 2014 — was nearly triple the value of its previous pact. The pressure is now on the NBA to deliver a media deal that satisfies teams, athletes, and fans. Still, Macquarie media analyst Tim Nollen is optimistic about the size of the NBA's next media rights deal.
Persons: Jessica Reif Ehrlich, disruptors, Brandon Nispel, Nispel, , Shirin Malkani, who's, Perkins, Leron Rogers, that's, Mark Patricof, Tim Nollen, Nollen, Reif Ehrlich, Ehrlich Organizations: NBA, Media, ESPN, Warner Bros, TNT, Disney, Apple, NBC, Comcast, Wall Street, Bank of America, NFL, MLB, NHL, KeyBanc Capital, Amazon, Flagship, ABC, Prime, Industry, Patricof, Macquarie, Diamond Sports
A pullback in Apple stock can largely be attributed to a potential fourth-straight quarter of declining revenue expected to be reported early next month, in addition to increased competition in China, according to analysts. Given its $2.7 trillion market capitalization, Apple is the largest company in the U.S. and thus a stock market bellwether. AAPL 5D mountain Apple stock. Nispel also pointed to headwinds in China stemming from increased competition from Huawei as being a potential drag on the stock recently. Reitzes also pointed to concerns about the China business as well as geopolitical issues weighing on the broader market as headwinds afflicting Apple.
Persons: Tim Cook, Brandon Nispel, they've, Nispel, Ben Reitzes, Reitzes, Huawei's, David Vogt, Apple, They're, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Apple, KeyBanc, Huawei, Jefferies, Wall, UBS Locations: China, U.S
Market Movers rounded up the latest reactions on Apple from investors and analysts. The pros, including Jim Cramer , discussed the iPhone maker after KeyBanc downgraded the stock late Tuesday to sector weight from overweight. The firm said U.S. sales will likely struggle. The analyst behind the call, Brandon Nispel, wrote that he expects " trends in key markets such as the U.S. to remain soft ." Apple is currently held in Cramer's Charitable Trust portfolio.
Persons: Jim Cramer, KeyBanc, Brandon Nispel Organizations: Trust Locations: U.S
Keybanc downgrades Apple, points to weak U.S. iPhone sales
  + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailKeybanc downgrades Apple, points to weak U.S. iPhone salesBrandon Nispel, Keybanc analyst, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the company's downgrade of Apple.
Persons: Brandon Nispel Organizations: Apple
KeyBanc Capital Markets cut its rating on Apple to sector weight from overweight late Tuesday, citing the shares' high valuation as well as an expectation for soft growth in the United States. Nispel noted that Apple trades at 7.1 times premium to the Nasdaq based on enterprise value to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. KeyBanc also anticipates soft growth in the Americas region, noting that about 37% of Apple's revenue comes from the U.S. and that sales there are "likely to struggle." Finally, the firm anticipates fiscal 2024 revenue growth of 3.5% compared to a consensus of more than 6%. Apple shares are up nearly 33% year to date.
Persons: Brandon Nispel, Nispel, KeyBanc, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Apple, Nasdaq Locations: United States, U.S, Americas
At the same time, legacy media companies face off against another well-known demon: cord-cutting. Technology companies such as Apple and Amazon can lean on their respective hardware and e-commerce businesses, said Paul Fanelli, a research analyst at Gabelli Funds. Even so, Wall Street sees only a handful of pure-play winners in the TV and streaming space winning consumer attention over the long run. Already, the technology companies have shown some promise. Consumers are increasingly forgoing pay TV packages from cable companies and opting for bundles from companies like Alphabet, he said.
Persons: Rosenblatt, Barton Crockett, It's, Netflix's, Ken Leon, Hollywood's, Leon, Jamie Lumley, Paul Fanelli, it's, Apple's, Amazon's, That's, Needham, Laura Martin, Martin, , John Hodulik, CNBC's, bode, Crockett, NBCUniversal's Peacock, Brandon Nispel, Nispel, Disney's hasn't, Fanelli, that's Organizations: Netflix, Apple, Paramount, Sky, Third, Gabelli, Warner, UBS, ESPN, Fox, NFL, Hulu, YouTube, KeyBanc, Comcast, Disney, Warner Bros, Max, DIS, Rosenblatt, ABC, Nexstar, CNBC Locations: France, United Kingdom
New York CNN —Shares of Apple fell by 3.4% on Thursday following reports that China plans to expand a ban on the use of iPhones to government-backed agencies and companies. The company is set to lose about $200 billion in two days and its stock is currently the worst performer in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. China is the largest foreign market for the company’s products and Chinese sales represented about a fifth of the company’s total revenue last year. Apple doesn’t disclose iPhone sales by country but analysts at research firm TechInsights estimate that there were more iPhone sales in China than in the United States last quarter. CNN has reached out to Apple and to China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, but has not received a response.
Persons: Brandon Nispel, , Jake Sullivan Organizations: New, New York CNN, Apple, Investors, Dow Jones, KeyBanc, Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, Bank of America, Huawei, National, House, Tech, Nasdaq, CNN, China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs Locations: New York, China, United States, Cupertino , California
When it comes to Hulu, value is in the eye of the holder. However, Comcast claims Hulu is worth double what Disney is saying, according to Bloomberg — even in a tough media environment. "It's what would a willing buyer in a robust auction pay," Roberts said of Hulu's valuation at a MoffettNathanson conference in May. Another way to value Hulu is by comparing its EV-to-subscriber ratio with that of Netflix. By buying all of Hulu, Disney can position itself for the next big trend in media, Noell said.
Persons: Bob Iger, Bloomberg —, Peacock, Brian Roberts, Roberts, financials, maven, Hulu, Tim Nollen, Netflix's, Nollen, Iger, Matthew Thornton, who's bullish, Barton Crockett, Crockett, Brandon Nispel, Nispel, Jason Bazinet, Bazinet, Davis Noell, Noell Organizations: Disney, Comcast, Hulu, Bloomberg, Wall Street, Macquarie, Netflix, Rosenblatt Securities, Citigroup, Star Wars, Marvel, Providence Equity Partners Locations: Hulu
Many view the deal as a "win-win" for ESPN, Penn, and its former partner Barstool Sports. Industry insiders say the deal could signal a potential ESPN spinoff, disrupt competition, and more. Here's what industry insiders are saying about the deal:1. FanDuel and DraftKings dominate US online sports-betting and gambling market share, followed by BetMGM, according to a July report from Macquarie that analyzed Vixio data. Industry insiders like affiliate-marketing company Gambling.com Group's Max Bichsel aren't sure about that prediction.
Persons: Barstool, Bob Iger, Penn, sportsbooks, who's, Chris Grove, Dave Portnoy, Portnoy, Fox's, Sharp, Sharp Alpha Advisor's Lloyd Danzig, Dan, Danzig, Brandon Nispel, he's, Nispel, Kimberly White, FanDuel, BetMGM, Zachary, Max Bichsel aren't, Bichsel, I'm, Grove, It's, DraftKings, let's, FuboTV, hasn't, Fox Bet, Ed Moed, Fox, Dan Wasiolek, Wasiolek Organizations: ESPN, Penn Entertainment, Penn, Barstool Sports . Industry, ESPN Bet, Investors, Acies Investments, Barstool Sports, Sharp Alpha, Disney, KeyBanc, CFRA Research, . Industry, ESPN —, Fox, Maxim Magazine, Sports, Fox Bet, Morningstar Locations: Macquarie, Canada
Many view the deal as a "win-win" for ESPN, Penn, and its former partner Barstool Sports. Industry insiders say the deal could signal a potential ESPN spinoff, disrupt competition, and more. Gambling industry insiders thought Disney CEO Bob Iger might make quick work of setting a sports-betting strategy when he took back the reins of the ESPN owner late last year. Here's what industry insiders are saying about the deal:1. Industry insiders like affiliate marketing company Gambling.com's Max Bichsel aren't sure about that prediction.
Persons: Barstool, Bob Iger, Penn, sportsbooks, who's, Chris Grove, Dave Portnoy, Portnoy, Fox's, Sharp, Sharp Alpha Advisor's Lloyd Danzig, Dan, Danzig, Brandon Nispel, he's, Nispel, Kimberly White, FanDuel, BetMGM, Zachary, Gambling.com's Max Bichsel aren't, Bichsel, I'm, Grove, It's, DraftKings, let's, FuboTV, hasn't, Fox Bet, Ed Moed, Fox, Dan Wasiolek, Wasiolek Organizations: ESPN, Penn Entertainment, Penn, Barstool Sports . Industry, ESPN Bet, Investors, Acies Investments, Barstool Sports, Sharp Alpha, Disney, KeyBanc, CFRA Research, . Industry, ESPN —, Fox, Maxim Magazine, Sports, Fox Bet, Morningstar Locations: Macquarie, Canada
The opening weekend success of Warner Bros. Warner Bros. Discovery, Comcast and Paramount in 2023 Wolfe Research managing director Peter Supino said Warner Bros. Given the box office numbers, Nispel said the weekend will likely be positive for Warner Bros. B. Riley's Eric Wold noted IMAX screens were able to "completely dominate" this weekend for "Oppenheimer" showings.
Persons: Oppenheimer, Rosenblatt, Steve Frankel, WBD, Peter Supino, Brandon Nispel, Nispel, Barbie, Gordon Haskett, Don Bilson, They're, Roth, David Bellinger, Bellinger, it's, Eric Wold, It's, Wold, Alicia Reese, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, NBCUniversal Organizations: Warner Bros, Discovery, Universal, Comcast, Paramount, Wolfe Research, Mattel, Hollywood, MAT, AMC Entertainment, AMC, CNBC Locations: Delaware, NBCUniversal
But that plan carries serious risk, as it would jeopardize still-sizable cable revenue without guaranteeing that enough sports fans would support such a product. Several other analysts — including Barton Crockett of Rosenblatt Securities, who has a buy rating for Disney shares — seconded those concerns about cannibalizing cable revenue. Nollen estimated 35 million current cable customers would switch to ESPN DTC. ESPN DTC is zero incremental cost and potentially billions in incremental revenue." An ESPN streamer (in light purple) would gradually drive revenue for Disney, Wells Fargo predicts.
Persons: Disney, that's, Jalen Rose, Todd McShay, Bob Iger, Macquarie's Tim Nollen, Nollen, Barton Crockett, , Crockett, who'd, Will, you've, they'll, William Cohan, Cohan, Joe Bonner, Bonner, Brandon Nispel, Iger, Nispel, We've, Jason Bazinet, Bazinet, Hulu —, Wells Fargo's Steven Cahall, Cahall, Wells Organizations: ESPN, Disney, Bank of America, NBA, Sports, ESPN Disney's ESPN, Rosenblatt Securities, ESPN DTC, Will Disney, Citigroup, NFL, NBC, Apple, Comcast, NBC Sports, Netflix Netflix, Hearst, Argus Research, Netflix, KeyBanc, Hulu, DIS, Wells Fargo Sports Locations: Wells Fargo, it's, Wells, Hulu, Puck
Market Movers rounded up the best reactions from investors and analysts on Disney . The pros discussed the entertainment giant after KeyBanc downgraded the stock to sector weight from overweight. Analyst Brandon Nispel, who made the call, said attendance expectations for the parks appear too high and he expects a decline in revenue between the fiscal third and fourth quarters. Nispel also notes there have been more challenges with moving ESPN to streaming and subscriber growth could stall across Disney+ and Hulu. The stock is currently held in Jim Cramer 's Charitable Trust portfolio.
Persons: KeyBanc, Brandon Nispel, Nispel, Jim Cramer Organizations: Disney, ESPN, Trust
It's difficult to stay bullish on Disney with multiple of its best-known business units facing challenges, according to KeyBanc. Analyst Brandon Nispel downgraded shares of the media and entertainment giant to sector weight from overweight. Nispel said expectations for the park business appear too high, and tough comparable periods are not adequately baked into those expectations. Disney+ and Hulu have both seen subscriber growth stagnate, with net losses expected in the third fiscal quarter. KeyBanc research shows interest in sports on linear TV is high but a willingness to pay for it on streaming is lower.
Persons: Brandon Nispel, Nispel, Disney's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Disney, Walt Disney, Hulu, ESPN, Pixar
Disney CEO Bob Iger must decide whether to acquire all of Hulu and fold it into Disney+. By buying all of Hulu, Disney could integrate its content into Disney+, which would make the flagship Disney streamer a formidable challenger to Netflix. "You look at the Disney+ bundle with Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN+, and it's a pretty powerful combination," Nispel told Insider. Currently, the ad versions of Hulu and Disney+ each cost $8 per month while ad-free Hulu and Disney+ cost $15 and $11, respectively. The consensus among analysts about Disney's Hulu dilemma was neatly summarized by Barton Crockett of Rosenblatt Securities, whose price target implies 26% upside for Disney.
Persons: Bob Iger, Iger, that's, Joe Bonner, Brandon Nispel, Nispel, Disney's, Wells, Steven Cahall, Cahall, Hulu, Michael Morris, He's, Morris, Disney, Will Iger, Barton Crockett, Crockett Organizations: Disney, Hulu, Comcast, Netflix, Wall, Argus Research, KeyBanc, ESPN, TAM, Rosenblatt Securities Locations: Hulu
June 2 (Reuters) - Major U.S. wireless carriers on Friday said they not in talks with Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O) to offer low-cost wireless services to its Prime members. "AT&T is not in discussions with Amazon to resell wireless services," a company spokesperson said. Verizon spokesperson the company "is not in negotiations with Amazon regarding the resale of (Verizon's) wireless network. Brandon Nispel of KeyBanc Capital Markets said Dish Network, a relatively new entrant in wireless, could be the most likely partner for Amazon. They also rallied in May after a Wall Street Journal report that Dish was in talks to sell its wireless plans through Amazon.
Persons: Christopher Ali, Brandon Nispel, Michael Ashley Schulman, Yuvraj Malik, Aditya Soni, Tanya Jain, Akash Sriram, David Shepardson, Sheila Dang, Nivedita Bhattacharjee Organizations: Major U.S, Amazon.com Inc, Wireless, Bloomberg News, Amazon, Dish Network, Verizon, Mobile, Penn State University, AT, KeyBanc, Journal, U.S, Running, Capital Advisors, Thomson Locations: Major, Bengaluru, Washington, Dallas
Bloomberg News reported that Amazon was negotiating to get the lowest possible wholesale prices and could offer wireless plans for $10 a month or lower to Prime members through these partnerships. AT&T declined to comment, while T-Mobile said it was not in discussions with Amazon for inclusion of its wireless in Prime service. The details of the potential deals between Amazon and the wireless carriers were not immediately known. Dish's shares were an outlier in telecom stocks with a gain of 22%. The company's shares had also soared in May after a Wall Street Journal report that it was in talks to sell its wireless plans through Amazon.
Persons: Christopher Ali, Brandon Nispel, Yuvraj Malik, Tanya Jain, Akash Sriram, Aditya Soni, Sheila Dang, Nivedita Bhattacharjee Organizations: Verizon Communications Inc, Mobile US Inc, Inc, U.S, Bloomberg News, Amazon, Penn State University, Verizon, Mobile, KeyBanc, Markets, Dish Network Corp, Journal, Thomson Locations: Amazon, Bengaluru, Dallas
Hardware sales are set to decline over 7% to $71.93 billion in the second quarter, according to 23 analysts polled by Visible Alpha. Mac sales, which account for nearly a tenth of Apple's revenue, likely fell by a quarter, while revenue from flagship iPhone is estimated to have declined by over 3%. Davidson, who expects iPhone sales there to rise. That would mark its second lowest growth rate since at least the first quarter of fiscal 2017. He expects Apple to have added 30 million users to its active installed user base - the number of active Apple devices in the world.
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