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His Cabinet picks, including the Treasury secretary, traditionally have to be confirmed by the Senate. “The Treasury secretary has historically played a significant role in advancing the administration’s tax policy priorities,” Akabas said. Next year, Trump’s Treasury secretary will act as the quarterback, executing his economic gameplan. It will also fall to Trump’s Treasury secretary to put out fires in financial markets or in the real economy like the regional bank failures that rocked Wall Street and Washington early last year. Trump’s Treasury pick will also help manage the complicated relationship between the president and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, , , Ed Mills, Raymond James, Janet Yellen, Shai Akabas, Steven Mnuchin, ” Akabas, Isaac Boltansky, Jerome Powell, Powell, Mills Organizations: CNN, Quarterbacking, Treasury Department, Department, Treasury, Trump, Senate, Republicans, Capitol, Wall, Washington, Committee, Federal, Fed, Trump White House Locations: Washington, filers
Yet there is another force that could deter Trump from some of his most extreme instincts: the $50 trillion US stock market. A view of the New York Stock Exchange on Wall Street on November 13 in New York City. A view of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on Wall Street November 13, 2024, in New York City. Angela Weiss/AFP/Getty Images“There is zero chance that he will take personally any negative feedback from the stock market,” said Sonnenfeld. While the stock market initially celebrated the election results, the bond market did not.
Persons: Donald Trump, Gary Cohn, Trump, Jack Smith, CNN’s Kayla Tausche, , Isaac Boltansky, Angela Weiss, Jerome Powell, Trump’s, Xi Jinping, Ed Mills, Raymond James, Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, Alexander Hamilton, Chip Somodevilla, ” Lori Calvasina, it’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Trump Republicans, Dow Jones, Federal, New York Stock Exchange, Getty, Trump, CNN, Yale, Leadership, Treasury, Fed, U.S . Department of Treasury, RBC Capital Markets Locations: New York, China, New York City, Argentina, Washington, , Washington ,, recalibrate
Gaetz has criticized Big Tech for censoring conservatives and supports antitrust enforcement. Both the Justice Department and the FTC enforce antitrust laws that impact large tech companies. Gaetz has frequently railed against Big Tech, accusing Silicon Valley firms of censoring conservatives. The current Federal Trade Commission chair, Lina Khan, whom Trump may end up replacing, has aggressively gone after Big Tech companies. "But the hurdles for Big Tech could remain elevated," he added.
Persons: Donald Trump, Matt Gaetz, Gaetz, , Trump, Lina Khan, Khan, JD Vance, Mark, Buchanan Ingersoll, Rooney, he's, Isaac Boltansky, Barron's, Kasten, TikTok, George Hay, Hay Organizations: Big Tech, Justice Department, Service, Senate, Florida Republican, Business, FTC, Federal Trade Commission, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Wall Street Journal, China, Apple, Google, Cornell University Locations: Florida, Silicon, Silicon Valley
CNN —Donald Trump is returning to the White House, and the stock market is loving it. ‘The regime change’For now, stock market investors don’t seem bothered by the jump in bond yields or these inflationary or debt concerns. “The stock market jumped for joy that the election results were definitive, thus averting a contested election. Of course, market veterans say they wouldn’t be surprised to see the stock market eventually display concern about tariffs and inflation under Trump. That could pose a number of problems for the economy and the stock market.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, shockwaves, , David Kotok, Stephanie Roth, Roth, ” Roth, Sau Loeb, Kamala Harris, Harris, Jeff Buchbinder, , Kotok, it’s, ” Kotok, They’re, Freddie Mac, , Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, It’s, , BTIG’s Isaac Boltansky Organizations: CNN, White, Dow Jones, stoke, Trump, Advisors, Wolfe Research, Treasury, US Treasury Department, Getty, Wall Street, LPL, Fed, Stock Locations: Big, Washington , DC, Washington
Private prison stocks rose on Monday after President-elect Donald Trump selected immigration hard-liner Tom Homan as his “border czar.”The Geo Group jumped more than 4% and and CoreCivic nearly 8% in premarket trading. Homan served as the head of Immigration and Customs Enforcement during Trump’s first term. Homan told a conservative conference in July that he “will run the biggest deportation operation this country has ever seen” when Trump returns to office. The second Trump administration would allow for contracting with the U.S. Marshalls Services and the Federal Bureau of Prisons, Boltansky said. “More importantly they would take a far more aggressive stance on border enforcement, which would impact the ICE business lines at these firms,” the analyst told clients.
Persons: Donald Trump, Tom Homan, Homan, Trump, ” Homan, ” Isaac Boltansky, Boltansky, Organizations: Geo Group, Immigration, , Trump, White, U.S . Marshalls Services, Federal Bureau of Prisons
Leading the way was Trump Media and Technology Group (TMTG), the company that owns the Truth Social media platform. Shares of Tesla, the electric automaker owned by Elon Musk, also saw a sizable gain — up 12%. Finally, the price of bitcoin saw an increase of 6.5%, briefly touching an all-time-high of more than $75,000. Trump served as keynote speaker at this year's annual Bitcoin conference in Nashville. Trump has generally pledged to extend or enact major tax cuts while loosening regulations, something that the business community is set to embrace.
Persons: Donald Trump —, Trump, Elon Musk, Musk, Kamala Harris, Isaac Boltansky Organizations: Trump Media, Technology, Social, TMTG, Tesla, Elon, Democratic, Trump Locations: Nashville
Major stock indexes soared Wednesday morning in the wake of Donald Trump's decisive victory in Tuesday's presidential election. The last time the Dow, which represents larger, more established firms, saw a 1,000-point jump in a single day was November 2022. NBC News is projecting that Trump will finish with 276 Electoral College votes in his defeat of Vice President Kamala Harris, his Democratic opponent. Trump has promised to extend or enact sweeping tax cuts and deregulatory policies that are widely supported across the business community. That represents market pushback on one of Trump's key policy planks: A weaker dollar that would support U.S. exports.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Trump, David Bahnsen, Wells, Russell, Isaac Boltansky, Boltansky Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, NBC, Trump, Electoral, Democratic, Senate, Bahnsen, JPMorgan, Bank of America, U.S Locations: Wells Fargo, BTIG, U.S
BTIG's list of biggest Trump winners and losers
  + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
In addition, he has floated plans to reduce corporate tax rates to as low as 15% from 21%, and eliminate income tax on tips, Social Security and overtime pay. Those include reduced individual income tax rates and increased alternative minimum tax (AMT) exemption amounts. These stocks are among those BTIG sees as the biggest winners and losers from Trump's victory. Winners M & A and consolidation A Trump presidency likely means a more supportive environment for corporate consolidation, Boltansky said. That would be positive for names like HealthEquity, which BTIG rates a buy, and Webster Financial , he noted.
Persons: Donald Trump, BTIG, Isaac Boltansky, Trump, Boltansky, CoreCivic, MicroStrategy, Webster Organizations: White, ACA, Social Security, Trump, Discover Financial, Discover, Republican White, Geo, United States Marshals Service, Federal Bureau of Prisons, Geo Group, Webster Financial, HealthEquity, Everest Group Locations: United States, China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailElection 2024: Breaking down the sector winners of a Trump or Harris victoryBTIG’s Isaac Boltansky and Wolfe Research’s Tobin Marcus, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the election day impact on sectors in the markets.
Persons: Trump, Harris, Isaac Boltansky, Wolfe Research’s Tobin Marcus
Investors and Wall Street analysts may want to take a closer look at stocks that could be winners under a President Kamala Harris after Tuesday night's debate . National polls showed a tight race heading into the debate, but some now believe Harris could get a bump from her performance. "We expect a near-term bounce towards Vice President Harris following the first debate with former President Trump, but the longer-term impact remains unclear," Raymond James Washington analyst Ed Mills said in a note to clients late Tuesday night. Wolfe Research has a similar list of stocks in an anti-Trump trade basket, including health care stocks like Centene and HCA . Of course, it could be difficult for new Democratic policies to become law even with a Harris win in November, depending on how Congressional races shake out.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Raymond James Washington, Ed Mills, Isaac Boltansky, Daniel Clifton, Strategas, Wolfe, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wall Street, Democrat, Walmart, Raytheon Technologies, Wolfe Research, Trump, UBS, Republicans, Democrats, Eaton Corp, Waste Management Locations: Democratic, Ukraine, Russia
At a February event, Vance raised concerns about Alphabet and Meta Platforms , saying that the technology behemoths have hurt tech innovation and pose potential risks to democracy. Trump would completely delegate the tech policy agenda to anyone given his personal interest in that space," Gallant wrote. "But we believe Sen. Vance would be a very important voice — perhaps decisive on some matters — in view of experience in the tech sector ... and of tech policy." Cryptocurrencies Many Wall Street analysts also expect Vance to maintain a favorable stance toward digital assets under a Trump White House. These stocks should fare well given Trump's favorable view toward digital assets, Boltansky said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, J.D, Vance, Peter Thiel, Stifel's Brian Gardner, Sen, Vance's, it's, Research's Blair Levin, Isaac Boltansky, Boltansky, TD Cowen's Paul Gallant, Lina Khan, Pres, Gallant, Raymond James, Ed Mills, Cryptocurrencies, Elizabeth Warren, Stifel's Gardner, Wolfe Research's Tobin Marcus Organizations: Ohio, Yale Law School, Republican Party, GOP, Technology, Twitter, Federal Trade, Street, Trump White House, Trump, Banking, Visa, Mastercard, U.S, Republican Locations: Washington
An unlikely coalition of banks, community groups and racial justice advocates is urging federal regulators to rethink the plan they proposed in July to update rules governing how U.S. banks protect themselves against potential losses. Financial regulators around the world, including in the Europe Union and Britain, are adopting similar standards. Banks have long complained that holding too much capital forces them to be less competitive and restrict lending, which could hurt economic growth. What’s interesting about the latest proposal is that groups that don’t traditionally align themselves with banks are joining in the criticism. “This is the biblical dynamic: Capital goes up, banks yell,” said Isaac Boltansky, an analyst at the brokerage firm BTIG.
Persons: Banks, , Isaac Boltansky Organizations: Europe Union Locations: Europe, Britain
REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein/ Acquire Licensing RightsWASHINGTON, Nov 14 (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve's top Wall Street cop Michael Barr and other bank regulators will defend plans to hike U.S. bank capital requirements when they appear before Congress this week as they come under increasing pressure from many lawmakers to rein in their efforts. The proposal would overhaul how banks gauge risk and, in turn, how much capital they must hold against potential losses. Regulators say stronger cash cushions will make the financial system safer and are especially crucial after three banks failed earlier this year. As part of their campaign to kill the Basel proposal, banks have been lobbying lawmakers to put pressure on the regulators. On Monday, 39 Senate Republicans stepped up the pressure, asking the regulators to scrap the proposal, citing economic harm.
Persons: Michael Barr, Evelyn Hockstein, Barr, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation's Martin Gruenberg, Mike Hsu, Mark Warner of Virginia, Jon Tester, Isaac Boltansky, Gruenberg, Michelle Price, Pete Schroeder, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs Committee, Capitol, REUTERS, Rights, Federal, Federal Deposit Insurance, Financial, Democrat, Senate, Republicans, Journal, Industrial, Commercial Bank of China, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, Basel, Montana
REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque/ Acquire Licensing RightsWASHINGTON, Oct 9 (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve's top regulatory official defended a sweeping proposal to overhaul bank capital rules before the country's largest bank lobby on Monday, arguing the benefits of a bigger cushion outweigh any additional costs banks might face. The proposal implements international capital standards agreed by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision in the aftermath of the 2007-2009 financial crisis. Barr's Monday speech, which is his first on bank regulation since the proposal came out, served as a broad-based defense of the effort. "The private costs of capital must be weighed against the social benefits of higher capital in creating a healthier, more resilient financial system," he said, according to prepared remarks. Barr also pushed back against the industry's refrain that higher capital costs for banks will mean curtailed lending and potential economic harm.
Persons: Michael Barr, Kevin Lamarque, Michael Barr's, Barr, Jerome Powell, Powell, Isaac Boltansky, Pete Schroeder, Michelle Price, Josie Kao, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Financial, Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Capitol, REUTERS, Rights, U.S, Federal, Banking, Silicon Valley Bank, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Silicon
The ousting of Republican Kevin McCarthy as House Speaker may not have an immediate impact on Wall Street, but it raises the likelihood of a government shutdown in the fourth quarter — which could inject more volatility into an already rattled market. Now, Congress also grapples with deciding its next speaker to lead the House. "The immediate market impact of McCarthy's ouster is relatively limited as the government is funded through November 17," said BTIG's Isaac Boltansky. "The near-term concern is that the House's paralysis will further complicate the already complicated calculus surrounding the forthcoming funding fight." Impact on the defense sector The removal of McCarthy could have an impact on the defense sector.
Persons: Kevin McCarthy, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Ray Dalio, Isaac Boltansky, McCarthy, Scott Deuschle, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Deuschle, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Lockheed, General Dynamics, Huntington Ingalls Industries Locations: Ukraine
REUTERS/Fabrizio Bensch/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsWASHINGTON, Aug 21 (Reuters) - PayPal's (PYPL.O) stablecoin is likely to succeed where Facebook's failed, thanks to the payment giant's standing in Washington and policymakers' greater understanding of the issues in the last three years. "From a policy perspective, there is a seismic difference between Facebook's Libra and PayPal's stablecoin," said Isaac Boltansky, director of policy research for brokerage BTIG. Dan Dolev, a senior analyst at Mizuho, said PayPal USD is not a game-changer for PayPal investors. When Facebook unveiled Libra, a stablecoin whose operations were based in Switzerland and which was pegged to a basket of currencies, executives made no secret of their ambitions. Facebook rebranded Libra, scaled it back and moved the project to the United States, in a bid to win U.S. regulatory approval.
Persons: Fabrizio Bensch, stablecoin, Facebook's, Christopher Giancarlo, PayPal's, Isaac Boltansky, Dan Schulman, Dan Dolev, Maxine Waters, Joe Biden's, Janet Yellen, Yellen, TerraUSD, stablecoins, There's, Jack Fletcher, Patrick McHenry, Hannah Lang, Andrea Shalal, Pete Schroeder, Niket, Michelle Price, Matthew Lewis Organizations: PayPal, REUTERS, Rights, U.S ., Facebook, U.S . Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Federal Reserve, Meta, Paxos Trust, New York State Department of Financial Services, Mizuho, Financial Services, Treasury, Congress, prudential, Republican, Thomson Locations: Berlin, Germany, Washington, U.S, Switzerland, United States, transact, stablecoins, Bengaluru
The proposal, which will kick off an ambitious agenda for Barr, plans to fully implement the globally agreed Basel bank capital agreement. BANKING OPPOSITIONThe banking industry is not waiting for details before trying to disrupt the effort, arguing it could hinder economic activity, curb lending, and kill lines of business. The criticism is also emerging among some Republican bank regulators, who appear likely to oppose the plans. Regulators will have to digest numerous and voluminous comments from the banking industry dissecting their plans. And in the meantime, banks are expected to continue hammering that higher capital requirements means a smaller economic role for banks and are not needed.
Persons: Michael Barr, Barr, Michael Barr's, Isaac Boltansky, Spokespeople, Kevin Fromer, Jerome Powell, Powell, Republican Andy Barr, Bill Foster, Tim Scott, Michelle Bowman, Barr's, Morgan Stanley, James Gorman, Pete Schroeder, Megan Davies, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Banking, Fed, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Office, FDIC, Financial Services, Financial Services Committee, Republican, Senate, Committee, Regulators, White, Thomson Locations: Basel
Bank regulators led by the U.S. Federal Reserve are finalizing the proposal which would implement international capital standards agreed by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision in the aftermath of the 2007-2009 financial crisis. On Wednesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell told Congress it was critical banks have strong capital, but regulators must be mindful of the tradeoffs. Republican officials at the agencies have flagged similar concerns, two people said, while Republican lawmakers on Wednesday also raised worries over capital rules with Powell. The Fed is drafting the Basel rules with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC). Speaking to reporters last week, acting Comptroller Michael Hsu said banks had "not been shy about sharing their concerns" which regulators were taking into account.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Andrew Kelly, Jerome Powell, Michael Barr, Isaac Boltansky, jitters, Powell, , Kevin Fromer, It's, Michael Hsu, Pete Schroeder, Niket Nishant, Lananh Nguyen, Tatiana Bautzer, Michelle Price, David Gregorio Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, WASHINGTON, Bank, U.S . Federal, Banking, Bankers, Committee, American Express, U.S, UBS, Deutsche Bank, Barclays, Washington, Bank Policy Institute, WALL, Fed, Industry, Republican, Financial Services, Currency, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Regulators, FDIC, OCC, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, Basel, Silicon
[1/2] A U.S. flag flies outside a branch of the Silicon Valley Bank in Wellesley, Massachusetts, U.S., March 13, 2023. REUTERS/Brian SnyderWASHINGTON, June 20 (Reuters) - The U.S. Justice Department antitrust division plans to expand the scope of its bank merger review process, the department's chief said on Tuesday, in a sign the agency may get tougher when scrutinizing such deals. The comments are likely to disappoint the industry, which had been hoping Democratic President Joe Biden's administration would be more open to allowing deals after a spate of bank failures since March. Specifically, Kanter said any merger review for antitrust purposes must go beyond traditional factors like the impact on local depositors and branches, and consider a broader set of issues. "We believe this policy change will not be as negative for bank mergers as it may first appear," he added.
Persons: Brian Snyder WASHINGTON, Jonathan Kanter, Joe Biden's, Kanter, Biden, Isaac Boltansky, Cowen, Jaret Seiberg, Pete Schroeder, Deepa Babington, Michelle Price Organizations: Bank, REUTERS, U.S . Justice Department, Brookings Institution, Democratic, Justice Department, Silicon Valley Bank, DOJ, Thomson Locations: U.S, Wellesley , Massachusetts, Silicon
An agreement on the United States' debt ceiling doesn't necessarily mean a smooth path to President Joe Biden's desk. Several Wall Street economists agree the deal will likely get signed, but not without some bumps along the way. House Committee on Rules meeting Before the legislation reaches the House for a vote, it must go through the 13-member House Committee on Rules — nine Republicans and four Democrats. "If all three vote against and no Democrat votes in favor, the bill will fail," Hatzius wrote in a Monday note. Tight House vote It's expected to be a tight vote in the House.
These companies are winners in the debt ceiling deal
  + stars: | 2023-05-30 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
New York CNN —The debt ceiling deal in Washington did not set off a celebration in the stock market. The Sierra Club called on Congress to reject the deal and pass a clean bill to raise the debt ceiling. Wall Street is also betting lending company SoFi will cash in from the debt ceiling deal because it calls for borrowers to start paying back federal student loans at the end of the summer. IRS funding cuts, defense spending intactMeanwhile, the debt ceiling deal would shift a total of $20 billion in IRS funding from fiscal 2024 and fiscal 2025 to be used in non-defense areas. The defense industry is also emerging largely unscathed from the debt ceiling battle, unlike in 2011 when Washington agreed to significant defense spending cuts.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBTIG: The debt ceiling debacle could lead to a U.S. credit rating downgradeIsaac Boltansky, Director of Policy Research at BTIG, discusses the debt ceiling deadline.
New York CNN —Many on Wall Street cheered last fall when the midterm elections ushered in a return of divided government in Washington. But the historic dysfunction playing out in Congress this week is a reminder that you should be careful what you wish for. Buckle up for debt ceiling brinksmanshipBut lawmakers did not agree to tackle the debt ceiling, the borrowing limit that must be raised to avoid a calamitous US debt default. In the past, brinksmanship over the debt ceiling eventually gave way to a compromise, though often not until significant pressure was applied by business leaders, financial markets — or both. Andrew Frankel, co-president of Stuart Frankel, dismissed the House speaker race as a “big, fat nothing-burger” for the market and said it was “just noise.”“It’s all about the Fed,” Frankel said.
New York CNN —As federal prosecutors seek to imprison former crypto darling Sam Bankman-Fried, Sen. Elizabeth Warren is attempting to push through Congress a bipartisan crackdown on money laundering in the crypto industry. Due to time constraints, the Warren-Marshall crypto legislation has little chance of getting through this Congress. The new bill, called the Digital Asset Anti-Money Laundering Act, would attack money laundering by attempting to bring the digital asset ecosystem into compliance with the existing system of anti-money laundering in the worldwide financial system. The Treasury Department warned earlier this year that ransomware hackers, drug traffickers and fraudsters are using digital assets to launder illicit proceeds. - Cracking down on digital asset ATMs by making sure operators and administrators submit and update the physical addresses of their kiosks.
“To raise the debt limit next year, bipartisan support will be necessary but hard to achieve,” Goldman Sachs economists wrote in the report. Republican Senator John Thune of South Dakota told Bloomberg last week the debt ceiling could be a way to push through budget cuts. Goldman Sachs noted that the political environment next year will have “echoes of 1995 and 2011” — the two most tense standoffs over the debt limit in recent history. The good news is Washington appears to have plenty of time to reach a compromise on the debt ceiling before things get dicey. “Funds could run dry as soon as July and as late as October,” Goldman Sachs said.
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