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☆ Dollar firm ahead of global inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The dollar made a steady start to the week, as investors were focused on U.S., European and Japanese inflation data to guide the global interest rate outlook. The euro , which gained 0.9% on the dollar last week, was in the middle of a range it has held for more than a year at $1.0846. German inflation on Wednesday and euro zone readings on Friday will be watched for confirmation of a European rate cut that traders have priced for next week. The dollar had fallen back after data showed a slowdown in consumer price rises in April and disappointing retail sales, before strengthening last week thanks to better-than-expected PMI survey data. China's yuan finished last week weaker than 7.24 per dollar, its lowest level since early May.

Persons: Sterling, Bob Savage, BNY, China's, Scott Gold, would've, Justin D'Anethan Organizations: New, U.S, Federal, Swiss, Tokyo CPI Locations: Britain, United States, U.S, Asia, New York

On the earnings front, United Parcel Service (UPS.N) dipped 3.5% after lowering its full-year revenue forecast, while Royal Caribbean Group (RCL.N) rose 2.5% after the cruise company raised its full-year profit forecast. Hasbro (HAS.O) fell 8.2% after the maker of Transformers action figures cut its annual revenue forecast. So far, 80% of the 146 S&P 500 companies that have reported results have beat earnings expectations, LSEG data showed on Wednesday. ET, Dow e-minis were down 151 points, or 0.46%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 30.75 points, or 0.73%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 146.25 points, or 1.01%. Align Technology (ALGN.O) tanked 23.9% after the dental company lowered its full-year revenue forecast.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Tesla, Bob Savage, BNY Mellon, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Ford, UAW Futures, Dow, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Treasury, Microsoft, United Parcel Service, Royal Caribbean Group, Hasbro, Mattel, Market, BNY, Federal Reserve, Dow e, Hamas, Ford Motor, United Auto Workers, Technology, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Israel, Gaza, Russia, Bengaluru

☆ An 'extended war'? Markets may be underestimating the Israel-Hamas conflict
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Oil prices jumped 4% on Monday before shrugging off those gains in subsequent sessions, and gold prices have inched higher by a little over 1% since the attack. "Global markets have yet to fully price the inflation risks from developments — from higher oil prices and more defense spending," Savage cautioned. That would cause the premium [of oil prices] to go higher," said Rapidan Energy Group's President Bob McNally. This could spike oil prices well north of $150 per barrel," Alpine Macro said in a note following the incursion. One analyst is of the view that even if the conflict prolongs, its implications on global markets is still largely contained.

Persons: Sameh, BNY Mellon, shrugging, BNY, Bob Savage, Savage, Amir Cohen, Bob McNally, McNally, Antony Blinken, Marko Papic, Mahmud Hams Organizations: Nurphoto, Hamas, U.S ., Swiss, BNY, Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, Reuters, Energy, United Nations, U.S, ., NBC News, Palestinian Health Ministry, Clocktower Group, CNBC, Brigades, Afp, Getty Locations: Gaza City, Israel, Palestinian, Gaza, Ukraine, Stockholm, U.S, Ashkelon, Iran, United States, Persian, Mahmud

☆ Dollar unlikely to lose global dominance soon even as BRICS expand, BNY Mellon says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

LONDON, Sept 1 (Reuters) - The dollar is unlikely to lose its status as the global reserve currency anytime soon, even as the expansion of the BRICS group of developing nations signals another challenge to the dollar's dominance in the world economy, BNY Mellon said in a note. One of the objectives of the BRICS is to find an alternative to the dollar, BNY noted in a report published on Friday. Adding Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Iran, to the BRICS meanwhile would include three of the world’s largest oil exporters and make up 42% of global oil supply. Still, BNY Mellon added this would not be enough to challenge the dollar's dominance. "The USD is unlikely to lose its global reserve status anytime soon – new currency unions should look to technology or green baskets, rather than gold- or carbon-based ones," said Bob Savage, head of markets, strategy and insights at BNY Mellon wrote.

Persons: BNY Mellon, BNY, Bob Savage, Savage, Dhara Ranasinghe, Amanda Cooper Organizations: United Arab Emirates, BNY, Thomson Locations: Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Iran, Argentina, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Ethiopia, Egypt, Johannesburg

☆ Yen pressured as traders wait on policy decisions
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A bundle of Japanese 10,000 yen banknotes on a tray arranged at a branch of Resona Bank Ltd. in Tokyo, Japan. The Federal Reserve concludes a meeting on Wednesday, followed by the European Central Bank a day later and the Bank of Japan on Friday. It is under pressure as the central bank believes it is finished hiking rates and export prices have dragged as China's post-pandemic recovery has disappointed. "As long as dairy prices remain under pressure, the New Zealand dollar is unlikely to thrive," said ANZ analysts. On the data front, traders will be watching out for Purchasing Manager's Index figures due across the globe through the trading day on Monday.

Persons: Bob Savage Organizations: Resona Bank, Bank of Japan, European Central Bank, Reuters, Swiss, U.S, BNY Mellon, ECB, New Zealand, ANZ Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Europe, United States

The European common currency fell 0.4% to $1.1083 , skidding after a quiet Asian session on PMI data that showed euro zone business activity shrank much more than expected in July. The pound dropped after British activity data, but less dramatically and was last down 0.1% at $1.2839. The yen strengthened with the dollar down 0.47% at 141.2 yen , and the euro down 0.7% at 156.6 yen. The Swiss franc was steady at 0.8648 per dollar, and the dollar index was up 0.1% at 101.2. Reporting by Tom Westbrook; Editing by David Holmes and Jacqueline WongOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Simon Harvey, Bob Savage, Tom Westbrook, David Holmes, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: SYDNEY, PMI, Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, Investors, ECB, Fed, U.S, BNY Mellon, The Bank of Japan, Reuters, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Swiss, Thomson Locations: LONDON, Europe, United States, Ukraine

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