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Trump has said he wants to lower gas prices — which currently average $3.07 per gallon — to below $2 a gallon. But the American oil industry is already booming and increasing output doesn’t mean gas prices will drop. After oil prices shot up in 2022 in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the sanctions on Russian oil imposed by western countries, major oil companies reported record profits. But are we going to increase oil production by another 50%? OPEC+, a group of leading oil-producing countries, even delayed plans to increase production because of concerns about excess supply.
Persons: Donald Trump, ” Trump, Trump, Chris Wright, Wright, Andy Cross, Andy Lipow, ” Lipow, “ It’s, Biden, , Bob McNally, George W, Bush, CNN’s David Goldman, Matt Egan Organizations: CNN, Liberty Energy, Liberty, Denver Post, US Energy Information Administration, P, Insights, Eurasia Group, Texas Intermediate, OPEC, Lipow Oil Associates, Energy, Oil Locations: Denver, States, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Eurasia, Ukraine, China, OPEC
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're in an 'unusually pivotal' moment in energy markets, policy and geopolitics: Rapidan EnergyBob McNally, Rapidan Energy president, says "it's hard to find a recent time when so many things were changing at the same time."
Persons: Energy Bob McNally Organizations: Energy, Rapidan Energy
$100 oil could be the October surprise no one wanted
  + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
New York CNN —The Middle East is in chaos, and the oil market is remarkably calm about it. The chill reaction in the oil market reflects a boy-who-cried-wolf mindset that has set in. Even just two years ago, oil prices skyrocketed to $130 a barrel in March 2022 after Russia invaded Ukraine. Oil prices skyrocketed in 2019 when Saudi oil facilities were damaged in an attack that US officials blamed on Iran. A disruption in the Strait of Hormuz could send oil prices above $100 a barrel, according to ClearView.
Persons: , Bob McNally, , It’s, McNally, George W, Bush, Israel, ” Helima, Joe Biden, Croft, internationalize, Kevin Book, ClearView, it’s, Biden Organizations: New, New York CNN, Investors, Rapidan Energy Partners, Israel, RBC Capital Markets, CNN, CIA, ClearView Energy Partners, International Energy Agency, RBC, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Citigroup, Citi Locations: New York, Iran, China, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, United States, ” Helima Croft, Ukraine, Israel, Saudi, Strait, Hormuz, Riyadh, Persian
Oil prices could surge past $200 a barrel if Iran's oil installations are taken offline, a chief commodities expert said. AdvertisementOil prices could roar past $200 a barrel if escalating tensions in the Middle East decimate Iran's crude output, a chief commodities analyst told CNBC. In the $200 per barrel scenario, Brent crude, the international benchmark, would gain 161% from its current price. Still, some investors are betting on the possibility of damaged oil output, Bloomberg reports. These restrictions were introduced to prop up oil prices, but have cost the alliance market share.
Persons: , SEB's Bjarne Schieldrop, Schieldrop, Brent, Bob McNally, haven't Organizations: Service, CNBC, Traders, Bloomberg Locations: Iran, Hormuz, Israel, Lebanon, Libya, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Riyadh
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Rapidan Energy Group's Bob McNallyBob McNally, Rapidan Energy Group founder, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the tensions in the Middle East impact on oil stocks, the surge in the sector and more.
Persons: Bob McNally Bob McNally Organizations: Rapidan Energy, Rapidan Energy Group
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil and gas assets will have a multi-year boon cycle, says Rapidan's Bob McNallyBob McNally, Rapidan Energy Group founder, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the tension in the Middle East impact on oil stocks.
Persons: Bob McNally Bob McNally Organizations: Email, Rapidan Energy Group
The expanding war in the Middle East, however, has reached a new boiling point as Israel has vowed a "painful" response to Iran's attack. The government of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu could take aim at the Islamic Republic's oil infrastructure in retaliation, geopolitical and crude market analysts say. "The next turn in this retaliation spiral may very well involve oil – via the degrading of Iran's oil capacityor Iran's proxies attacking oil and gas shipping from the Persian Gulf," Piper Sandler analysts told clients in a Wednesday research note. If Iran's oil exports of around 1.8 million bpd were taken offline, prices would likely jump by at least $5 per barrel, McNally said. An escalation on this scale could send oil prices higher in increments of $10 per barrel, the analyst said.
Persons: Ali Mohammadi, Benjamin Netanyahu, Helima Croft, Jack Jacobs, Jacobs, Croft, Piper Sandler, Bob McNally, McNally Organizations: Persian Gulf, Bloomberg, Getty, OPEC, RBC Capital Markets, U.S, Army, Rapidan Energy Locations: Bandar Abbas, Iran, Israel, China, Persian
U.S. crude oil prices drifted lower Tuesday as the risk of rising supply from OPEC+ overshadows a dramatic escalation of the war in the Middle East. Israel has dispatched ground forces into southern Lebanon after pounding the Iran-backed militia Hezbollah with airstrikes for days, eliminating much of the group's leadership. For now, traders remain focused on weak demand in China and the prospect of OPEC+ producing more oil starting in December, Croft said. Here are Tuesday's energy prices at 8:43 am ET:OPEC leader Saudi Arabia might be prepared to allow more oil back onto the market to pressure members such as Iraq with lower oil prices, said Bob McNally, president of Rapidan Energy. Saudi has become increasingly frustrated with Iraq producing more crude than then their production targets, McNally said.
Persons: we've, Helima Croft, CNBC's, Croft, Bob McNally, McNally Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, Rapidan Energy, Saudi Locations: East, Israel, Lebanon, Iran, China, Saudi Arabia, Iraq
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil prices could be on a trajectory to $60 per barrel or below: Bob McNallyBob McNally of Rapidan Energy Group says that Iraq and Kazakhstan not participating in collective supply management measures could lead to a collapse in oil prices if OPEC+ decides to "sweat" the producers.
Persons: Bob McNally Bob McNally Organizations: Bob McNally Bob McNally of Rapidan Energy Group Locations: Iraq, Kazakhstan
So why were Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump talking so much about expanding oil production during Tuesday night’s debate? Fossil fuel will be dead,” Trump said. For all the candidates’ talk of promoting fossil fuel production, it’s not clear that America needs drastically more oil. US oil production has already spiked to a record of 13.4 million barrels per day, according to weekly federal data. So it would likely take an extreme — or calamitous — event to get gas prices back below $2.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, fracking, Biden, Trump, they’ll, ” Trump, Andy Lipow, he’s, It’s, it’s, Lipow, , Bob McNally, doesn’t, McNally, George W, Bush, , America Organizations: CNN, Senate, Lipow Oil Associates, AAA, Rapidan Energy, US Energy Information Administration, Travel Locations: America, United States, Pennsylvania, OPEC, China
Andy Lipow, president of consulting firm Lipow Oil Associates, expects that another nine states will join the sub-$3 list in the next two weeks. “Gas prices, after two-plus years of sizzling because of outside factors like Covid and Russia, are finally coming back into balance,” said De Haan. The accelerating drop in gas prices should help ease financial pressure on consumers and contribute to the cooling inflation rate. Some economists say gas prices will likely be a deciding factor, and lower prices will favor the current administration. ‘Panic and fear’ at OPECAnalysts told CNN that this trend of lower gas prices is likely to continue, despite the shift in strategy from OPEC+.
Persons: Andy Lipow, Patrick De Haan, , De Haan, Kamala Harris, , ” Lipow, Bob McNally, McNally, George W, Bush, Trump, We’re, ” Trump, Tom Kloza, Kamala Harris ’, CNN’s Chris Isidore Organizations: New, New York CNN, AAA, Drivers, Lipow Oil Associates, CNN, , Federal Reserve, OPEC Analysts, Rapidan Energy Group, OPEC, Trump, Oil Price Information Service Locations: New York, Texas , Kentucky, Kansas, OPIS, Russia, Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, OPEC, China, United States, Saudi Arabia, Ukraine, America
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEnergy market expects some escalation of geopolitical conflict, says Rapidan Energy's Bob McNallyBob McNally, founder & president at Rapidan Energy Group, joins CNBC's 'Closing Bell' to discuss energy market outlooks, what's behind the crude selloff, and more.
Persons: Rapidan, Bob McNally Bob McNally Organizations: Email Energy, Rapidan Energy Group
CNN —In the first week of a new Trump administration, President Joe Biden’s climate wins would get put through the shredder. “He has said he’s going to come back with a vengeance,” former US special climate envoy John Kerry told CNN. He has railed against Biden’s climate policies at rallies and derided clean energy, vowing to push America back to fossil fuels. He has openly courted the oil industry at fundraising events, the Washington Post reported, promising regulation rollbacks in exchange for campaign cash. It could happen “very fast,” said David Bernhardt, who served as Interior Secretary in the Trump administration.
Persons: Trump, Joe Biden’s, nix, , John Kerry, it’s, , Joe Biden, ” Trump, Karoline Leavitt, Leavitt, Anna Moneymaker, ” Mandy Gunasekara, David Bernhardt, Bernhardt, Biden, Trump’s, Sarah Palin, ’ pocketbooks, Diana Furchtgott, Roth, Gavin Newsom, ” Newsom, “ We’re, Newsome, David Paul Morris, John Bozzella, Bozzella, ” Bozzella, he’s, ” Bob McNally, George W, Bush, Scott Olson, , ” Bernhardt, McNally, ” McNally, ’ Trump, Nate Hultman, Frederic J . Brown, haven’t, Kerry, ” Kerry, CNN’s Alayna Treene, Bill Weir, Julian Quinones Organizations: CNN, Trump, Washington Post, White, Environmental, Agency, EVs, Environmental Protection Agency, Republicans, Treasury Department, Former Trump Department of Transportation, Heritage Foundation, California Gov, Bloomberg, Alliance, Automotive Innovation, Biden, Fox News, Energy, Rapidan Energy Group, Bush White House, US Energy Information Administration, Trump Interior, Trump’s, Center for Global Sustainability, University of Maryland, State Department, Getty, United Nations Locations: Alaska, Paris, United States, Philadelphia, California, Washington ,, San Francisco, CNN California, Montebello , California, AFP
CNN —Nearly four years ago, while campaigning in the runup to the last presidential election, Donald Trump warned that President Joe Biden would “destroy” the oil industry. In the last three and a half years, US oil production — and oil and gas company profits — have broken records. That’s a 160% jump compared to the first three years of the pro-big-oil Trump administration, according to calculations by CNN. However, in March, the Biden administration approved ConocoPhillips’ massive Willow oil drilling project on Alaska’s North Slope, which holds around 600 million barrels of oil, angering climate advocates. Despite his mixed record with oil and gas companies, though, Biden has presided over a historic run for the industry, Kloza said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Biden, That’s, , Tom Kloza, , Hess, Chevron’s, Abdullah Hasan, Darren Woods, Mike Wirth, Woods, Obama, Bob McNally, Kloza, ” Kloza, “ It’s Organizations: CNN, Global, ExxonMobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Resources, Schlumberger, Oil Price Information Service, US Energy Information Administration, Oil, Natural Resources, Exxon, White, Shareholders, Microsoft, Apple, The Washington Post, Keystone XL, Rapidan Energy Group, Republican Locations: United States, Ukraine, Boon, dealmaking, The
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDemand and geopolitics will be crude oil's next driver, says Rapidan's Bob McNallyBob McNally, Rapidan Energy Group Founder & President, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the state of the energy markets as Middle East conflicts push oil higher.
Persons: Bob McNally Bob McNally Organizations: Rapidan Energy
The price of global benchmark Brent crude oil could spike to $100 a barrel if Iran directly attacks Israel, a former senior White House energy official said. @LCO.1 YTD mountain Brent crude oil, YTD Oil rallied last week after a missile attack destroyed Iran's consulate in Damascus, Syria, killing seven Iranian military officials. "If Iran attacks from its territory, Israel will react and attack Iran," Israeli Foreign Minister Israel Katz said on the social media platform X , tagging Ayatollah Khamenei. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin made clear that the Biden administration is worried about rising energy prices during congressional testimony Tuesday. "Certainly, those attacks could have a knock-on effect in terms of the global energy situation," Austin told the Senate Armed Services Committee.
Persons: Bob McNally, McNally, George W, Brent, YTD Oil, Israel, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Khamenei, Israel Katz, Biden, terrify, Daniel Yergin, Yergin, CNBC's, Natasha Kaneva, Lloyd Austin, Austin Organizations: Brent, White House, Rapidan, Bloomberg News, YTD, Israel, Iran, Rapidan Energy, Biden, P Global, JPMorgan, Defense, Senate Armed Services Committee Locations: Iran, Israel, U.S, Washington, Damascus, Syria, OPEC, Tehran, Islamic Republic, Strait, Hormuz, Persian, Kyiv, Ukraine
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIEA's forecast for oil demand to peak this decade is wrong: AnalystBob McNally of Rapidan Energy Group explains why he doesn't expect global oil demand to peak in the next decade.
Persons: Bob McNally Organizations: Bob McNally of Rapidan Energy Group
Shipping can be rerouted away from the Red Sea, but crude would be essentially trapped if the strait is shut down, Struyven said. A prolonged disruption in the strait could eventually double oil prices, he said. McNally thinks the market should be factoring in a $12 geopolitical risk premium in oil prices right now. Wirth told CNBC's Sullivan that Chevron is currently working with the U.S. Navy to protect its vessels transiting the Red Sea. "Hopefully, if it doesn't escalate further, we'll be OK — even if there has to be a wholesale diversion of shipments around the Red Sea," Granholm said.
Persons: you've, Daan Struyven, Goldman Sachs, CNBC's Brian Sullivan, Struyven, Bob McNally, McNally, Bush, Antony Blinken, Daniel Yergin, Yergin, Michael Wirth, Tehran's, Wirth, CNBC's Sullivan, Joe Biden's, Jennifer Granholm, Granholm, Israel, Benny Gantz, Gantz, Biden's, Bob Yawger, Yawger, Brent Organizations: Shipping, Rapidan Energy Group, National Security Council, P Global, Brent, Chevron, U.S . Navy, NBC News . Energy, Mizuho, Energy Information Agency, Gulf Locations: Red, Iran, Hormuz, Persian, Israel, Strait, Yemen, Danish, U.S, Lebanon, Beirut, Lebanese, Islamic Republic, The U.S, Europe, South Africa, United States, East
In an aerial view, the Valero Houston refinery seen on August 28, 2023 in Houston, Texas. Oil prices dipped even after Israel sent ground forces into the Gaza Strip, raising tensions in the Middle East, as investors closely monitor the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting later this week. He said the ground operations were "limited so far" and noted other macroeconomic concerns. Oil prices surged late Friday, with Brent jumping above $90 per barrel as Israel said its troops were ‘increasing the ground operation’ in Gaza as it seeks to eradicate the militant group Hamas. "While a major oil supply disruption is not our base case, the oil market last week became a little too complacent about the likelihood of a major Israeli ground incursion in Gaza, and the risk of a wider regional war," McNally continued.
Persons: Israel, Brent, Bob McNally, Benjamin Netanyahu, McNally Organizations: . Federal, U.S . West Texas, Rapidan Energy Group, CNBC, Hamas Locations: Valero Houston, Houston , Texas, Gaza, ., U.S, Israel
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIran is back to being a 'pretty hefty' oil producer, says Rapidan's Bob McNallyHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.
Persons: Bob McNally, Brian Sullivan, Organizations: Iran, CNBC
Oil prices jumped 4% on Monday before shrugging off those gains in subsequent sessions, and gold prices have inched higher by a little over 1% since the attack. "Global markets have yet to fully price the inflation risks from developments — from higher oil prices and more defense spending," Savage cautioned. That would cause the premium [of oil prices] to go higher," said Rapidan Energy Group's President Bob McNally. This could spike oil prices well north of $150 per barrel," Alpine Macro said in a note following the incursion. One analyst is of the view that even if the conflict prolongs, its implications on global markets is still largely contained.
Persons: Sameh, BNY Mellon, shrugging, BNY, Bob Savage, Savage, Amir Cohen, Bob McNally, McNally, Antony Blinken, Marko Papic, Mahmud Hams Organizations: Nurphoto, Hamas, U.S ., Swiss, BNY, Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, Reuters, Energy, United Nations, U.S, ., NBC News, Palestinian Health Ministry, Clocktower Group, CNBC, Brigades, Afp, Getty Locations: Gaza City, Israel, Palestinian, Gaza, Ukraine, Stockholm, U.S, Ashkelon, Iran, United States, Persian, Mahmud
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIsrael-Hamas conflict's impact on oil: Watch Iran, says energy consultancyBob McNally, founder and president of Rapidan Energy Group, says the impact of the Israel-Hamas conflict on the oil market will be "fairly minor" if it doesn't expand to Iran.
Persons: Bob McNally Organizations: Israel, Rapidan Energy Group Locations: Iran, Israel
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with RBC's Helima Croft and Rapidan Energy's Bob McNallyHelima Croft, RBC Capital Markets global head of commodity strategy, and Bob McNally, Rapidan Energy Group founder and president, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the impact warfare in Gaza has on energy markets, normalization talks with Saudi Arabia strained over the Israel-Hamas conflict, and the potential for Biden to tighten Iranian oil supplies entering the United States.
Persons: RBC's Helima Croft, Rapidan, Bob McNally Helima Croft, Bob McNally, Biden Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, Rapidan Energy Group Locations: Gaza, Saudi Arabia, Israel, United States
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe market's been 'a little too complacent' about Saudi oil cuts, says energy consulting firmBob McNally, founder and president of Rapidan Energy Group, says "the market is probably a little too complacent about the likelihood that these cuts — all of them — stay in place through the end of the year — especially that 1 million barrel per day [cut]."
Persons: Bob McNally Organizations: Rapidan Energy Group
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBefore the end of the year crude oil could hit 'if not exceed' $100/barrel: Rapidan's Bob McNallyMatt Maley, Miller Tabak chief market strategist, Bob McNally, Rapidan Energy Group president, joins 'Last Call' to talk the Biden administrations policies that have helped the fossil fuel industry grow.
Persons: Bob McNally Matt Maley, Miller, Bob McNally Organizations: Rapidan Energy Group, Biden
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