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The reality is that both parties learn lessons from losing elections that apply only in the short term — say, from one presidential election to the next midterm or from one midterm to the next presidential election. Not anymore — it’s why Democrats usually overperform in special elections, with more devoted “every election” voters right now. Meanwhile, in the non-battlegrounds, which were more affected by the basic “mood music” of the election, Democrats were shellacked. The seeds of discontent with this version of the Democratic Party can be traced back a decade to Obama’s decision to anoint Hillary Clinton as his successor. Democratic presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., at the CNN Democratic presidential primary debate in New York City on April 14, 2016.
Persons: inbox, It’s, Donald Trump, Devin Yalkin, doesn’t, Karl Rove, Barack Obama, Joe Biden’s, Biden, Bill Clinton, Obama, Clinton, Harris, Court's Dobbs, Dobbs, Trump, I’m, Kamala Harris, Morry Gash, hadn't, misfired, Deb Fischer, Dan Osborn, Osborn, Josh Shapiro, wasn’t, Harris wouldn’t, They’ve, Franklin D, Roosevelt, John F, Kennedy, Lyndon B, Johnson, Hillary Clinton, he’d, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Justin Sullivan, Democratic Party didn’t, Sanders, Bernie Bros, Joe Rogan, , didn’t, nitpick, , Bob Dole, Al Gore, John Kerry, John McCain, Mitt Romney, What's, Elon, MAGA, Michael Dukakis Organizations: NBC, Trump, Democratic, Democratic Party, Biden, GOP, Democrats, Social Security, Senate, Electoral, Massachusetts Democrat, San, San Francisco Democrat, CNN Democratic, Clinton, Obama, Trump bros Locations: West Palm Beach, Fla, Plenty, , Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona , Nevada , Michigan, Wisconsin, Madison, Wis, America, Texas, Massachusetts, San Francisco, New York City, Trump, Iowa, Clinton
Georgia2012 margin: Romney +7.8%Advertisement2016 margin: Trump +5.1%2020 margin: Biden +0.2%Related storiesFor decades, Republicans could easily depend on the Peach State's electoral votes falling into their column. Two years later, Biden won Georgia by roughly 12,000 votes over Trump, followed by the dual 2021 runoff victories of Sens. Pennsylvania2012 margin: Obama +5.4%2016 margin: Trump +0.7%2020 margin: Biden +1.2%AdvertisementBiden's hometown of Scranton is dear to his heart so Pennsylvania was always going to be a key state for the party in 2024. Wisconsin2012 margin: Obama +6.9%2016 margin: Trump +0.8%Advertisement2020 margin: Biden +0.6%Wisconsin is one of the most politically divided states in the country. But Trump flipped Wisconsin to the GOP in 2016, the first time it had supported a Republican presidential nominee since 1984.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, , Joe Biden, Harris, Kevin McCarthy of, Mike Johnson of, suburbanites, Roe, Wade, Trump, Bill Clinton, Kansas Sen, Bob Dole, Barry Goldwater, Mitt Romney, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Biden, Katie Hobbs, MAGA, Kari Lake, Sen, Mark Kelly, Republican Blake Masters, Adrian Fontes, Hobbs, Mark Finchem, Ruben Gallego, Stacey Abrams —, Georgia —, Abrams, Sens, Raphael Warnock, Jon Ossoff, Kelly Loeffler, David Perdue, midterms, Warnock, Republican Herschel Walker, Walker, Brian Kemp, Gretchen Whitmer, Dana Nessel, Jocelyn Benson, Obama, Clinton, Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo, Steve Sisolak, reelecting Sen, Catherine Cortez Masto, Adam Laxalt, — Dina Titus, Steven Horsford, Susie Lee —, Arizona GOP Sen, John McCain, Josh Stein, Mark Robinson, Roy Cooper, Gov, John Fetterman, GOP Sen, Pat Toomey, Josh Shapiro, Tom Wolf, Al Gore, John Kerry eked, Tony Evers, Scott Walker —, Tammy Baldwin, Evers, Tim Michels, Ron Johnson, Mandela Barnes Organizations: Swing, Sun, Service, Democratic, Republican, House, Republicans, State, Massachusetts Gov, Trump, Democratic Rep, GOP, Republican Party, Georgia, Gov, Michigan, Silver State, Democratic Gov, North Carolina, Arizona GOP, Romney, Democrats, Senate, Badger State Locations: Midwest, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Israel, Kevin McCarthy of California, Mike Johnson of Louisiana, Kansas, Massachusetts, Ruben Gallego . Georgia, Atlanta, Detroit, Gaza, Nevada, Silver, Clark, Clark County, North Carolina, North, Roy Cooper . Pennsylvania, Scranton, Philadelphia, Allegheny County, Pittsburgh
As governor, Mr. Evans increased aid for higher education and was instrumental in the creation of a state community college system. In 1970, Washington became the first state to create a Department of Ecology. When urban riots convulsed the nation, he went into Seattle’s poor neighborhoods and set up centers to deliver state services. Using executive powers, he established the Washington State Indian Affairs Commission in 1967 and the State Women’s Council in 1971. In 1969, he named the first Black members to the boards of the University of Washington and Seattle Community College.
Persons: , , George H.W, George H.W . Bush, , Gerald R, Ford, Evans, Nixon, Rockefeller, Bob Dole, Jimmy Carter, Thomas S, Foley, Evans “ Organizations: Ecology, Washington State Indian Affairs Commission, State Women’s Council, University of Washington, Seattle Community College, Democratic Locations: George H.W ., Bob Dole of Kansas, Washington
And they know you’re going to act so they won’t mess with you. Put it in somebody else’s mouth because it was AI mean, it didn’t sound like Joe Biden to me. I think you’re I think you’re underselling this a little bit. And if they don’t, I’m going to keep my promise and send them 100 powdered wigs because they’re just living in a different era. All these other politicians, these career politicians didn’t know how to make a good deal.
Persons: Nancy Pelosi, Harris, Tim Walz, Al Gore, They’re, he’s, Joe Biden, Obama, Walz, Donald Trump, it’s, Trump, Said, JD Vance, Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Ro Khanna, Scott Wiener, haven’t, Liam McCarthy, Willie Brown, George Moscone, Leo, Dianne Feinstein, It’s, Kamala, she’s, let’s, Suzan, You’ll, That’s, you’ll, I’m, that’s, We’re, I’ve, He’s, what’s, Bob Dole, George Bush, Svetlana, they’re, Scott Brown, Ted Kennedy’s, Ted Kennedy, Scott Brown’s, We’ve, you’re, Bill, Harry, Harry Reid, Pelosi, John Boehner, you’ve, Weaver, that’s O.K, Kevin McCarthy, kaka, Bernie Sanders, Sanders, Ted Cruz, Let’s, Barney Frank, Bill I, Steny Hoyer, don’t, You’re, John Dingell, Roe, Ira, Biden, McCarthy, o’clock, Wade, Kathy Manning of, Kathy Manning, didn’t, America’s, Republicans can’t, You’ve, Mary Barra, Steph Curry, Elton John Bono, Bill Gates, ain’t, Abraham, Little, Hillary, Norman Lear, Umberto, Gabriel Garcia Marquez’s, I’ll, Darwin, Lincoln Organizations: Democratic Party, Democratic, Republican, Veterans Affairs, Trump, Republicans, Democrat, San, Cal Stanford, University of San, Morning, NATO, Affordable, Senate, White House, California Democratic Party, Technology Committee, North, Global, Abraham Accords, Rogue, Republican Party Locations: America, Minnesota, San Francisco, University of San Francisco, United States, It’s, Belarus, Massachusetts, California, Iraq, Idaho, Italian, Kathy Manning of North Carolina, China, Sudan, Michigan, Arizona, David, South, Baltimore
I’ve learned this from studying American reactions to almost every general election presidential debate since 1992. Yet those things often have little to no discernible impact on the opinions of many people watching at home. To be fair, some of the debates I watched with voters, like Bill Clinton and Bob Dole’s in 1996, had no major impact on the electorate’s mood. Others — like the three-way town hall debate with Mr. Clinton, George H.W. Bush and Ross Perot in 1992 and the first George W. Bush-Al Gore debate in 2000 and the three Donald Trump-Hillary Clinton collisions — arguably changed history.
Persons: I’ve, Bill Clinton, Bob Dole’s, Clinton, George H.W, Bush, Ross Perot, George W, Al Gore, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Biden, Trump, Ronald Reagan’s “, Barack Obama Organizations: Viewers, Mr
A return to the roots of presidential debates
  + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +10 min
CNN —CNN’s presidential debate will feel like something new for most Americans, but it is actually a return to the roots of presidential debates. J. David Ake/AFP/Getty Images Monica Moorehead, a presidential candidate from the Workers World Party, disrupts a presidential debate in Washington, DC, in 1996. Gerald Herbert/AP Barack Obama, right, and John McCain shake hands at the start of a presidential debate in 2008. Joseph Kaczmarek/AP Obama hugs his wife, Michelle, as Romney kisses his wife, Ann, after their third presidential debate in 2012. Ultimately, the commission was formed to create a nonpartisan framework for presidential debates – something that has been exported to other countries.
Persons: CNN —, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Jake Tapper, Dana Bash, Sen, John F, Kennedy, Richard Nixon, Nixon, Howard K, Smith, Jimmy Carter, Gerald Ford, Carter, Jerry Mosey, Betty, David Hume Kennerly, John B, Ronald Reagan, Anderson, AP Carter, Reagan, Walter Mondale, George H.W, Bush, Michael Dukakis, Dennis Cook, Ross Perot, Bill Clinton, Clinton, Ron Edmonds, AP Clinton, Bob Dole, J, David Ake, Monica Moorehead, Joe Marquette, Mark Penn, Lorenzo Alvarez, Angelica, George W, Al Gore, Joe Raedle, Jim Lehrer, Gore, John Kerry, Gerald Herbert, Barack Obama, John McCain, Charles Dharapak, Obama, Mary Jackson's, Mitt Romney, Joseph Kaczmarek, Michelle, Romney, Ann, David Goldman, Hillary Clinton, Patrick Semansky, Salwan Georges, Biden, Chip Somodevilla, Alan Schroeder, ” Kennedy, Schroeder, , Ford, John Anderson, sidestep, Trump, ” Schroeder, Abraham Lincoln, Stephen Douglas, Douglas, Read, haven’t, “ They’re, Organizations: CNN, Commission, CNN’s Atlanta, CBS, Getty, State University of New, Ford, Anderson, Cleveland Convention Center, AP, Music, Bettmann, Bushnell, Theater, Workers World Party, AP Workers, Hofstra University, AP Trump, Washington Post, Trump, Northeastern University, House, Republican, Republican National Convention, Biden, Lincoln, White, Illinois Senate, ABC News Locations: Los Angeles, New York, State University of New York, Albany, Cleveland, Hartford , Connecticut, Washington , DC, San Diego, El Paso , Texas, Hempstead , New York, Detroit, Soviet Union, Eastern Europe, Lincoln, Illinois
"A vote for a commission is a vote to cut Social Security," the man shouted before he was escorted off the floor. How the last major reforms, in 1983, came togetherPresident Ronald Reagan signs the Social Security Act Amendment into law on April 20, 1983. The changes involved taxes on Social Security benefits, increases to payroll tax rates, a future increase to the retirement age and a near-term postponement of cost-of-living adjustments. Social Security Commission Chairman Alan Greenspan, left, shakes hands with Sen. Charles Grassley, R-Iowa, prior to a Social Security hearing on Feb. 15, 1983. Lawmakers divided on best path forwardToday, lawmakers are divided on the best path forward to address Social Security.
Persons: , Scott Peters, Peters, Bill Huizenga, Joe Manchin, Mitt Romney, — Rep, John Larson, Connecticut —, It's, " Larson, Larson, Nancy Altman, Ronald Reagan, Alan Greenspan, Greenspan, Jim Baker, Reagan, Tip O'Neill, Robert M, Ball, O'Neill, Sen, Charles Grassley, Bob Dole, John Danforth, Altman, Bruce D, Schobel, Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, California —, they're, Hakeem Jeffries, Conn, Brian Higgins, Jimmy Gomez, Jeffries, Dan Kildee, Richard Neal, Tom Williams Organizations: iStock, Social, Social Security, AARP, CNBC, Rep, Democratic, Corbis, National Commission, Social Security Reform, Greenspan, Federal Reserve, House, White, Finance, Economic Policy Institute, Republican, Greenspan Commission, Senate Finance, Bettmann, Getty, Congress, Democratic House, White House, Democrats, Security, Capitol Visitor Center, CQ, Inc Locations: Sens, R, Utah, Connecticut, Massachusetts, Iowa, California, D
Mr. Manafort, 75, was an adviser for Bob Dole’s presidential campaign in 1996 and managed the Republican convention that year. He was brought on to Mr. Trump’s 2016 campaign in the spring as the candidate was facing an effort to deprive him of the delegates necessary to become the nominee at the convention. Mr. Manafort’s involvement with Mr. Trump’s campaign was relatively short-lived. Later, Mr. Manafort was ensnared in the investigation by Robert S. Mueller III, the special counsel, into ties between Mr. Trump’s campaign and Russian officials. Mr. Trump praised him for not cooperating with the government investigation and pardoned Mr. Manafort at the end of his presidential term.
Persons: Manafort, Bob Dole’s, Trump’s, Robert S, Mueller III, Trump, Mr Organizations: Republican, Trump, Washington Post, Republican Party Locations: Russian, Ukraine
Washington CNN —President Joe Biden on Friday honored 19 Americans with the nation’s highest civilian honor, the Presidential Medal of Freedom - a diverse list that includes some high-profile Biden political allies, celebrities, civil rights leaders and even one of his former political rivals-turned-financial backer. The list included two of Biden’s core allies in the House of Representatives: former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and South Carolina Rep. Jim Clyburn. President Joe Biden awards the Medal of Freedom to Democratic Rep. James Clyburn during a ceremony in the East Room of the White House on May 3, 2024 in Washington, DC. President Joe Biden presents the Presidential Medal of Freedom to Olympic swimmer Katie Ledecky during a ceremony at the White House in Washington, DC, on May 3, 2024. They are the pinnacle of leadership in their fields,” the White House said in the statement.
Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Nancy Pelosi, Jim Clyburn, Pelosi, Donald Trump, , ” Biden, “ Nancy, Paul, ” Clyburn, coalescing, Clyburn, James Clyburn, Kevin Dietsch, Jim, , Michael Bloomberg, Michelle Yeoh –, Barack Obama, Sen, Elizabeth Dole, Bob Dole, Al Gore –, John Kerry, George W, Bush, Gore “, Donald Trump’s, Kerry, Opal Lee, Medgar Evers, Frank Lautenberg, Jim Thorpe, Clarence B, Jones, Martin Luther King’s, Juneteenth, Judy Shepard, Matthew, Jane Rigby, Ellen Ochoa, Katie Ledecky, Phil Donahue, Greg Boyle, United Farm Workers Teresa Romero, Evelyn Hockstein, Simone Biles, John McCain, Gabby Giffords Organizations: Washington CNN, South Carolina Rep, Democratic, Representatives, Democratic Rep, White, New York, Bloomberg, Republican, Getty, Jesuit Catholic, United Farm Workers, Reuters “ Locations: South Carolina, Washington , DC, Florida, United States, North Carolina, Massachusetts, American, Delaware, Washington ,
astead herndonLast year, the comedian was Roy Wood Jr., a veteran of “The Daily Show” on Comedy Central —archived recording (roy wood jr.) Happy to be here. I don’t think you can ignore anything that the American people are bringing to you. So I think that’s where it ain’t funny to a lot of people. And I think that’s what we’re — those are the only two things we’re armed with is either laughs or yelling. But now do you want the funny guy that’s going to be in control of your uterus?
Persons: astead herndon, Jon Stewart, Wanda Sykes, roy, Dark Brandon, Roy Wood Jr, astead herndon —, I’ll, I’m, Clarence Thomas, There’s, Trump, it’s, Donald Trump, , Biden, ” I’m Astead, , Showtime ”, that’ll, astead herndon Really, It’ll, astead, Jim Messina, Joe Biden, Rupert Murdoch, That’s, Harry Styles, Don Lemon, Harris, Ron Klain, exoticize Joe Biden, Scranton Joe, we’re, you’re, Obama, herndon, we’ve, Bob Dole, that’s, George Floyd, They’re, what’s, Roy, Buddy, who’s, Trayvon Martin —, let’s, Ludacris, Kim Kardashian, Ray J, Kardashian, astead herndon Roy, he’s, Joe Biden’s, It’s, I’ve, He’s, George Lopez, they’re, astead herndon I’m, there’s, John Oliver — astead herndon, , Sarah Palin, Tina Fey’s, Nikki Haley, ain’t, Haley, Nikki Haley can’t, donald, Ron “ DeSanctimonious, astead herndon It’s, who’ve, Obama Obama, Lock, Hillary’s, Marco, You’re, Little Marco, Karine Jean, Pierre, astead herndon That’s, Donald Trump’s, Stormy Daniels, Jonah Bromwich, haven’t, jonah bromwich You’ve, We’ve, Michael Cohen, David Pecker, don’t, Trump — jonah bromwich, He’ll, biden, astead herndon Joe Biden, Let’s, She’s Organizations: White, Super, Comedy, , Disney, The New York Times, Showtime, astead herndon, Trump, Biden, Paramount, BET, Scranton, Republicans, Florida, M University, Black College, Republican, Democratic Party, Democratic, Democrat, RFK, Party, Tea Party, SNL, Democrats, Tower, National, , AMI, Trump — Locations: Washington , DC, France, America, ” I’m Astead Herndon, herndon, Scranton, Tallahassee, Birmingham , Alabama, Birmingham, astead herndon, South Carolina, CPAC, Palestine, Israel, Manhattan, Florida, Tampa, Pennsylvania
Unlike Obama and Clinton before him, Biden is running against a candidate only a few years his junior. It was a twist on how Clinton answered a question about Dole's age during the second presidential debate in 1996. There is not much precedent for the event Biden's campaign is putting on Thursday. Obama, Biden and Clinton will inevitably go down memory lane during a discussion moderated by comedian Stephen Colbert. Aside from private conversations, Biden also often directs his top aides to follow up with Obama or Clinton on various topics of conversation.
Persons: Barack Obama, Joe Biden, Bill Clinton, Robert Byrd, George H.W . Bush, Bob Dole, John McCain, , Biden, Obama, Clinton, Still, Dole, McCain, Seth Meyers, Donald Trump, Sen, Scott Reed, Reed, Mike Pence's, — McCain, Mark Salter, George W, Bush, Hillary Clinton, Salter, McCain's, Mindy Kaling, Jill Biden, Queen Latifah, Lizzo, Ben Platt, Cynthia Erivo, Lea Michele, Annie Leibovitz, Harris, Jeffrey Katzenberg, Rufus Gifford, Chris Korge, Condé, Anna Wintour, Julie Chavez Rodriguez, DJ D, Stephen Colbert, Jeff Zients, Anita Dunn, Steve Ricchetti, Bruce Reed, Jen O'Malley Dillon, Mike Donilon, Ricchetti Organizations: West Virginia State Capitol, NBC, NBC News, Democratic, Radio City Music Hall, Biden, Biden Victory Fund, DJ, Affordable, Trump, he's Locations: Charleston , West Virginia, New York, New Hampshire
His performance so far reflects his success at transforming the Republican Party in his image. The most important message from the primaries is the most straightforward: Trump’s coalition is the dominant faction in the GOP. Like McConnell’s announcement, the choices by GOP elected officials in the primary contest signal their acknowledgement of the party’s direction. The share of GOP elected officials who have endorsed Haley isn’t anywhere near as large as her share of the total vote. But a deeper factor also explains the imbalance in support among GOP elected officials.
Persons: Donald Trump, He’s, Ronald Reagan, Nikki Haley, , Trump, Reagan, Bob Dole, George W, Bush, Mitt Romney, Whit Ayres, Democrat Grover Cleveland, Republican Benjamin Harrison, ” Ayres, Ayres, Grover Cleveland, ” Chris Wilson, Ron DeSantis, , , Gary Langer, he’s, Kyle Kondik, “ It’s, William Mayer, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Democrat Al Gore, Haley, Dwight Eisenhower, Sen, Robert Taft, Mitch McConnell, Haley isn’t, Chris Sununu, Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski, Liz Cheney, Wilson, Mike Johnson, McConnell, Kevin McCarthy, Jennifer Horn, Biden, William Galston, Galston, , , Kristen Soltis Anderson, isn’t, Eisenhower, “ Trump, ” Galston, ” Trump, Missouri GOP Sen, Eric Schmitt, wouldn’t, he’d Organizations: CNN, Republican, Republican Party, South Carolina Gov, GOP, Washington, Trump, Veteran GOP, White, Democrat, Democratic, Florida Gov, , ABC, University of Virginia’s Center, Politics, Northeastern University, Republican internationalists, Republicans, Chicago Council, Global Affairs, Trump’s GOP, New Hampshire Gov, South, Brookings Institution, Biden, Republican National Committee, Missouri GOP Locations: Sunday’s, Iowa , New Hampshire, South Carolina, Michigan, George H.W ., Southern, Iowa, New Hampshire, Oakland, Washtenaw, Kent, Ukraine, Trump’s, Missouri
Upholding that proud tradition, President Joe Biden is headed to the border on Thursday — and so is former President Donald Trump. I’m a lifelong resident of Arizona, and border-state voters have heard a lot of talk, but haven’t seen much action. The president’s only other visit to the border was a year ago, briefly stopping in El Paso before racing back home. This would at least mitigate Biden’s polling drop while also giving border states and blue cities a respite from the migrant influx. They’re done with photo-ops next to broken border walls and other campaign stunts.
Persons: Jon Gabriel, CNN — It’s, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Jon Gabriel Unfortunately, Biden, Bob Dole, Bill Clinton, Sen, John McCain, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, I’m, haven’t, Greg Abbott, Eric Adams, JB Pritzker, Abbott, , Trump, , Alejandro Mayorkas, They’re Organizations: The Arizona, Twitter, CNN, Trump, Texas Gov, Texas National Guard, Gallup, Democratic, New York City, Immigration, Customs, Illinois Gov, New York City Police Department, Republicans, U.S . Border Patrol, Senate, GOP, Homeland Locations: The Arizona Republic, Texas, Arizona, Douglas, Yuma, Tucson, El Paso, Brownsville , Texas, Gulf of Mexico, Eagle Pass , Texas, Del Rio, America, New York, Illinois, New, Georgia, Brownsville
W. James Antle III Courtesy W. James Antle IIIHaley had steadfastly maintained that she wouldn’t budge if South Carolina Republicans opted for Trump over her. Polling in Michigan and many of the Super Tuesday states suggests the results will get increasingly worse for Haley from here. And given the deep commitment so many delegates have to Trump, Haley stretching out a long negative primary does not make her a likely Trump emergency replacement. In the coming days, Haley will hear from many Republicans who don’t want the Republican primary to end any time soon. But past primaries have gone on longer because other candidates have kept winning; Haley has no wins on the horizon.
Persons: James Antle III, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, James Antle, James Antle III Haley, Haley, ” Trump, Ronald Reagan, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Bob Dole, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Reagan, don’t, Howard Dean, Joe Biden Organizations: Washington Examiner, CNN, South, United Nations, GOP, South Carolina Republicans, Trump, Republican, Convention, Democratic, Twitter, Republicans Locations: South Carolina, Nevada, Michigan, George H.W .
Opinion | Yes, Take Me Back to 2001
  + stars: | 2024-01-26 | by ( Ross Douthat | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +2 min
“Let me be the bridge to an America that only the unknowing call myth,” he told his audience. “Let me be the bridge to a time of tranquillity, faith and confidence in action. And to those who say it was never so, that America’s not been better, I say you’re wrong. But much of contemporary conservatism believes strongly in Dole’s formulation — in a lost Arcadia and a debased present. But they’re usually couched as a kind of reactionary futurism, where going forward requires first taking several big steps back.
Persons: Bob Dole, , America’s, Dole’s, Bill Clinton’s, Donald Trump, Matt Yglesias Organizations: Republican, Trump Locations: America, Arcadia
The DeSantis and Haley camps each believed they would benefit if the other left the field and created an unambiguous one-on-one race with Trump. In fact, both the Trump and DeSantis campaigns believe that more of the Florida governor’s supporters will likely pick Trump. Any gain or loss for Haley among voters from DeSantis’ decision seems likely to affect the race only marginally, many GOP observers believe. Even at that point in the 2016 race, Trump had won only a cumulative 40% of the votes cast in the GOP primaries. His theory that he could peel away a meaningful number of previous Trump voters simply proved wrong.
Persons: New Hampshire CNN —, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, DeSantis, Haley, Trump, Joe Biden, Haley doesn’t, Biden, winnowing, Whit Ayres, ” Ayres, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, George Conway, “ Trump, David Kochel, , he’s, , Trump’s, , Alex Stroman, Trump’s MAGA, MAGA, CNN DeSantis, “ DeSantis, Scott Reed, Bob Dole’s, John Connally, suburbanites, Vivek Ramaswamy, Donald Trump’s, ” Stroman, Jean Carroll, Mike Murphy, – Haley, Sen, Marco Rubio, she’s, Mike Dennehy, John McCain’s, Bill Kristol, Kristol, ” Kristol, Matt Gaetz, Ginger Heald, Ayres, Grover Cleveland, Republican Benjamin Harrison, Reed, Dole, Mike Pence, Pence, ” Reed, “ He’s Organizations: New Hampshire CNN, Florida Gov, GOP, South Carolina Gov, Republican, Trump, CNN, New Hampshire, Democratic, South, University of New Hampshire, Republicans, Texas, nonurban Whites, The, South Carolina Republican Party, Edison Research, Trump Trump, Biden, New Hampshire GOP, Florida Republican, Merrimack Republican, Committee, DeSantis Locations: Manchester, New Hampshire, Florida, South Carolina, New, Iowa, DeSantis, As, Hampshire, New York, Trump, The Florida, Trump’s, Texas, Charleston, Polk County, Trump’s Manchester , New Hampshire, Ukraine, Israel,
Ron DeSantis, who had staked his campaign on a strong showing in Iowa, came in at a distant second, with 21.2% of the vote. “You helped us get a ticket pushed out of the Hawkeye State,” DeSantis told supporters in Iowa Monday night. And about two-thirds – 66% – of the GOP Iowa voters believe President Joe Biden did not legitimately win the presidency in 2020. The state also prides itself on giving a boost to lesser-known contenders who make the effort to meet one-on-one with Hawkeye State voters. It’s not clear how long DeSantis – who had hoped to win Iowa outright and gain momentum in the race – would be able to continue.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ryan Binkley, Asa Hutchinson, Ramaswamy, DeSantis, Haley, ” DeSantis, Joe Biden, , Sen, Ted Cruz, Ted Cruz of Texas, George H.W . Bush, Bob Dole, George W . Bush, Mike Huckabee, Rick Santorum, – he's, caucusgoers, Jimmy Carter, MAGA, Ramaswamy –, – DeSantis, Haley –, It’s Organizations: Iowa Republican, Florida Gov, Former South Carolina Gov, Arkansas Gov, MSNBC, CNN, Trump, Hawkeye State, Republican, GOP, Republican Party, White, Republicans, GOP Iowa, Des Moines, Iowa Locations: Iowa, Des Moines, New Hampshire, Ted Cruz of, Bob Dole of Kansas, Arkansas, Georgia, Des, Florida
The Iowa caucuses, which are the opening contest in the months-long Republican presidential primary process, begin at 8 p.m. EST. Trump's political strength heading into the Iowa caucuses, which come 426 days after he launched his 2024 campaign, tells a remarkable story of a Republican Party unwilling or unable to move on from him. On the eve of the caucuses, Trump predicted he would set a modern-day record for an Iowa Republican caucus with a margin-of-victory exceeding the nearly 13 percentage points that Bob Dole earned in 1988. Last month, some presidential campaigns were expecting close to 200,000 Republican voters to participate in the caucus. Associated Press writers Jill Colvin in Des Moines, Iowa, and Adriana Gomez Licon in Council Bluffs, Iowa, contributed to this report.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Hans Rudin, Trump, Haley, DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, Asa Hutchinson, Chris Christie, Joe Biden, Adolf Hitler, “ Trump, Kathy DeAngelo, , Bob Dole, Iowans, Martin Luther King Day, Nikki, Jake Hutzell, hasn’t, There’s, ___, Beaumont, Jill Colvin, Adriana Gomez Licon Organizations: DES, Republican, DeSantis, Arkansas Gov, New, New Jersey Gov, Democratic, Republican Party, Biden, U.S . Capitol, U.S, ” Republican, Trump, Des Moines Register, NBC, South, Iowa Republican, National Weather Service, GOP, ___ Peoples, Associated Press Locations: DES MOINES, Iowa, Bluffs , Iowa, New Jersey, New Hampshire , Nevada, South Carolina, Florida, America, Des Moines, Ames, Dubuque, Washington, Indianola , Iowa, Ames , Iowa, Des Moines , Iowa
The 2024 Iowa Republican caucuses are just days away. As they have for decades, Iowa Republicans will kick off actual voting with a series of caucuses around the state's 99 counties. And yet, no candidate will have anywhere near the number of delegates needed to become the Republican presidential nominee. As for the winners, the last three winners of a competitive Iowa Republican caucus, Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania, and former Arkansas Gov. As smaller states, Iowa and New Hampshire are supposed to offer candidates with less money or name recognition the chance to compete.
Persons: Iowans, Donald Trump, , Grover Cleveland, Sen, Bob Dole, George H.W, Bush, Tom Harkin, Harkin, Trump, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, he's, they've, caucusgoers, Ricky Bobby, John McCain, Ted Cruz, Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee Organizations: GOP, Service, Iowa Republicans, Nature, Iowa Republican, Florida Gov, Democratic, Democratic National Committee, Iowa, Republican Party of Iowa, New, New Hampshire Republicans, Journalists, Republican, Arkansas Gov Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, Florida, Ted Cruz of Texas, New Hampshire , Nevada, South Carolina
COUNCIL BLUFFS, Iowa (AP) — Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley pushed across ice-cold Iowa Saturday to find voters open to an alternative to former President Donald Trump with just two days before the state's caucuses open the Republican primary calendar. DeSantis in particular is under great pressure in Iowa given his campaign's heavy bet on a strong finish in the caucuses. Courtney Raines, a special education teacher, came to hear Haley on Saturday morning and said she would try to see DeSantis later in the day. Carroll Hinchion, a 30-year-old independent, is considering caucusing with Republicans as well and came to hear DeSantis in Council Bluffs. “The Republican caucus that’s going to happen on Monday night is going to send a shockwave.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, Trump, , DeSantis, Haley, “ You’re, Michael Durham, braved, Durham, Courtney Raines, , Raines, Koch, Patti Parlee, Parlee, ” Parlee, Julie Slinger, Joe Biden, Slinger, Carroll Hinchion, Hinchion, Biden, ” Trump, Bob Dole, Kari Lake, that’s, Mariannette Miller, Meeks, Ashley Hinson, Miller, Trump’s, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, ___ Beaumont, Colvin, Barrow, Meg Kinnard, Hannah Fingerhut Organizations: Republican, Trump, South, Prosperity, Koch Brothers, AFP, ” Independents, Democratic, Democrat, Senate, Associated Press Locations: Iowa, Mississippi, Davenport, New Hampshire, , Florida, Bluffs , Iowa, DeSantis, Durham, Bluffs, South Carolina, Urbandale, Iowa City, Arizona, , Iowa, Texas, Miller, Iowa City , Iowa, Urbandale , Iowa, Atlanta, Cedar Falls , Iowa, Davenport , Iowa
The final poll from Iowa’s premier pollster, Ann Selzer, has Trump at 48% followed by former South Carolina Gov. If the final outcome Monday night mirrors the poll, Trump will have won the highest Iowa GOP caucus vote share for a non-incumbent ever. A Haley win in the first primary race in the nation would indicate that Trump is not invincible. He did more than 5 points better than where his final Iowa poll had him. (His 28-point margin over Bradley was the same as the final poll found, as both Bradley and Gore won some undecided voters.)
Persons: Donald Trump, Ann Selzer, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Trump, , They’re, Haley, Chris Christie –, George W, Bush, didn’t, Steve Forbes, John McCain, Patrick Buchanan, Bob Dole, Buchanan, McCain, Gary Hart, Walter Mondale, Hart, Haley isn’t, DeSantis, Al Gore, Gore, Bill Bradley, Bradley, Trump . Gore, Dole Organizations: CNN, Trump, South Carolina Gov, Florida Gov, Iowa GOP, Granite State, New, New Jersey Gov, University of New, Dole, Democratic, Republican, Trump . Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, Granite, New Jersey, University of New Hampshire, Hampshire, Granite State, Trump, South Carolina, Florida
Iowa caucuses: Do they still matter?
  + stars: | 2023-12-02 | by ( Zachary Wolf | Analysis Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
On the Democratic side, Barack Obama won the Iowa caucuses in 2008 and went on to win the White House. And Trump, although he’s the favorite in pre-caucus polling this year, lost the Iowa caucuses in 2016 to Cruz. Weren’t there some problems with the Iowa caucuses? This is the first time since 1972 that the Iowa caucuses will not be the first event on Democrats’ presidential nomination calendar. President Joe Biden, who placed fourth in the 2020 Iowa caucuses, pushed Democrats to change up the calendar.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, surrogates, They’re, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Grassley, Chuck Grassley, Nikki Haley, Chris Christie, Vivek Ramaswamy, Doug Burgum, Asa Hutchinson, Read, Pennsylvania Sen, Rick Santorum, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, Mike Pence, there’s, George W, Bush, Barack Obama, Jimmy Carter, uncommitted, Republican Ronald Reagan, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Reagan, Gerald Ford, Sen, Bob Dole, Mitt Romney, Santorum, Romney, Pete Buttigieg, Joe Biden, George McGovern, McGovern, Richard Nixon Organizations: CNN, Iowa Republicans, Florida Gov, Republican, Former South Carolina Gov, Trump, GOP, New, New Jersey Gov, North Dakota Gov, Arkansas Gov, Evangelical, Republicans, Hawkeye State, White, Democratic, Republican Party, Iowa Democrats, Iowa Democratic Party, Iowa, Democratic Party, South, House Locations: CT, Iowa, Florida, , Iowa’s, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, George H.W ., Cruz, Weren’t, , New Hampshire, Rather, White, South Carolina, New Hampshire, Chicago
CNN —Donald Trump is promising a second presidency that would be an aberration in American history. And Trump’s ambitions should be taken seriously because one year from the election, President Joe Biden’s reelection hopes are far from secure. He dehumanizes his political enemies, has discredited the legal, political and electoral system, has demonized the press and has targeted vulnerable members of society, minorities and immigrants, as scapegoats. With questionable historic comparisons, Trump’s critics only fuel his bid to provoke the outrage that is essential to his political appeal. Nikki Haley have only criticized Trump obliquely, understanding there’s no market in the modern Republican Party for confronting Trump’s lawlessness.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden’s, , ” Trump, , “ Donald Trump parroted, Adolf Hitler, Benito Mussolini, Ammar Moussa, he’s, he’ll, else’s, Biden, , Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, there’s, Bob Dole, Mitt Romney, institutionalists, Republican Party isn’t reining, Trump’s, Mike Pence, Chris Christie, Asa Hutchinson, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Susie Wiles, Chris LaCivita, , Mark Milley, who’s, Jack Smith’s, , Abraham Lincoln’s, George Washington’s, ” Smith Organizations: CNN, White, Veterans, Trump, New York Times, Republican, Democratic, Capitol, Republican Party, GOP, Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, Justice Department, Conservative Political, Conference, Univision, Joint Chiefs, Staff, NBC News, MSNBC, Abraham Lincoln’s Gettysburg Locations: New Hampshire, Gaza, Ukraine, China, Russia, Europe, America, South Carolina
Underwood Archives/Getty Images Feinstein gets her makeup touched up for a photo shoot in San Francisco in 1955. Bettmann Archive/Getty Images Feinstein attends a campaign event for her mayoral run in San Francisco in 1971. Clem Albers/San Francisco Chronicle/Getty Images Feinstein attends a memorial service for assassinated Supervisor Harvey Milk in San Francisco in 1978. Roger Ressmeyer/CORBIS/VCG/Getty Images Feinstein speaks at the signing of an anti-gun bill at San Francisco City Hall in 1982. Douglas Graham/CQ Roll Call/Getty Images Feinstein greets first lady Hillary Clinton at the 2000 Democratic National Convention in Los Angeles.
Persons: Washington CNN — Dianne Feinstein, Feinstein, Gavin Newsom, Newsom, NBC’s “, , Feinstein’s, Ramsay Hunt, I’m, , ” Feinstein, Lindsey Graham, Amy Coney Barrett, Leah Millis, Nancy Pelosi, Democratic Sen, Dick Durbin, Kevin McCarthy, Chuck Schumer, “ Dianne Feinstein, ” Schumer, Sen, Dianne Feinstein, Joe Biden, Celeste Sloman, Dianne Emiel Goldman, George Moscone, Harvey Milk, Duke Downey, Clem Albers, Janet Fries, Quentin Kopp, Sal Veder, Richard Blum, Walter Mondale, Georges, Roger Ressmeyer, Steve Ringman, Tony Bennett, Jeff Reinking, Neal Ulevich, Bishop Desmond Tutu, Eric Risberg, Willie Brown, Cecil Williams, Dr, Martin Luther King Jr, Paul Sakuma, Kim Komenich, Mark Reinstein, Barbara Boxer, Alan Greth, Ruth Bader Ginsburg, Carol Moseley, Braun, Doug Mills, Charles Tasnadi, Kathleen Brown, Bill Clinton, Dirck Halstead, Lisa Leslie, Gigi Goshko, Douglas Graham, Hillary Clinton, Clinton, Paul J, Richards, Orrin Hatch, Patrick J, Leahy, William H, Pryor Jr, Scott J, Ferrell, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Schwarzenegger, Tim Sloan, Rick Friedman, Condoleezza Rice, George W, Bush, Colin Powell, Chuck Kennedy, John Roberts, Mark Wilson, Eileen Mariano, Mariano, interning, Tom Williams, Carson, Jay L, Barack Obama, Ralf, Finn Hestoft, Hina Rabbani Khar, Brendan Smialowski, Jacquelyn Martin, AP Sen, Chuck Grassley, Christine Blasey Ford, Brett M, Kavanaugh, Ford, Donald Trump, Chip Somodevilla, Barrett, Bonnie Cash, Graham, Samuel Corum, Jonathan Ernst, Simone Biles, Larry Nassar, Aly Raisman, Maggie Nichols, McKayla Maroney, Bob Dole, Oliver Contreras, Kent Nishimura, Kevin Dietsch, Dianne Feinstein's, Moscone, Milk, CNN’s Dana Bash, Dan White, ‘ Dan, , Harvey, California’s, Bash, Richard Blumenthal, Bill Clark, Annette Bening, Donald Trump’s, South Carolina Republican Lindsey Graham’s Organizations: Washington CNN, Senate, California Democratic, Democratic, Press, Democrats, Democratic Party, Capitol, Senate Intelligence, California Democrat, Capitol Hill, CNN, Golden State ”, Illinois, Republican, New York Times, Underwood Archives, Getty, San Francisco City Hall, San Francisco, of Supervisors, Bettmann, San Francisco Chronicle, San Francisco Ice Company, White, Steiner, Forbidden, Democratic National Convention, United States Senate, United, United States women's, team, Convention, Washington Post, Circuit, Images California, McClatchy, Tribune, Service, Supreme, California, Rancho, Pakistan's, AP, Committee, White House, Los Angeles Times, Stanford University, San, Supervisors, Administration Committee, federal, Inc, South Carolina Republican, Judiciary, Intelligence, Appropriations Locations: Washington, California, San Francisco, America, ” San Francisco, Washington , DC, DC, Forbidden City, Beijing, China, Feinstein , California, Los Angeles, United States, New York, AFP, Boston, Rancho Bernardo, San Diego, San Francisco , California, Maryland, San Francisco County, Richard Blumenthal of Connecticut
All those candidates, however, then proceeded to lose the New Hampshire primary and the party nomination. Only 26% of New Hampshire Republican primary voters identified the same way. Trump has also been weaker among demographic groups who make up a larger share of the New Hampshire Republican electorate. Although the 2016 Iowa entrance poll did not ask about income, the 2020 general election exit poll did. (Note: Household and family income are somewhat different measures, but I’m merely demonstrating that New Hampshire Republicans are, on the whole, wealthier than Iowa Republicans.)
Persons: Donald Trump, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Mike Pence –, Trump, Iowans, Mike Huckabee, Rick Santorum, Ted Cruz, Bob Dole, George W, Bush, Mike Pence, Joseph Prezioso, Ron DeSantis, Quinnipiac, Iowa Republican caucusgoers, I’m, Chris Christie, Christie Organizations: CNN, , Trump, Iowa Republican, Trump Republicans, Republican, New, Iowa, GOP, Hawkeye, Getty, New Hampshire Republicans, Iowa Republicans, Republicans, Florida Gov, New Hampshire GOP, New Hampshire Republican, New Jersey Gov Locations: South Carolina, Iowa, New Hampshire, Derry , New Hampshire, AFP, Hampshire, New, New Jersey
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