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☆ Young people today are stressed, depressed—and changing the fundamental pattern of happiness, new research shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( Renée Onque | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Research shows that young adults are the unhappiest age groupBlanchflower's most recent working paper, co-authored with Alex Bryson and Xiaowei Xu, shows a change in the pattern, with happiness starting off low in young adulthood and increasing with age. Alongside other researchers, Blanchflower analyzed data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. But Wimsatt Childs agrees with Blanchflower that social media likely plays a role in this new pattern of unhappiness. "What social media has done in a lot of ways is it has amplified concerns that were already well underway," she says. Social media — apps like Snapchat, Instagram and TikTok — floods people with information and can lead to comparison among peers on a larger scale, she adds.

Persons: David Blanchflower, Blanchflower, Alex Bryson, Xiaowei Xu, Amber Wimsatt Childs, Wimsatt Childs, I'm Organizations: Dartmouth College, Research, Scientific, Centers for Disease Control, Yale School of Medicine Locations: U.S

☆ Want to be happy? Ditch your 10-year plan and do this instead, bestselling author says
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-26 | by ( Ashton Jackson | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

At some point during your teenage years, you probably developed an idea of what "success" as an adult would look like. Sticking to that definition as an adult is a surefire way to end up unhappy, according to serial hospitality entrepreneur and New York Times bestselling business author Chip Conley. "And we either tried to emulate that and live up to it, or we in some cases rebelled against it. Rather, you should "acknowledge the negative aspects ... [and] evaluate whether there's another way to think about the situation," she noted. I wonder if I can change anything about this situation or my expectations about it," wrote Maenpaa.

Persons: Chip Conley, Conley, David Blanchflower, you've, Jenny Maenpaa Organizations: New York Times, Harvard Business, Dartmouth, Procter & Gamble, Hospitality, Modern Elder Academy, CNBC

☆ Opinion | People in Their 20s Aren’t Supposed to Be This Unhappy
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( Peter Coy | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

“I choked under the pressure of those evaluative eyes on me,” she recounted in a TEDMed talk in 2017. And in a career in academic governance, she prioritized students’ mental health. A few days before that address, Beilock was shown some data that confirmed her resolve to focus on wellness. It came from David Blanchflower, an economics professor at Dartmouth who has developed an academic specialty in happiness and well-being. But the mental health of young people has deteriorated.

Persons: Sian Leah Beilock, ”, Beilock, David Blanchflower, Blanchflower, There’s Organizations: Dartmouth College, Dartmouth, Centers for Disease Control, Prevention Locations: California

Not only are his current approval ratings historically low, they are particularly poor given that unemployment is at its lowest in more than half a century. As a result, Biden's approval ratings could reasonably be expected to rise if inflation continues to decline. Reuters analysis suggests presidential approval ratings are rarely below 40% when inflation is 6% or lower. What will have a greater impact on consumers' and voters' well-being - unemployment pain or inflation gain? Some economists say the 'Misery Index', the unemployment rate plus the inflation rate, is a decent proxy for people's happiness and even presidential approval ratings.

Persons: Joe Biden's, Biden, Harry Truman's, Joseph Macri, Bahram Adrangi, 3pp, Andy Schneider, Lina El, Robert MacCulloch, Hamed Shafiee, David Blanchflower, Jamie McGeever Organizations: Federal Reserve, Wall, Bank of America, Atlanta, Reuters, Presidents, BNP, Dartmouth College, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: ORLANDO, Florida, U.S, Iraq

☆ Debt ceiling crisis: How a US default would ricochet around the world
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-26 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

But if it does, it could make the 2008 global financial crisis feel like a walk in the park. The consequences are frightful.”The belief that America’s government will pay its creditors on time underpins the smooth functioning of the global financial system. During the 2011 standoff over raising the US debt ceiling, the S&P 500 index of leading US shares plunged more than 15%. “It’s unclear in a Treasury default crisis whether the Fed could do enough even with the types of efforts it deployed in March 2020,” Obstfeld said. “A default would be a message to investors all around the world of eroding confidence in America,” he added.

☆ Opinion | The Struggle to Explain the ‘Gender Well-Being Gap’
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-12 | by ( Peter Coy | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

He said you should believe the survey results showing that women’s well-being is worse than men’s. He has a few hypotheses for why women might nevertheless report greater life satisfaction, which I’ll get to. A paradox that’s harder to explain away, Blanchflower said, has to do with men, not women. They also do better than women on measures of morbidity such as high blood pressure, pain and lack of sleep. The paradox is that men have lower morbidity (illness) than women but higher mortality (death).

Low and stable inflation is good for markets and the economy, so central banks had to show their seriousness on inflation, Tannenbaum added. Central banks softened rate rises with communication that was mindful of instability risks, showing reassuring "humility", said Perkins. "The bank resolution framework created after the great financial crisis," said Francesco Papadia, senior fellow at Bruegel and former ECB director general for market operations, "is proving difficult to implement." Reuters Graphics4/ UNITED WE STANDAfter CS's rescue, the Fed and other big central banks supported market liquidity with dollar swap lines. Amundi's Pradhan said the "case by case" central bank responses to individual lenders failing in March exposed the lack of a coordinated bank resolution system.

Against a backdrop of slowing economic activity and demand, these "base effects" strongly suggest broader inflation has peaked and could fall rapidly in the coming months. Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY-Parthenon, reckons that these disinflationary dynamics will intensify, so much so that headline U.S. consumer price inflation may fall below 2% by the end of this year. Brent oil is below $80 a barrel, and on Wednesday its year-on-year price differential turned negative for the first time in two years. This trend is likely to continue due to base effects - Brent hit a 14-year peak around $130/bbl last March and was above $100/bbl as recently as July. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the non-seasonally adjusted average monthly rate of consumer price inflation in the first half of last year was 1%.

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