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ET Wednesday showed large gender gaps for the candidates: Among men, who made up 47% of the electorate, Harris won 42% of the vote and Trump won 55%. Among women, who made up 53% of the electorate, 53% voted for Harris and 45% for Trump. Broken down by race and education, the gender gap showed even wider splits in some cases: An overwhelming 91% of Black women voted for Harris vs. 7% who voted for Trump, and 57% of college-educated white women voted for Harris vs. 41% who voted for Trump. But among white female non-college graduates, only 35% voted for Harris vs. 63% who voted for Trump. But just 14% of voters said abortion mattered the most to their votes when they were asked to choose out of five issues.

Persons: Harris, Trump, ”, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, —, Walsh, Hillary Clinton, Biden Organizations: NBC, Trump, Democratic, Hart Research, Republican Locations: Trump

☆ What we learned spending the final weeks on the ground in Pennsylvania: From the Politics Desk
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( The Politics Desk | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +8 min

In today’s edition, political reporter Allan Smith and senior White House reporter Peter Nicholas empty their notebooks after spending the last two weeks on the ground in battleground Pennsylvania. And over the final two weeks of the race, both candidates and their running mates held 16 events in Pennsylvania — including Monday, marking some of Harris and Trump’s final rallies of the campaign. And 5% of Republican voters hold a positive view of Harris, while 92% hold a negative view (-87 net rating.) : Regardless of who wins the election, a key fixture of America’s political landscape for nearly a decade is set to disappear: the Trump campaign rally. Read more → Follow live updates from the campaign trail →That’s all from the Politics Desk for now.

Persons: Allan Smith, Peter Nicholas, Mark Murray, Peter Nicholas PITTSBURGH, It’s, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris, Jennifer Mann, Philipsburg, ”, ” Read, Allan, Peter → 🗺️, orth, arolina,, ake, ender, ault, ines, hite, lear, alf, Tod, Reg, Rob, Bowman Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, It’s, NBC News, Trump, State College, ust, ics Locations: Pennsylvania, oters, Poli

☆ Final NBC News poll: Harris-Trump race is neck and neck, with significant gender gap
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-03 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Mark-Murray-Circle-Byline-Template.Jpg | Mark Murray | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +9 min

Just 2% of voters say they’re unsure about the choice. Trump, meanwhile, leads among rural voters (75%-23%), white voters (56%-42%) and white voters without college degrees (64%-34%). This net gender gap of 34 points is larger than the 30-point gap in October’s NBC News poll. That’s a significant change from the final 2020 NBC News poll, when Biden was ahead of Trump by more than 20 points among these voters. And when it comes to the battle for Congress, 47% of voters say they prefer Democrats control Congress, while 46% want Republicans in charge.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, —, Joe Biden’s, ”, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, We’ve, we’ve, McInturff, — Trump, Biden, — Harris, they’ve, Trump’s, That’s Organizations: NBC, Republican, White, Trump, Democratic, Hart Research Associates, Republicans —, Democrats —, Electoral, Black, The NBC, Biden, Republican Party Locations: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, U.S

Ms. Harris starts out with 226 likely electoral votes compared with 219 for Mr. Trump, with 93 votes up for grabs. Scenario 6 Or by winning Pennsylvania, Michigan and either Georgia … Or by winning Pennsylvania, Michigan and either Georgia … Scenario 7 … or North Carolina. Ms. Harris and Mr. Trump have been campaigning hard and often there, and Democrats hope that the favorable governor’s race could help them. Scenario 5 … like Arizona, Michigan and Wisconsin … … like Arizona, Michigan and Wisconsin … Scenario 6 … or Arizona, Nevada and Pennsylvania. The Harris campaign is taking a similar approach, focusing on white college-educated women, who currently favor Ms. Harris by 29 points.

Persons: Brandon Bell, Harris, immovably, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Biden, Trump, Trump’s, Harris –, Trump’s resiliency, Harris’s, William Frey, Michael Dukakis, Josh Shapiro, JD Vance, Mr, Bill McInturff, there’s, –, Joe Rogan’s, Doug Sosnik, Bill Clinton Organizations: Trump, Electoral, Democrats, Republicans, Democratic, Mr, Sun, Electoral College, NBC, Black, Brookings Institution, Michigan, …, Republican, Biden Locations: Virginia, Minnesota, Georgia, Arizona , Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona , Georgia, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Wis, Mich, Pa, Nev, N.C, Ariz . Ga, Ariz ., Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin . Pennsylvania, …, … Georgia, Arizona , Michigan, Pennsylvania , Michigan

“The polls — public and private — are closer in this election than any I have ever seen,” said Dan Pfeiffer, a former aide to Barack Obama. Republican pollster Frank Luntz summed up the election with a single gif: A coin flip. The Trump era brought a return of uncertainty after most pollsters and prognosticators missed his 2016 victory, and 2024 is the narrowest polling election of all three of his runs. In 2020, the data correctly predicted Joe Biden’s victory, but Trump came much closer than many expected. “This race is remarkable for its closeness but also the insane stability of polls here in the closing weeks,” said Republican pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson.

Persons: James Carville, ”, “, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Dan Pfeiffer, Barack Obama, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, Tim Malloy, ” “ It’s, ” Nate Silver, Republican pollster Frank Luntz, Matt Gorman, “ It’s, Bush, Gore, Gorman, “ There’s, Hope, decamping, Ronald Reagan, Barack Obama’s, John McCain, Trump, prognosticators, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden’s, Monmouth University pollster Patrick Murray, ” Murray, Obama, underestimating Harris, gaffes, pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson, Harris, Carville Organizations: Democratic, NBC, Republican, Quinnipiac University, Supreme, Trump, Monmouth University, Electoral College Locations: Manhattan, Florida, Erie County, Pennsylvania

☆ Where Speaker Johnson sees the GOP's path to victory: From the Politics Desk
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( The Politics Desk | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +5 min

In today’s edition, senior congressional reporter Scott Wong sits down with House Speaker Mike Johnson as he barnstorms the country in support of congressional Republican candidates. Plus, senior political editor Mark Murray breaks down our latest NBC News poll, which shows how President Joe Biden is serving as a drag on Vice President Kamala Harris. I think a record number of Black and African American voters, Jewish voters, union voters. The majority could be won or lost in either of those two states, given how closely divided the House is. If you have feedback — likes or dislikes — email us at politicsnewsletter@nbcuni.comAnd if you’re a fan, please share with everyone and anyone.

Persons: Scott Wong, Mike Johnson, Mark Murray, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Johnson, Scott Wong HELLERTOWN, —, ” Johnson, “, I’m, ”, Donald Trump, Trump, he’ll, Read, Scott →, Biden, Harris, they’ve, — Harris, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, Biden —, she’s, ’ Monica Alba, Carol E, Lee Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, Republican, Republicans, NBC News, White, GOP, African American, Jewish, “, Democratic, Biden, Biden —, ’ Locations: Pa, Hellertown, Pennsylvania, California, New York

(Read more here from NBC News’ pollsters on why this poll measures registered voters and not likely voters.) That’s a change from September’s NBC News poll, which found Harris leading Trump by 5 points, 49%-44%, though that result was within the margin of error. Independent voters are essentially split in the poll, with Harris getting support from 44% of them versus 40% choosing Trump. Harris’ popularity declinesAnother significant change in the NBC News poll since September is Harris’ popularity. The NBC News poll of 1,000 registered voters, 898 of whom were reached by cellphone, was conducted Oct. 4-8.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Trump, ”, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, ” McInturff, “, doesn’t, Joe Biden, Trump’s, — Trump, Horwitt, ” Horwitt, — Harris, That’s, Biden’s, —, Harris ’, Biden Organizations: NBC News, Trump, Republicans, Harris, Democratic, Republican, NBC, Republicans —, Democrats —, Black, Independent, Biden, September’s Locations: America

☆ Bad blood with Republicans drives a decline in Taylor Swift's poll numbers
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Faith Wardwell | Faith Wardwell Is An Intern At Nbc News. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +2 min

Republican views of Taylor Swift have taken a nosedive in comparison to last year, a new NBC News poll shows, weeks after the pop singer announced her endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris. Just 12% of Republicans report positive attitudes toward the singer, down from 28% last year. Among Democrats, 58% view Swift in a positive light, a slight increase from 53% in 2023. About 26% of independents have a positive attitude toward Swift, a drop from 34% in 2023. The significant shift from Republican voters has pushed Swift’s overall favorability rating among registered voters lower than last year, decreasing from 40% in 2023 to 33% this year.

Persons: Taylor Swift, Kamala Harris, Swift, Jeff Horwitt, Democratic pollster, Bill McInturff, Horwitt, Harris, Donald Trump, ” Swift, Lady, ”, Sen, JD Vance, Trump’s, “, Trump, TAYLOR SWIFT, ” Harris Organizations: NBC, Republican, Hart Research Associates, Democratic, NBC News Locations: R, Ohio

Two in three voters say the country is on the “wrong track,” as voters weigh whether Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump would be better able to change that less than two months from Election Day. The latest NBC News national poll finds 65% of registered voters surveyed earlier this month say the country is on the wrong track, while 28% say it’s on the right track. “While the wrong track data is now under 70% for the first time since September 2022, it is still a terrible 65% for the party in power,” Horwitt said. NBC News surveys have found steadily high rates of voters saying the country is on the wrong track for years — and especially since the coronavirus pandemic began in March 2020. But Harris does have an advantage over Trump when voters were asked which candidate better represents change, with 47% saying Harris and 38% saying Trump in the poll.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, ” Horwitt, McInturff, Harris, Trump Organizations: NBC News, Democratic, Hart Research Associates, GOP, Republicans, NBC, Trump

☆ Republicans still haven't found their footing on the abortion issue: From the Politics Desk
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( The Politics Desk | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +6 min

Bernie Moreno, Republican Senate candidate for Ohio, at the RNC in Milwaukee, Wis., on July 16. “Honestly I think Bernie is heading in the right direction but handed Sherrod an opening with that.”Democrats have been hammering Republicans across the country on the abortion issue. Some Republicans warned that the party’s failure to counter abortion attacks cost them crucial seats that year. In 2022, exit polling found Democrats had an 11-point advantage on the issue of abortion. And in this new NBC poll, Harris’ advantage was just under 20 points.

Persons: Chuck Todd, Kamala Harris, Roe, Bridget Bowman, Adam Edelman, Henry J, Gomez, Bernie Moreno’s, Bernie Moreno, Eva Marie Uzcategui, Sherrod Brown, “ Bernie oof, ”, Moreno, Bernie, Sherrod, Democratic Sen, Jacky Rosen of, Joe Biden’s, Donald Trump, Harris, Gail Gitcho, “, Sam Brown, Pennsylvania’s Dave McCormick, Larry Hogan —, Sen, Rick Scott, hasn’t, Trump, Joe Biden, Republican Bill McInturff, Jeff Horwitt, Biden, I’d, Trump’s, it’s, Chuck → That’s Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, Gomez Republicans, Ohio, Republican, RNC, Bloomberg, Getty, Democratic, Democrats, Republicans, NBC News, GOP, didn’t, Trump, Hart Research, Biden Locations: Milwaukee, Wis, Ohio, Spanish, Jacky Rosen of Nevada, Florida

☆ Elon Musk’s popularity plummets to 6% among Democrats, poll finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( David Ingram | David Ingram Is A Tech Reporter For Nbc News. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +3 min

Elon Musk’s support among Democrats has withered to a new low as he has embraced Republican politics, according to a national NBC News poll. Only 6% of Democrats in the poll, which was conducted Sept. 13-17, said they had positive feelings about Musk, while 79% said they had negative feelings. The numbers were flipped for Republicans, with 62% having positive feelings toward him and 14% negative feelings. Musk didn’t respond to a request for comment Tuesday. Overall public support for Musk is negative, with 34% holding positive views and 45% negative views, according to the poll.

Persons: Elon, Donald Trump, “, ”, Jeff Horwitt, Democratic pollster, Bill McInturff, ” Horwitt, Musk, Kamala Harris Organizations: Republican, NBC News, Hart Research Associates, Democratic, SpaceX, Bloomberg, NBC, Trump, Democrats

While it was an asset to Biden in polling against Trump, it appears to be a much bigger advantage for Harris. And in this new NBC poll, Harris’ advantage was just under 20 points. It’s obvious at this point that Trump will win men by close to double digits, ditto with Harris among women. But many voters have seen "Vice President Kamala Harris" as a fresher candidate, including those who previously viewed Trump as a better steward of the economy. That would spell doom for Democrats' Senate majority.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, hasn’t, Harris, Trump, Joe Biden, Republican Bill McInturff, Jeff Horwitt, Biden, Clinton, Roe, Wade, Dobbs, George W, Bush, “ Bidenomics, I’d, don’t, it's, It’s, he’s, Trump’s, he’ll, Jim Justice, Joe Manchin, Democratic Sen, Jon Tester, doesn’t, won’t Organizations: Trump, NBC, Republican, Hart Research, NBC News, Biden, Democratic, Republicans, nab, Senate, GOP Gov, Democrat, Democrats, GOP Locations: Trump, Arizona, North Carolina, stoke, Montana, Florida, Texas, Maryland , Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, West Virginia, Ohio, Maryland, Maine, Kansas, Alaska, ‘, Georgia, Michigan, New Hampshire , Colorado, Ohio , Pennsylvania

☆ Why Trump is polling better in Georgia than North Carolina: From the Politics Desk
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( The Politics Desk | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +7 min

Why Trump is polling better in Georgia than North CarolinaBy Steve KornackiThe latest round of New York Times/Siena College state polls is a continuation of what has become a pattern: Donald Trump seems to be faring slightly better in Georgia than in North Carolina. And Trump is up by 2 points in North Carolina, where he prevailed by 1.3 points four years ago. And yet — at least in polling — it’s Georgia, not North Carolina, where Trump seems better positioned. According to exit polling, Trump won the noncollege white vote in each state by roughly the same margin in 2020: 59 points in Georgia and 57 points in North Carolina. It’s a smaller lead among a slightly smaller share of the electorate than Harris has over those early voters.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Ben Kamisar, Steve Kornacki, Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Mark Robinson, we’re, Harris, ”, Bill McInturff, Republican pollster, Jeff Horwitt, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, Trump, New York Times, Siena College, Times, Peach, GOP, Democratic, it’s, Republicans, Republican, Hart Research Associates, Wall Locations: Georgia, North Carolina, Siena, Democratic Atlanta, Charlotte, Raleigh, Durham, it’s Georgia, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, —

Half of registered voters plan to vote early this fall, new figures from the September NBC News poll show, with Democrats continuing to run up the score among early voters and Republicans getting stronger backing from those who plan to vote in person on Election Day. It's a smaller lead among a slightly smaller share of the electorate than Harris has over those early voters. The massive political difference of early and Election Day voters is the latest evidence of a dramatic and enduring shift in the Trump years. And with that jump came a massive partisan difference — future President Joe Biden led among early voters by 26 points in the survey, while Trump led with Election Day voters by 29 points. But while the share of voters planning to vote early has dropped between the end of 2020 and now, the major partisan split remains.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Harris, Bill McInturff, Republican pollster, Jeff Horwitt, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden Organizations: NBC, Republicans, Republican, Hart Research Associates, Trump, Wall, Election

☆ Poll: Newly popular Harris builds momentum, challenging Trump for the mantle of change
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-22 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Mark-Murray-Circle-Byline-Template.Jpg | Mark Murray | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +10 min

Two-thirds of voters say their family income is falling behind the cost of living, and voters ranked the cost of living as their top concern in the election. Harris leads on abortion, fitness and change; Trump is ahead on the key issues of the border and inflationThe NBC News poll also tests Harris and Trump on 13 different issues and presidential qualities. But in this new poll, Harris is now at 48% positive, 45% negative (+3). And 66% of voters say their family’s income is falling behind the cost of living. Meanwhile, 65% of voters say the country is on the wrong track, compared to just 28% who say it’s heading in the right direction.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden’s, Harris ’ favorability, George W, Bush’s, —, Biden, ” Harris, “, Kamala Harris ’, ”, Jeff Horwitt, Democratic pollster, Bill McInturff, What’s, aren’t, ” Horwitt, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Jill Stein, Chase Oliver, Harris ’, George H.W, Ross Perot, That’s, it’s Organizations: NBC News, NBC, Trump, Hart Research Associates, Democratic, Republican, ”, Biden, Black, House Locations: U.S

☆ Poll: Election interest hits new low in tight Biden-Trump race
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-21 | by ( Mark Murray | Sarah Dean | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

According to the poll, 64% of registered voters say they have a high level of interest in November's election — registering either a "9" or a 10" on a 10-point scale of interest. The lowest-ever level of high election interest in the poll during a presidential cycle was in March 2012 — at 59%. This election cycle, high interest has been both low and relatively flat for months, according to the poll. By party, the current poll shows 70% of self-identified Republicans saying they have high interest in the upcoming election, versus 65% of Democrats who say this. "They just aren't low interest," McInturff said of young voters.

Persons: Derrick Simonson, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, Devin Fletcher, he's, Fletcher, wouldn't, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, —, McInturff, Republican pollster Organizations: Wisconsin, Central Assembly, NBC News, Republican, Biden, Trump, Democratic, Hart Research Associates, NBC, Independents Locations: Douglas County, Superior , Wisconsin, U.S, Wayne , Michigan, New Jersey, New York

☆ Haley’s voters might decide Biden’s fate in November. Here’s why.
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-06 | by ( Ron Brownstein | Analysis Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +17 min

In New Hampshire, more than 4-in-5 Haley voters said Trump would not be fit to serve again if convicted and that Biden had legitimately won. In that poll, two-thirds of Haley voters in Iowa said they would not vote for Trump in a general election; that number soared past three-fourths of her voters in New Hampshire. One key reason: fully 93% of all GOP-leaning voters said they disapproved of Biden’s performance as president. Madrid believes Biden’s record on immigration is the biggest obstacle to him harvesting support among the Republicans uneasy about Trump. Lake doesn’t agree that any single issue is critical for Biden with the kind of GOP voters who have rallied to Haley.

Persons: Nikki Haley’s, Donald Trump, Haley, Biden, Joe Biden, Haley –, Trump, ”, Smith, Michael Madrid, “ Trump, “, SSRS, “ Donald Trump, that’s, Alan Abramowitz, Ron DeSantis, it’s, Democratic pollster, Biden’s, ” Madrid, Haley herself, ” Jennifer Horn, MAGA …, ” Jim McLaughlin, Trump’s, McLaughlin, Bill McInturff –, –, Lake, Jean Carroll, ’, Taylor Swift, Chris Wilson, Republican pollster, Wilson, ” Wilson, Lake doesn’t Organizations: CNN, South Carolina Republican, Trump, White, GOP, Republican, Democratic, Trump Lincoln Project, Washington Post, University of Maryland, Capitol, CBS, Republicans, NBC News, Republican Party, South, Emory University, Florida Gov, Edison Research, Haley Iowa, Monmouth University, ”, Biden, New Hampshire Republican, NBC, AP Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, California, Madrid, Washington, South Carolina, ” Madrid, McInturff, Lake, Trump

☆ Poll: 20-point deficit on handling economy highlights Biden’s struggles against Trump
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-04 | by ( Mark Murray | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

And Biden's deficit versus Trump on handling immigration and the border is greater than 30 points. All together, these numbers explain why the poll shows Trump leading Biden by 5 points among registered voters in a hypothetical 2024 general-election matchup, 47% to 42%. "What is most concerning is the erosion of Biden's standing against Trump compared to four years ago," Horwitt said. That said, the poll shows improving attitudes about the economy, with the share of voters believing the economy will get worse in the next year declining 14 points since October 2022. The two men are essentially tied on the issue of protecting democracy, with 43% of voters preferring Biden and 41% picking Trump.

Persons: Joe Biden, Wade, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, Horwitt, — Organizations: Force, Reproductive, NBC News, Biden, Trump, NBC, Democratic, Hart Research Associates, Republican, GOP, U.S . Locations: Washington ,, Israel, Trump, Biden's, Iowa, New Hampshire, U.S, Jordan, Michigan

☆ Poll: Biden’s standing hits new lows amid Israel-Hamas war
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-19 | by ( Mark Murray | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

"Failed promises, student loans, foreign policy in general," said Democrat Zico Schell, 23, of San Diego, when asked why he disapproves of Biden's job performance. "This poll is a stunner, and it's stunning because of the impact the Israel-Hamas war is having on Biden," he said. According to the poll, 40% of registered voters approve of Biden's job performance, while 57% disapprove, representing Biden's all-time low in approval (and all-time high in disapproval) in the poll since becoming president. It's only a slight overall change from September, when Biden's approval rating was at 41% — which was then tied with his previous low in the poll. Biden's approval rating dropped to 31% among these voters.

Persons: Joe Biden, Xi Jinping, Brendan SMIALOWSKI, BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI, Joe Biden's, What's, Biden, Donald Trump, Israel, Meg Furey, Zico Schell, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, McInturff, Horwitt, It's Organizations: Economic Cooperation, APEC, Getty Images, —, NBC News, Biden, Democratic, Hart Research Associates, Republican Locations: Asia, Woodside , California, California, AFP, Israel, Gaza, Austin , Texas, San Diego, Biden's

☆ Majority of voters oppose Biden impeachment hearings as GOP inquiry begins
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Bridget Bowman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

House Republicans kick off their impeachment inquiry against President Joe Biden on Thursday, but a majority of voters do not believe the process should move forward. In a new national NBC News poll, 56% of registered voters say Congress should not hold hearings to start the process of removing Biden from office, while 39% say it should. An overwhelming majority of Democrats (88%) oppose the hearings, while 73% of Republicans support them. Just 35% of GOP voters say support for impeachment would make them more likely to support a lawmaker. But 62% of Democrats say voting to impeach Biden would make them less likely to support a member of Congress.

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Kevin McCarthy, McCarthy, Donald Trump, Trump, Bill McInturff, Jeff Horwitt, — Organizations: White, House Republicans, NBC News, NBC, Wall, Democratic, Hart Research Associates Locations: Rose, Washington

☆ Poll: Republicans have advantages on immigration, crime and the economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( Alexandra Marquez | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Voters overwhelmingly say they trust Republicans to do a better job than Democrats dealing with border security, crime, the economy and immigration, a new national NBC News poll finds. Still, Republicans have advantages on the issues with the widest margins — dealing with border security and with crime. But independent voters polled agree that Republicans are better at dealing with crime (by 19 points) and with the economy (by 25 points). Voters in swing states agreed that Republicans are better at dealing with the economy, crime, border security, immigration, protecting democracy and protecting constitutional rights. Moderates, who make up 34% of the total poll sample, agreed with the topline results on all but two issues — protecting constitutional rights and protecting democracy.

Persons: Joe Biden —, Donald Trump, McInturff, Bill McInturff, Jeff Horwitt, …, — Organizations: NBC, Democrats, Republican, Democratic, Hart Research, NBC News, Republican Party, Democratic Party, Republicans, Independents, GOP Locations: Swing

Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump arrives to address the Pray Vote Stand Summit at the Omni Shoreham Hotel on September 15, 2023 in Washington, DC. According to the poll, 62% have either major concerns (52%) or moderate concerns (10%) about Trump facing different criminal and civil trials for alleged wrongdoing, including for trying to overturn the 2020 presidential election. Another 60% have major concerns (45%) or moderate concerns (15%) about Biden's possible awareness or involvement in the business dealings of his son, Hunter, including alleged financial wrongdoing and corruption. And 47% have either major concerns (34%) or moderate concerns (13%) about Trump, at age 77, not having the necessary mental and physical health to be president for a second term. "I would vote third party in protest if it was Trump versus Biden," Chester added.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden's, Trump, Biden, Bill McInturff, Jeff Horwitt, —, doesn't, Hunter, Mary Lyon, Kevin Chester, Chester Organizations: Omni, NBC News, Democratic, Republican, Hart Research Associates, Trump, Republicans, GOP, Biden aren't, NBC, Arizona Republican, Biden Locations: Washington ,, Fulton County , Georgia, Tucson , Arizona, Arizona

☆ Even Trump’s indictments haven’t shattered the deadlock between the parties. Here’s why
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +17 min

The poll found voters divided exactly in half over whether they intended to vote for Democrats or Republicans in the next Congressional election. While surveys now usually show Biden leading Trump, the president’s margin rarely exceeds his four-point margin of victory from 2020. Instead, the pandemic quickly evolved into just another front in the preexisting culture war lines of division between the parties. Yet Biden, as noted above, still maintained his 2020 lead over Trump in these seats of four percentage points. Surveys have found widespread concern among voters that Biden is too old to effectively handle the presidency.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, Joe Biden, ”, Lynn Vavreck, Franklin Roosevelt, Tony Fabrizio, John Anzalone, Biden, Fabrizio, Bill McInturff, “, ” McInturff, McInturff, Vavreck, John Sides, Chris Tausanovitch, ” Vavreck, Stormy Daniels, Anzalone, ” Anzalone, it’s Trump, Simon Rosenberg, ” Rosenberg, Rosenberg Organizations: CNN, Republican, Democratic, UCLA, Electoral College, GOP, Senate, Trump, Biden, AARP, Republicans, NBC, Bright Line, NPR, PBS, Marist, White, Whites, Democrats, Wisconsin – Locations: Anzalone, Arizona , Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Trump

☆ Trump’s GOP lead grows after latest indictment, poll finds
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-25 | by ( Mark Murray | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Republican presidential candidate former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks at the Faith and Freedom Road to Majority conference at the Washington Hilton on June 24, 2023 in Washington, DC. Former President Donald Trump has expanded his lead over Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and the rest of the Republican presidential field since Trump's latest indictment on federal criminal charges, according to a new national NBC News poll. Yet the poll shows Trump with a sizable — and growing — lead over his Republican presidential rivals in the aftermath of that federal indictment. When the GOP presidential race gets reduced to just two candidates in the current survey, Trump gets support from 60% of Republican primary voters, while DeSantis gets 36%.

Persons: Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, it's, Bill McInturff, Jeff Horwitt, Horwitt, Trump, Joe Biden, Mike Pence, Chris Christie, DeSantis Organizations: Washington Hilton, Washington , DC, Florida Gov, Republican, NBC News, Trump, GOP, Republicans, Democratic, Hart Research Associates, NBC, New, New Jersey Gov Locations: Washington ,, New Jersey, New York

☆ Poll: 61% of voters disapprove of Supreme Court decision overturning Roe
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-22 | by ( Mark Murray | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

People march together to protest the Supreme Court's decision in the Dobbs v Jackson Women's Health case on June 24, 2022 in Miami, Florida. Zoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwards NBC News PollAnd by more than a 2-to-1 margin, voters say abortion access across the country has become too difficult rather than too easy. "A year after the Dobbs decision, though, there is no change in voters saying access is too difficult in their state." In the poll, 61% of all voters say they disapprove of the 5-4 decision, Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization, which leaves the legality and conditions of abortion up to individual states. And they're nearly unmoved from Aug. 2022 — two months after the Dobbs decision — when 58% disapproved, while 38% approved.

Persons: Allison, Roe, Wade, there's, Democratic pollster Aileen Cardona, Arroyo, Bill McInturff, McInturff, Dobbs, —, they're, Cardona, Yasin Ozturk, it's Organizations: Jackson, Anadolu Agency, Getty, U.S, NBC News, Republican, NBC, Democratic, Hart Research Associates, Health Organization, Black, Washington , D.C Locations: Dobbs, Miami , Florida, Washington ,, West, Midwest

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