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☆ A long-standing debt rule helped collapse Germany's government. Now the policy is ripe for reform
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-22 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

But what is the debt brake and why is it so contentious? Germany's debt brake, or 'Schuldenbremse,' is a fiscal rule that forms part of the German constitution. In some exceptional circumstances, the debt brake can be suspended — this happened for example during the Covid-19 pandemic. watch nowWhen the debt brake was first implemented, its advocates argued that it would ensure a sustainable, responsible approach to public finances and spending. Critics meanwhile, say the debt brake is too restrictive, and that it has hampered investment which is necessary for a successful future.

Persons: Olaf Scholz, John Macdougall, Christian Lindner, Scholz, Lindner, Philippa Sigl, CNBC's Annette Weisbach, Holger Schmieding, Carsten Brzeski Organizations: Bundestag, Afp, Getty, Former, Green, European Commission, CNBC, ING Locations: Germany, Russia, Ukraine

☆ Britain loves its 'special relationship' with the U.S. — but that doesn't mean Trump will love it back
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

London feels those long-standing bonds and geopolitical interests make its relationship with the U.S., well, special. Not so special anymoreDescribing the "special relationship" as one of convenience for the U.S., Pickering said the U.K. could still maneuver itself to be useful to an incoming Trump government. Whisper it, but the "special relationship" ceased to be special long ago, according to Holger Schmieding, chief economist at Berenberg. "That Trump and Starmer are apparently not fans of each other, to put it mildly, will not help in future U.S.-U.K. talks. Britain's Queen Elizabeth II greets U.S. President Donald Trump as he arrives for the Ceremonial Welcome at Buckingham Palace, in London, Britain June 3, 2019.

Persons: Donald Trump, Jeff J Mitchell, Keir Starmer, Trump, David Lammy, Starmer, Harris, Joe Biden, Kevin Lamarque, Badenoch, Lammy, Kallum Pickering, Peel Hunt, We're, we'll, Pickering, Holger Schmieding, Schmieding, Britain's Queen Elizabeth II, Victoria Jones Organizations: Getty, U.S, London, Britain's, Republican, Trump Tower, Trump, Atlantic, Labour Party, White, Reuters, Conservative Party, Republicans, Labour, European Union, China, Peel, CNBC, NATO Locations: London, New York, Washington, Europe, China, EU, U.S, America, Buckingham, Britain

☆ Goldman Sachs slashes European growth forecasts on Trump win
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

London CNN —President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed protectionist policies, including hefty tariffs, will hurt Europe’s economic standing — leaving crisis-hit Germany particularly vulnerable, Goldman Sachs predicts. Goldman Sachs expects gross domestic product across the 20 countries that use the euro to expand 0.8% next year, down from the 1.1% it forecast previously. Goldman Sachs’ central expectation is for “a more limited set of tariffs on European economies,” targeting primarily their auto exports. Goldman Sachs now expects the German economy to grow only 0.5% next year because of trade tensions, just over half the 0.9% growth it forecast previously. “For European businesses, Trump’s return to the White House implies considerable trade policy risks and geopolitical uncertainty,” Berenberg chief economist Holger Schmieding wrote in a note Thursday.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Goldman Sachs, Trump’s, Trump, ”, Holger Schmieding, “ Organizations: London CNN —, NATO, Republican, European Union, Volkswagen, VW Locations: Germany, United States, Europe, Ukraine, China

☆ The U.S. election is a make-or-break moment for aid to Ukraine
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

Kevin Lamarque | ReutersTensions are likely running high in Kyiv ahead of Tuesday's presidential election in the U.S. — a vote that could make or break ongoing aid for Ukraine. Officials in Kyiv say the election is being watched closely, amid concerns that future aid could be cut. In the week before the presidential election, Western officials were reported as saying that a Harris administration would likely struggle to push significant aid for Ukraine through Congress. A win by Donald Trump could see him placing a phone call to Russian President Vladimir Putin as early as 6 November. Then President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin at a joint press conference after their summit on July 16, 2018, in Helsinki, Finland.

Persons: Volodymyr Zelenskiy, Kamala Harris, Kevin Lamarque, —, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, It's, Trump, it's, Yuriy Sak, J.D, Vance, JD Vance, Carlos Osorio, Putin, Harris, Timothy Ash, Reuters Ash, Ash, Tim Willasey, Vladimir Putin, Chris McGrath Organizations: U.S, White, Reuters, NBC News, Republican, Democrats, NATO, Russia, Ukrainian, CNBC, Anadolu, Getty, Kiel Institute of, European Investment Bank, European Commission, Republicans, Kyiv, Reuters Trump, Berenberg Bank, Berenberg, Washington, Congress, Trump, Ukraine, BlueBay Asset Management, Democratic, Royal United Services Institute Locations: Washington , U.S, Kyiv, U.S, Ukraine, United States of America, United States, America, Russia, Toretsk, Donetsk, Donbas, Moscow, St, Cloud , Minnesota, Europe, Belgian, Helsinki, Finland

☆ Germany's government is on the brink of collapse — here’s what could happen now
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Holger Schmieding, chief economist at Berenberg, noted that the three coalition partners have been acting "as if they were preparing to campaign against each other soon." Separately, the Green party's Robert Habeck, who is Germany's economy minister, proposed a policy plan to stimulate business investment that was criticized by the FDP. The Lindner paperAnother escalation took place on Friday, when Finance Minister Christian Lindner published a paper about reviving the struggling German economy. "The paper reads like a serious attempt to analyze Germany's problems and propose solutions. A hotly contested budgetA recent key issue within the coalition has been Germany's budget for 2025 — a topic that also features heavily in Lindner's paper.

Persons: Christian Lindner, Robert Habeck, Olaf Scholz, Sean Gallup, Chancellor Olaf Scholz's, Carsten Brzeski, Holger Schmieding, Scholz, Lindner, Greg Fuzesi, Morgan, Fuzesi, Berenberg's Schmieding Organizations: Climate, Bundestag, Getty, Chancellor Olaf Scholz's Social Democratic Party, SPD, Greens, Free Democratic Party, ING, FDP, Green, ZDF Locations: Berlin, Germany

☆ Buy this tech firm that's quietly automating warehouses with robots, say Berenberg and Citi — giving it 50% upside
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

AutoStore , founded in 1996 and listed since 2021 in Norway, provides robots and technology to automate traditional warehouses. The company has grown to control approximately 80% to 90% of the market, according to German investment bank Berenberg. The investment bank initiated coverage with a price target of 15 Norwegian kroner ($1.37), pointing to roughly 50% upside from the current share price level. Analysts at Norway-based Arctic Securities have the most bullish outlook with an 18 Norwegian krone price target, indicating a 78% upside. Instead, they cited media reports that Amazon will likely rely on AutoStore's technology in its grocery rollout in the United States.

Persons: Lasse Stueben, Stueben, Martin Wilkie, Berenberg Organizations: Citi, THG plc, Securities, Big Tech Locations: AutoStore, Norwegian, Norway, Germany, Europe, British, United States

☆ Here are Tuesday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, Amazon, Alphabet, McDonald's, Adobe, Tesla & more
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Mizuho upgrades Duke Energy to outperform from neutral Mizuho said investors should buy the dip in the energy company. Barclays upgrades Doximity to overweight from equal weight Barclays said it sees growth potential for the online networking services provider for medical professionals. TD Cowen upgrades SM Energy to buy from hold TD Cowen said the energy company has "multiple resource catalysts." Barclays initiates Bruker as overweight Barclays said it's bullish on the analytical biotech solutions company. " Goldman Sachs reiterates Adobe as buy The firm said it sees "growth tailwinds" after attending the company's Adobe MAX conference.

Persons: Stephens, it's, Wells, Tesla, Berenberg, it's bullish, Wedbush, Mizuho, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, BTIG, Morgan Stanley, McDonald's, TD, TD Cowen, Price, Crane Organizations: Valvoline Inc, YouTube, Cadence Design, Netflix, Nvidia, AMD, Citi, Consolidated Edison, Duke Energy, Mizuho, Barclays, Etsy, Global, RBC, BMW, Mercedes, Volkswagen, Energy, Holdings, TD Cowen, BMO, AIG, Adobe, MAX, Constellation Energy Locations: China, North America

☆ Germany still lacks a 'good plan' to fix its structural issues, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGermany still lacks a 'good plan' to fix its structural issues, economist saysSalomon Fiedler, economist at Berenberg, discusses the challenges facing the German economy.

Persons: Salomon Fiedler

☆ Here are Wednesday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, Apple, Tesla, Nike, Meta, Alphabet, Rio Tinto & more
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

JPMorgan upgrades Parr Pacific to overweight from neutral JPMorgan said the gas exploration and production company has overcorrected. JPMorgan downgrades MercadoLibre to neutral from overweight JPMorgan downgraded the online Latin American marketplace mainly due to valuation. Wells Fargo reiterates Meta as overweight Wells Fargo raised its price target on Meta to $652 per share from $647. JPMorgan upgrades SAIC to overweight from neutral The firm says it sees "profitable growth" for the IT company. Berenberg upgrades Rio Tinto to buy from hold Berenberg says the metals and mining company is a "medium-term diversified winner."

Persons: Roth, DA Davidson, Davidson, PARR, Wolfe, Raymond James downgrades, Raymond James, Guggenheim, Mizuho, it's bullish, tailwinds, Wells, Wells Fargo, Canaccord, Tesla, Berenberg, Baird downgrades Harley, Baird, Harley, Gordon, FANG, Bernstein Organizations: Iren Energy, Industries, JPMorgan, Parr, Northland, TAM, Raymond James downgrades GE, GE, Deutsche Bank, Nike, Absci Corporation, Mizuho, Kodiak, Kodiak Gas Services, Meta, SAIC, IT, Tesla, Mobile, T Bank, Buffalo, Rio Tinto, BHP, Home Depot, Barclays, Diamondback Energy, Nvidia, Apple Locations: OW, Asia, Vegas, Northland, Salesforce, Rio, American

☆ Renk sees long-term trend in defense spending given the overall geopolitical situation, CEO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRenk sees long-term trend in defense spending given the overall geopolitical situation, CEO saysRenk CEO Susanne Wiegand discusses defense spending trends at the Berenberg and Goldman Sachs German Corporate Conference.

Persons: Renk, Susanne Wiegand, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Goldman Sachs German Corporate Conference

☆ Buying a battery electric vehicle is no longer that attractive, says Goldman Sachs analyst
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBuying a battery electric vehicle is no longer that attractive, says Goldman Sachs analystGeorge Galliers, head of European automotive investment research at Goldman Sachs, discusses the auto industry at the Goldman Sachs and Berenberg German corporate conference.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, George Galliers

☆ China's economy is on a slowing trajectory, says Goldman Sachs strategist
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's economy is on a slowing trajectory, says Goldman Sachs strategistPeter Oppenheimer, chief global equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, discusses markets at the Goldman Sachs and Berenberg German corporate conference.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Peter Oppenheimer

☆ Slight risk of recession coming for German economy, Berenberg's chief economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSlight risk of recession coming for German economy, Berenberg's chief economist saysHolger Schmieding, chief economist at Berenberg, discusses the state of German politics and the country's economy.

Persons: Holger Schmieding

☆ What buying Commerzbank would mean for UniCredit — and the banking sector
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( April Roach | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Last week, UniCredit announced it had taken a 9% stake in Commerzbank, confirming that half of this shareholding was acquired from the government. Commerzbank shares jumped 20% on the day UniCredit's stake was announced. A cross-border styled merger between UniCredit and Commerzbank would be more preferential than a domestic merger between Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank, according to Reint Gropp, president of the Hall Institute for Economic Research. "The German banking structure is long overdue for a consolidation process. The German bank also has less excess capital than UniCredit and therefore "cannot really afford" a takeover, Alloatti said.

Persons: Kirill Kudryavtsev, UniCredit, Andrea Orcel, Commerzbank, Orcel, Ignacio Cerezo, Berenberg, David Benamou, Benamou, CNBC's, Arnaud Journois, Journois, Emmanuel Macron, Reint Gropp, Gropp, Filippo Alloatti, Hermes, Alloatti, We've Organizations: Afp, Getty, Bloomberg, Reuters, UniCredit, Wednesday, UBS, Investments, European, Morningstar, Commerzbank, Analysts, CNBC, Deutsche Bank, Hall Institute for Economic Research, Will Deutsche Bank, ABN Amro Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Commerzbank, Berlin, Italian, U.S, Europe, UniCredit, Italy

☆ UniCredit's Andrea Orcel plays a bold hand, with Commerzbank in his sights
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Ruxandra Iordache | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

UniCredit 's CEO Andrea Orcel revealed his hand this week as the Italian lender built a 9% stake in Commerzbank — and a takeover bid for the German rival could still be in the cards. UniCredit faces a number of hurdles before increasing its stake after filing a request to "potentially exceed 9.9% of Commerzbank if and when necessary." Commerzbank shares soared on Wednesday when news of UniCredit's position was announced, and compounded gains on Thursday following speculation of an imminent takeover. Whispers cooled in January, however, when Deutsche Bank CEO Christian Sewing said that merger and acquisition activity was not a priority for the group at the time. A UniCredit takeover of Commerzbank would emerge as a rare, if long-awaited, instance of consolidation among Europe's banking titans.

Persons: UniCredit, Andrea Orcel, Orcel, it's, Deutsche Bank CEO Christian Sewing Organizations: Bloomberg, HypoVereinsbank, Alpha Bank, Hellenic Financial Stability, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche Bank CEO Christian, Commerzbank, titans Locations: Commerzbank, Germany, Munich

☆ European Central Bank set to cut interest rates just days before the Fed's big decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Annette Weisbach | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank, at the ECB And Its Watchers conference in Frankfurt, Germany, on March 20, 2024. Traders are widely anticipating an interest rate cut at the Federal Reserve's Sept. 17-18 meeting, as well as at the ECB's meeting this week. "The rate cut this Thursday should be largely uncontroversial," Holger Schmieding, the chief economist at Berenberg Bank, told CNBC in an email to clients. In July, the ECB left interest rates unchanged in a unanimous vote following June's landmark cut. The ECB's key interest rate — which helps to price all sorts of loans and mortgages across the bloc — is currently at 3.75% after years of aggressive hikes.

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Holger Schmieding, Joachim Nagel, Anatoli Annenkov, what's Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, Bloomberg, Getty, FRANKFURT, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal, Berenberg Bank, CNBC, ECB Council, —, Bank Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Société, Ljubljana, Slovenia

☆ Here are Wednesday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, Tesla, Starbucks, Chipotle, Eli Lilly, Target, TJX Companies, Coinbase and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Stifel upgrades Starbucks to buy from hold Stifel upgraded the coffee chain following the management shakeup that included a new CEO. Jefferies upgrades Sportradar to buy from hold Jefferies upgraded the Swiss global sports tech company, saying it's becoming "increasingly attractive." Morgan Stanley reiterates Target as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's sticking with its overweight rating heading into Target 's earnings next week. Berenberg reiterates Eli Lilly as buy Berenberg raised its price target on the drugmaker to $1,050 per share from $1,000. TD Cowen upgrades Ilumina to buy from hold TD Cowen sees revenue growth ahead for the biotech company.

Persons: Wolfe, PulteGroup, rais, Brian Niccol, Baird, Tesla, it's bullish, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Elliott, Wells, Equitrans, ETRN, Jefferies, it's, SRAD, Bernstein, Chipotle, Morgan Stanley, Berenberg, Eli Lilly, Lilly, circumspection, Ross, BURL, ROST, Oppenheimer, TD Cowen, mgmt Organizations: Stifel, RBC, Johnson, underperform RBC, Elliott Management, Barclays, Nvidia, JPMorgan downgrades Emerson, JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Ball Corp, Ball Corporation, Montrose Environmental, Stock, Intuit, Citi, Palo Alto, Bank of America, TJX Companies, Argus Locations: Florida, Underperform, Swiss, Montrose, QuickBooks, Burlington, Coinbase, China, Hershey

Several analysts raised their ratings and price targets on Starbucks a day after news that Chipotle CEO would take over at the coffee chain. Starbucks shares rallied on the news, while Chipotle shares fell. He also lowered his price target on shares to $685 from $750, which implies just 6% upside from Monday's close. Chipotle shares pulled back of 7% comes as decelerating trends and a sector rotation already impacted Chipotle's multiple. Since Niccol took the position of CEO in 2018, Chipotle shares surged more than 770%.

Persons: Bernstein, Fatima Boolani, Boolani, — Hakyung Kim, Eli Lilly Eli Lilly's, Berenberg, Lilly, Kerry Holford, " Holford, Morgan Stanley, Keith Weiss, Weiss, Hakyung Kim, Brian Niccol's, Danilo Gargiulo, Gargiulo, Niccol, Chipotle, Laxman Narasimhan, Brian Niccol, Baird, David Tarantino, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Citi, Palo Alto, Palo Alto Networks, pharma, Intuit, Starbucks, Deutsche Bank, SBUX Locations: Tuesday's

☆ Here are Wednesday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, Microsoft, Starbucks, McDonald's, Pinterest & more
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Here are Wednesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Bank of America reiterates Pinterest as buy Bank of America said it's sticking with Pinterest following the company's earnings on Tuesday. "We are raising our rating to Overweight (from Equal-weight); our new price target of $36 (up from $25) implies +43.4% one-year total return, including a 6.7% forward dividend yield." Bank of America upgrades RTX to buy from neutral Bank of America said demand is rising for the aerospace and defense company. " Bank of America adds Marriott to the US1 list Bank of America added the stock to its top picks list. "We initiate coverage of On Holdings (ONON) with an Outperform rating and a $46 price target.

Persons: Pinterest, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan, it's, Albemarle, Nomura, Bernstein, Venmo, TD Cowen downgrades McDonald's, Cowen, 2Q's, Raymond James, Lockheed Martin, Jefferies, Woodward, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, it's bullish Organizations: Bank of America, Barclays, AMD, Energy, JPMorgan, Mizuho, Nvidia, PayPal, Deutsche Bank, Corning, Deutsche, Citi, Navigator, Lockheed, of America, underperform Bank of America, Management, Starbucks, " Bank of America, Marriott, Holdings Locations: 2H24, Albemarle, Braintree, Switzerland

GLD 5Y mountain GLD The SPDR Gold Shares ETF is the world's largest, with BlackRock's iShares Gold Trust and iShares Physical Gold ETC the second and third, respectively. Other top physical gold ETFs include the Borse Commodities GmbH Xetra-Gold and the SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust . Gold mining ETFs Buying gold mining ETFs — which own shares of multiple gold mining companies — is another way to get exposure to gold, and Meyer described those backed by large banks as "relatively safe," in an email to CNBC. "Even though gold equities respond to changes in gold price, the degree of that response has deteriorated over time," he said, adding that the risks and costs of gold extraction can weigh on miners. A selection of gold bars and one-ounce gold coins at Gold Investments Ltd. bullion dealers in London, UK, on Tuesday, May 21, 2024.

Persons: Tom Price, Price, Berenberg, Robin Bhar, Amy Arnott, John Meyer, Colin Hamilton, BlackRock's, Meyer, Barrick Gold Panmure Liberum, George Milling, Stanley, they're, Morningstar's Arnott, Bhar, Chris Ratcliffe Organizations: CNBC, Panmure, Bank of America, Citi, UBS, Gold, Morningstar, SP, CNBC Pro, Royal Mint, BMO Capital Markets, Borse Commodities, MiniShares, Gold Miners ETF, Miners, Barrick, Resolute Mining, Hochschild, Caledonia Mining, Barrick Gold Panmure, Endeavour Mining, Endeavour, Pan, Resources, State Street Global Advisors, Gold Investments, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Panmure Liberum, U.S . New York, United States, U.S, Hochschild Mining, Zimbabwe, London, West Africa, Berenberg

☆ 'Too cheap to ignore': Buy this under-the-radar global bank with a 9% yield, analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-17 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Shares of Nordea Bank , the Finnish lender, have been labeled "too cheap to ignore" by investment bank Berenberg. Net interest income – earned through the differences in rates offered to savers and borrowers — grew 7% year-on-year to 3.86 billion euros. "Trading on only 7.5x our [financial year] 2025 earnings — an 8% premium to the sector — we think Nordea is too cheap to ignore. However, the Berenberg analyst believes that Nordea's net interest income is relatively resilient, noting that "the market still underappreciates Nordea's [net interest income] stability, in our view, which contrasts favourably to that of more rate-sensitive Nordic peers." The analyst also said that recent challenges, including a slight miss on second-quarter net interest income expectations or a modest cost increase, should not deter investors.

Persons: —, Frank Vang, Jensen, Hugh Moorhead, Banks, Moorhead Organizations: Nordea Bank, Moorhead Locations: Helsinki, Finland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, U.S, Germany, Italy, Switzerland, Moorhead

☆ Euro and French stocks subdued as France plunged into political limbo
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

London CNN —French stocks and government bonds struggled to find direction Monday following surprise results in France’s parliamentary elections, which saw left-wing parties outperform the far right Sunday, leaving the country’s parliament facing gridlock. The yield, or return sought by investors, on benchmark 10-year bonds rose by a fraction of a percentage point to 3.22% by 8.09 a.m. But the premium traders demand to hold French bonds instead of the ultra-safe German equivalents was lower on the day. However, it was still a lot higher than before French President Emmanuel Macron called the snap elections on June 9. The value of the currency, which is shared by 19 other countries in the EU, has swung wildly since June 9.

Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Macron, France’s, “, ”, Holger Schmieding, “ unaffordable, Schmieding, Hanna Ziady Organizations: London CNN, European Union, Rabobank, EU Locations: gridlock, Europe’s, “, France, Paris, —

☆ France's far right looks headed for victory in the first round at the polls. Here's what that means
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Nurphoto | Getty ImagesWith just days to go until France's snap parliamentary election kicks off, victory for the far right looks increasingly likely in the first phase of the two-stage runoff. But predicting the outcome of France's final vote on July 7 is less clear-cut, given the complexity of France's voting system. Voter turnout for the national election is also expected to be larger — and therefore more representative — than the 51% who cast their ballot in the EU vote. With that in mind, analysts see a 30% to 40% chance of the National Rally winning the 289 seats needed to secure an absolute majority in the 577-seat National Assembly. A majority government for either the far-right or the ultraleft alliance, meanwhile, could spark a far more dramatic outcome.

Persons: Jordan Bardella, Emmanuel Macron's, Schmieding, — Organizations: National, Palais des Sports, Nurphoto, Elabe, CNBC, Macron, National Rally, National Assembly, Berenberg Bank, Citi Locations: French, Le, Paris, France

☆ He's only 28 but has revitalized France's far right: Meet the man who could be the country's next prime minister
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-25 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Soon, he could well become prime minister if RN wins an absolute majority in the forthcoming parliamentary elections — and he's only 28. Bardella's rise from party spokesman in 2017 to party president over the course of five years is somewhat remarkable for a man who is only 28. Bardella excelled in economics and social sciences at a private college and joined National Rally — then known as the National Front — at the age of 16. Two years later, he became a Member of the European Parliament (MEP) before being made party president in 2022. Jordan Bardella, president of the National Rally, speaks to members of the media as he arrives at Medef in Paris, France, on Thursday, June 20, 2024.

Persons: Jordan Bardella, Julien De Rosa, Bardella, Denis, Joseph Downing, Pen, Jean, Luc Mélenchon, Frederic Chatillon, Le Pen, Le, —, Critics, Francois Lo Presti, Macron, Holger Schmieding, Bardella's, Emmanuel Macron's Organizations: Afp, Getty, National, CNBC, National Rally, Paris Sorbonne University, London School of Economics, European Institute, National Assembly, Le, Palais des Sports, Nurphoto, cri, Union, NATO, Berenberg Bank, Popular, Bloomberg Locations: Paris, Villepinte, France, Bardella, Drancy, Paris suburb, Seine, Montmorency, Morocco, Henin, Beaumont, Ukraine, French, Medef

☆ China needs EU market more than the EU needs China, Berenberg economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina needs EU market more than the EU needs China, Berenberg economist saysHolger Schmieding, chief economist at Berenberg, weighs in on the impact of the EU's electric vehicle tariffs on China, and the implications for the Chinese economy.

Persons: Holger Schmieding Organizations: China, EU Locations: EU, China

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