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Justin Sullivan | Getty ImagesAsian semiconductor-related stocks mostly slumped on Thursday after Nvidia reported an earnings forecast that failed to meet the lofty expectations of some investors. The sentiment has spilled over to Asia, with stocks tied to Nvidia suppliers as well as other chip companies mostly falling. Selloff in AsiaSemiconductor testing equipment supplier Advantest , which counts Nvidia among its clients, dropped as much as 5.6% on Thursday, the largest chip loser on Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp , which manufacturers Nvidia's high-performance graphics processing units, slipped as much as 1.5%. The company has been a key supplier to Nvidia and is building the world's largest manufacturing facility in Mexico for assembling Nvidia's GB200 superchips, a key component of its next-generation Blackwell family computing platform.
Persons: Justin Sullivan, Daniel Newman, CNBC's Organizations: Getty, Nvidia, Futurum, Asia Semiconductor, Nikkei, Advantest Corp, Softbank Group, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp, Hai Precision Industry, Blackwell, SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics Locations: Santa Clara , California, Asia, Selloff, Mexico, South Korea
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesFears are mounting that the U.S. could soon experience its own version of Britain's "mini-budget" crisis, with bond strategists warning that Donald Trump's return to the White House brings with it the specter of currency volatility and surging bond yields. The former president's economic agenda has ratcheted up concerns about a surge in consumer prices, which strategists say could spark significant shifts in bond yields and investor behavior. They warn a scenario that mirrors Britain's mini-budget crisis of 2022 is not out of the question. watch nowBritain's mini-budget crisis refers to a tumultuous period under former Prime Minister Liz Truss and ex-Finance Minister Kwasi Kwarteng. Bond yields tend to rise when market participants expect higher consumer prices or a growing budget deficit.
Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Trump, Remtulla, Liz Truss, Kwasi Kwarteng, Kwarteng, Althea Spinozzi, Trump's, Spinozzi, Angela Weiss, Paul Ashworth, Ashworth, Thierry Wizman, likelier, Wizman Organizations: Economic, of New, Bloomberg, Getty, EFG, CNBC, U.S ., Finance, U.S, Bank of England, Saxo Bank, White, Treasury, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, AFP, Capital Economics, Macquarie Group Locations: of New York, New York, U.S, Foreign, Treasurys, Treasuries, New York City, America
Signage of Adani Group at Adani Defence and Aerospace booth during the Aero India 2023 at Air Force Station Yelahanka in Bengaluru, India, on Monday, Feb. 13, 2023. India's Adani Group saw shares of its companies plunge Thursday after its billionaire chairman Gautam Adani was indicted in a New York federal court over his alleged involvement in an extensive bribery and fraud operation. The Indian group's flagship firm Adani Enterprises fell 10%, while the company in the eye of the storm Adani Green Energy tanked 17.28%. Adani Energy fell 20%. Adani Power lost 13.81%, Adani Port's share price dropped 10%, while the group's retail arm Adani Wilmar shed 7.87%.
Persons: India's, Gautam Adani, Adani, Sagar Adani, Ranjit Gupta, Rupesh Agarwal, Saurabh Agarwal, Cyril Cabanes, Deepak Malhotra, CDPQ, shortseller, Hindenburg, Raymond James ', Matt Orton Organizations: Adani Defence, Aerospace, Aero, Air Force, India's Adani, Adani Enterprises, Energy, Adani Energy, Adani Power, NSE, Adani Green Energy, Power, Quebec, U.S, Hindenburg Research, CNBC Locations: Bengaluru, India, New York, U.S, Brooklyn
AdvertisementMeredith Whitney expects home prices to fall by 10% to 20% as the frozen housing market starts thawing. The veteran researcher said baby boomers aren't selling, restricting the number of homes available. Home prices are poised to fall by up to a fifth as the frozen housing market thaws — and that could help baby boomers sell at last and younger people to become homeowners, Meredith Whitney says. Advertisement"The problem is the baby boomers own 60% of the housing stock," she said, referring to single-family, owner-occupied homes. AdvertisementSeveral economists have predicted a "silver tsunami" as baby boomers sell their homes to downsize or move into care homes, increasing the available supply of single-family homes and reducing prices.
Persons: Meredith Whitney, It's, Price, Whitney, millennials Organizations: Meredith Whitney Advisory Group, Homeowners, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors, CNBC
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) building in Beijing, China, on Friday, Nov. 8, 2024. Asia-Pacific markets were set to open mostly lower Wednesday, following a mixed day on Wall Street amid mounting geopolitical tensions between Ukraine and Russia. Japan's Nikkei 225 futures pointed to a mixed open for the market, with the futures contract in Chicago at 38,300 and its counterpart in Osaka at 38,420 compared to the previous close of 38,414.43. According to a Reuters poll, China is expected to leave its benchmark lending rates unchanged on Wednesday after they were cut in October. Hong Kong Hang Seng index futures were at 19,619, slightly lower than the HSI's last close of 19,663.67.
Persons: Australia's Organizations: People's Bank of China, Investors, Reuters, Nikkei Locations: Beijing, China, Asia, Pacific, Ukraine, Russia, Japan, Chicago, Osaka, Hong Kong
The runup in the 10-year Treasury yield is proving to be more than a short-term fluctuation, and that is starting to draw nervous looks on Wall Street. US10Y 3M mountain The 10-year Treasury yield started to climb ahead of the election and has moved higher still after Donald Trump's victory. With the 10-year yield close to a key psychological level of 4.5%, there is concern that another move higher could lead to a downturn in the stock market. If the 10-year yield does break through the 4.5% level, technical patterns suggest it could make a significant climb. Strong economic growth and optimism around artificial intelligence are two reasons why stocks may be able to tolerate higher rates, said Solita Marcelli, UBS global wealth management chief investment officer for the Americas.
Persons: Bond, Donald Trump's, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, Trump, Senyek, Paul Ciana, Stocks, Solita Marcelli, Marcelli Organizations: Treasury, Wolfe Research, Bank of America, UBS Locations: 1Q25
China's central bank on Wednesday kept major benchmark lending rates unchanged, as Beijing assesses the effects of its recent stimulus measures. The People's Bank of China said it would keep the 1-year loan prime rate at 3.1%, and the 5-year LPR at 3.6%. The 1-year LPR affects corporate and most household loans in China, while the 5-year LPR acts as a benchmark for mortgage rates. Only retail sales beat expectations, with a 4.8% year-on-year increase, indicating that recent stimulus had started seeping into certain sectors of the economy. Goldman, however, maintained "overweight" stance on China equities, forecasting a 13% upside to the benchmark CSI 300 index next year.
Persons: Bruce Pang, Pang, Pan Gongsheng, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Donald Trump's Organizations: People's Bank of China, People's Bank of, Reuters, Ministry of Finance Locations: Beijing, China's, People's Bank of China, China, JLL
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesDonald Trump's U.S. election victory has ratcheted up concerns about higher prices, prompting strategists to rethink the outlook for global bond yields and currencies. Trump's return to the White House is seen as likely to throw a wrench in the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle, potentially keeping an upward bias on Treasury yields. Bond yields tend to rise when market participants expect higher prices or a growing budget deficit. "Trump's election advances both possibilities as a trade war and increased fiscal spending work at cross purposes," he added. Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for the euro zone, stood at 2.337% on Wednesday, marginally lower for the session.
Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Alim Remtulla, Remtulla, Kamala Harris, there's, Trump, There's, Shannon Kirwin, Kirwin, Sameer Goel, CNBC's, doesn't, Goel, MUFG Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, EFG, Fed, CNBC, Treasury, Democratic, New York Stock Exchange, China News Service, Morningstar, European Union, Deutsche Bank, Trump, U.S, U.S ., Singapore, Malaysian, South Korean, ING Locations: Greensboro , North Carolina, Europe, United States, New York City, U.S, Mexico, Asia, China
Global stocks have largely fallen as the U.S. has rallied, the result of a confluence of factors. The fund gauges how global stocks minus U.S. equities are performing, and it features names such as Taiwan Semiconductor , Tencent and Novo Nordisk . The broad market index was marginally higher on the day and has soared nearly 24% year to date. The dollar index has jumped more than 2% in November, and has climbed nearly 5% year to date. .DXY 3M line Dollar index The underperformance of global stocks might provide some temptation to dive in at a time when they appear undervalued.
Persons: hasn't, Donald Trump, Nick Colas, MSCI ACWI, Colas Organizations: White, DataTrek Research, ETF, Taiwan Semiconductor, Tencent, Novo Nordisk, ACWX Locations: U.S
CNBC asked Intrepid Travel and ChatGPT to put together a two-day itinerary to Melbourne City, AustraliaAsia-Pacific markets are set to open higher on Tuesday, tracking Wall Street gains buoyed by a Tesla rally, and as traders wait to watch key Chinese financial policymakers speak at an investment summit in Hong Kong. Futures for Australia's S&P/ASX 200 stood at 8,327, slightly higher than the index's last close of 8,300.2. Japan's Nikkei 225 futures pointed to a stronger open for the market, with the futures contract in Chicago at 38,275 and its counterpart in Osaka at 38,310 compared to the previous close of 38,220.85. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index futures were at 19,766, higher than the HSI's last close of 19,576.61. The Reserve Bank of Australia will publish the minutes from its monetary policy meeting earlier this month, where it held its benchmark interest rate for the eighth meeting in a row at 4.35%.
Organizations: CNBC, Intrepid Travel, Futures, Australia's, Japan's Nikkei, Reserve Bank of Australia Locations: Melbourne City, Australia Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong, Chicago, Osaka
Indian markets have been under pressure in recent weeks, but strategist Matt Orton remains bullish on the country, revealing "one of his favorite" stocks right now. ICIC Bank One stock that stands out to Orton is private bank and financial services player ICICI Bank . "ICICI Bank is one of my favorite picks because it's just a top-quality asset. ICICIBANK-IN YTD mountain Year-to-date shares in ICICI Bank Orton said ICICI is among the three "domestic systemically important banks," or those considered " too big to fail " banks by the Reserve Bank of India. According to FactSet data, of 44 analysts covering the stock, 41 give it a buy or overweight rating, while the remaining three have a hold call.
Persons: Matt Orton, Raymond James, CNBC's, Orton, it's, ICICI Bank Orton, Jefferies Organizations: Raymond James Investment Management, Bombay Stock Exchange, ICICI Bank, India's, Bombay Stock Exchanges, ICICI, Reserve Bank of India Locations: bullish, India, U.S, Mumbai
Art on the auction blockA little more than half of Phillips, Christie’s and Sotheby’s sales — which will carry the three aforementioned art pieces — were based in New York, where 34 of the top 50 auction lots were sold in 2023, according to an Art Basel and UBS Art Market Report. Christie’s is auctioning 689 lots this week as part of the November art auctions. But Todd Levin of Levin Art Group was skeptical that tax cuts would do much for the art market. Interest ratesAnother drag on the art market over the last few years: high interest rates. A signal for what’s to comeNew York’s art auctions in the spring and fall could be a sign of things to come for the global art market, according to Woodham.
Persons: Maurizio Cattelan’s, , Andy Warhol’s “, Rene Magritte’s “, Sotheby’s, Phillips, Merrill Lynch, Donald Trump, Alex Glauber, ” Glauber, Christie’s, René Magritte, Marc Porter, Hiroko Masuike, Trump, bode, Todd Levin, “ It’s, Doug Woodham, , Fernando Botero's, Kena Batancur, Glauber, Amy Whitaker, , ” Whitaker Organizations: New, New York CNN, Andy Warhol’s “ New York Skyscrapers, of, Christie’s, Association of Professional Art Advisors, CNN, Art Basel, UBS Art, New York Times, UBS Survey, Global, Trump White, Levin Art, Federal Reserve, Trump, NYU Steinhardt Locations: New York, Belgian, Christie’s Americas, Woodham, AFP, Miami
Geopolitics are raining on the stock market's parade, but other trades are working. U.S. stock futures fell Tuesday as tensions between Ukraine and Russia intensified. S & P 500 and Nasdaq-100 futures shed 1.1% each. That said, four trades are holding up against this backdrop: Gold futures rallied nearly 1% to around $2,640 per ounce. If geopolitical pressure continues to rise, the four trades above could outperform as 2024 wraps up.
Persons: Vladmir Putin, , DAX, Treasurys, Vladimir Putin's, Peter Boockvar, Cory Kasimov, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kasimov Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Global, France's CAC, Bleakley Financial, ISI, Department of Health, Human Services Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Russian, U.S, Europe
The Baron Growth Fund (BGRFX) , Baron Small Cap Fund (BSCFX) and Baron Discovery Fund (BDFFX) all invest in the small-cap universe, and they have produced double-digit annualized returns since inception and outperformed their respective benchmarks, according to Morningstar. Total small-cap growth exposure recently hit a 10-year low when investors are shunning the asset class. The Baron Growth and Small Cap funds were created in the 1990s, while the Baron Discovery Fund was launched in 2013. Small companies, which are more domestic-oriented and cyclical, are seen as beneficiaries from President-elect Donald Trump's tax cuts and protectionist policies. "We do an incredible amount of research on these companies, which allows us to find small companies that can have great competitive advantage.
Persons: Baron Capital, Baron, Morningstar, Laird Bieger, Donald Trump's, Russell, Randolph Gwirtzman, Gwirtzman, DraftKings Organizations: Baron Capital, Baron, Baron Growth, Fund, Baron Discovery Fund, Morningstar, Kratos Defense, Security Solutions, Tempus, Gartner Locations: New York
"We estimate net margins will expand by 78 bp to 12.3% in 2025 followed by a further 35 bp increase to 12.6% in 2026." Heading into this year the Goldman team was too bearish. When it originally set its 2024 forecast last November it called for the index to climb just 5% to 4,700. States the report: "Our economists assume the Trump administration will impose targeted tariffs on imported automobiles and select imports from China. "High multiples are weak signals for near-term returns, but typically increase the magnitude of market drawdown during a negative shock," states the report.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Goldman, Donald Trump, Trump, Martin Marietta, Stocks Organizations: CNBC Pro, Goldman, Microsoft, Tesla, Electronic Arts, Martin Marietta Materials, Waste Management, Fiverr International, Apple, Adobe, Mastercard, Uber Locations: China
Trump has said he wants to lower gas prices — which currently average $3.07 per gallon — to below $2 a gallon. But the American oil industry is already booming and increasing output doesn’t mean gas prices will drop. After oil prices shot up in 2022 in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the sanctions on Russian oil imposed by western countries, major oil companies reported record profits. But are we going to increase oil production by another 50%? OPEC+, a group of leading oil-producing countries, even delayed plans to increase production because of concerns about excess supply.
Persons: Donald Trump, ” Trump, Trump, Chris Wright, Wright, Andy Cross, Andy Lipow, ” Lipow, “ It’s, Biden, , Bob McNally, George W, Bush, CNN’s David Goldman, Matt Egan Organizations: CNN, Liberty Energy, Liberty, Denver Post, US Energy Information Administration, P, Insights, Eurasia Group, Texas Intermediate, OPEC, Lipow Oil Associates, Energy, Oil Locations: Denver, States, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Eurasia, Ukraine, China, OPEC
Strategist Michael Wilson sees the S & P 500 reaching 6,500 in 2025. The sector is already up 6.8% since the Nov. 5 election, outperforming the other 10 S & P 500 sectors. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield is up more than 80 basis points (0.8 percentage point) since the Fed began cutting rates. While Wilson's base case sees the S & P 500 rising to 6,500, his most optmistic bullish scenario takes the benchmark all the way to 7,400 — 26% above Friday's close. However, his initial 2024 S & P 500 target proved too conservative at 4,500.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Michael Wilson, Wilson, Donald Trump, Baird Organizations: Fed Locations: Washington, Friday's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA lot of reasons to worry for Europe markets under a second Trump administration: StrategistAoifinn Devitt from Moneta says Europe "seems to be on the wrong side of history" as the key benchmark is heavily focused on old economy companies and Trump's return to the White House will only make things more difficult for European markets.
Persons: Aoifinn Devitt Organizations: Trump Locations: Moneta, Europe
The S & P 500 has risen 24.73% so far this year, up fractionally more than last year's 24.23%, according to FactSet data. The U.S.-listed Gotham Enhanced 500 ETF , which has the ticker GSPY, has also posted similar gains since 2021. JREU-GB .SPX 5Y line GSPY The Gotham Enhanced 500 ETF is a newer fund and so has a shorter track record of outperformance. Yet it has beaten the S & P 500 every year since its inception in 2021. Gotham ETFs say the fund "buys all 500 stocks in the S & P 500 Index but reweights them, buying more of the ones we think are cheaper and less of the ones we believe are more expensive."
Persons: Piera Elisa Grassi Organizations: Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan U.S, Research, Equity, Gotham, JPMorgan Asset Management, CNBC, JREU, New York Stock Exchange Locations: London, U.S, Gotham
Stocks still have significant gains in front of them heading into 2025, at least according to BMO Capital Markets. Although bull markets over the past 50 years have averaged about six years in length, the current bull market is just starting its third year but, unfortunately, the third year of past bull markets have been the weakest of the bunch, he cautioned. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 is little changed on Monday, but has gained about 23% in 2024. Heading into 2024, the S & P 500 had advanced more than 24% in 2023. The latter envisions the S & P 500 ending 2025 at 5,500, or about a 6% decline from the index's current price, mostly as a result of inflation picking up steam.
Persons: Stocks, Brian Belski, Belski, Belksi Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, BMO, Federal Reserve, & $ Locations: Canadian
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Richard Tobin, Tobin, cryogenics, we'll, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Stocks, Dover, Club, Marshall Excelsior Company, SPS Cryogenics, Nvidia, Walmart, Viking Holdings, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Dover
AdvertisementHigh housing costs, driven in large part by a shortage of homes, are keeping inflation sticky. Economists say Trump's proposals are a mixed bag; some could help housing costs and some could hurt. Ultimately, housing policy experts and industry leaders say housing costs will largely depend on how much new supply can be delivered to the market, which is suffering from a severe shortage of homes. Federal housing assistanceDuring his first term, Trump repeatedly proposed major cuts to housing assistance for households with low incomes or members with disabilities. This would make it harder for lower-income Americans to afford homes and slow down affordable housing construction.
Persons: Trump, Donald Trump, Karoline Leavitt, Vance, Jim Tobin, Tobin, Maurice Page, JD Vance, they're, Anirban Basu, Biden, Ben Metcalf, Metcalf Organizations: Federal Reserve, Trump, National Association of Home Builders, Biden, Administration, Nevada Housing Coalition, Business, Energy, Associated Builders and Contractors, Economic, of New, Reserve, UC Berkeley, Immigrants, Republican Locations: Nevada , Arizona, Utah, of New York, China
AdvertisementInflation's downtrend may not be as straightforward as some investors think, according to Charles Schwab. Immigration reform could mean higher labor costs," the note added. Labor costs risingLabor costs have accelerated in recent months, with unit labor costs among all workers in the business sector rising to 3.4% year-over-year in the third quarter, according to Federal Reserve data. Markets are beginning to dial back expectations for further rate cuts in response to inflation concerns," Schwab strategists said. Charles Schwab, Citi Economic Surprise Index"Stronger growth suggests that the Fed may not lower short-term rates as much as anticipated just a few months ago.
Persons: Charles Schwab, Donald Trump, Trump, Schwab, It's Organizations: Trump, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, Federal Reserve, Unit, Bloomberg, Treasury, Business, Citi
Now that the election is over, and a change at the FTC seems highly likely, Wall Street is getting ready for a new era. "In my opinion, bank M & A has reopened for every bank absent the globally systemically important banks," Mills told CNBC. DFS 1M mountain Shares of Discover Financial rallied sharply after the election of Donald Trump. The merger between those two companies was blocked by a judge and then dropped this past week , but both companies could be players moving forward. There's still a populist tone in the Trump campaign … and enforcement, in my opinion, is not going to go away.
Persons: Trump, Lina Khan, Carlyle, Harvey Schwartz, Morgan Stanley, Stephanie McCann, McDermott Will, Emery, Wolfe, Naturium, Goldman, Ed Mills, Raymond James, Mills, Donald Trump, Joe Biden's, Matt Gaetz —, , There's, Kyle Healy, Alston, Michael Lynton Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal Trade, FTC, Federal, CNBC, Wolfe Research, Amazon, Electronic Arts, Zoom Video Communications, EA, Activision Blizzard, Capital, Discover Financial Services, DFS, Discover Financial, Spirit Airlines, Frontier, JetBlue, Regulators, Trump, Bird, Warner Music Locations: Washington
A general view shows the Israeli city of Tel Aviv, on August 12, 2024, amid regional tensions during the ongoing war between Israel and the Palestinian Hamas movement in the Gaza Strip. The war has raged in Gaza since Hamas' Oct. 7, 2023 cross-border attack on southern Israel. Figures issued on Friday showed Israel's inflation rate held steady at 3.5% in September but staying above the government's annual inflation target of 1-3%. Government officials have largely blamed war-related supply issues for the spike in inflation at a time when inflation is largely easing globally. Israeli central bankers have said that further rate cuts, which have begun in the United States and Europe, are unlikely but warned of rate hikes should inflation remain high.
Organizations: Hamas, Central Bureau, Statistics, Government, Bank of Israel Locations: Tel Aviv, Israel, Palestinian, Gaza, Lebanon, United States, Europe
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