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☆ Stock market today: US indexes gain after soft inflation report supports more rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks rose after cool inflation data suggested more room for Federal Reserve rate cuts. The personal consumption expenditures price index increased 0.1% in August, matching estimates. AdvertisementUS stocks rose on Friday after cool inflation data suggested that the Federal Reserve has more room to cut interest rates. The personal consumption expenditures price index, which is considered the Fed's preferred inflation measure, increased 0.1% in August, in-line with economist estimates. On a year-over-year basis, the PCE Index rose 2.2%, slightly below economist estimates of 2.3%.

Persons: —, Clark Bellin, Bellin, Sonu Varghese, that's, Varghese Organizations: Federal, Service, Federal Reserve, Bellwether Wealth, Business, Carson Group, Here's

☆ Stock market today: Dow hits record high, stocks notch 3-week win streak ahead of key jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks were mixed Friday, with the Dow closing at a record high while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq edged lower. All three major averages achieved a three-week win streak as investors cheer a resilient economy and cooling inflation. Investors await key jobs data next week, including the September jobs report on Friday morning. But the main event is next Friday, when the September jobs report is released. AdvertisementAccording to Interactive Brokers senior economist José Torres, the jobs report could have a big impact on the broader market.

Persons: —, Dow Jones, Clark Bellin, José Torres, Torres Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Service, Fed, Labor, Survey, ADP, Interactive Locations: Here's

☆ Trump's tariff proposals would mean 'consumers are going to pay more,' says economist—here's why
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Ryan Ermey | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

But as a general rule, economists tend to agree that, for U.S. consumers, higher tariffs tend to mean higher prices. "They'll be buying things at higher prices than they otherwise would." Still, a number of organizations say that Trump's new tariff policy would have a negative tangible effect on American consumers' finances. Plus, financial experts say a more aggressive tariff policy could be viewed as a form of economic saber-rattling. It tends to lead to higher prices for consumers in both countries."

Persons: Trump, Howard Gleckman, Kamala Harris, Biden, Donald Trump, Harris, George Ball, Sanders Morris, Clark Bellin, Sam Millette Organizations: Urban, Brookings Tax Policy Center, CNBC, U.S, Trump, U.S ., American Progress, Peterson Institute for International, Commonwealth Financial Network Locations: China, U.S, —

☆ As the Fed gears up for rate cuts, here’s what income investors need to do
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

With Federal Reserve rate cuts expected to begin in September, income investors may want to make sure their portfolio is in check. Instruments like money market funds and high-yield savings accounts will react pretty quickly to rate cuts. Some $6.24 trillion is currently sitting in money market funds, as of the week ended Wednesday, according to the Investment Company Institute . Clark Bellin, chief investment officer at Bellwether Wealth in Lincoln, Nebraska, is bullish in investment-grade corporate bonds right now. He prefers individual bonds over bond funds because the investor has more control.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Rick Rieder, Lawrence, Clark Bellin, Bellin, he'll, Fidelity's Michael Plage, Treasurys, Patience, BlackRock's Rieder Organizations: Federal, Treasury, U.S, BlackRock, Investment Company Institute Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Hauppauge, Lincoln , Nebraska

☆ Unexpected bad news for inflation: Wholesale prices rose in June
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —Wholesale price inflation unexpectedly accelerated in June to its highest rate since March 2023. That’s an unwelcome development for the US economy one day after the government announced that consumer prices declined on a monthly basis for the first time in four years. On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.2% after holding flat in May. Economists had expected that prices would increase 0.1% on a monthly basis and hold steady at 2.2% annually. Prices dropped on a monthly basis for the first time since May 2020, and annual inflation slowed to 3%, its slowest rate since June 2023.

Persons: That’s, Price, ” Clark Bellin, Bellin Organizations: CNN —, of Labor Statistics, PPI, Federal Reserve

☆ Stock market today: Indexes edge higher as traders digest fresh inflation data and bank earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Max Adams | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks edged higher on Friday after a rough prior session as traders digested new data and earnings. Banks including JPMorgan and Citi kicked off second-quarter earnings season. AdvertisementUS stocks were slightly higher on Friday as new inflation data dropped and big US banks kicked off second-quarter earnings season. Even with Friday's strong PPI, we still believe a September rate cut is in play," Clark Bellin, president and CIO of Bellwether Wealth, said. AdvertisementMeanwhile, big US banks opened up the second-quarter earnings season.

Persons: —, Clark Bellin, Wells Organizations: JPMorgan, Citi, Service, Federal Reserve, Bellwether Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Buying the dip on a cheap stock? Don't do it 'just because the price has gone down,' says investing chief
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Ryan Ermey | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

"Buying because the stock price has gone down without knowing some of the underlying issues or without understanding some of the underlying activities, could be problematic," says Clark Bellin, president and chief investment officer at Bellwether Wealth. After all, a stock could take major losses and then soar to new heights à la Apple. But what about that same markdown in the price of that company's stock? You'll just have to figure some things out before you buy, says Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA. Rather than scrambling to do research, he says, keep a watchlist of stocks you'd be interested in buying at the right price.

Persons: Clark Bellin, Sam Stovall, Bellin, Charles Rotblut, Stovall, It's, Raife Giovinazzo, Giovinazzo Organizations: Blockbuster, Nike, American Association of, Fuller, Thaler Asset Management, Nasdaq, Yahoo Finance, CNBC

☆ PPI report: Another positive sign for consumers after wholesale inflation ticked down last month
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-13 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Economists polled by FactSet had anticipated a 0.1% rise in monthly wholesale inflation. Excluding food and energy prices, so-called “core” producer inflation rose 2.3% on an annual basis, the same level seen in April. PPI captures average price shifts before they reach consumers and serves as a potential bellwether for retail-level inflation in the months ahead. The new inflation data follows May’s Consumer Price Index released Wednesday, which showed that the pace of price increase consumers see across goods and services cooled to 3.3% from 3.4% in April. But others expressed concerns that the fall in producer prices may actually represent a negative consequence.

Persons: FactSet, Price, Jerome Powell, he’d, ” Clark Bellin, ”, Christopher Rupkey, ” Rupkey Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, PPI, Fed, FwdBonds Locations: New York

☆ Stock market today: US stocks climb as wholesale inflation data shows big cooldown in prices
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-13 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The producer price index slid 0.2% month over month against forecasts of a 0.1% decrease. Tesla stock jumped as Elon Musk said on X his pay package was headed for approval. AdvertisementUS stocks continued their rally to record highs on Thursday after investors took in another cooler-than-expected inflation print. In May, the producer price index slid 0.2% month over month against forecasts of a 0.1% decrease. Tesla stock jumped more than 6% as Elon Musk said on X that his $56 billion compensation package was headed for shareholder approval.

Persons: Stocks, Elon Musk, —, Clark, Bellwether, DealBook Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, PPI, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Vanguard, BlackRock, Here's

☆ Stock market today: Indexes gain as investors assess new inflation data and latest earnings
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Max Adams | Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks rose on Friday as markets assessed new inflation data in the form of March PCE. The Fed's preferred gauge showed inflation rose 2.8% year-over-year, slightly higher than estimates. AdvertisementUS stocks climbed on Friday, with investors digesting new inflation data and cheering earnings from mega-cap tech titans Microsoft and Alphabet. Personal consumption expenditures data showed prices rose more than expected last month. The Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation showed an uptick of 2.8% versus estimates of 2.7%.

Persons: —, Clark Bellin Organizations: PCE, Microsoft, Google, Service, Federal, Bellwether

☆ 'Nearing exhaustion': Top strategists warn that weaker consumer spending could cause US stocks to run out of steam — but 22 investments can thrive during a market reversal
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-16 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

Eight economists, investment chiefs, and strategists that Business Insider recently spoke to credited healthier-than-anticipated consumer balance sheets and spending for the continued expansion. "Either that, or they're going to be maxed out — they can't get any more money. They're not going to have any liquidity to be able to continue to do the things they're going to do." He's also sticking with defensive stocks as consumer spending softens, including those in the consumer staples sector like Clorox (CLX) and Procter & Gamble (PG). Real estate is a "hated asset class" that's negatively correlated with interest rates, Sekera said.

Persons: shouldn't, Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, they're, Sue Crotty, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clark Bellin, Bellin, David Rosenberg, They're, Rob Swanke, Swanke, Preston Caldwell, Morningstar's, Dave Sekera, Sekera, Christopher Barto, Gordon, Clissold, He's, Morningstar's Sekera, Crotty, Segal Marco Advisors, She's, Barto, that's Organizations: Business, Consumers, Segal Marco, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Commonwealth Financial Network, Nasdaq, Morningstar, Fort Pitt Capital Group, Procter, Gamble, Federal Reserve, Exxon, APA Corp, Duke Energy, Segal, Energy, Healthcare Locations: Devon, Real, NiSource

☆ 'There's very little margin for error': 7 strategists explain why the Goldilocks narrative is in trouble — but these 8 investments are still worth making now
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

Investors are pricing in a best-case outcome where earnings rise and inflation returns to normal in a continued economic expansion. “It’s a tough needle to thread,” said Steve Sosnick, the chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. “And that pretty much pulls forward almost all the returns, in our minds, for 2024.”AdvertisementCrit Thomas, a global market strategist at Touchstone Investments, has the same concern. “And so at 21x earnings, there’s very little margin for error here.”AdvertisementFourth-quarter earnings mostly met measured expectations , as did forward guidance. Clark Bellin, the chief investment officer at Bellwether Wealth, said he’s less worried about valuations broadly and is more interested in seeing which sectors look cheap.

Persons: —, ”, Solita Marcelli, “, Sameer Samana, Steve Sosnick, It’s, Steven Wieting, “ We’ve, Crit Thomas, “ I’m, ” Thomas, We’re, Chris Galipeau, ” Galipeau, ” Sosnick, we’ve, Liz Ann Sonders, Schwab, ” Sonders, there’s, Clark Bellin, he’s, ” Bellin, you’re, Stocks, Samana, won’t, Thomas, Wieting, Bellin, “ They’ve, they’re Organizations: Service, Business, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Interactive, Citi Global Wealth’s, Touchstone Investments, Franklin Templeton Institute, Citi Global Wealth, Bellwether Wealth Locations: Wells Fargo, Samana, ” Samana, Galipeau

Wholesale prices spiked in January, rising 0.3% and above expectations in yet another sign that maybe inflation is proving harder to put to rest than the markets and the Federal Reserve had hoped. Economists had expected a 0.1% monthly increase in both the overall producer price index – a measure of prices paid by businesses – and the core, which leaves out often volatile energy and food costs. Increases in shelter costs accounted for more than two-thirds of the increase in the main index, although food prices also increased while energy costs fell. Investors had bought into the notion of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in May, but that was called into question by the stronger-than-expected news on inflation. “When will the recession start?” asks Peter Berezin, chief global strategist at BCA Research in a report out Friday morning.

Persons: ”, Clark Bellin, John Ingram, Chris Giamo, Giamo, “, Peter Berezin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department, PPI, CPI, Dow Jones, Investors, ”, Crestwood Advisors, “, TD Bank, BCA Research Locations: U.S

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