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But China offers a unique diversification opportunity, said Bridgewater Associates' co-CIO. Bridgewater's China hedge fund added local stocks after Beijing's stimulus-driven rally. AdvertisementThis is largely due to lower correlations between different markets as countries turn inward, Prince told the media outlet. They are also lowering correlations across markets, Prince told SCMP. Bloomberg reported in October that Bridgewater's onshore China hedge fund was adding local stocks after a September stock rally following Beijing's aggressive stimulus.
Persons: Asia —, Bob Prince, Prince, SCMP, Ray Dalio, Donald Trump's Organizations: Bridgewater Associates, South China Morning, Reuters, Bloomberg Locations: China, Asia, North America, Europe, Bridgewater
AdvertisementHigh tariffs on China could prevent the US defense industry from getting needed supplies, a Beijing advisor said. "If those military enterprises do not have supply from China, they will not be able to continue with their production." The US defense sector will face big repercussions if Donald Trump launches tariffs against China, an advisor tied to Beijing's government said. AdvertisementTo be sure, it remains to be seen how Trump's tariff ideas actually pan out. So far, the defense sector appears distracted by other developments tied to Trump's presidency.
Persons: Donald Trump, Ding Yifan, Trump, Ding, Greg Hayes Organizations: Defense, State Council's Development Research Center, Financial Times, JPMorgan, Government, P Aerospace Locations: China, Beijing
Biden, Xi agree that humans, not AI, should control nuclear arms
  + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
"The two leaders affirmed the need to maintain human control over the decision to use nuclear weapons," the White House said in a statement. But it marks a first-of-its-kind step between the two countries in the discussion of two issues on which progress has been elusive: nuclear arms and artificial intelligence. Washington has been pushing Beijing for months to break a longstanding resistance to nuclear arms talks. Formal nuclear arms control negotiations have not been expected any time soon, despite U.S. concerns about China's rapid nuclear weapons build-up, even though semi-official exchanges have resumed. The U.S. defense department estimated last year that Beijing has 500 operational nuclear warheads and will probably field more than 1,000 by 2030.
Persons: Joe Biden, Xi Jinping, Biden Organizations: Economic Cooperation, White, U.S, United, Pentagon Locations: Asia, Lima , Peru, Washington, Beijing, China, United States, Geneva, U.S, Russia, North Korea
AdvertisementPresident-elect Donald Trump has long questioned the reality of the climate crisis, describing it as a "scam" and accusing policies to tackle the crisis of destroying US jobs. AdvertisementChina, as part of its "Belt and Road" initiative to grow its global influence, has provided developing countries with renewable energy technologies, including wind farms. AdvertisementThe US lags China as a clean tech economic power. There are also doubts over how much China is willing to take an international leadership role on climate issues. Assuming a leadership role would likely require China to send money to other countries, said Crowther.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Herbert Crowther, we're, Lily McElwee, Xi Jinping, Trump, Daniel Araya, Biden, Joe Biden's, Crowther, Xi Organizations: Service, Eurasia Group, Business, Biden, China Studies, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Trump, Getty, Brookings Institute, International Energy Agency, Reuters Locations: Paris, China, New York, Baku, Azerbaijan, Washington ,, Beijing, United States, Gansu Province, Washington , DC, Brazil
In the race against the US for global tech supremacy, China has the upper hand in at least one critical area: rare earths. AdvertisementFor more than a year, Beijing has slowly been tightening its grip on critical minerals and rare earths. Now, there are fears that China could tighten the global rare earths supply chain even more. China's rare earth dominanceChina has long dominated the rare earths market due to supply, low labor costs, and lax environmental standards. In 2022, the US Department of Defense awarded $45 million to MP Materials for rare earth oxide processing, and in 2023, it awarded over $288 million to Lynas USA to set up commercial-scale rare earth oxide production facilities.
Persons: Deng Xiaoping, , Rick Waters, Donald Trump's, Louise Loo, Zongyuan Zoe Liu, Chris Tang, Nick Vyas, USC Marshall's Randall R, Vyas, he's Organizations: European Union, World Trade Organization, US Department of Defense, Materials, US, White, Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Oxford Economics, Greater China, Council, Foreign Relations, Soviet, Bloomberg, AMD, USC, Kendrick, Supply Chain Institute, Bureau of Industry, Security Locations: China, US, Beijing, Japan, USA, Eurasia, Washington, Taiwan, Greater, Soviet Union, North Korea, North Vietnam
AdvertisementTrump has tapped Pete Hegseth, an Army veteran and Fox News host, to be secretary of defense. US President-elect Donald Trump has tapped Pete Hegseth, a Fox & Friends host and US Army National Guard veteran, to be secretary of defense. Hegseth was considered for Veterans Affairs secretary during Trump's first term and faced pushback from veterans group leaders. All US military combat roles opened to women in 2015. AdvertisementThroughout the war, Hegseth has shifted stances, calling Putin a "war criminal" and criticizing Biden for not getting Ukraine military aid quickly enough.
Persons: Pete Hegseth, Hegseth, Donald Trump, Joe, Trump, Trump's, Brace, Paul Rieckhoff, Adam Smith, Adam Kinzinger, Joe Biden's, Shawn Ryan, he'll, Abreanna Goodrich, we've, Shawn Ryan Show, Genya SAVILOV, AFP Hegseth, He's, Vladimir Putin's, Putin, Biden, Israel Trump's, Doug Mills, Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel wasn't, he's, Xiang Organizations: Trump, Army, Fox News, Defense Department, NATO, Fox & Friends, US Army National Guard, Israel, Wall Street, Veterans Affairs, SecDef, Independent Veterans of, Fox, Department of Defense, House Armed Services, Air National Guard, Republican, US National Guard, Pentagon, US Army, Spc, AFP, Kyiv, Warriors, Israeli, Getty, US Locations: Ukraine, America, Independent Veterans of America, Iraq, Afghanistan, Jerusalem, Russia, Soviet Union, Israel, Gaza, Iran, Washington, China, Xinhua, Asia, Pacific, Taiwan
AdvertisementIn his first term, Donald Trump ramped up military actions to counter China in the South China Sea. South China Sea observers expect continuity with the Biden administration, which tried to ramp up diplomatic efforts and strengthen US alliances and security partnerships. Chinese Coast Guard holding knives and machetes as they approach Philippine troops in the disputed South China Sea on June 17, 2024. AdvertisementThough Trump hasn't outlined a specific South China Sea plan, he could pursue his broader foreign policy mantra of "peace through strength." "Unrestrained US militarization is precisely what drives Beijing's insecurity and will continue to exacerbate tensions in the South China Sea," Marston said.
Persons: Donald Trump ramped, Donald Trump, Trump, Hunter Marston, Trump hasn't, Biden, Gregory Poling, Joe Biden, Marston, Sari Arho Havrén, Chip Somodevilla, Zeno Leoni, Leoni Organizations: Australian National University, China, Southeast Asia, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Trump, Coast Guard, Armed Forces, AP, CBS, Royal United Services, Ukraine, King's College London's Defense Studies Department, Rand Corporation, Biden's National Security Locations: China, South China, Philippines, Asia, Pacific, Philippine, Europe, South Korea, Palm Beach, South, East Asia
Rubio is a China hawk, has been sanctioned twice by Beijing, and may even be barred from the country. US President-elect Donald Trump has officially announced Sen. Marco Rubio as his secretary of state pick after days of speculation. AdvertisementRubio and Trump, once rivals, appear aligned on issues related to China and Taiwan. AdvertisementRubio's nomination raises questions about US relations with China, Taiwan, and the broader Indo-Pacific region. They have an army of unpaid lobbyists here in Washington," Rubio said during a 2023 Senate speech.
Persons: Trump, Sen, Marco Rubio, Rubio, Donald Trump, he's, President Trump, Washington didn't, John Raoux, He's, Rubio's, haven't, Joe Raedle, " Rubio Organizations: Beijing, The New York Times, Trump, AP, Heritage Foundation, Chinese Communist Party, The Washington Post Locations: China, Taiwan, Florida, America, Washington, Beijing, Hong Kong, Russia, Iran, North Korea, The, The Florida, Taipei
Chinese tech company Tencent is a gaming giant and the parent company of WeChat, the ubiquitous social messaging app in China. Cheng Xin | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesChinese social media and gaming company Tencent on Wednesday reported better-than-expected profit in the third quarter ended Sept. 30, spurred by growth in games, advertising and cloud services. Tencent reported profit attributable to shareholders surged by 47% year-on-year to 53.23 billion yuan ($7.37 billion) in the third quarter, compared with an LSEG estimate of 46.18 billion yuan for the period. The company's revenue rose by an annual 8% to 167.19 billion yuan, short of the 167.82 billion yuan analyst forecast. Marketing services revenue, previously called online advertising, surged by an annual 17% to 29.99 billion yuan, making it one of the fastest-growing categories outside gaming.
Persons: Cheng Xin, Tencent Organizations: Getty, Management, Gaming, Global Locations: WeChat, China, Weixin
Elon Musk embraces Donald Trump during a campaign rally in Butler, Pennsylvania on Oct. 5, 2024. Kissinger was deeply respected in China and continued to meet with its leaders as an unofficial diplomat in efforts to promote warmer relations between the two countries. Just months before Kissinger died in November 2023, he met with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing in July 2023. They may not reach the same impact as Kissinger, given the more complex period, he said, though they could help stabilize relations. Cook and Schwarzman also regularly visit leaders in China, where they are often highlighted by Beijing as examples of positive China-U.S. business and trade relations.
Persons: Elon Musk, Donald Trump, Anna Moneymaker, Elon, Kissinger, Scott Kennedy, Henry Kissinger, Xi Jinping, Tesla, Li Qiang, Wang Yiwei, Wang, Musk's, Musk, Joe Biden, Biden, Trump, Wang Huiyao, Tim Cook, Blackstone, Stephen Schwarzman, Cook, Schwarzman, Dewardric Organizations: Getty, White, Economics, Center for Strategic, International Studies, U.S, SpaceX, Renmin University, CNBC, Trump, Center for, Longview Global Locations: Butler , Pennsylvania, Beijing, China, Washington, imploding, U.S, Center for China, Dewardric McNeal
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMore China stimulus expected, but growth will miss target this year: MorningstarLorraine Tan of Morningstar says China growth will come in between 4% to 5% this year, missing Beijing's target, although she expects more support measures being rolled out in the next few months.
Persons: Morningstar Lorraine Tan, Morningstar Locations: China
China showed off its new stealth aircraft, including the fifth-gen J-35A. AdvertisementChina just debuted its newest fifth-generation stealth aircraft, which appears to be its answer to the American F-35. Related storiesFor stealth fighters, the US has the F-22 Raptor and F-35, and the latter is used by allies around the world. Among stealth aircraft, there are also stealth bombers like the American B-2 Spirit and B-21 Raider and a number of stealth drones. Stealth aircraft have features to reduce or obscure their signature on radars, making them difficult to detect.
Persons: , Lockheed Martin, Wang Yongqing, Wang, Maj, Gina Sabric, Roger Wicker, Eric Schmitt Organizations: Service, China International Aviation, Aerospace, People's Liberation Army News Communication, Shenyang Aircraft Design, Aviation Industry Corporation of China's Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, Pentagon, Air Force, Air and Space Forces Association's Air, Cyber Conference, 10th Air Force, Getty, US, US Air Force, Stealth, Taiwan Locations: China, Zhuhai, Russia, Pacific, Taiwan
Oil slips as U.S. storm threat eases, China stimulus disappoints
  + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices extended declines on Monday as the threat of a supply disruption from a U.S. storm eased and after China's stimulus plan disappointed investors seeking fuel demand growth in the world's No. Oil consumption in China, the world's driver of global demand growth for years, has barely grown in 2024 as its economic growth has slowed, gasoline use has declined with the rapid growth of electric vehicles and liquefied natural gas has replaced diesel as a truck fuel. Oil prices have also eased after concerns about supply disruption from storm Rafael in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico subsided. More than a quarter of U.S. Gulf of Mexico oil and 16% of natural gas output remained offline on Sunday, according to the offshore energy regulator. Looking ahead, uncertainty from policies under U.S. President-elect Donald Trump have clouded the global economic outlook although expectations that he could tighten sanctions on OPEC producers Iran and Venezuela and cut oil supply to global markets partly caused oil prices to gain more than 1% last week.
Persons: Tony Sycamore, Rafael, Donald Trump, refiners Organizations: Brent, West Texas, National People's Congress, ANZ, Central Economic Work Conference, U.S Locations: U.S, China, U.S . Gulf, Mexico, Iran, Venezuela
Dollar braces for U.S. inflation data and several Fed speakers
  + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar started in a cautious mood on Monday as markets braced for U.S. inflation data and a throng of Federal Reserve speakers this week, while the yuan nursed a hangover from Beijing's latest underwhelming stimulus package. The dollar started in a cautious mood on Monday as markets braced for U.S. inflation data and a throng of Federal Reserve speakers this week, while the yuan nursed a hangover from Beijing's latest underwhelming stimulus package. Reports on retail sales and industrial output due Friday should show whether Beijing's various attempts at stimulus are having any real effect on demand. The dollar stood at 7.1970 yuan , having jumped 0.7% on Friday, and looks set to again test the 7.2000 barrier. The dollar index was a fraction firmer at 105.00, after gaining 0.6% last week mainly against the euro.
Persons: Olaf Scholz, Donald Trump's, Michael Feroli, Jerome Powell, cryptocurrencies Organizations: Federal Reserve, New, U.S, Fed Locations: China, New Zealand
The US has sent Ukraine and Israel billions of dollars worth of ammunition in recent years. The wars in Ukraine and the Middle East show the US how much ammo it will need for its next big war. Beyond the ammunition, the US has also sent Ukraine a significant amount of armored vehicles, air-defense systems, drones, anti-tank weapons, small arms, and more. Given Beijing's formidable arsenal of anti-ship missiles, Navy vessels would need to be well-armed with interceptors to take down these threats and defend American assets in the Pacific. The US has transferred Patriot batteries and their associated interceptor missiles to Ukraine, where they have gotten a workout against Russian missiles.
Persons: , Bradley Martin, Biden, Dwight D, Eisenhower, Mark Cancian, Martin, Alexandra Shea, Lockheed Martin Organizations: US, Service, Factory, AP, Pentagon, Brown University, US Navy, Navy, US Marine Corps, Center for Strategic, International, RAND, US Army, Pacific . Officials, Russian, Ship Locations: Ukraine, Israel, Red, Navy, Russia, Ukrainian, Iran, Yemen, Gulf of Aden, Iranian, China
China has announced a local government debt rescue program days after Trump won the US election. Trump has threatened tariffs of 60% on Chinese goods, complicating China's economic gloom. AdvertisementChina announced a debt rescue program to the tune of $1.4 trillion to save heavily indebted local governments and boost its economy. The plan also allows local governments to tap 4 trillion yuan in special local bonds over five years. China's local governments have been struggling to repay their LGFV debt, which the International Monetary Fund estimated to be around 60 trillion as of last year.
Persons: Trump, , Li Kiang, Donald Trump's, Vishnu Varathan, Mizuho Bank's Organizations: Trump, Service, China, China's, National People's Congress, International Monetary Fund, Reuters Locations: China, Xinhua, Beijing, Washington, Asia, Japan
A man on a mobile phone walks past a Bank of China Ltd. branch in Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China, on Thursday, March 27, 2014. China's largest state-owned banks are likely to see their record low profit margins decline even further as Beijing's broader stimulus package comes into play, analysts say. Still, that was 18 basis points lower from the beginning of this year. At the end of June, overall commercial bank margins dropped to 1.54%, a record low, according to official data from the national financial regulatory administration. They see NIM for state-owned banks contracting by 15-25 basis points in 2024, and "mid- to- high single-digit basis points" next year.
Persons: Agricultural Bank of China —, NIM, Karen Wu Organizations: Bank of China Ltd, — Industrial, Commercial Bank of China, China Construction Bank, Bank of China, Agricultural Bank of, Bank of, CNBC, Morningstar Locations: Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China, China's, Agricultural Bank of China, Bank of China, Beijing
Former U.S. President Donald Trump's victory over Vice President Kamala Harris in this week's election has raised questions about how Asia will be impacted. "When passed, the [tariffs] will sweep across Asia, particularly China [and] should spike volatility and compress multiples as uncertainty prevails." Even so, the analysts say the region is "more prepared than in 2016" and investment opportunities remain, especially given the weaker yen and stimulus in China. This will bring about "structural shifts in global supply chain ... [and] could boost infrastructure spending in ASEAN and South Asia," he added. The currency has fallen versus the dollar following Trump's win, hitting 154.7 per dollar on Wednesday — its weakest level since July 30.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, India's, Hong, Tai Hui, Hui, Stocks, — CNBC's Lim Hui Jie Organizations: U.S, Trump, Macquarie Research, Nikkei, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Morgan Asset Management, Congress, Mitsubishi Electric, Mitsubishi, Japanese pharma, Chugai Pharmaceutical, SK Hynix Locations: Asia, China, ASEAN, South Asia, U.S, Macquarie, Japan
From Friday, citizens of nine more countries can enter China without needing a visa to visit. South Korea is a major tourism source market for China. In 2019, some 4.3 million South Koreans visited China, according to The Korea Times. Korea's Ministry of Foreign Affairs reported less than 1.3 million visited in 2023. Share prices of prominent Chinese and Korean travel companies rose following Beijing's announcement of the expanded visa-free program on Friday.
Persons: Trip.com Organizations: Europe —, Liechtenstein —, The Korea Times, Korea's Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Jin Locations: China, Europe, Europe — Slovakia, Norway, Finland, Denmark, Iceland, Andorra, Monaco, South Korea
Trump's first 100 days are likely to be a rollercoaster, especially given his affinity for headline-grabbing moves. These structured channels helped ensure open dialogue on issues like tariffs, technology restrictions, and financial stability. A potential role for Elon Musk as a geopolitical go-between China might look to alternative channels to manage relations with Trump's administration. National security and AI, autonomous vehicles National security considerations will also be front and center in Trump's early China policy, especially regarding technology restrictions. Expect tariffs, technology restrictions, and Trump's unique brand of diplomacy to push the relationship to its limits.
Persons: Donald Trump, Xi Jinping, Kevin Lemarque, Donald Trump's, Trump, Mao Ning, Trump's, Biden, Elon Musk, Tesla, he's, Robin Ren, Ying Yong, Wu Qing, hasn't, Steve Wynn, Musk, Organizations: Reuters, White, U.S ., Foreign, Treasury, Commerce, Tesla Inc, Bloomberg, Getty, European Union, Trump Locations: Osaka, Japan, U.S, China, Beijing, Shanghai, Washington, Taiwan, European, South Korea, Trump's
On the campaign trial, Trump threatened to impose additional tariffs of 60% or more on Chinese goods sold to the U.S. She expects a stimulus package of more than 10 trillion yuan ($1.39 billion), with about 6 trillion yuan going towards local government debt swaps and bank recapitalization. More than 4 trillion yuan will likely go towards local government special bonds for supporting real estate, Su said. That divergence in stock performance indicates China's stimulus "will be slightly bigger than the baseline scenario," said Liqian Ren, who leads WisdomTree's quantitative investment capabilities. She estimates Beijing will add about 2 trillion yuan to 3 trillion yuan a year in support.
Persons: Zhu Baoliang, Trump, Su, Yue Su, , Liqian Ren, Ren doesn't, Biden, Chris Miller, That's, China's, Zhiwei Zhang Organizations: Bund, Trump, Citigroup, U.S, Economist Intelligence Unit, National People's Congress, Huawei, Republicans, Senate, NBC, Republican Party, Emergency Economic, Trade Locations: Shanghai, China, Hong Kong, Beijing, U.S
China's luxury slump is spreading to more consumer brands. Companies like Starbucks, Estée Lauder, and Nike have reported falling sales in the region. It's hitting Western brands particularly hard, as reflected by companies across the consumer sector reporting muted sales in China in the most recent quarter. Consumer spending in China never fully recovered after the government started lifting COVID-19 curbs in late 2022. AdvertisementAdidas managed to buck the trend, reporting sales up 9% in Greater China in the third quarter.
Persons: Estée Lauder, , China's, MingYii Lai, Brian Niccol, L'Oréal, Lynn Song Organizations: Companies, Starbucks, Nike, Service, Burberry, Daxue Consulting, InBev, Carlsberg, Apple, Adidas, Heineken, Greater China, ING Locations: China, Beijing, Greater China, Greater
China's e-commerce giants stopped reporting Singles Day GMV in 2022 during the pandemic. Singles Day GMV this year as of Oct. 30 was 845 billion yuan ($119.1 billion), according to research firm Syntun. Subsidies boost appliancesHelping boost sales this Singles Day are China's subsidies for trade-ins of home appliances, launched in late July. They predict 4% to 5% growth in Singles Day GMV, with sales in the home appliance category supported by the trade-in program. "Something that kind of came out of nowhere, into all of a sudden really, really big numbers."
Persons: Alibaba, Jacob Cooke, JD's, ByteDance's Douyin, Cooke, Louis Vuitton, we've, UOB Kay Hian, JD.com, Dave Xie, Oliver Wyman, Xie, There's, Liang, Chiikawa, Taobao, Tmall Organizations: Visual China, Getty, Alibaba, Technologies, CNBC, Louis Locations: Lianyungang, Jiangsu Province, China, BEIJING, Asia, Alibaba, British
European leaders have struggled to formulate a unified Sino-European strategy, with some states echoing U.S. calls for a complete disassociation — or decoupling — while others have preferred a softer, derisking approach. China has urged France to take on "an active role" to push the European Commission towards a solution acceptable to both the European and Chinese electric vehicle industries, Beijing's commerce ministry said on Monday, citing its minister. Wang Wentao, in a meeting with French junior trade minister Sophie Primas in Shanghai on Sunday, reiterated the European Union's investigation into China's EVs is a major concern and has "seriously hindered" China-EU auto industry cooperation. The EU launched an anti-subsidy investigation into imports of Chinese-made battery EVs last year and in October voted for tariffs on those vehicles. China in the past year has launched its own investigations into European pork and dairy, and imposed temporary anti-dumping measures on imports of brandy from the EU early this month.
Persons: Wang Wentao, Sophie Primas Organizations: European Commission, French, Sunday, EU Locations: China, France, Shanghai, EU
AdvertisementChina's warplanes are pressuring Taiwan and have all but eliminated an important dividing line, with near-daily incursions creating a dangerous new normal. Since 2020, Taiwan has released regular, almost daily updates on incursions in its air defense identification zone by Chinese military aircraft. In 2021, the Chinese military flew 972 aircraft into Taiwan's ADIZ, and that number nearly doubled in 2022. "We've become desensitized to high numbers of the military aircraft flying across the median line of the Taiwan Strait," Shattuck told Business Insider. AdvertisementChinese incursions are tiring out Taiwan's forcesThe near-daily ADIZ incursions aren't just changing the status quo in the area; they're also exhausting Taiwan's military.
Persons: , Thomas J, Shattuck, Benjamin Lewis, They're, Nancy Pelosi, We've, hasn't, Lai Ching, of National Defense Yen Teh, Lewis, Lai, Taiwan's, Amanda Hsiao, GAO Organizations: Service, Foreign, Research, deconfliction, Taiwan, Getty, CAP, People's Liberation Air Force, Taiwan's Military News Agency, Anadolu, Getty Images, People's Liberation Army, of National Defense, Democratic Progressive Party Locations: Taiwan, China, AFP, Taiwan Strait, Taiwan's, Getty Images China, Taipei, Washington, Beijing, Taiwan's ADIZ, United States
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