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More than halfway through the third quarter, many of the biggest commodity ETFs in the United States are in sizable holes. Kathy Kriskey, senior commodities ETF strategist at Invesco, said that oil supply is actually tight at the moment. The commodities slump could be partially due to mechanical factors in the market, such as low trading volumes combined with large commodity trading advisors betting against the sector, Kriskey said. "The price of corn has taken almost three full years from those 2022 spike highs to get back down. And oil, one of the biggest weights in commodity indexes, could see stepped up supply in coming months.
Persons: It's, Ryan Grabinski, Strategas, Kathy Kriskey, Kriskey, Sal Gilbertie, We're, Gilbertie, What's, Jerome Powell, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Matijn, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Strategy, United States Oil Fund, U.S ., Commodities, 4Q, DB Base Metals Fund Locations: United States, Ukraine, U.S, China
Commodity prices have tumbled over the past month, signaling underlying weakness in the global economy despite the U.S. stock market bouncing back from recession fears. But commodity markets may be telling a different story about the global economy. The Invesco DB Base Metals Fund is down more than 7% over the past month, while crude oil futures dropped 14% from July 5 through Aug. 5. @HG.1 YTD mountain Copper futures, YTD Weakness in China, the world's second-largest economy, is weighing on copper and oil in particular, Melek said. OPEC on Monday lowered its global oil demand growth forecast this year by 135,000 barrels per day as expectations in China have softened.
Persons: Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Bart Melek, DBB @HG, We've, Melek, I'm Organizations: U.S, Investors, Invesco DB Base Metals, Wolfe Research, TD Securities, DBB, Metals, Copper, CNBC, Global, Beijing, European Union, World Trade Organization, Federal Reserve, Securities Locations: U.S, China, Beijing, Jackson Hole , Wyoming
Gold at near 2-week high as soft U.S. data lifts Fed rate-cut bets
  + stars: | 2024-07-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices were flat on Wednesday as investors awaited minutes of the Federal Reserve's last policy meeting for fresh cues on when the U.S. central bank will start cutting interest rates. Gold prices rose more than 1% to a near two-week high on Wednesday, driven by increased bets for a September interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve after recent U.S. data suggested that the labor market was softening. "Bulls are trying to get ahead of what many believe will finally be a weak payrolls report on Friday," he added. [USD/The market now sees a 68% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates in September as well as another cut in December. Elsewhere, spot silver rose 3.4% to $30.52 per ounce, platinum gained 1.8% to $1,008.50 and palladium climbed 2.7% to $1,049.
Persons: Tai Wong Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bulls Locations: U.S, New York
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's what's driving the price of copper and other metals higherEdward Meir, Marex senior base metals analyst, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the recent moves in copper, if the market seems vulnerable at current levels, and more.
Persons: Edward Meir, Marex
Gold prices were flat on Wednesday, after falling the most in a month in the previous session, as sticky U.S. inflation raised concerns an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve may be delayed beyond June. Gold's latest price drop comes as everything falls back to the inflation data, that feeds through into U.S. Fed's decision making, Michael Langford, chief investment officer at Scorpion Minerals Ltd said. Langford expects a healthy correction of up to about 10% in gold prices from here. Bullion fell 1.1% on Tuesday, after data showed U.S. consumer prices increased solidly in February, above forecasts and suggesting some stickiness in inflation. This was gold's worst single-day decline since Feb. 13, when data showed consumer prices also increased more than expected in January.
Persons: Michael Langford, Langford Organizations: Co, Federal, Scorpion Minerals Ltd, Traders, Treasury Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, U.S, Ukraine
A bullish long-term turnaround has developed in the iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA) , which broke out from a long-term triangle pattern late last year in a positive technical catalyst. —Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein.
Persons: EWA, Katie Stockton Organizations: BHP Group Ltd, BHP, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: Australia, EWA
Investors will need to be tactical to harvest returns from commodities next year but there is an area where J.P. Morgan is making a broadly bullish call — precious metals. The firm expects a breakout rally the middle of 2024 with gold prices hitting a targeted peak of $2,300 an ounce, according to the investment bank's commodities outlook. Silver, meanwhile, will push above $30 per ounce on the rate cutting cycle, according to J.P. Morgan. The global economy is expected to slow, but will avoid a recession from 2024 to 2025, making it difficult to provide an overarching bullish or bearish call on commodities, according to the bank. There is value in oil and gas but how investors time their entry and exits will be critical, according to J.P. Morgan.
Persons: Morgan, Gold, Brent, J.P Organizations: Federal, Bloomberg, Precious Metals, Commodities, Morgan, New York Mercantile Exchange, Livestock Locations: Agriculture, China
REUTERS/Ritsuko Shimizu/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsJAKARTA, Nov 18 (Reuters) - Vale Base Metals said its Vale Canada unit and Japan's Sumitomo Metal Mining signed an initial agreement on Friday to sell a 14% stake in their Indonesian nickel mining unit to Indonesia's state miner. Share divestment is a condition required by Indonesia to extend Vale Indonesia's mining permit, which will otherwise end in 2025. Upon completion, MIND ID will become the largest shareholder of Vale Indonesia with its stake rising to 34% from 20%. Vale Canada will hold 33.9%, down from 43.79%, and Sumitomo 11.5%, down from 15.03%, according to the statement. "The divestment will make MIND ID as the biggest shareholder of Vale (Indonesia), so MIND ID and Vale Canada can exercise a joint control over Vale (Indonesia)," he said in a statement on Friday.
Persons: Ritsuko Shimizu, Wirjoatmodjo, Deshnee Naidoo, Joko Widodo, Widodo, Fransiska Nangoy, Stefanno Sulaiman, Kirsten Donovan, William Mallard Organizations: Sumitomo Metal Mining, REUTERS, Rights, Base Metals, Vale Canada, Vale, Sumitomo, Mineral Industri, Vale Base Metals, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Rights JAKARTA, Vale Canada, Mineral Industri Indonesia, Indonesia, Vale Indonesia, Indonesian, Vale
REUTERS/Ritsuko Shimizu/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsJAKARTA, Nov 17 (Reuters) - Mining company Vale Base Metals said its unit Vale Canada Ltd and Japan's Sumitomo Metal Mining Co. Ltd signed an initial agreement on Friday to sell a 14% stake in their Indonesian nickel mining unit to Indonesia's state miner. Share divestment is a condition required by Indonesia to extend Vale Indonesia's mining permit, which is currently due to end in 2025. Upon completion, MIND ID will become the largest shareholder of Vale Indonesia with 34% of shares, up from 20%. Around 20% of Vale Indonesia's shares are publicly traded. Vale Base Metals is committing around $10 billion of investment in Indonesia over the next decade.
Persons: Ritsuko Shimizu, Deshnee Naidoo, Fransiska Nangoy, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: Sumitomo Metal Mining, REUTERS, Rights, Base Metals, Vale Canada, Japan's Sumitomo Metal Mining Co . Ltd, Vale, Sumitomo, Mineral Industri, Vale Base Metals, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Rights JAKARTA, Vale Canada, Mineral Industri Indonesia, Indonesia, Vale Indonesia, Indonesian
REUTERS/Sergio Perez Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Nov 7 (Reuters) - European Union (EU) energy ministers last month struck a deal to reform the bloc's power market. German power market forwards for 2024 and 2025LIGHT-TOUCH REFORMEuropean power prices have fallen a long way from their 2022 peaks, when the region was still reeling from the reduction in Russian gas supplies. EU member states were deeply split on proposals for more fundamental reform of Europe's power market to allow for a complete break of the gas-power price linkage. The hard-won compromise keeps the existing market mechanism, which its supporters claim is more efficient than other models in a liberalised electricity market. The bloc's power prices have historically been twice those of the U.S., but are now three or four times higher.
Persons: Sergio Perez, Teresa Ribera, Bernard Respaut, Mats Gustavsson, Boliden, Gustavsson, Respaut, Jan Harvey Organizations: REUTERS, Union, Spain's Energy, Producers, European Copper Institute, EU, Alcoa, PPA, European Commission, Metals, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Alcobendas, Madrid, Spain, Ukraine, San, EU, U.S, Ireland, Europe
The Dow Chemical logo is displayed on a board above the floor of the New York Stock Exchange shortly after the opening bell in New York, U.S. on December 22, 2015. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 24 (Reuters) - Dow Inc (DOW.N) forecast average net sales for the current quarter below analyst estimates on Tuesday, as the chemical maker continues to navigate weak demand and low prices for its products in key markets. Dow reported a sequential decline of 7% in prices of their products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa and India, primarily due to lower feedstock and energy rates. However, the company added it expects to see benefits from rising oil prices in the next few quarters. Prices of Dow products such as polyethylene, poly vinyl chloride and other base metals increase on the back of rising crude oil.
Persons: Lucas Jackson, Dow, Howard Ungerleider, Jeffrey Tate, Sriraj Kalluvila, Vinay Dwivedi, Krishna Chandra Organizations: Dow, New York Stock, REUTERS, Dow Inc, Saikeerthi, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, China, Europe, East, Africa, India, Bengaluru
Zinc's relative under-performance is down to a build-up of excess metal as the global market shifts from supply shortfall to widening surplus. It now thinks zinc supply will exceed usage by a hefty 248,000 tonnes with the surplus growing to 367,000 in 2024. Zinc market balance forecasts by the ILZSGSHIFT TO SURPLUSThe zinc market's shift to surplus after two years of supply deficit is down to weaker-than-expected demand and higher-than-expected production. European demand is expected to contract by 1.8% this year due to slowing activity in the construction sector, which accounts for around half of zinc demand in the form of galvanised steel. LME zinc price, stocks and cash-3s spreadNOW YOU SEE IT...
Persons: LME, Barbara Lewis Organizations: Reuters, REUTERS, OZ Minerals, London Metal Exchange, Citi, Thomson Locations: Lawn Hill, Queensland, Europe, China, New Orleans, United States, Singapore, Malaysia's Port Klang
The future may be bright and electric but copper and the rest of the LME metals are currently caught in an old-fashioned industrial downturn. Such "green" investment appears to be acting as a major offset to the downturn in the traditional metals demand driver that is the commercial property market. MIXED SIGNALSThe energy transition and the resulting booster to metals demand was the core talking-point at this year's collective LME Week discussions. Yet the LME metals have not yet escaped the gravitational pull of the traditional industry cycle. But most visitors to LME Week will have returned home braced for more short-term price weakness.
Persons: Ruben Sprich, Max Layton, Tin, Jeremy Pearce, Jorge Vazquez, Jim Lennon, Sharon Singleton Organizations: REUTERS, Metal Exchange, Citi, International Tin Association, HIT, Study, GREEN, Groups, European Union, Producers, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Thoerishaus, Bern, London, Macquarie, China, Europe, North America, Indonesia, GREEN CHINA, China . China, United States
Mexico is a top 10 gold miner, and Penasquito has ranked among its most productive precious metals projects. Both parties agreed to an 8% salary increase for workers, the statements said, a figure below the 10%-20% hike proposed by the union initially. The miner also agreed to pay two months salary to workers if it fails to report profits in the year, the union said. The statements noted that workers will also receive a 152 million peso ($8.3 million) bonus, divided equally among them. In addition to precious metals, Penasquito also produces significant volumes of base metals zinc and lead.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Penasquito, Newmont, Sen, Napoleon Gomez, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, Daina Beth Solomon, Valentine Hilaire, David Alire Garcia, Stephen Coates Organizations: REUTERS, MEXICO CITY, National Union of Mine, Metal Workers, Thomson Locations: MEXICO, Mexico, Mexican Republic, Zacatecas
REUTERS/Yusuf Ahmad/File Photo - RC2DGT9XQ73M Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Oct 5 (Reuters) - Global nickel production will outpace demand to the tune of 239,000 metric tons next year, according to the International Nickel Study Group (INSG). The cumulative forecast surplus of 566,000 metric tons over the three years is huge relative to the size of the nickel market. Global consumption this year is expected to come in at 3.2 million metric tons. The mining rush fed an 85% jump in production of intermediate products such as nickel pig iron (NPI) and nickel matte and a 20% rise in primary nickel products such as sulphate. But rising global production is also increasingly about China, which lifted its primary nickel production by 18% year-on-year in January-July.
Persons: Yusuf Ahmad, it's, Sharon Singleton Organizations: REUTERS, Study, Global, London Metal Exchange, Shanghai Futures Exchange, Investor, EV, Macquarie Bank, Traders, London, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Lisbon, London, Indonesia, China, Shanghai
Last trading at $7,990 per metric ton, London copper is now within sight of the year-to-date lows of $7,867-7,871 recorded in late May. Investment fund positioning on CME copper contractBEARS FLEX MUSCLES ON CMEFund positioning on the CME copper contract has oscillated between long and short for several months as the price chopped around in a sideways range. Outright long copper positions have been slashed from 63,665 contracts at the start of September to 35,050 as of the Sept. 26 close. Net positioning has shifted to a collective short of 3,051 contracts, just shy of the 3,228-contract peak 2023 short in June. It's worth noting that the "other financial" reporting category, which includes index funds, is still in modest net long territory.
Persons: Kim Hong, Alexandra Hudson Organizations: REUTERS, Fund, London Metal Exchange, Investors, Investment, CME, Bulls, Reuters, Alexandra Hudson Our, Thomson Locations: Gunsan, South Korea, London, U.S, United States, Tuesday's
Asia’s breakup party is happening under duress
  + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( Pranav Kiran | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
As with other big breakups in the region however, there are unspoken reasons for him to join the party. Vedanta Resources is in talks with bondholders to extend the maturity by roughly three years on about $3.2 billion of debt due in 2024 and 2025. But even then, Vedanta Resources may still have a funding gap until 2027 under certain conditions, according to JPMorgan. Even if those were sold for as much as $1.5 billion, JPMorgan estimates Vedanta Resources will at most receive only $350 million in net proceeds. For every one share in Vedanta, shareholders will receive one additional share of each of the five new companies.
Persons: Anil Agarwal, Ajay Agarwal, Vedanta, Mukesh Ambani, Una Galani, Katrina Hamlin Organizations: Reuters, Vedanta, Vedanta Resources, London Stock Exchange, JPMorgan, Hindustan, HK, Reliance Industries, Thomson Locations: BENGALURU, Mumbai, Hindustan, People’s Republic, Asia, Vedanta
ET (14:27 GMT), the Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index (.GSPTSE) was down 171.91 points, or 0.9%, at 19,005.27. Yields on 10-year and 30-year <US30YT=RR > U.S. government bonds hit their highest since 2007, while the dollar climbed to a more than 10-month peak. The only sector with minor gains was the communications sector (.GSPTTTS), which rose 0.2% in early market hours. In corporate news, Lundin Mining (LUN.TO) shares dropped 4.7% as the company announced insider Jack Lundin would be the new chief executive officer. Reporting by Khushi Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Shweta AgarwalOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Lundin, Allan Small, Jack Lundin, Khushi Singh, Shweta Agarwal Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Toronto Stock, Allan Small Financial, Federal, Labor, Reuters, Lundin Mining, Thomson Locations: U.S, Bengaluru
REUTERS/Benoit Tessier/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSept 29 (Reuters) - Huawei Technologies (HWT.UL) is building a commodities team to hedge and trade metals and energy products, according to the Chinese technology company's job posts on professional social network LinkedIn. Huawei was also hiring a metals hedging specialist and a metals research specialist in the city-state four months ago, according to separate LinkedIn posts. Huawei did not respond to Reuters' request for comment on the commodities team hirings it has made or its hiring plans. The positions will work closely with Huawei's teams in China and Hong Kong to grow its metals hedging and researching capabilities as well as risk control, focusing on ferrous, nonferrous and battery metals, the posts said. The team is drafting the hedging proposals and trading plans, said the source.
Persons: Benoit Tessier, Mai Nguyen, Amy Lv, Andrew Hayley, Muralikumar Organizations: Huawei Technologies, Viva Technology, Porte de, REUTERS, LinkedIn, Huawei, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Porte, Paris, France, Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Hanoi, Beijing
The Art Deco facade of the original Toronto Stock Exchange building is seen on Bay Street in Toronto, Ontario, Canada January 23, 2019. The Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index (.GSPTSE) ended down 244.46 points, or 1.2%, at 19,556.15, its lowest closing level since June 23. "Gold is back in the danger zone as Treasury yields rise alongside a stronger (U.S.) dollar," Edward Moya, a senior market analyst at OANDA, said in a note. Energy was a bright spot, rising 0.8%, as the price of oil settled 0.8% higher at $90.39 a barrel. Shares of Westshore Terminals Investment Corp (WTE.TO) ended 10% lower as RBC cut its price target on the stock.
Persons: Chris Helgren, Peter Anderson, Edward Moya, Industrials, Fergal Smith, Khushi Singh, Tasim Zahid, Marguerita Choy Organizations: Toronto Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Energy, Toronto Stock, Andersen Capital Management, Investment Corp, RBC, Thomson Locations: Toronto , Ontario, Canada, Toronto, Bengaluru
The metals and mining sector is typically used as a proxy for equity investors in Europe to gain exposure to China, given it is the world's largest commodities consumer, and it has sunk along with China's growth expectations. But Beijing in recent weeks has taken targeted steps towards supporting key pockets of its economy, lifting the mining sector off its 31-month lows. In the last month, the mining index has risen nearly 10% compared with a gain of just 2.5% for the wider STOXX 600. Sweeney says this wide range of measures could be a catalyst for an upturn in the metals and mining sector. "Obviously, the 800-pound gorilla from a primary metal demand perspective is China," Peter Mallin-Jones, mining analyst at UK investment bank Peel Hunt, said.
Persons: Ints, Nathan Sweeney, multiasset, Sweeney, LSEG, Peter Mallin, Peel Hunt, Jones, Daniel Major, Marlborough Investment Management's Sweeney, Samuel Indyk, Amanda Cooper, Elaine Hardcastle Organizations: REUTERS, Equity, Marlborough Investment Management, Miners, London Metal, Morningstar, UBS, Rio Tinto, BHP Group, Major, Marlborough Investment, Thomson Locations: Garpenberg, Sweden, China, LONDON, Europe, Beijing, Singapore, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Nigeria, United States, Rio, Antofagasta, Rio Tinto, Marlborough
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailVale Base Metals CEO on Saudi partnership and investments in IndonesiaDeshnee Naidoo, CEO of Vale Base Metals, discusses the reasons for its partnership with Saudi Arabian joint venture Manara Minerals and why she is excited about Indonesia's and Southeast Asia's prospects
Persons: Indonesia Deshnee Naidoo Organizations: Base Metals, Vale Base Metals, Saudi, Manara Minerals Locations: Saudi, Indonesia Deshnee, Saudi Arabian
China has stepped up domestic output of refined zinc this year, but the Shanghai market continues to be plagued by low inventory and tight time-spreads. China's imports, exports and net trade in refined zincRETURN TO THE IMPORT MARKETChina was a consistent net importer of refined zinc over the last decade, but that changed in 2022. Shanghai zinc stocks seasonal patterns over 2020-2023LOW INVENTORYShFE registered stocks stand at a modest 43,181 tons. Sentiment, however, holds the real key to the Shanghai premium. The country's trade in refined zinc may prove a useful mirror on that question over the next few months.
Persons: Cash, It's, Jan Harvey Organizations: Share, Shanghai Futures Exchange, London Metal Exchange, Shanghai Metal, Citi, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Eritrea's, Asmara, Eritrea, China, Shanghai, Europe, Turkey, U.S, Antwerp, Singapore, Malaysia's Port Klang, Kaohsiung, Guangdong, London
So I think there’s going to be some opportunistic acquisitions.”There is already evidence of frenzied deal activity involving pre-producing companies. Develop Global, a base metals explorer backed by diversified miner Mineral Resources, last month proposed to acquire lithium developer Essential Metals for A$152.6 million ($97.98 million). “Even though battery chemistry is evolving and impacting certain metals, lithium is a mainstay and the demand story remains robust. The battery metals landscape, and lithium in particular, looks poised for further M&A activity,” said Gavi Friedland, head of metals and mining at Goldman Sachs in Australia & New Zealand. Mineral Resources is deciding whether to build an Australian lithium battery chemical plant, while Albemarle is expanding production at its Kemerton hydroxide plant and SQM is also building a lithium hydroxide plant.
Persons: Ivan Alvarado, acquirers, , Kaan, , Gavi Friedland, Goldman Sachs, Guy Alexander, Buyers, Japan’s Idemitsu, Delta, Tony Chong, Squire Patton Boggs, Jakob Stausholm, Stausholm, ” Dale Henderson Organizations: MELBOURNE, REUTERS, Chile, Albemarle Corp, RBC, Develop, Mineral Resources, Metals, Minerals, Liontown Resources, Climate Capital, Consultancy, EV, Goldman, New Zealand, Resources, , Rio Tinto, Patriot Metals, Canada, Reuters Locations: Albemarle Chile, Chile, Australia, Sydney, Andover, Albemarle, Perth, China, U.S, Rio, Canada, Quebec
[1/2] A general view shows the brine pools of Albemarle Chile lithium plant placed on the Atacama salt flat, Chile, May 4, 2023. "It seems like the cheapest way to get lithium units is via the drill bit," said analyst Kaan Peker of RBC in Sydney. "Even though battery chemistry is evolving and impacting certain metals, lithium is a mainstay and the demand story remains robust. The battery metals landscape, and lithium in particular, looks poised for further M&A activity,” said Gavi Friedland, head of metals and mining at Goldman Sachs in Australia & New Zealand. Mineral Resources is deciding whether to build an Australian lithium battery chemical plant, while Albemarle is expanding production at its Kemerton hydroxide plant and SQM is also building a lithium hydroxide plant.
Persons: Ivan Alvarado, acquirers, Kaan, , Gavi Friedland, Goldman Sachs, Guy Alexander, Buyers, Japan's Idemitsu, Delta, Tony Chong, Squire Patton Boggs, Jakob Stausholm, Stausholm, Dale Henderson, Melanie Burton, Veronica Brown Organizations: REUTERS, Chile, Albemarle Corp, RBC, Develop, Mineral Resources, Metals, Minerals, Liontown Resources, Climate Capital, Consultancy, EV, Goldman, New Zealand, Resources, Tinto, Patriot Metals, Canada, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Albemarle Chile, Chile, MELBOURNE, Australia, Sydney, Andover, Albemarle, Perth, China, U.S, Canada, Quebec
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