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Over the past month, the S & P 500 has climbed 3.2% to break above 5,800 for the first time. "Despite all the soft-landing and Fed rate cut optimism, the S & P 500 up almost 40% y/y has simply over-shot," he wrote in a note to clients. "S & P 500 over-valuation has been supported by (and fully reflects) the Fed likely cutting the real funds rate," he added. This summer, he said he expected the S & P 500 to fall to 5,000 by the fourth quarter. While not included in CNBC Pro's Market Strategist Survey , that forecast would mark Stifel as the second lowest among those surveyed.
Persons: Barry Bannister, Stifel, manias, Bannister Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC Pro's, Survey, Citi, Cisco Systems
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket optimism on inflation is 'misleading', says Stifel's Barry BannisterBarry Bannister, Stifel chief equity strategist, joins CNBC's 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the economy, his analysis of inflation and rate cuts, and more.
Persons: Stifel's Barry Bannister Barry Bannister
The bank's stock-strategy chief pointed to the slowing job market and the potential for sticky inflation. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementThe stock market could be headed into an end-of-the-year correction, according to Stifel's Barry Bannister. The slowing job market has already caught the attention of investors, who are watching for signs of continued economic weakness. "It's very hard to justify getting below 3% without a slowdown," Bannister said of interest rates.
Persons: Stifel's Barry Bannister, , " Bannister, Bannister Organizations: Service, CNBC, Conference, Challenger, Investors, Investor
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors should be cautious going into the late third and fourth quarter, says Stifel's BannisterBarry Bannister, Stifel chief equity strategist, joins CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to discuss market outlooks, where he sees the S&P going, and more.
Persons: Stifel's Bannister Barry Bannister
Stifel warns of a sharp stock market correction by year-end, with the S&P 500 potentially dropping 12%. "Our instruments tell us to expect an S&P 500 correction to the very low 5,000s by 4Q24," Bannister said. AdvertisementInvestors should prepare for a sharp and quick correction in the stock market before the end of the year, according to Stifel. In a note on Thursday, chief equity strategist Barry Bannister of Stifel warned that the S&P 500 could trade 12% lower in the fourth quarter. "Our instruments tell us to expect an S&P 500 correction to the very low 5,000s by 4Q24," Bannister said.
Persons: Stifel, Barry Bannister, Bannister, Organizations: Service
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewDon't expect the stock market's seemingly unstoppable rally to continue through the end of the year, says Stifel's Barry Bannister. "If Russia makes a countermove in Kursk, it would probably be between the election and January," Bannister said. 4 trades to make amid market turbulenceWith the market poised for a turbulent period ahead, Bannister said he prefers defensive value stocks, particularly the healthcare, utilities, consumer staples, and real estate sectors. "Seventy percent of all the outperformance of defensive or value occurs before a recession is actually declared," Bannister said.
Persons: , Stifel's Barry Bannister, Bannister, — Bannister, there's, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, we're Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve, Utilities, Consumer, UCITS Locations: Russia, Kursk, Iran, China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere is risk of a bear market if the slowdown becomes a recession: Stifel's Barry BannisterBarry Bannister, Stifel chief equity strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss why it might be too soon to jump back into equities, where the S&P 500 will get to later this year, and his inflation concerns.
Persons: Stifel's Barry Bannister Barry Bannister
Stocks are up since last week's sell-off but there's still reason to be cautious, Stifel's Barry Bannister said. He reiterated his expectation for a 10% market correction to push the S&P 500 to 5,000 by October. If the economy keeps slowing and eventually enters a recession, a bear market is imminent as inflation remains sticky, Stifel's chief strategist Barry Bannister said in a Tuesday interview on CNBC. While the Federal Reserve targets a PCE of 2.8%, Bannister expects the central bank to target closer to 3% by the fourth quarter due to persistent housing inflation. Weak GDP, consumption, fixed asset investment and net export data expected in the second half of the year also don't bode well for the economy, Bannister added.
Persons: Stocks, Stifel's Barry Bannister, Bannister, , Barry Bannister, " Bannister, bode Organizations: Service, CNBC, Federal Reserve
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe recommend defensive value amidst market turbulence, says Stifel's BannisterBarry Bannister, Stifel chief equity strategist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss whether equity markets are nearing their bottom, whether investors should reallocate their portfolios, and more.
Persons: Stifel's Bannister Barry Bannister
Stifel Financial's Barry Bannister thinks the S & P 500 will see a steep pullback over the next couple of months. Bannister said Stifel's year-end target of 5,000 for the S & P 500 "seems appropriate right now" given the July jobs data and delayed Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. In early June, Bannister said the S & P 500 could drop to approximately 4,750 before the end of the third quarter of this year. The S & P 500 ended last week at 5,346.56. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 this year.
Persons: Stifel Financial's Barry Bannister, Bannister, Stifel's, Stifel, we've Organizations: CNBC, Traders
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere's a mild case of stagflation building into Q3, says Stifel's Barry BannisterBarry Bannister, Stifel chief equity strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his base case for the markets, why equities won't fall lower than correction territory, and more.
Persons: Stifel's Barry Bannister Barry Bannister
The economic outlook also looks precarious, given stubborn inflation and slowing growth. AdvertisementThe stock market looks poised for a correction, and a dicey economic and monetary policy environment could cause equities to dive 10%, according to Stifel's chief stock strategist Barry Bannister. Economic growth has been slowing, with GDP expanding by 1.4% in the first quarter, according to the latest revision. Sticky inflation also weighs on the outlook for Fed rate cuts, which poses more bad news for stocks. AdvertisementOther investing veterans have warned stocks are due for a comedown amid lofty valuations.
Persons: Stifel's Barry Bannister, , Barry Bannister, Bannister —, Bannister, that's, John Hussman Organizations: Service, Yahoo Finance, Fed
Bitcoin's recent weakness could be signaling an upcoming correction in stocks, according to Stifel's chief equity analyst Barry Bannister. On Thursday, the S & P 500 briefly touched 5,500 for the first time after notching its most recent record close earlier in the week. "Weakening bitcoin … signals an imminent S & P 500 summer correction and consolidation phase," he said. "With the S & P 500 now at the very high end (2 sigma) of bitcoin post-peak cycle overlays since 2011, we have yet another strong signal that an imminent S & P 500 correction is possible." "Past bubbles since the 19th century indicate the S & P 500 could well rise to ~6,000 at year-end 2024 and then round trip to near where 2024 began five quarters later, by ~1Q26 (S & P 500 ~4,800)."
Persons: Barry Bannister, Bitcoin, Bannister, CNBC's, it's, Stifel Organizations: Nvidia, Nasdaq
Bitcoin's 10% sell-off since June 7 signals a warning for the broader stock market. AdvertisementBitcoin's 10% sell-off since June 7 is sending a warning sign to the broader stock market, according to Stifel strategist Barry Bannister. Bitcoin's inability to hit new record highs suggests the stock market is likely to play catch-up as it's set to decline in line with the cryptocurrency, according to the note. Bannister isn't the only analyst on Wall Street taking stock market cues from bitcoin. AdvertisementAdding to Bannister's conviction of an imminent stock market sell-off is the Federal Reserve, which could keep interest rates higher for longer to combat still-elevated inflation.
Persons: Barry Bannister, Bannister, , bitcoin, Bannister isn't, Katie Stockton, Stockton, " Bannister Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Nvidia, Apple, Wall, Fairlead, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Big Tech
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Bespoke's Paul Hickey and Stifel's Barry BanisterPaul Hickey, Bespoke co-founder, and Barry Bannister, Stifel chief equity strategist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's record market action.
Persons: Bespoke's Paul Hickey, Stifel's Barry Banister Paul Hickey, Barry Bannister
S&P 500 hits 31st record close of 2024
  + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailS&P 500 hits 31st record close of 2024Paul Hickey, Bespoke co-founder, and Barry Bannister, Stifel chief equity strategist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's record market action.
Persons: Paul Hickey, Barry Bannister
Investors should position themselves defensively as the S & P 500 could drop about 10% before the end of September, according to Stifel Financial. That would mark a more than 10% decline from where the S & P 500 finished Monday's trading session. The S & P 500 closed out 2023 at about 4,770. That can, in turn, push the S & P 500 price-to-earnings multiple down by about two points, weighing on the stock market. Discounted for inflation, the S & P 500 is slightly below where it was about two and a half years ago.
Persons: Barry Bannister, Bannister Organizations: Financial, Central, Federal Reserve, Federal
S&P 500 and Nasdaq both notch another record close
  + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailS&P 500 and Nasdaq both notch another record closeAdam Crisafulli, Vital Knowledge founder, and Barry Bannister, Stifel chief equity strategist, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to discuss another record day for the markets.
Persons: Adam Crisafulli, Barry Bannister Organizations: Nasdaq, Vital Knowledge
Stifel Financial is predicting a rough road ahead for the S & P 500 . The investment bank forecasts the benchmark stock index will tumble about 500 points to 4,750 in the second or third quarter — a correction of roughly 10%. "As a result, the sustained 2% Core PCE inflation the Fed seeks is a pipe dream." Stifel's inflation model shows a jump in core personal consumption expenditures to just over 3% in the second half of this year. The S & P 500 is up about 9.5% year to date.
Persons: Barry Bannister, Bannister Organizations: PCE
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe market is recovering from a 'pseudo-recession', says Stifel's Barry BannisterBarry Bannister, Stifel chief equity strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, why he's cautious on the market this year, the Fed's interest rate outlook, why he favors value over growth stocks, and more.
Persons: Stifel's Barry Bannister Barry Bannister
"Bitcoin & Nasdaq 100 reflect the speculative fever fostered by cheap money after dovish Fed pivots, such as occurred 4Q 2023," Bannister said. Shortly after, on March 28, the S & P 500 reached a new intraday all-time high . .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD If was indeed its peak, that could mean a weaker Nasdaq 100 for six months, Bannister said. Additionally the S & P 500, which is cap weighted, could struggle against the equal-weight S & P 500 for about six months. "When the equal-weighted S & P 500 out-performs the S & P 500, then value tends to out-perform growth," he said.
Persons: Barry Bannister, Bannister, Bitcoin, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Big Tech, Nasdaq, Big Tech Nasdaq
The broad market index ended Friday at 4,594.63, its highest close for 2023. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 in 2023 Year to date, the broad market index is up nearly 19%, fueled primarily by large-cap tech names like Meta and Nvidia . He also noted that the market faces bleak prospects going into the early 2030s, expecting a range-bound S & P 500 in real terms" as investors navigate a secular bear market. "The CPI inflation-adjusted S & P 500 peaked near 5,300 in Dec-2021 and has been lower since, which is characteristic of a decade-long Secular Bear Market featuring a flattish/range bound market," Bannister said. As the market growth story shifts to cyclical growth, Bannister says the previous "high level of returns … is gone for a generation."
Persons: Barry Bannister, Bannister, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect the S&P to top out at 4400 at year-end: Stifel's Barry BannisterBarry Bannister, Stifel chief equity strategist, and CNBC's Mike Santoli join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the macro environment in the markets and more.
Persons: Stifel's Barry Bannister Barry Bannister, Mike Santoli
The S & P 500 can rise to 4,400 by the end of the year as near-term recession talk proves unfruitful, according to Stifel. "We see no imminent U.S. recession as the S & P 500 climbs the proverbial Wall of Worry," Bannister wrote to clients in a note. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 this year The average market strategist expects the S & P 500 to finish 2023 at 4,358, according to a CNBC Pro survey. That's because there's too much fear in the market, with the S & P 500 at one point moving into correction territory. Avoiding a recessionary-level slowdown for the ISM PMI would imply upside for the S & P 500 over the next six months, he said.
Persons: Barry Bannister, Bannister, outperformance, , Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, ISM, PMI, Federal Reserve Locations: Wednesday's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe see markets staying flat for the rest of the year, says Stifel's Barry BannisterBarry Bannister, Stifel chief equity strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the state of the U.S. economy, Bidenomics, and more.
Persons: Stifel's Barry Bannister Barry Bannister Locations: U.S
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