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☆ Dollar pulls ahead as markets focus on Trump policies, Fed outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

After stalling for three sessions, the greenback was back on the march higher, with investors lifting the dollar index measure against its key rivals closer to a one-year high of 107.07 hit last week. The dollar has rallied more than 2% since the Nov. 5 U.S. presidential election on bets Trump's policies could reignite inflation and temper the Fed's future rate cuts. The dollar index held steady at 106.56, up from a one-week nadir hit in the previous session. "The Russia-Ukraine conflict is heating up, which is further denting sentiment towards the euro alongside the prospects of trade tariffs," another "bullish cue" for the dollar index given the euro's heavy weighting, City Index's Simpson said. The dollar gave up some gains against the yen, down 0.33% at 154.91 yen , although the Japanese currency remained under pressure.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Matt Simpson, CME's, Michelle Bowman, Lisa Cook, Index's Simpson, Kazuo Ueda, Sterling, bitcoin, Bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Wednesday, Storm, ATACMS, Bank of Japan, Bank of England's Locations: Europe, China, Russia, Ukraine, Paris

☆ UK inflation rises sharply to 2.3% in October, above expectations
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

LONDON — U.K. inflation picked up sharply to a higher-than-expected 2.3% in October, data from the British Office for National Statistics showed Wednesday. The hike marks a sharp increase from the 1.7% rise recorded in September and exceeds the 2.2% forecast of economists polled by Reuters. The latest print once again brings inflation above the Bank of England's 2% target, potentially dampening the prospects of a final interest rate cut this year. Core inflation, which excludes energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, came in at 3.3% for the month, up slightly from 3.2% in September. The uptick was anticipated in part due to an increase in the regulator-set energy price cap that took effect in October, which is expected to lead to higher energy price inflation over the colder winter months.

Persons: Price Organizations: British Office, National Statistics, Reuters, Bank of England's, Institute of Chartered Accountants Locations: England, Wales

☆ Doubts mount over Britain’s ambitious growth plans — with warnings of further tax rises possible
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

A higher economic growth rate could theoretically boost the government's tax take without the need to raise taxes further, because overall revenues would be higher. The OBR now expects U.K. real GDP growth of 1.1% in 2024, followed by expansion of 2% in 2025, before falling to 1.5%. The Labour government did not immediately respond to CNBC's request for comment on further possible tax changes. 'Desperate' growth ratesThe U.K. economy barely grew in the third quarter, eking out a less-than-expected 0.1% expansion, data from the Office for National Statistics showed Friday. We've had 1% growth, or around 1% growth now since the Financial Crisis.

Persons: Rachel Reeves, James Smith, CNBC's, John Grieve, Reeves, Gieve, —, Labour's, ING's Smith, We've Organizations: Treasury, Getty, Labour, Finance, ING, of, CNBC, National Insurance, Office, National Statistics, Gross Locations: London, England

☆ UK economy ekes out 0.1% growth in the third quarter, below expectations
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( April Roach | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Bank of England in the City of London on 6th November 2024 in London, United Kingdom. The City of London is a city, ceremonial county and local government district that contains the primary central business district CBD of London. The City of London is widely referred to simply as the City is also colloquially known as the Square Mile. Gross domestic product came in at 0.1% in the three months to September compared to the previous quarter. That's below the 0.2% growth expected by economists polled by Reuters and follows an expansion of 0.5% in the second quarter of the year.

Persons: Mike Kemp, Rachel Reeves, Thiru, Donald Trump, Trump's, Andrew Bailey, I'm Organizations: of England, Getty, Gross, Reuters, National Statistics, Bank of England's, Bank of England, Labour, Finance, Institute of Chartered Accountants, U.S Locations: City of London, London, United Kingdom, The City, U.K, That's, Britain, England, Wales

☆ It's unclear if UK's big spending plan can boost growth over mid-to-long term: Economist
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's unclear if UK's big spending plan can boost growth over mid-to-long term: EconomistRob Sockin from Citi discusses his view on Labor party's budget announcement and what it means for Bank of England's rate cut trajectory.

Persons: Rob Sockin Organizations: Citi, Labor, Bank of

☆ Economists see UK cutting interest rates more substantially as inflation pressures ease
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Mike Kemp | In Pictures | Getty ImagesLONDON — The U.K. is likely to see interest rates drop at a faster pace than previously expected, according to economists who flagged key data releases that indicated inflationary pressures are finally easing. However, economists at Goldman Sachs in a Monday note forecast rate cuts "notably below market pricing." As a result, they see consecutive 25 basis point cuts taking the Bank Rate to 3% as early as September 2025, and to 2.75% in November next year. "Recent data have cemented expectations of another cut in interest rates in November. "That said, uncertainty around the economic outlook is high, and interest rate expectations will be sensitive to what the government announces in the Budget," Muir added.

Persons: Mike Kemp, Goldman Sachs, BOE, Price, —, James Smith, Smith, David Muir, Muir, Keir Starmer, Rachel Reeves Organizations: of England, Labour, Bank of England's, BOE policymakers, Bank of England, ING . Services, Reuters, International Energy Agency, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Moody's, Finance Locations: City of London, London, United Kingdom

☆ UK inflation falls sharply to 1.7%, below Bank of England's target for first time in over three years
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The Canary Wharf business district is seen in the distance behind autumnal leaves on October 09, 2024 in London, United Kingdom. LONDON — Inflation in the U.K. dropped sharply to 1.7% in September, the Office for National Statistics said Wednesday. Economists polled by Reuters had expected the headline rate to come in at a higher 1.9% for the month, in the first dip of the print below the Bank of England's 2% target since April 2021. Inflation has been hovering around that level for the last four months, and came in at 2.2% in August. Core and services inflation are key watch points for Bank of England policymakers as they mull whether to cut interest rates again at their November meeting.

Persons: Price Organizations: National Statistics, Reuters, Bank of England's, Bank of England Locations: Wharf, London, United Kingdom

☆ UK house sales rise since the Covid-19 boom as lower mortgage rates spur activity
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A pedestrians looks at residential properties displayed for sale in the window of an estate agents' in Windsor, west of London. LONDON — Lower mortgage rates are sparking an uptick in the U.K. housing market, following a surge in the pace of home sales last month, data showed. Shares of U.K. homebuilders Taylor Wimpey and Barratt Developments both rose more than 2.1% following the data release. Some rates for such products have dipped to 3.7%, well below the BoE's 5% key rate. Mortgage approvals rose in August to the highest level in two years in years, the Bank of England said Monday.

Persons: homebuilders Taylor Wimpey, Richard Donnell, Andrew Bailey Organizations: Barratt, Nationwide, Bank of England's, Bank of England, Bank Locations: Windsor, London, LONDON

☆ Case for the Bank of England to go further and faster with rate cuts: Oliver Wyman
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCase for the Bank of England to go further and faster with rate cuts: Oliver WymanHuw van Steenis, vice chair of Oliver Wyman and former advisor to Mark Carney, discusses the Bank of England's decision to hold interest rates at its September meeting and the impact of public sector pay rises.

Persons: Oliver Wyman Huw van Steenis, Oliver Wyman, Mark Carney Organizations: Bank of England, Bank of

☆ Deutsche Bank Research discusses outlook for BOE rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDeutsche Bank Research discusses outlook for BOE ratesSanjay Raja, chief U.K. economist at Deutsche Bank, discusses the outlook for the Bank of England's interest rates.

Persons: BOE, Sanjay Raja Organizations: Deutsche Bank Research, Deutsche Bank, Bank of

☆ The Bank of England has 'some room' to cuts rates but it's unlikely, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Bank of England has 'some room' to cuts rates but it's unlikely, economist saysYael Selfin, chief economist at KPMG UK, discusses the country's inflation data and what it could mean for the Bank of England's decision.

Persons: Yael Selfin Organizations: of England, KPMG UK, Bank of

☆ European markets set to open higher following Fed cut; Bank of England rate decision in focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Bank of England in the City of London as economists and mortgage holders await this week's interest rate announcement on 28th July 2024 in London, United Kingdom. LONDON — European markets were poised to open higher as investors digested the U.S. Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut in four years and looked ahead to the Bank of England's rate decision later in the session. Back in Europe, investor attention is now turning to the Bank of England, with the central bank largely expected to hold rates steady at 5%. The Fed's jumbo rate cut is unlikely to impact the Bank of England, according to economists, as the central bank ratified its decision around lunchtime Wednesday, hours before the U.S. announcement. Also on Thursday, Norway's central bank will deliver its latest interest rate decision.

Persons: Germany's DAX, Tiina Lee, CNBC's Organizations: of England, City of, LONDON, . Federal, Bank of, FTSE, France's CAC, Fed, Bank of England, Citi UK Locations: City, City of London, London, United Kingdom, ., Trading, Asia, Europe, U.S, Norway's

☆ UK inflation holds steady in August, matching expectations
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Anadolu | Getty ImagesLONDON — U.K. inflation held steady during the month of August, data from the Office for National Statistics showed Wednesday, and matched analyst expectations. Headline CPI had come in at 2% in May and June, in line with the Bank of England's target rate. Services inflation — which is closely watched by the BOE, given its dominance within the U.K. economy and its reflection of domestically-generated price rises — rose to 5.6% in August from 5.2% in July. Core inflation, excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, came in at 3.6%, up from the 3.3% recorded in July. "Despite recent data showing a stagnation in UK economic output and easing wage growth, core inflation remains sticky, with services inflation rising from 5.2% to 5.6% which will weigh heavily on the BOE's decision-making," Carter said in a note.

Persons: BOE, Richard Carter, Cheviot, Carter Organizations: Anadolu, Getty, Office, National Statistics, Headline CPI, Bank of, U.S . Federal Reserve

☆ UK leads resurgence in European office investment
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Sopa Images | Lightrocket | Getty ImagesLONDON — The U.K. is leading a recovery in Europe's long subdued office real estate market, with overall investment in the sector expected to pick up further in the second half of the year. Overall, European office investment transactions in the first half of the year fell 21% year-on-year to 14.1 billion euros, Savills data showed — a 60% decrease on the five-year H1 average. Europe's divided recoveryThe U.K. real estate market was the first in Europe to undergo a significant contraction following its peak in 2022. "London is leading the way a bit, partly because it repriced earlier and quicker and more significantly," Kim Politzer, head of research for European real estate at Fidelity International, told CNBC over the phone. Kim Politzer head of research for European real estate at Fidelity International

Persons: Mike Barnes, Savills, Kim Politzer, Marcus Meijer, Mark, CNBC's, James Burke, Tom Leahy, Leahy, Europe's, JLL Organizations: Getty, Britain, CNBC, Bank of, Fidelity International, European Central Bank, Nurphoto, U.S Locations: London, Europe, Paris, Stockholm, Berlin, Hamburg, La Défense, France, Ireland, Netherlands, Spain, Italy, Portugal, Southern Europe, Germany

☆ Bank of England's Bailey: 'More restrictive policy' could still be needed due to labor market shocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Andrew Bailey, governor of the Bank of England, waits to deliver a lecture at the London School of Economics in London, UK, on Tuesday, May 21, 2024. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey will hail the progress made in dampening inflation in the U.K. in a Friday speech, but also caution that monetary policy may need to remain restrictive for longer than expected due to shocks from the labor market. Headline price rises in the U.K. hit the BOE's 2% target for two months this year, before rising to 2.2% in July. However, he will caution that two less "benign" scenarios remain possible that will require the Bank of England to "maintain restriction for longer." It comes after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday gave his firmest comments yet indicating that interest rate cuts lie ahead for the world's biggest central bank, stating: "The time has come for policy to adjust."

Persons: Andrew Bailey, Bailey, Jerome Powell Organizations: Bank of England, London School of Economics, U.S, Bank of Locations: London, U.S . Federal, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Bank of England

☆ UK economy expands 0.6% in second quarter; June growth stalls
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-15 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The U.K. economy grew by 0.6% in the second quarter of the year, the Office for National Statistics said Thursday, continuing the country's cautious recession rebound. The British economy has recorded slight but steady growth almost every month so far this year, as the U.K. exits a shallow recession. On an annual basis the economy was 0.9% bigger in the second quarter, against a forecast of 0.8%. The pace of growth is unlikely to continue into the second half amid weaker wage growth, high interest rates and supply challenges, Thiru added. Over the April-June period, U.K. wage growth excluding bonuses cooled to a two-year low, but remained relatively hot at 5.4%.

Persons: Richard Carter, Cheviot Organizations: National Statistics, Reuters, Institute of Chartered Accountants, ONS, Bank of England's, U.S . Locations: York, U.K, England, Wales, London

☆ UK inflation rose to 2.2% in July, after two months at the Bank of England's 2% target
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.K. inflation rose to 2.2% in July, coming in slightly below expectations but inching back above the Bank of England's 2% target, data from the Office for National Statistics showed Wednesday. The headline inflation had come in at 2% in both May and June, in line with the Bank of England's target rate. So-called core-CPI — which excludes food, energy, alcohol and tobacco prices — came in at 3.3% in July, down from the 3.5% print of July, the statistics office said. The data comes after the Bank of England earlier this month cut interest rates for the first time in over four years, taking the key bank rate to 5%. Uncertainty remains about when the central bank will cut rates again, and whether another cut will even take place this year.

Persons: BOE Organizations: Bank of England's, Office, National Statistics, Reuters, Bank of, Bank of England

☆ 'Cheap' and 'under-owned': CIO makes the case for UK stocks despite U.S. bounce back
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

U.K. stocks are looking particularly attractive after a fresh bout of market volatility, according to the chief investment officer of financial firm Wren Sterling. It is in this context that Wren Sterling's Rory McPherson believes British stocks look "cheap" and "under-owned." When asked whether investors should consider U.K. stocks as part of a shift away from U.S. tech companies, McPherson replied, "Well, we think so. I mean you look at the market like the U.K., it's on 12 times earnings, its cheap, its under-owned. Analysts have recently turned bullish on U.K. stocks, which had been unpopular for years.

Persons: Wren Sterling, Wren, Rory McPherson, McPherson, CNBC's, " McPherson Organizations: Global, U.S, Analysts, BlackRock Investment, BlackRock, Labour Party, CNBC, Bank of, Bank of England Locations: U.S

LONDON — European stocks are expected to open higher Tuesday, regaining some positive momentum after last week's volatility. The U.K.'s FTSE index is seen opening 26 points higher at 8,233, Germany's DAX up 18 points at 17,288, France's CAC 40 up 14 points at 7,259 and Italy's FTSE MIB 62 points higher at 32,084, according to data from IG. European stocks closed mixed on Monday as forthcoming U.S. and U.K. inflation data dominated investor attention. U.K. wage data released by the Office for National Statistics on Tuesday showed that pay excluding bonuses grew 5.4% year-on-year between April and June — the lowest rate in two years. U.K. inflation data, due on Wednesday, will be the first print since the BOE cut interest rates by 25 basis points.

Persons: Germany's DAX, Jack Kennedy, BOE Organizations: LONDON, CAC, IG, Office, National Statistics, Reuters, Bank of England, U.S Locations: France, Spain, Italy

☆ Auctions of early King Charles bank notes raise $1.17 billion for charity
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A person holds some of the newly released banknotes, featuring the King's portrait, outside the Bank of England, London. LONDON — Auctions of King Charles III bank notes with low serial numbers have raised £914,127 ($1.17 million) for charity, according to the Bank of England. Four auctions took place over the summer — for £5, £10, £20 and £50 notes — with the proceeds set to go to a range of charities. This includes the Bank of England's three 'charities of the year' as well as seven others that have not benefitted from charity auctions of banknotes since 2016. Each charity received just over £91,400 of the proceeds, the BOE said.

Persons: King Charles III, BOE Organizations: Bank of England, Bank of Locations: London

☆ Bank of England to remain cautious on future interest rate cuts, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of England to remain cautious on future interest rate cuts, economist saysSonali Punhani, chief U.K. economist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, weighs in on the Bank of England's recent interest rate cut and the outlook for monetary policy moving forward.

Persons: Sonali Punhani, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Organizations: Email Bank of England, Bank of America, Bank of

☆ Bank of England rate decision 'going to be close,' Goldman Sachs says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of England rate decision 'going to be close,' Goldman Sachs saysJari Stehn, chief European economist at Goldman Sachs, says the Bank of England's monetary policy decision is "going to be close" but suggests that a rate cut may win out.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Jari Stehn Organizations: Email Bank of, Bank

☆ Bank of England governor likely made 'deciding call' on rate decision, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of England governor likely made 'deciding call' on rate decision, economist saysKallum Pickering, chief economist at Peel Hunt, comments on the Bank of England's decision to cut interest rates.

Persons: Kallum Pickering, Peel Hunt Organizations: Email Bank of England, Peel, Bank of

☆ Bank of England's rate cut is on a knife-edge even with inflation on target
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Market pricing on Wednesday morning suggested a 60% probability of a rate cut at the BOE's Aug. 1 meeting. That is far less conviction than traders had before the European Central Bank enacted its own rate cut at the start of June; while pricing for the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut for the first time in this cycle in September has hit 100%. watch nowIn both May and June, seven MPC members voted to hold, as two voted to cut by 25 basis points. Headline U.K. inflation spiked higher than in the U.S. and euro zone over the last two years, but has also cooled more quickly. "I would rather hold rates until there is more certainty that underlying inflationary pressures have subsided sustainably," Haskel said.

Persons: Mike Kemp, BOE, Jonathan Haskel —, —, Haskel Organizations: of England, Bank of England's, European Central Bank, U.S . Federal Reserve, MPC Locations: City of London, U.S, BOE, U.K

☆ Dollar, yen hold tight ranges ahead of BOJ, Fed
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar and yen kept within close ranges on Tuesday as traders awaited a barrage of key central bank decisions, kicking off with midweek monetary policy meetings from the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve. The dollar and yen kept within close ranges on Tuesday as traders awaited a barrage of key central bank decisions, kicking off with midweek monetary policy meetings from the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve. The Japanese currency was taking a breather from its recent rally as the BOJ began its two-day meeting on Tuesday, having surged over 2% against the dollar last week. The Fed is widely expected to stand pat this week, but markets are betting the U.S. central bank will begin cutting rates at the following meeting in September. Investors will be listening for any hints that Fed Chair Jerome Powell may drop on how soon policymakers are prepared to cut rates at his press conference.

Persons: Matt Simpson, Jerome Powell, Powell, Jackson, Index's Simpson, Sterling, bitcoin Organizations: Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Index, Fed, Treasury, Bank of England's Locations: U.S

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