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UK leads resurgence in European office investment
  + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
Sopa Images | Lightrocket | Getty ImagesLONDON — The U.K. is leading a recovery in Europe's long subdued office real estate market, with overall investment in the sector expected to pick up further in the second half of the year. Overall, European office investment transactions in the first half of the year fell 21% year-on-year to 14.1 billion euros, Savills data showed — a 60% decrease on the five-year H1 average. Europe's divided recoveryThe U.K. real estate market was the first in Europe to undergo a significant contraction following its peak in 2022. "London is leading the way a bit, partly because it repriced earlier and quicker and more significantly," Kim Politzer, head of research for European real estate at Fidelity International, told CNBC over the phone. Kim Politzer head of research for European real estate at Fidelity International
Persons: Mike Barnes, Savills, Kim Politzer, Marcus Meijer, Mark, CNBC's, James Burke, Tom Leahy, Leahy, Europe's, JLL Organizations: Getty, Britain, CNBC, Bank of, Fidelity International, European Central Bank, Nurphoto, U.S Locations: London, Europe, Paris, Stockholm, Berlin, Hamburg, La Défense, France, Ireland, Netherlands, Spain, Italy, Portugal, Southern Europe, Germany
Dollar weak as traders add to wagers of big rate cut from Fed
  + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
While the Fed is all but certain to cut rates next week, uncertainty around whether it will go with a 25 basis point cut or 50 basis points has kept investors on the edge and weighed on the dollar. Analysts pointed to media reports from the Financial Times and the Wall Street Journal suggesting the Fed's decision would be a close call as one of the reasons for traders adding to wagers of a big rate cut next week. Higher U.S. jobless claims data released on Thursday and the Wall Street Journal article on the Fed's rate cut dilemma revived bets on a jumbo cut at the September meeting, according to Christopher Wong, currency strategist at OCBC. Besides the Fed, the Bank of England and Bank of Japan hold policy meetings next week. "Risks remain that inflation may not return to target as easily as everyone, including the Fed, seems to expect."
Persons: Christopher Wong, Christine Lagarde, Ryan Brandham, Naoki Tamura, Sterling, BoE Organizations: Federal Reserve, Financial Times, Wall, Traders, European Central Bank, Fed, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Validus Risk Locations: North America
UK economy flatlines again in July, below expectations
  + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
LONDON — The U.K. economy continued to flatline in July on a month-on-month basis, flash figures published from the Office for National Statistics showed Wednesday. Britain's economic growth was up 0.5% in the three month to July, slightly below economist expectations and the 0.6% recorded in the second quarter ending in June. The U.K. economy had recorded modest but steady expansion almost every month so far this year, having emerged from a shallow recession at the start of the year. Finance Minister Rachel Reeves said the print left her "under no illusion" of the challenges faced by the U.K. economy. But she added that further movement in interest rates anticipated from the Bank of England could help ease wider growth pressures.
Persons: Liz McKeown, Keir Starmer's, Rachel Reeves, Reeves, Jeremy Hunt, Lindsay James, James Organizations: Office, National Statistics, Gross, Reuters, Labour, Conservative, Quilter Investors, Treasury, Bank of England Locations: flatline, U.K
One of the most painful ways higher interest rates have impacted Americans is through higher housing costs. The combination of high borrowing costs and skyrocketing home prices and rents — caused by a housing shortage — has created an enduring housing affordability crisis. On the one hand, lower borrowing costs would likely make mortgages cheaper for buyers and encourage builders to construct desperately needed new homes. But rate cuts would also spur new home construction, as builders respond to higher demand and lower borrowing costs for acquisition and construction loans. On top of high borrowing costs, builders are struggling with a severe shortage of construction workers and high building material costs.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Daryl Fairweather, Wells, underbuilding, Ben Metcalf, Metcalf Organizations: Service, Jackson Hole , Wyoming ., Business, Bank of England, Terner Center, Housing Innovation, UC Berkeley Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming
Andrew Bailey, governor of the Bank of England, waits to deliver a lecture at the London School of Economics in London, UK, on Tuesday, May 21, 2024. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey will hail the progress made in dampening inflation in the U.K. in a Friday speech, but also caution that monetary policy may need to remain restrictive for longer than expected due to shocks from the labor market. Headline price rises in the U.K. hit the BOE's 2% target for two months this year, before rising to 2.2% in July. However, he will caution that two less "benign" scenarios remain possible that will require the Bank of England to "maintain restriction for longer." It comes after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday gave his firmest comments yet indicating that interest rate cuts lie ahead for the world's biggest central bank, stating: "The time has come for policy to adjust."
Persons: Andrew Bailey, Bailey, Jerome Powell Organizations: Bank of England, London School of Economics, U.S, Bank of Locations: London, U.S . Federal, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Bank of England
The U.K. economy grew by 0.6% in the second quarter of the year, the Office for National Statistics said Thursday, continuing the country's cautious recession rebound. The British economy has recorded slight but steady growth almost every month so far this year, as the U.K. exits a shallow recession. On an annual basis the economy was 0.9% bigger in the second quarter, against a forecast of 0.8%. The pace of growth is unlikely to continue into the second half amid weaker wage growth, high interest rates and supply challenges, Thiru added. Over the April-June period, U.K. wage growth excluding bonuses cooled to a two-year low, but remained relatively hot at 5.4%.
Persons: Richard Carter, Cheviot Organizations: National Statistics, Reuters, Institute of Chartered Accountants, ONS, Bank of England's, U.S . Locations: York, U.K, England, Wales, London
U.K. inflation rose to 2.2% in July, coming in slightly below expectations but inching back above the Bank of England's 2% target, data from the Office for National Statistics showed Wednesday. The headline inflation had come in at 2% in both May and June, in line with the Bank of England's target rate. So-called core-CPI — which excludes food, energy, alcohol and tobacco prices — came in at 3.3% in July, down from the 3.5% print of July, the statistics office said. The data comes after the Bank of England earlier this month cut interest rates for the first time in over four years, taking the key bank rate to 5%. Uncertainty remains about when the central bank will cut rates again, and whether another cut will even take place this year.
Persons: BOE Organizations: Bank of England's, Office, National Statistics, Reuters, Bank of, Bank of England
U.K. stocks are looking particularly attractive after a fresh bout of market volatility, according to the chief investment officer of financial firm Wren Sterling. It is in this context that Wren Sterling's Rory McPherson believes British stocks look "cheap" and "under-owned." When asked whether investors should consider U.K. stocks as part of a shift away from U.S. tech companies, McPherson replied, "Well, we think so. I mean you look at the market like the U.K., it's on 12 times earnings, its cheap, its under-owned. Analysts have recently turned bullish on U.K. stocks, which had been unpopular for years.
Persons: Wren Sterling, Wren, Rory McPherson, McPherson, CNBC's, " McPherson Organizations: Global, U.S, Analysts, BlackRock Investment, BlackRock, Labour Party, CNBC, Bank of, Bank of England Locations: U.S
LONDON — European stocks are expected to open higher Wednesday as investors in the region await key inflation prints from the U.S. and U.K. U.K. inflation data out on Wednesday will be the first print since the Bank of England cut interest rates by 25 basis points last month. After two months at 2%, economists polled by Reuters expect the headline inflation rate to tick higher, to 2.3%. Money markets are currently pricing in a high probability of more interest rate cuts by the BoE, amounting to 50 basis points this year. The central bank's key rate currently sits at 5%.
Persons: Germany's DAX, BoE Organizations: New Oxford, LONDON, CAC, IG, Bank of England, Reuters Locations: London, U.S
On Saturday, Kamala Harris was asked to respond to Donald Trump’s suggestion that the president should have a say in the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions. But why should the Fed be independent? The Federal Reserve’s legal status is complicated, but there’s no fundamental constitutional principle saying that elected officials must keep their hands off the money supply. Historically, central banks like the Fed have often been treated like ordinary government agencies, and not only under autocratic regimes. Why take this particular piece of policy out of the hands of elected officials?
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, , Trump, Biden Organizations: Fed, Wall Street, Trump, Bank of England, Britain’s Treasury Department Locations: Harris
LONDON — European stocks are expected to open higher Tuesday, regaining some positive momentum after last week's volatility. The U.K.'s FTSE index is seen opening 26 points higher at 8,233, Germany's DAX up 18 points at 17,288, France's CAC 40 up 14 points at 7,259 and Italy's FTSE MIB 62 points higher at 32,084, according to data from IG. European stocks closed mixed on Monday as forthcoming U.S. and U.K. inflation data dominated investor attention. U.K. wage data released by the Office for National Statistics on Tuesday showed that pay excluding bonuses grew 5.4% year-on-year between April and June — the lowest rate in two years. U.K. inflation data, due on Wednesday, will be the first print since the BOE cut interest rates by 25 basis points.
Persons: Germany's DAX, Jack Kennedy, BOE Organizations: LONDON, CAC, IG, Office, National Statistics, Reuters, Bank of England, U.S Locations: France, Spain, Italy
A person holds some of the newly released banknotes, featuring the King's portrait, outside the Bank of England, London. LONDON — Auctions of King Charles III bank notes with low serial numbers have raised £914,127 ($1.17 million) for charity, according to the Bank of England. Four auctions took place over the summer — for £5, £10, £20 and £50 notes — with the proceeds set to go to a range of charities. This includes the Bank of England's three 'charities of the year' as well as seven others that have not benefitted from charity auctions of banknotes since 2016. Each charity received just over £91,400 of the proceeds, the BOE said.
Persons: King Charles III, BOE Organizations: Bank of England, Bank of Locations: London
London CNN —A record-breaking series of auctions of King Charles III banknotes has raised £914,127 ($1.2 million) for 10 UK charities, according to the Bank of England. The banknotes, auctioned by Spink & Sons over the summer, sold for 11.7 times their face value of £78,430 ($100,318), as collectors snapped up some of the first versions of the new cash to roll off the printing presses. The runaway success of the auctions highlights the value that collectors attach to banknotes with especially low serial numbers, which denote that they are among the first to be printed. “Lucky numbers” also attracted high bids, according to Spink & Sons. Two £5 notes with serial numbers ending in 88 and 888 were auctioned for £2,200 ($2,800) and £2,400 ($3,100).
Persons: King Charles III, King Charles, BOE, Queen Elizabeth II, , Gregory Edmund, ” Edmund, Sarah John, Winston Churchill, Queen Elizabeth, Churchill, London — Organizations: London CNN, Bank of England, Spink & Sons, Spink, CNN, WWF, Trussell, British Locations: United Kingdom, BOE, British, London
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of England to remain cautious on future interest rate cuts, economist saysSonali Punhani, chief U.K. economist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, weighs in on the Bank of England's recent interest rate cut and the outlook for monetary policy moving forward.
Persons: Sonali Punhani, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Organizations: Email Bank of England, Bank of America, Bank of
Investors are increasingly hopeful that will push Federal Reserve officials to come to their rescue with an emergency rate cut. But if something comes up in between those meetings that changes their views on the ideal level for rates, officials can gather for an unscheduled “emergency” meeting. By doing two large emergency cuts in succession, Fed officials didn’t have to weigh whether their actions would unnecessarily cause Americans to panic. Before those cuts, the last time the Fed was promoted to do an emergency rate cut was in the thick of the Great Recession shortly after Lehman Brothers collapsed in the fall of 2008. But he said he was “reluctantly” comfortable with an emergency cut since other central banks were doing it.
Persons: Austan Goolsbee, there’s, Lehman Brothers, ” Charles Plosser, , , That’s, Janet Yellen, ” Yellen, Plosser Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Chicago Fed, New York Times, Philadelphia Fed, Bank of Canada, European Central Bank, Bank of England, San, Committee, Fed, Treasury Locations: New York
Homeowners on tracker mortgages, which follow the Bank's base rate, will be the first to benefit from the savings. Barclays , Santander, Metro Bank, Lloyds , Halifax, Nationwide and HSBC all cut repayments costs by 25 basis points shortly after the BOE's announcement. Those on standard variable rates, which typically take effect once a borrower's tracker or fixed rate deal ends, will also see savings. Given their more volatile nature, tracker and SVR mortgages remain a relatively niche part of the U.K. mortgage market. However, analysts suggest it may not be long until reductions feed through to the 6.93 million households on fixed rate mortgages.
Organizations: Bank of England, HSBC, Santander, Nationwide, Homeowners, Barclays, Metro Bank, Lloyds, Finance Locations: London's Muswell Hill, London, Halifax, Santander
Safe-haven yen, Swiss franc soar as U.S. slowdown fears flare
  + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Swiss Franc banknotes sit in the office of a bank in this arranged photograph in Zurich, Switzerland, on Friday, Nov. 20, 2015. The safe-haven Japanese yen and Swiss franc traded near multi-month highs against the dollar on Friday after an unexpected slump in U.S. manufacturing fuelled fears of a downturn, sending stocks and bond yields tumbling. The yen traded around 0.2% stronger at 149.085 per dollar, after popping as high as 148.51 overnight for the first time since mid-March. They were the only two major currencies to outperform the dollar overnight, which itself draws safe-haven flows, paradoxically even when the United States is the cause for concern. ECB policymaker Yannis Stournaras raised the risk of a weak euro zone economy sending inflation below the 2% target in an interview published on Thursday, reaffirming his expectation for two rate cuts this year.
Persons: Sterling, Tony Sycamore, Sycamore, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey, ECB policymaker Yannis Stournaras Organizations: Swiss, Bank of England, European Central Bank, Japan's Nikkei, IG, Federal Reserve, ECB policymaker Locations: Zurich, Switzerland, United States, Asia, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe'll probably see more split votes from the Bank of England: EconomistDavid Owen, founder and chief economist at Saltmarsh Economics, says the Bank of England will "have to move very, very cautiously."
Persons: David Owen Organizations: Bank of England, Saltmarsh
Boris Roessler | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesLONDON — European stocks were set to open lower Friday, extending losses amid a global downturn as a busy week of market action draws to a close. Germany's DAX was on course to open 104 points lower at 17,984, according to IG data, with France's CAC 40 down 40 points at 7,325. The regional Stoxx 600 index on Thursday suffered its worst session since mid-June, pulled down by financials as French bank Societe Generale downgraded its outlook and the Bank of England cut interest rates for the first time since 2020. The central bank decision took its key interest rate to 5% from 5.25%, in a move that markets had not been fully convinced it would carry out. Asia-Pacific markets saw steep losses Friday, with Japan's benchmark indexes tanking as much as 5%.
Persons: Boris Roessler, Germany's DAX, BOE Governor Andrew Bailey, BOE, Joe Tuckey Organizations: Getty, France's CAC, Societe Generale, Bank of England, CNBC, Argentex, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of, Apple, Intel, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Frankfurt, Bank of Japan, Europe, Asia, Pacific
The Bank of England decided, by a slim margin among its policymakers, to cut interest rates on Thursday for the first time in more than four years amid slower inflation. Britain’s central bank lowered rates by a quarter of a percentage point to 5 percent, the first rate cut since March 2020, when the coronavirus pandemic shut down large parts of the economy. The rate cut brings an end to the most aggressive efforts of the central bank to stamp out high inflation, which reached double-digits less than two years ago. For the past year, interest rates were held at 5.25 percent, the highest level since 2008. But policymakers warned that interest rates would be lowered slowly, which would keep the policy stance restrictive for awhile.
Organizations: of England
U.S. Treasury yields slid further on Thursday as investors digested comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, who suggested a September rate cut was on the table. Yields had fallen on Wednesday after Fed Chairman Powell hinted at a September rate cut after the central bank's July meeting concluded. Depending on these factors, "a reduction in our policy rate could be on the table as soon as the next meeting in September," he said. As expected, the central bank left interest rates unchanged. Several analysts are expecting the central bank to cut rates, but uncertainty remains as the BOE has not sent clear signals.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, BOE Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, Bank of England Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of England rate decision 'going to be close,' Goldman Sachs saysJari Stehn, chief European economist at Goldman Sachs, says the Bank of England's monetary policy decision is "going to be close" but suggests that a rate cut may win out.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Jari Stehn Organizations: Email Bank of, Bank
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of England is not changing the message on inflation, governor saysBOE Governor Andrew Bailey speaks to CNBC's Steve Sedgwick following the central bank's decision to cut rates.
Persons: BOE, Andrew Bailey, Steve Sedgwick Organizations: Email Bank of England
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of England likely to give a 'tentative' rate cut, StanChart strategist saysSteven Englander, head of Global G10 FX research and North America macro strategy at Standard Chartered Bank, discusses central bank news this week.
Persons: Steven Englander Organizations: Email Bank of, Global, Standard Chartered Bank Locations: Email Bank of England, North America
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of England governor likely made 'deciding call' on rate decision, economist saysKallum Pickering, chief economist at Peel Hunt, comments on the Bank of England's decision to cut interest rates.
Persons: Kallum Pickering, Peel Hunt Organizations: Email Bank of England, Peel, Bank of
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