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(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. Worldwide Exchange airs at 5 a.m. The ICE U.S. Dollar index is currently at a higher level than it was in June of 2022 when Microsoft warned of a stronger dollar impact to earnings. Other multi-national companies including Johnson and Johnson, Estee Lauder and Amazon also warned of the dollar impact that year. "I think the choices are already made to a certain extend," said Ross Mayfield Investment Strategist for Baird Private Wealth Management on Worldwide Exchange.
Persons: Kevin Mahn, Walsh, Steve Sosnick, Johnson, Estee Lauder, Joe Biden, XI Jinping, Xi, Trump, Ross, Mayfield, Mahn Organizations: PRO, Worldwide, Interactive Brokers, ICE, Microsoft, Amazon, Evercore ISI, Economic Cooperation, Ross Mayfield Investment, Baird Private Wealth Management, Worldwide Exchange, Howmet Aerospace, Defense Locations: Hennion, United States, China, Asia, U.S
And, with earnings season set to ramp up, that could mean further gains. Already, on Friday, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo were rallying in midday trading after reporting their latest results this week, an auspicious start to the earnings season. A strong earnings season Earnings results next week will be dominated by reports from the banking sector, giving investors further insight into the health of the capital markets as well as the consumer. Several regional banks are also set to announce how they did in the most recent quarter as well, such as PNC Financial Services Group and Citizens Financial Group. Even so, investors are optimistic about the outlook for corporate profits this earnings season, especially with expectations having come down.
Persons: what's, Oppenheimer, Wells Fargo, Charlie Ashley, Ashley, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Ross Mayfield, Catalyst's Ashley, Baird's Mayfield, Mayfield, Charles Schwab, Huntington Bancshares Organizations: Dow Jones, Tech, Nvidia, JPMorgan Chase, Traders, Federal Reserve, Catalyst Funds, Nasdaq, Ashley . Bank of America, PNC Financial Services Group, Citizens Financial Group, Private Wealth Management, Treasury, Columbus, Columbus Day, Index, United Airlines, Hunt Transport Services, Citigroup, State, Goldman Sachs Group, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Johnson, Bank of America, PNC Financial Services, UnitedHealth, Price, PPG Industries, Steel Dynamics, Discover Financial Services, CSX, Abbott Laboratories, U.S . Bancorp, Financial Group, Philadelphia Fed, Retail, Manufacturing, Netflix, T Bank Corp, Elevance, Truist, Blackstone, Housing, Schlumberger, Procter, Gamble, Fifth Third Bancorp, Regions Financial, American Express Locations: Ashley, bullish, Prologis, NAHB
Equities appeared in a holding pattern until Fed boss Jerome Powell delivers testimony about monetary policy this week. The 10-year Treasury yield edged higher after pulling back at the end of last week. "I think we'll be in a holding pattern until we get that nonfarm payrolls report," said Mayfield, referring to jobs report due out this Friday. "But I do think nonfarm payrolls could be interesting to see if there's a revision or not to the January number. The whole shift in the tone of markets started at the beginning of February when we got that January nonfarm payrolls number," Mayfield said.
Stop us if you've heard this one before: A lot of people think the economy may be headed for a recession. It's everywhere: A recent poll of economists from the Wall Street Journal pegged the recession chances in 2023 at 61%. Even 96-year-old former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has weighed in, saying that a recession is "the most likely outcome" given the current economic trajectory. A short, shallow recession may be priced into marketsEconomists aren't the only ones who have recession on the brain. Overall, investors and economists alike expect a "fairly mild kind of recession, " says Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA.
The U.S. hit the debt ceiling on Thursday, which forced the Treasury Department to begin taking so-called "extraordinary measures" to continue paying the government's bills. Read on for the answers to the most relevant questions about the debt ceiling, and why, as a long-term investor, you shouldn't be paying too much attention to the headlines. Remind me — what's the debt ceiling again? Where does the debt ceiling stand now? Aside from stock market volatility, you'd see ramifications across the economy.
It's a continuation of a relatively strong 2022 in which foreign stocks shed 14.5% compared with an 18% loss for U.S. names . "International stocks are set up quite well," says Ross Mayfield, an investment strategy analyst at Baird Private Wealth Management. Investing experts point to a handful of factors that have boosted the performance of international stocks of late. "Now that it's come back down, it's relieved a lot of the pressure on international stocks." "The sector mix for international stocks is more compatible with the economy we've seen," says Mayfield.
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