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Jack Taylor | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesLONDON — European stocks are heading for a cautiously higher open Friday as investors monitor a slew of central bank decisions and data releases. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index is on course for a weekly gain of more than 1.5%, its best performance since early May. Attention this week turned to central bank action, as the Swiss National Bank announced it would cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points to 1.25%. The SNB became the first major central bank to cut rates during this cycle back in March. The Bank of England meanwhile kept interest rates unchanged at a 16-year high of 5.25%.
Persons: Jack Taylor Organizations: Getty, Equity, European Union Parliament, Reuters, Swiss National Bank, Bank of England Locations: Godalming, United Kingdom, France
Even so, Japan's top currency diplomat Masato Kanda stressed on Friday that Tokyo stands ready to take further "resolute" action against "speculative, excessive volatility". The dollar index was little changed at 105.66, on course for a slight weekly gain that would extend its winning streak to three weeks. Sterling was flat at $1.2657, sticking close to the $1.2655 low from Thursday, a level last seen on May 17. The BoE kept rates on hold, but some policy makers said the decision not to cut was "finely balanced". The European Central Bank kicked off its rate cutting cycle earlier this month.
Persons: Tony Sycamore, Sycamore, Masato Kanda, Sterling, BoE Organizations: U.S, Federal, Swiss, Swiss National Bank, Bank of England, Bank of, IG, U.S . Treasury, European Central Bank, Fed Locations: Japan, China, Tokyo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBOE waiting for better data on wages and underlying inflation before cutting rates: EconomistRobert Wood, chief U.K. economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, says the central bank is "still facing services inflation that's pretty elevated."
Persons: BOE, Robert Wood Organizations: Pantheon
Sterling steady ahead of BoE decision; dollar wobbles against yen
  + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The British pound held broadly steady on Thursday ahead of a rate decision from the Bank of England later in the day, while the dollar was on the back foot as it awaited fresh market catalysts. The British pound held broadly steady on Thursday ahead of a rate decision from the Bank of England later in the day, while the dollar was on the back foot as it awaited fresh market catalysts. Sterling last bought $1.2719 after having eked out a slight gain in the previous session, while the euro rose 0.03% to $1.0747. The dollar slipped 0.05% against the yen to 157.99, though the Japanese currency remained not too far from an over one-month low of 158.255 per dollar hit last week. The BoE is widely expected to keep rates steady on Thursday, and the focus will be on any guidance on how soon an easing cycle could begin.
Persons: BoE, Tony Sycamore, Rodrigo Catril Organizations: Bank of England, Sterling, Wednesday, IG, Swiss National Bank, Swiss, National Australia Bank, New Zealand Locations: United States, Switzerland, Norway, France
CNBC Daily Open: Russia-North Korea defense pact
  + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Russia-North Korea partnershipRussia and North Korea signed a "comprehensive strategic partnership" deal on Wednesday, including a mutual defense pact, during President Vladimir Putin's first state visit to North Korea in 24 years. While the 2% inflation mark is significant, it was anticipated and mainly driven by lower energy prices. Musk clarifies remarksElon Musk attempted to clarify his controversial remarks after advertisers threatened to leave X. Musk previously told advertisers to "go f--- yourself."
Persons: Vladimir Putin's, Putin, Kim Jong Un, CNBC's Holly Ellyatt, Elon Musk, Musk, Eli Lilly Organizations: CNBC, Bank of England, Cannes Lions, CAC, Nasdaq Locations: Russia, North Korea, Ukraine, Cannes, France
Commuters crossing a junction near the Bank of England (BOE), left, in the City of London, UK, on Wednesday, May 8, 2024. Photographer: Hollie Adams/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesLONDON — European stocks are expected to open in mixed territory Thursday, with U.K. investors looking ahead to the Bank of England's policy rate decision. The U.K.'s FTSE index is expected to open 16 points higher at 8,212, Germany's DAX up 21 points at 18,087, France's CAC 40 up 3 points at 7,568 and Italy's FTSE MIB up 10 points at 33,192, according to IG. U.K. traders will be focused on the Bank of England's rate decision Thursday, although the central bank is widely expected to hold rates steady at a 16-year high of 5.25%, with the majority of economists polled by Reuters forecasting a cut in August after the country's July 4 election. Data released Wednesday showed U.K. inflation rose by an annual 2.0% in May, hitting the BoE's inflation target.
Persons: BOE, Andrew Bailey, Hollie Adams, Germany's DAX Organizations: Bank of England, City of, Bloomberg, Getty, Bank of, CAC, IG, Reuters Locations: City, City of London
But the print only served to further convince traders that an interest rate cut is not imminent. Money market pricing by 11 a.m. in London implied just a 5% probability of a trim of the Bank Rate during Thursday's BOE meeting — after recording stronger odds of such a step earlier in the week. Policymakers are equally focused on services inflation, key to understanding domestic price pressures in the country's services-oriented economy, which came in at 5.7% — higher than the 5.5% forecast by economists in a Reuters poll. "I think the most disturbing thing lots of economists like myself are looking at right now is what's happening in services inflation. And those numbers have been proving a good deal stickier than we would like," Sproule said, with the BOE targeting services inflation of around 3%.
Persons: BOE, , We've, James Sproule, CNBC's, Sproule Organizations: Bank of England's, Bank of Locations: London, Bank of England
Shoppers on the high street in the Kingston district of London, U.K.U.K. inflation fell to the Bank of England's target of 2.0% in May, the Office for National Statistics said Wednesday, in the last print of the key economic measure ahead of national elections in July. The headline reading declined from 2.3% in April and came in line with the 2% expectations of economists polled by Reuters. Core inflation, excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, dipped to 3.5% from 3.9% in April. Unseasonably bad weather led to the slowest increase in grocery sales in two years, new figures from U.K. market research firm Kantar showed Tuesday. Grocery sales rose 1.0% in the four weeks to June 9, marking the sixteenth consecutive monthly decline in food inflation, according to the index.
Persons: Sterling, BOE, Kantar Organizations: Bank of, National Statistics, Reuters Locations: Kingston, London,
Commuters crossing a junction near the Bank of England (BOE), left, in the City of London, UK, on Wednesday, May 8, 2024. Photographer: Hollie Adams/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesLONDON — European markets are set to open mixed as investors attempt to shake off negative sentiment from last week and look ahead to the latest interest rate decision from the Bank of England. Investors are looking ahead to the Bank of England's policy rate decision on Thursday. In Asia-Pacific, markets were mixed on Monday as the region assesses key economic data out from China. U.S. stock futures were little changed on Monday morning as traders start a holiday-shortened week.
Persons: BOE, Andrew Bailey, Hollie Adams, Emmanuel Macron's Organizations: Bank of England, City of, Bloomberg, Getty, CAC, Bank of, Reuters Locations: City, City of London, Italy, Asia, Pacific, China . U.S
Taylor Swift performs on stage during during "Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour" at Anfield on June 13, 2024 in Liverpool, England. LONDON — Taylor Swift's record-shattering Eras Tour is continuing to supercharge consumer spending as it enters it U.K. leg, suggesting that the Bank of England may not be out of the woods yet in its fight against inflation. The Bank of England is expected to soon begin lowering its Bank Rate from a 16-year high of 5.25%, with all but two of 65 economists polled by Reuters anticipating a cut in August, while financial markets are pricing in September. However, a possible clash between one of Swift's August tour dates and a key inflation index day could skew the data enough to make the bank rethink its path, the analysts said. "A surge in hotel prices then could be material, temporarily adding as much as 30bps to services inflation (+15bps on headline)," Krishnan and Rossiter wrote.
Persons: Taylor Swift, Taylor, BoE, Lucas Krishnan, James Rossiter, Krishnan, Rossiter Organizations: Anfield, Bank of England, Securities, MPC, Monetary, Reuters, CNBC Locations: Liverpool, England, London
A staff wanted sign in the window of a restaurant in the Soho district of London, U.K., on Tuesday, Sept. 7, 2021. LONDON — U.K. unemployment unexpectedly rose to its highest level in two and a half years, data showed Tuesday, amid a heated general election campaign in which the economy is a key battleground. Simultaneous strong wage growth divided opinions from market-watchers mulling the timing of an interest rate cut from the Bank of England. While market pricing on Tuesday suggested next to no chance of a rate cut at the BOE's June meeting, and a 36% shot in August, that probability rises to nearly 60% for the September deliberations. Consultancy Capital Economics said that, while the stickiness of wage growth would be a "lingering concern" for the BOE, the rate should soon be on a "firm downward path" as unemployment rises.
Persons: Richard Carter, Cheviot, BOE, Capital's, Ruth Gregory, Rishi Sunak, Keir Starmer, Sunak, We've, it's, Starmer Organizations: LONDON, Bank of England, National Statistics, Reuters, Consultancy Capital Economics, Conservative Party, Labour, Conservatives Locations: Soho, London
U.K. inflation came in hotter than expected with a drop to 2.3% in April, the Office for National Statistics said Wednesday, prompting traders to pull back from bets on a June interest rate cut from the British central bank. Core inflation, excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, dipped to 3.9% in April from 4.2% in March. A dramatic drop in the headline rate was widely expected because of the year-on-year decline in energy prices. Investors were instead set to focus on core and services inflation, after BOE policymakers indicated they would be willing to cut interest rates some time in the summer, but stressed that the timing would depend on fresh data. Following the print, money markets slashed the probability of a June rate cut to just 15%, down from 50% earlier in the day.
Persons: BOE Organizations: National Statistics, Bank of England's, Reuters Locations: Russia, Ukraine, British, U.K
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesLONDON — U.K. inflation could be about to hit a major milestone, with some forecasting that a sharp fall in the April print will take the headline rate below the Bank of England's 2% target. That would represent a plunge from the current level of 3.2% and could "make or break" a June interest rate cut, economists say. Ashley Webb, U.K. economist at Capital Economics, said that if the headline rate does fall below 2% in April, as he expects, it would be "momentous." "This will be crucial in determining whether the first interest rate cut from 5.25% will happen in June (as we expect) or in August. We think inflation will fall further, perhaps even to 1.0% later this year," Webb said in a Friday note.
Persons: Ashley Webb, What's, Webb, , BOE Governor Andrew Bailey, BOE, Ben Broadbent, James Smith, ING's Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Bank of England's, Capital Economics, Bank of England, European Central Bank, ING Locations: Kingston, London, U.K
Dollar calm as traders await clues on U.S. rate path
  + stars: | 2024-05-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
In this photo illustration, a person seen holding a 100 US dollar bill in his hand. The dollar was broadly steady on Monday as investors awaited further clues to help chart the U.S. interest rate path in the wake of cautious comments from Federal Reserve officials, even as inflation shows signs of cooling. The Japanese yen was flat at 155.74 per dollar, with traders on alert for any signs of government intervention. That has prompted traders to trim the amount of easing expected this year to about 46 bps, with only a rate cut in November fully priced in. In other currencies, sterling touched a two-month high of $1.2711 ahead of the crucial UK inflation report due on Wednesday.
Persons: Brian Jacobsen, Powell, Jackson, Flash PMIs, Paul Mackel, BoE, Charu Chanana Organizations: Federal Reserve, Annex Wealth Management, ANZ, European Central Bank, Bank of England, HSBC, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New, Saxo Locations: Tokyo, Germany, U.S, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Meme stocks are having a moment, but the broader market is rallying as well. While GameStop's 74% rally got a lot of attention Monday ( "meme stocks are back!" ), the evidence indicates that a broad rally is dragging up a lot of stuff that hasn't been performing well this year. The S & P 600 Small Cap advance/decline is also near the highest levels since December, while the S & P Mid Cap 400 advance/decline line is at a new high. So when you hear the tired old refrain, "meme stocks are back," take a look at the rest of the market.
Persons: hasn't, Marko Kolanovic, Morgan, BoE, Ryan Detrick Organizations: Fed, ECB, Intel, Nike, Comcast, ChargePoint Holdings, CRISPR Therapeutics, Unity Software, Carson Group, CNBC
Dollar nurses losses after another set of soft jobs data
  + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar was trading at 155.39 yen , down from highs of 155.95 hit in the previous session. The dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, was flat at 105.25. "We note jobless claims are weekly data that can be very volatile from week to week," Commonwealth Bank of Australia's Joseph Capurso, said in a note. "The BoE's urgency and willingness to cut ahead of the Fed will continue to weigh on the currency," Goh said. Being added to the list makes it harder for U.S. suppliers to ship to the targeted entities.
Persons: Commonwealth Bank of Australia's Joseph Capurso, Shunichi Suzuki, Rong Ren Goh, Sterling, BoE, Goh Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, dovish Bank of England, Commonwealth Bank of Australia's, Tokyo, Japan's Finance, Eastspring Investments, Bank of England, Monetary, Committee, Fed, Treasury, Traders, PPI, Federal Locations: U.S, United States
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey attends the central bank's Monetary Policy Report press conference at the Bank of England, in London, on May 9, 2024. Markets on Friday were pricing in an around 48% chance of a rate cut in June according to LSEG data, slightly higher than Thursday's 45% probability. "The broader message and the tone of the MPC were more dovish than we had anticipated," they said in a note published following the BOE's latest interest rate decision. The central bank on Thursday said it would leave interest rates unchanged for now, and stressed that a June rate cut was in no way guaranteed. Two members of the Monetary Policy Committee voted to cut rates, one more than at the central bank's previous meeting.
Persons: Andrew Bailey, Yui Mok, YUI MOK, BOE Organizations: England, Bank of England, The Bank of England, Getty, Swiss Bank UBS, MPC, Monetary Locations: London
Variegated tulips planted in flower beds opposite the Bank of England in the City of London on 7th May 2024 in London, United Kingdom. =LONDON — The Bank of England is set to hold interest rates steady at its Thursday meeting, with traders expected to pore over the details of Governor Andrew Bailey's statement as anticipation builds for a potential summer rate cut. The BOE's Monetary Policy Committee is widely expected to keep the Bank Rate at 5.25%, with an announcement due at midday. The latest March meeting saw eight votes to keep rates steady and one to cut. It's going to reach target pretty soon, and that will put the Bank under a lot of pressure to start normalizing policy."
Persons: Andrew Bailey's, Bailey, Francesco Garzarelli, Garzarelli, CNBC's, There's Organizations: Bank of England, Eisler Capital, Bank Locations: City of London, London, United Kingdom
Dollar holds its ground as key inflation data looms
  + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
U.S. one hundred dollar bills are being shown in this picture illustration taken in Buenos Aires, Argentina, on Dec. 15, 2023. Against the Japanese yen, the dollar slowly inched up after it fell more than 3% last week, its biggest weekly percentage drop since early December 2022. Japan's top currency diplomat Masato Kanda on Thursday reiterated a warning that Tokyo is ready to take action in the currency market. The dollar index rose to 0.05% to 105.55, while the Japanese yen was mostly flat at 155.59 per greenback. The BOE is likely to take another step towards its first interest rate cut in four years as inflation falls.
Persons: Masafumi Yamamoto, Masato Kanda, Susan Collins, Sterling, BOE, bitcoin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of, Mizuho Securities, Traders, PPI, Fed Bank of Boston, European Central Bank Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, Japan, U.S, United States, Tokyo,
LONDON — The Bank of England on Thursday announced a widely-expected hold on interest rates following its May meeting, as it said restrictive monetary policy was working to bring down inflation. Members of the central bank's Monetary Policy Committee voted 7-2 to hold, with the latter favoring a cut. In the prior meeting only one member voted for a cut. It keeps the BOE's key Bank Rate at 5.25%. Some economists see a cut as soon as the next meeting in June, and three or more cuts in 2024.
Persons: Matthew Swannell, CNBC's Organizations: Bank of England, Monetary, MPC, BNP
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'There is an optical element to this,' analyst says on future BOE rate decisionsFrancesco Garzarelli, chief economist at Eisler Capital, discusses the prospect for future rate cuts from the Bank of England ahead of an expected election.
Persons: BOE, Francesco Garzarelli Organizations: Eisler Capital, Bank of England
U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Thursday as investors considered remarks from Federal Reserve officials, scanning them for hints about the interest rate outlook. Collins' comments echoed those made by Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin earlier in the week. More Fed officials are set to speak on Thursday and Friday. Elsewhere, the Bank of England is due to announce its latest interest rate decision on Thursday. The BoE is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged, but investors will be scanning Governor Andrew Bailey's statement for hints about a potential summer rate cut.
Persons: Susan Collins, Collins, Neel Kashkari, Tom Barkin, BoE, Andrew Bailey's Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Boston, Wednesday, Minneapolis, Richmond Fed, Fed, Bank of England
European markets are heading for a higher open Thursday, maintaining positive momentum in a busy week of earnings. Ferrovial, Telefonica, EDP, Enel, Pirelli and Salvatore Ferragamo are all due to report today. Elsewhere, the Bank of England is set to publish its latest interest rate decision Thursday. China stocks rose overnight as its imports surged past estimates and exports rose in line with expectations, while the broader Asia-Pacific market was mixed. Meanwhile, futures linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average hovered near the flatline Wednesday evening after the 30-stock index posted its sixth consecutive winning day.
Persons: Salvatore Ferragamo, it's Organizations: Ferrovial, Telefonica, EDP, Enel, Pirelli, Bank of England, Dow Jones Locations: China, Asia, Pacific
"The Fed is the central bank most able to chart its own course," Citi economist Andrew Hollenhorst said in a client note Wednesday. It was the first time the Riksbank had cut since 2016 and takes its main policy rate down to 3.75%. The Riksbank's move was the second central bank cut of the year, as the Swiss National Bank reduced its key rate a quarter point in March in what was seen as a surprise action. Reductions from the Bank of England and European Central Bank are expected to come next, possibly within a month. "With the exception of Japan, developed markets are embarking on a program of rate cuts," Hollenhorst said.
Persons: Andrew Hollenhorst, BOE, Mark, Bailey, Citi's Hollenhorst, Christine Lagarde, CNBC's Sara Eisen, Lagarde, Hollenhorst Organizations: U.S . Federal, Citigroup, Citi, Sweden's, Swiss National Bank, Bank of England, European Central Bank, Bank of America Locations: U.S, Japan
Firm dollar drags yen down closer to intervention range
  + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
A firm U.S. dollar had the yen locked near a fresh 34-year low on Tuesday, keeping investors on heightened intervention watch as they looked ahead to key U.S. inflation report and the Bank of Japan's rate decision this week. A firm U.S. dollar had the yen locked near a fresh 34-year low on Tuesday, keeping investors on heightened intervention watch as they looked ahead to key U.S. inflation report and the Bank of Japan's rate decision this week. Traders have been keeping wary eye as yen slips towards 155.00, a level considered by many participants as the new trigger for intervention by Japanese authorities. The weak yen complicates the BOJ's policy path, with some market players betting the central bank could come under pressure to hike rates sooner than it wants to slow the currency's decline. Markets are currently pricing in a 46% chance of the Fed's first rate cut starting in September, with November not far behind at 42%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Persons: Carol Kong, Shunichi Suzuki, BoE, Sterling, bitcoin Organizations: Bank of, Traders, Bank of Japan's, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Japan's Finance, Federal Reserve, Investors, Commonwealth Bank of Australia's, European Central Bank, Bank of England Locations: Japan, Iran, Israel, Tokyo, Japan's, U.S, Commonwealth Bank of Australia's Kong
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