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Kennedy will likely have some influence over who the president-elect chooses for those roles, health policy experts said. Ultimately, Kennedy's influence over immunization policy could lead to an increase in diseases preventable by vaccines, several health policy experts told CNBC. Investors are already bracing for a crackdown on food policy, with shares of processed food companies, such as Pepsi and Coca-Cola , falling on Friday. Seigerman said "there is little precedent in recent history for HHS policy dictating or affecting FDA regulation or approval of drugs." In 2023, pharmaceutical companies spent nearly $3 billion on advertising for the 10 most promoted drugs.
Persons: Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Thomas Machowicz, Donald Trump, Kennedy, Trump, trifecta, Spokespeople, Brandon Guerrero, Christina House, Gostin, Josh Michaud, Lawrence Gostin, Michaud, he's, Genevieve Kanter, Kanter, Covid, Richard Frank, Frank, Evan Seigerman, Seigerman, Dave Latshaw, Latshaw, Drugmakers, Joe Biden's, Amy Campbell Organizations: Reuters, Department of Health, Human Services, Republican, HHS, Affordable, Food and Drug Administration, Centers for Disease Control, National Institutes of Health, Centers, Medicare, Services, CNBC, CVS, Los Angeles Times, Getty, Health Defense, NBC News, FDA, NPR, Georgetown University, CDC, Vaccines, Children, Kennedy, NIH, University of Southern, Brookings Schaeffer Initiative, Health, pharma, RFK, BMO Capital, Pepsi, Trump, University of Illinois Chicago School of Law Locations: Phoenix , Arizona, U.S, Compton, Huntington Park, Kennedy ., University of Southern California
Stocks still have significant gains in front of them heading into 2025, at least according to BMO Capital Markets. Although bull markets over the past 50 years have averaged about six years in length, the current bull market is just starting its third year but, unfortunately, the third year of past bull markets have been the weakest of the bunch, he cautioned. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 is little changed on Monday, but has gained about 23% in 2024. Heading into 2024, the S & P 500 had advanced more than 24% in 2023. The latter envisions the S & P 500 ending 2025 at 5,500, or about a 6% decline from the index's current price, mostly as a result of inflation picking up steam.
Persons: Stocks, Brian Belski, Belski, Belksi Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, BMO, Federal Reserve, & $ Locations: Canadian
BMO's Brian Belski explains his 2025 year-end target of $6,700
  + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBMO's Brian Belski explains his 2025 year-end target of $6,700Brian Belski, chief investment strategist at BMO Capital Markets, joins 'Halftime Report' to lay out his case for his firm's $6,700 S&P target for 2025.
Persons: Brian Belski Organizations: BMO Capital Markets
After a campaign featuring promises to slash landmark climate legislation, and a first term record that included pulling the U.S. out of the Paris climate agreement, President-elect Donald Trump's win casts a shadow of doubt over the world of global climate policy. As an isolationist, Trump-led American foreign policy cedes global leadership on the issue, an increasingly willing China can assume the spot instead. Ceding global climate leadership to China "would be a mistake"China is looking to "play a more proactive role internationally on climate change," said Joanna Lewis, an associate professor at Georgetown University and expert in international climate policy. But "it would be a mistake for the United States to completely cede not just [its] leadership role on climate change. But the development of low carbon technologies, that's really the area that has been particularly competitive between China and the United States," said Lewis.
Persons: Donald Trump, Xi Jinping, Donald Trump's, Trump, Joanna Lewis, Lewis, Joe Biden Organizations: European Union, Republicans, United Nations, BMO Capital Markets, Georgetown University Locations: Osaka, Japan, Paris, China, United States
Nike recently signed a 12-year deal with the NBA, WNBA, and NBA G League. AdvertisementNike is deepening its partnerships with the NBA and WNBA as basketball explodes in popularity in 2024. That's good news for the company as it tries to get back to its sports roots and reinvigorate sales — and as women's basketball becomes increasingly popular. The sportswear giant announced in October that it signed a 12-year agreement with the NBA, WNBA, and NBA G League to be the exclusive uniform and apparel provider for each league. While Nike started as a running brand, its business has historically been linked with basketball after a 1984 collaboration with Michael Jordan.
Persons: Rachel Wolff, , John Donahoe, Elliott Hill, Michael Jordan, Jordan Brand, Hill, Sue Bird, Kevin Durant, Jayson Tatum, Nike execs, Adam Silver, Nike It's, Goldman Sachs, Nike's, Caitlin Clark, Simeon Siegel, Siegel, Nike, execs, EMARKETER's Wolff, Wolff Organizations: Nike, NBA, WNBA, NBA G League, Service, Paris Olympics, NCAA, Nielsen, ESPN, G League, Adidas, Bloomberg, Business, Street, BMO Capital Markets, BI, BMO Locations: California, Portland , Oregon, Toronto, EMARKETER
The S&P 500 enjoyed a compound annual growth rate of 12.1% from Trump’s surprise election in November 2016 through Biden’s 2020 victory, according to CFRA. “The Trump market was so strong because of a combination of very low inflation, very low interest rates and tax cuts,” said Stovall. The S&P 500’s growth rate under Democrats is 10% compared with 6.7% under Republicans, according to CFRA. In those six years since 1945, where such a dynamic has been in place, the S&P 500 has enjoyed a sizzling growth rate of 16.8%. In fact, the market has generally performed better during times of higher, not lower, tax rates across changes in all three categories, BMO found.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, ” Trump, Biden, Sam Stovall, Stovall, Bill Clinton, Kamala Harris, “ Biden, ” Stovall, Trump, Clinton, , , Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, CFRA, ” Brian Belski, Richard M, Nixon, George W, Bush, . Bush, , Richard Nixon, Bush –, ” Belski, Gridlock, Harris, BMO’s Belski Organizations: New, New York CNN, Biden’s, CFRA Research, Biden, Trump, Wall, , Democrats, Republicans, Gross, Democratic, BMO Capital Markets, Clinton, Congress, Investors, Republican, White, BMO Locations: New York
Peloton announced that Ford executive Peter Stern will join the company as its new CEO. The fitness company is betting Stern can help turn things around. He's expected to focus on trimming spending and retaining current Peloton subscribers. Peloton announced in May 2024 that CEO Barry McCarthy would be stepping down. McCarthy's departure came as the fitness company announced it was cutting around 15% of its workforce.
Persons: Peter Stern, Stern, , Simeon Siegel, Neil Saunders, Saunders, Siegel, Scott Markman, Barry McCarthy, Everest Organizations: Ford, Service, Capital Markets, GlobalData, Apple
Another busy day of megacap technology earnings kicks off Wednesday with results from Meta Platforms and Microsoft after the bell. Wall Street expects Meta Platforms to post third-quarter earnings of $5.25 per share, up from $4.39 a year ago, per LSEG. For Microsoft, EPS and revenue are expected to reach $3.10 and $64.51 billion, respectively, for the fiscal first quarter . Meta Platforms For Meta Platforms, analysts are hunting for signs that AI is continuing to boost the company's core product and advertising spending. Microsoft Microsoft faces a tougher bar headed into the print, with many analysts leaning toward caution as the company lags some of its megacap peers and underperforms the Nasdaq Composite.
Persons: haven't, Davidson, Gil Luria, Citi's Ronald Josey, Citi's Josey, Mark Mahaney, Barton Crockett, Mark Shmulik, Bank of America's Justin Post, Keith Bachman, Citi's Tyler Radke, Morgan Stanley's Keith Weiss, Weiss, Goldman Sachs, Kash Rangan, Azure's Organizations: Meta, Microsoft, D.A, Revenue, Google, Bank of America's, Microsoft Microsoft, Nasdaq, BMO Capital Markets, BMO
Big Tech companies are helping propel third-quarter earnings growth, but some analysts are less optimistic about a handful of names reporting next week. To help investors prepare for what is still to come, CNBC Pro screened FactSet data to find stocks reporting next week where analysts are losing conviction. Analysts have trimmed their earnings estimates by more than 21% over the past three months and 29% over the trailing six months. What's more is analysts have lowered earnings estimates nearly 30% over the past three months and roughly 24% over the past six months. AIG YTD mountain AIG stock.
Persons: Stocks, Daniels, Michael Zaremski, YTD, Zaremski Organizations: Big Tech, CNBC Pro, AIG, CVS Health, Daniels, Midland, ADM, BMO Capital Locations: Archer, Illinois, Albemarle, Corteva
Here are 13 top stocks that are cheap and have above-average earnings growth. Mega-cap growth stocks dusted their smaller peers for 18 months, beginning in early 2023. These firms have above-average earnings growth and cheaper-than-average valuations, and they have an impressive record of outperformance over the last few decades. Without potent earnings, GARP stocks could risk falling into the "value trap" category. Cheaper GARP stocks should become more appealing in that backdrop, according to BMO, and historical performance backs that up.
Persons: , Brian Belski, he's, Belski Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, Service, BMO Capital, BMO, Markets
BMO Capital Markets dropped its 2024 election guide last week. "We are not taking a view on the election outcome but rather sharing our views from a policy perspective," the firm said. The majority of analysts polled by LSEG have a buy rating, with a price target implying shares can rise more than 6%. The average price target of analysts polled by LSEG implies shares can bounce more than 25%. The average price target implies the stock can advance more than 20% over the next year.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, LSEG, Donald Trump, Dow Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, House, BMO, CNBC Pro, Brookfield, LSEG, White, Trump, Dow Jones, Analysts
With the Federal Reserve now cutting interest rates, investors are looking for stocks that can be super-charged by lower borrowing costs. Small and medium-sized companies tend to be the most closely affected by the direction of the economy and rates. Outflows were seen solely in large caps; small and mid-caps saw inflows." If money does keep flowing into small caps, will it come at the expense of large caps? .SPX mountain 2022-10-01 S & P 500 since Oct. 1, 2022 That said, if the move into the smaller caps stocks continues, we may start to see more competition for capital.
Persons: Russell, that's, it's, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim Cramer, Jensen Huang, Morgan Stanley's, We're, Canaccord Genuity, pare, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Michael Nagle Organizations: Federal Reserve, BMO Capital Markets, Bank of America, Nvidia, CNBC, Blackwell, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Devices, Broadcom, Apple Intelligence, Apple, Microsoft, Presidential, Jim Cramer's Charitable, New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: U.S
However, the group has been left in the dust by large caps, which continue to thrive. Here are 17 stocks to buy as SMID caps make a major comeback. So-called SMID caps seemed poised to take the baton from large caps over the summer. Why a shift toward smaller stocks is comingCentral to BMO's bullish thesis for smaller stocks are the group's eye-grabbing relative performance and valuations. 17 stocks to buy before a market reversalAfter a series of false starts, Belski believes smaller stocks will finally lead the market higher.
Persons: , BMO —, Brian Belski, Belski, BMO's, they've Organizations: Service, BMO Capital Markets, BMO, BMO Capital Locations: , Central, US
Americans love TJ Maxx. Here's why big brands do, too
  + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Ryan Baker | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
TJX Companies, which owns Marshalls, HomeGoods and T.J. Maxx, has nearly doubled its annual sales over the past decade, reaching $54.2 billion in fiscal 2024. One way that T.J. Maxx accomplishes this is by making designer brands unsearchable on its website. It's not a T.J. product. It's that brand's product. Watch the video to learn more about why both consumers and brands love T.J. Maxx.
Persons: It's, Neil Saunders, Simeon Siegel, Maxx, Siegel Organizations: TJX, BMO Capital Markets, Maxx Locations: HomeGoods
Small-cap stocks are showing signs of life
  + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Small-cap stocks are starting to show signs of life lately. While the IWM has delivered 12% this year, that is far below the S & P 500 gain of almost 23%. IWM YTD mountain IWM Many investors are uncertain how long the latest trend can continue. The Russell 2000 ETF is higher by 1.6% in October against 1.2% for the S & P 500, but over the past three months, the S & P 500 has outperformed, 3.6% to 3.3%. "We think Fed rate cuts have a strong ability to create a favorable backdrop for small-cap stocks," Michael Graham, analyst at Canaccord Genuity, wrote Tuesday.
Persons: Russell, What's, Brian Belski, Michael Graham, Genuity, Graham Organizations: Federal Reserve, BMO Capital Markets
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNike's new CEO can heal relationship with retailers and customers, says BMO's Simeon SiegelSimeon Siegel, BMO Capital Markets senior retail analyst, joins CNBC to discuss why he has a buy reading on Nike, how long a turnaround for the company could take, and more.
Persons: BMO's Simeon Siegel Simeon Siegel Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, CNBC, Nike
Urban Outfitters, the young adult retailer known for its alternative, vintage-inspired styles, learned this the hard way. Urban Outfitters is now staging a turnaround, with the ambition of finding the success of rivals like Abercrombie & Fitch. But while Urban Outfitters may be trying to pull off a turnaround at the same scale is Abercrombie’s, the action points of both differ. Urban Outfitters, meanwhile, has maintained its youthful appearance without doing enough to market toward the high schoolers and college students of today. Urban Outfitters did not return a request for comment on the marketing strategy behind the lower prices.
Persons: ” Shea Jensen, Jensen, , ” Simeon Siegel, , ” Siegel, Brandon Bell, Fitch, Jacqueline Babb, Abercrombie, ” Jensen, Urban, Z, Price Organizations: New, New York CNN, Gen, Urban Outfitters, Abercrombie, Fitch, Urban Outfitters Brand, Free People, BMO Capital Markets, Getty, Urban, Northwestern University, CNN, Netflix Locations: New York, millennials, North America, Barton, Austin , Texas, today’s
Why investors shouldn’t sweat this inflation report
  + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The latest inflation report came in slightly hotter than expected, knocking stock prices lower. But the odds of a quarter-point Fed rate cut in November actually rose after the report came out. "CPI Inflation data was slightly on the hotter side, with commodity prices (outside) energy rising more than expected. The good news is that shelter inflation is pulling back and that's going to pull inflation lower. Investors received fresh labor market data Thursday as well, with initial jobless claims jumping by 33,000 to 258,000.
Persons: Dow Jones, Sonu Varghese, Goldman Sachs, Whitney Watson, Ian Lyngen, Stephen Tusa Organizations: CPI, Reserve, Carson, Investors, BMO Capital Markets, JPMorgan, Honeywell
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrade Tracker: Brian Belski trims Home Depot, McDonald's, Chevron and buys LululemonBrian Belski, Chief Investment Strategist at BMO Capital Markets, joins 'Halftime Report' to break down his latest portfolio moves.
Persons: Belski, Brian Belski Organizations: Chevron, BMO Capital Markets Locations: McDonald's
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrade Tracker: Brian Belski buys Southern Co. and sells Ally Financial, AmeripriseBrian Belski, Chief Investment Strategist at BMO Capital Markets, joins 'Halftime Report' to detail his latest portfolio moves.
Persons: Brian Belski, Ameriprise Brian Belski Organizations: Southern Co, Ally, BMO Capital Markets
The U.S. economy added a whopping 254,000 jobs in September, nearly 100,000 more than economists expected. The unemployment rate, which was expected to hold steady at 4.2%, slipped to 4.1%. Wages also rose more than expected month over month. To be sure, the new data also has traders pricing a smaller quarter percentage point interest rate reduction at the central bank's November meeting. "Fed cuts should be slower and I continue to think (and the data supports it) that the current neutral rate is well above 3% (economy chugging along on 5% yields for over a year)," said Tchir.
Persons: Sonu Varghese, Glen Smith, Lindsay Rosner, Ian Lyngen, Peter Tchir Organizations: Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, Carson Group, GDS Wealth, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, BMO Capital Markets, Academy Securities Locations: U.S
This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. Jason Redmond/AFP/Getty ImagesA good chunk of the executives Darius highlighted aren't involved in OpenAI's tech. Some of OpenAI's most high-profile executives are instead addressing legal challenges and lobbying regulators in the US and abroad. It's a nod to the fact OpenAI's biggest upcoming fights will take place in a courtroom as opposed to a computer screen. Luckily for you, Business Insider has identified the most famous book set in every state.
Persons: , Tyler Le, Sam Altman, Altman, he's, Darius Rafieyan, OpenAI, Darius, it's, Jason Redmond, aren't, It's, Justin Trudeau's, Somodevilla, Warren Buffett, David Einhorn, Chelsea Jia Feng, Amazon's, Natalie Ammari, Harris, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Harvey Weinstein, world's, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, Apple, Getty, OpenAI, BMO Capital Markets, Healthcare, Amazon, Google, Trump, Facebook, Reading, Fed, The Locations: AFP, New York, London
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBMO's Simeon Siegel breaks down the divergence in the retail spaceSimeon Siegel, BMO Capital Markets senior retail and services analyst, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss retail sales and consumer spending.
Persons: BMO's Simeon Siegel, Simeon Siegel Organizations: BMO Capital Markets
CNN —Jared Holz thought about taking one of the new GLP-1 drugs for weight loss for months before he actually filled the prescription. At least a dozen similar experimental weight-loss drugs designed to be taken as pills are working their way through clinical trials, with the most advanced now in the third and final stage of testing. Dushay cited hopes that pill versions of GLP-1 drugs could ease shortages, come at lower cost and enhance convenience. The oral GLP-1 raceRight on the heels of oral semaglutide is a group of drugs led by Eli Lilly’s orforglipron, an oral medication that also targets GLP-1, which is a hormone implicated in insulin regulation, appetite and digestion. Drugmakers including Pfizer and Roche, as well as smaller companies like Structure Therapeutics, Terns Pharmaceuticals and Viking Therapeutics, also have oral weight-loss drugs in earlier stages of development, BMO research shows.
Persons: Jared Holz, ” Holz, , Jody Dushay, Dushay, ” Dushay, it’s, Rybelsus, Jorge Moreno, , ” Moreno, Eli Lilly’s orforglipron, Lilly, Evan Seigerman, amycretin, who’ve, Dr, Sanjay Gupta, Holz, he’s, he’d Organizations: CNN, Harvard Medical School, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical, Novo Nordisk, US Food and Drug Administration, Yale School of Medicine, BMO Capital Markets, Pfizer, Roche, Therapeutics, Terns Pharmaceuticals, Viking Therapeutics, BMO, Nordisk, European Association for, Diabetes, Inversago Pharma, CNN Health Locations: Danish, Novo
As expected, the Fed has been coy about cuts, leaving markets torn between pricing in a 25- or 50-basis-point reduction. "In cycles where rate cuts were able to prolong economic expansion and keep corporate earnings on an upward trend, stocks performed quite well," Belski wrote in a mid-September note. AdvertisementWhile rate cuts aren't a cure-all, Belski is confident that the economic expansion will continue, which will keep this bull market on firm footing. "But with significantly strong trailing one-year performance headed into this initial rate cut, future gains are likely to be more muted relative to historical norms." Sectors poised to outperform as the Fed finally cuts ratesAfter outlining how US stocks broadly have fared following cuts in the last four decades, BMO shared relative sector performance before and after periods of rate declines.
Persons: , that's, Ohsung Kwon, Brian Belski, Belski Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, " Bank of America, BMO Capital Markets, Fed, BMO Locations: bankable, Montreal
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