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Yen wobbles, vulnerable to political reverberations
  + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Japanese yen banknotes of various denominations are arranged for a photograph in Tokyo, Japan, on July 22, 2015. The yen was last 0.1% lower at 152 per dollar and was looking at a 1.5% loss for the week. The yen has fallen roughly 5.5% for the month thus far, setting it up for its worst monthly decline since April 2022. Against the dollar, the euro last bought $1.08225, some distance away from its low of $1.076125 hit earlier this week. The dollar index last ticked up 0.04% to 104.09, after having scaled a roughly three-month high of 104.57 earlier in the week.
Persons: Ray Attrill, Katsunobu Kato, Janet Yellen, Donald Trump, Nick Rees, Sterling Organizations: of Japan's, Treasury, Liberal Democratic Party, LDP, National Australia Bank, country's Finance, FX, Monex, New Zealand Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Japanese, Germany —
The Aussie dropped as much as 0.51% to $0.6669, the lowest since Sept. 12, before changing hands down 0.38% at $0.6678 as of 0133 GMT. The New Zealand dollar sank as much as 0.69% to $0.6041, a level last seen on Aug. 19. China will hold a press conference on Thursday to discuss promoting the "steady and healthy" development of the property sector. The dollar was little changed at 149.135 yen , not far from Monday's high of 149.98 yen, the strongest since Aug. 1. The euro edged 0.05% lower to $1.08875, and earlier touched $1.0882, matching the low from Tuesday, which was the weakest level since Aug. 8.
Persons: There's, Ray Attrill, there's, Attrill Organizations: New Zealand, National Australia Bank, Statistics, U.S, Traders, Fed, European Central Bank Locations: New Zealand, Beijing, China, Statistics New Zealand
The euro languished not far from a three-week trough reached in the previous session, after normally hawkish European Central Bank policymaker Isabel Schnabel took a dovish tone on inflation, cementing bets for a rate cut this month. Currently, traders lay 34.6% odds of another 50 basis-point U.S. rate cut on Nov. 7, after the Fed kicked off its easing cycle with a super-sized reduction last month. "I do think that if the payrolls report overall is not too shabby tomorrow night, then we will see that pricing (for a 50 basis-point cut) coming in quite significantly." The dollar added 0.09% to 146.575 yen after earlier reaching 146.885 for the first time since Sept. 3. The euro was little changed at $1.10455, sitting not far from Wednesday's low of $1.10325, a level last seen on Sept. 12.
Persons: European Central Bank policymaker Isabel Schnabel, Ray Attrill, Attrill, Asahi Noguchi, Sterling Organizations: Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Private U.S, ADP, Fed, National Australia Bank, Dovish Bank of Japan Locations: U.S, Iran, Israel
Yen steadies, dollar slips as China reaches for stimulus
  + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Japanese 10,000 yen banknotes and U.S. one-hundred dollar banknotes are arranged for a photograph in Tokyo, Japan. The yen slipped about 0.4% to 142.75 per dollar after jumping 1.8% on Friday. European inflation data on Tuesday and Chinese data due later on Monday are also keenly awaited. The New Zealand dollar was up 0.3% at $0.6360 after hitting its highest since December on Friday. "The trend over next year or so is for the dollar to go down," said Commonwealth Bank of Australia strategist Joe Capurso.
Persons: Shigeru Ishiba, Ishiba, Ray Attrill, Joe Capurso Organizations: Liberal Democratic Party, NHK, Bank of Japan, National, New, New Zealand, U.S, U.S . Federal, Commonwealth Bank of Australia Locations: Tokyo, Japan, National Australia, China, U.S .
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChance for a successful government intervention on Yen's slide is limited at the moment: StrategistRay Attrill from National Australia Bank expects Bank of Japan to raise interest rates in July and also formalize JGB purchase cutback plans.
Persons: Ray Attrill Organizations: National Australia Bank, Bank of Japan
Dollar barges past 161 yen and eyes quarterly rise
  + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The dollar was headed for a second straight quarterly gain and jumped to a near four-decade high on the battered yen in Asia trade on Friday, ahead of a crucial U.S. inflation reading. The dollar was headed for a second straight quarterly gain and jumped to a near four-decade high on the battered yen in Asia trade on Friday, ahead of a crucial U.S. inflation reading. At 172.37 per euro it traded at a lifetime low on the common currency as yen bears test authorities' resolve. The New Zealand dollar dipped 0.3% to $0.6065 on Friday, but was up 1.5% for the quarter. The U.S. dollar index was 0.2% stronger at 106.07 on Friday for a 1.5% quarterly rise.
Persons: Ray Attrill, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, NAB's Attrill Organizations: Republican, Democratic, New Zealand, U.S, Federal Locations: Asia, Tokyo, Australia, Sydney, Atlanta, U.S
Yen on guard ahead of BOJ; euro stutters with weekly loss in sight
  + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The yen was on the defensive on Friday ahead of a policy decision from the Bank of Japan that could see it further reduce its massive monetary stimulus, while elsewhere the euro, mired in political turmoil, was headed for a weekly loss. The yen was on the defensive on Friday ahead of a policy decision from the Bank of Japan that could see it further reduce its massive monetary stimulus, while elsewhere the euro, mired in political turmoil, was headed for a weekly loss. The yen was a touch weaker at 157.08 per dollar and on track for a marginal weekly loss of about 0.2%, though moves were largely subdued ahead of the conclusion of the BOJ's two-day monetary policy meeting later on Friday. The euro was little changed at $1.0737, and was poised for a weekly loss of roughly 0.6%. Against the British pound, the euro was last languishing near a 22-month low and staring at a weekly decline of 0.9%.
Persons: Ray Attrill, Wall, Powell, Jean Boivin, Emmanuel Macron's, Macron, France's, Erik, Jan van Harn Organizations: Bank of, National Australia Bank, New Zealand, Federal Reserve, BlackRock Investment Institute, Fed, Aussie, Rabobank Locations: Bank of Japan, BlackRock
Yen feels the heat as U.S. Treasury yields climb
  + stars: | 2024-04-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The greenback added 0.03% to 151.87 yen , holding near a 34-year high of 151.975 yen hit last month as Japanese officials continued to ramp up their jawboning efforts in a bid to defend the currency. The threat of intervention from Tokyo has kept the dollar from breaching the closely-watched 152 yen level, even as U.S. Treasury yields — which the dollar/yen pair tends to closely track — climb. Sterling tacked on 0.04% to $1.2658, while the euro steadied at $1.0860, holding near a two-week high. Despite a rise in U.S. Treasury yields the dollar has failed to draw meaningful support as traders reassess their expectations of the pace and scale of Federal Reserve rate cuts priced in by markets for later this year. That's come even as the two-year Treasury yield rose to an over four-month high of 4.8010% on Tuesday, while the benchmark 10-year yield likewise held near an over four-month peak and last stood at 4.4278%.
Persons: Shunichi Suzuki, Ryota Abe, Sterling, That's, It's, Ray Attrill Organizations: Treasury, Finance, SMBC, New Zealand, National Australia Bank Locations: U.S, Tokyo, United States
Dollar firm after Fed comments; yen under close watch
  + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
"There is no rush to cut the policy rate" right now, Waller said in a speech prepared for delivery before an Economic Club of New York gathering. The dollar index , a measure of the greenback against major peer currencies, ticked up in the wake of Waller's comments and last held mostly unchanged at 104.41. Traders await key U.S. core inflation figures due on Friday, following a bigger-than-expected jump in U.S. durable goods orders on Tuesday that has already boosted the dollar against the yen. The greenback reached 151.975 yen on Wednesday, its strongest against the yen since mid-1990. Japan intervened in the currency market three times in 2022, selling the dollar to buy yen, first in September and again in October as the yen slid towards a 32-year low of 152 to the dollar.
Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, It's, Kyle Rodda, Rodda, Masato Kanda, Shunichi Suzuki, That's, Ray Attrill, Sterling, bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Federal, Economic, of New, Traders, Finance, National Australia Bank, Bank of Japan's Locations: of New York, Japan
Dollar on guard; BOJ speculation keeps yen supported
  + stars: | 2024-03-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Against the dollar, the euro retreated from a roughly two-month high hit last week and last bought $1.0931. The Australian dollar rose 0.01% to $0.6615, while the New Zealand dollar edged 0.02% lower to $0.61685. The dollar index was little changed at 102.80, having hit a roughly two-month low of 102.33 last week. Over in Asia, swirling speculation that the BOJ could move away from its ultra-easy policy settings at its policy meeting next week kept the yen supported. Against the dollar, the yen steadied at 146.94, not far from Friday's one-month top of 146.48.
Persons: bitcoin, Ray Attrill, Jerome Powell, We're, NAB's, there'll, Shunichi Suzuki Organizations: Bank of Japan, Sterling, greenback, Federal Reserve, National Australia Bank, NAB, New Zealand, country's Finance Locations: Asia, Japan
Dollar poised for weekly decline; US jobs data up next
  + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar index was last at 103.02 and on track for its first weekly decline for the year. The New Zealand dollar rose 0.07% to $0.6149 and was on track for a weekly rise of nearly 1%, its best performance in over a month. It was poised for a weekly gain of nearly 1.3%, its best week in over a month. That highlighted a growing view within the board that conditions were falling in place to soon pull short-term interest rates out of negative territory, which would be Japan's first interest rate hike since 2007. Data on Thursday showed euro zone inflation eased as expected last month but underlying price pressures fell less than forecast, likely boosting the European Central Bank's argument that rate cuts should not be rushed.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Ray Attrill, Raf Choudhury, BoE, Thierry Wizman Organizations: Federal Reserve, New Zealand, National Australia Bank, Friday's, Analysts, Bank of Japan's, Bank of England, Monetary, European Locations: Abrdn, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFX Strategist explains why Chinese authorities will be closely watching the Japanese yenRay Attrill of NAB discusses why the PBOC will be unwilling to strengthen the yuan, and the divergent interest rates between the US and China.
Persons: Ray Attrill Organizations: NAB Locations: China
[1/2] Banknotes of Japanese yen and U.S. dollar are seen in this illustration picture taken September 23, 2022. Yet this has not translated into a similar boost to the dollar this week, which made only marginal gains while toying with the 150 level against the yen. This number marks the point at which many market participants believe Japan's Ministry of Finance (MOF) could step in to shore up the currency. Speculators have almost doubled their bullish dollar positions against other G10 currencies this month to the most in a year. Money markets show traders fully expect to see no change in rates at the Fed's next policy meeting.
Persons: Florence Lo, Jerome Powell, Jeremy Stretch, Stretch, Omori, POWELL, Powell, Ray Attrill, he's, Sterling, Carol Kong, Rae Wee, Kevin Buckland, Kim Coghill, Angus MacSwan, Gareth Jones Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Federal, Treasury, Swiss, Japan's, of Finance, CIBC Capital Markets, Ministry, Finance, Mizuho Securities, National Australia Bank, Swiss National Bank, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Thomson Locations: Treasuries, Japan, Tokyo, U.S, Asia, China, Singapore
[1/2] Banknotes of Japanese yen and U.S. dollar are seen in this illustration picture taken September 23, 2022. Speculators have almost doubled their bullish dollar positions against other G10 currencies this month to the most in a year. This week's bond sell-off has raised the chances of a break of 150 in the currency. Money markets show traders fully expect to see no change in rates at the Fed's next policy meeting. The Swissie was last down against the dollar, which rose 0.2% to 0.8935 per dollar.
Persons: Florence Lo, Jerome Powell, Jeremy Stretch, Stretch, Omori, POWELL, Powell, Ray Attrill, he's, Sterling, Carol Kong, Rae Wee, Kevin Buckland, Shri Navaratnam, Kim Coghill, Angus MacSwan Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Federal, Treasury, Swiss, Japan's, of Finance, CIBC Capital Markets, Ministry, Finance, Mizuho Securities, National Australia Bank, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Thomson Locations: Treasuries, Japan, Tokyo, U.S, Asia, China, Singapore
The benchmark 10-year yield , which was last at 4.9813%, has climbed some 35 basis points this week, driven by rising expectations that the Federal Reserve is likely to keep interest rates higher for longer and mounting U.S. fiscal concerns. "The move up has been driven by the Fed leaving the market as a price insensitive buyer. The dollar/yen pair tends to closely track changes in long-term Treasury yields, particularly in the 10-year maturity. In the broader currency market, the U.S. dollar edged higher, supported by elevated Treasury yields. The New Zealand dollar edged 0.35% lower to $0.5829, after having slid to an over 11-month low of $0.5816 on Thursday.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Brian Jacobsen, Sterling, Jerome Powell, Ray Attrill, he's, Carol Kong, Rae Wee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed, Annex Wealth Management, U.S, National Australia Bank, New Zealand, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, U.S, Asia, China, lockstep
Intervention threat from the Bank of Japan is 'very real': NAB
  + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIntervention threat from the Bank of Japan is 'very real': NABRay Attrill of NAB explains why he "suspects" that the Bank of Japan has intervened to defend the yen.
Persons: NAB Ray Attrill Organizations: Bank of Japan, NAB
But, Japanese authorities could find propping up their currency both difficult to achieve and hard to justify. To make even a ripple in the $5 trillion currency market, the BOJ would need to draw down massive amounts of dollar reserves. Wakabayashi, like many other analysts and investors, considers the 150 yen per dollar level a red line for currency intervention, not least because of its significance as a symbol of climbing costs of living from imported food and fuel. INTERVENTION IMMINENTThe yen careened to a 32-year trough at 151.94 last October before being reined in by several bouts of heavy intervention, the first by Japanese authorities in a generation. Measures of expected market volatility remain subdued.
Persons: Kim Kyung, Bank of Japan's hesitancy, Kazuo Ueda, You've, they're, Bart Wakabayashi, Fumio Kishida, Shunichi Suzuki, Masayuki Kichikawa, Ray Attrill, Janet Yellen, Aninda Mitra, Mitra, Kevin Buckland, Alun John, Vidya Ranganathan, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: National Printing Bureau, Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Japan's, U.S . Federal Reserve, U.S, Treasury, Fed, State Street Bank, Trust, Finance, Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management, Ministry of Finance, National Australia Bank, BNY Mellon Investment Management, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S, Washington, Asia, London
A man is reflected on an electric stock quotation board outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan April 18, 2023. The BOJ, as expected, maintained super-low interest rates, left its yield control policy unchanged, signalling it was in no rush to phase out its massive monetary stimulus. A surge in oil prices has also been unnerving investors, since it is likely to prolong the inflation pulse. Brent crude futures steadied at $93.51 a barrel on Friday and are up nearly 8% for September so far. Elsewhere in foreign exchange markets the expectation of sticky U.S. interest rates has supported the dollar, which reached a six-month peak on the euro overnight at $1.0671 .
Persons: Issei Kato, Kazuo Ueda, Ray Attrill, Andrew Bailey, Craig Ebert, Tom Westbrook, Edmund Klamann, Kim Coghill Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Japan, FX, National Australia Bank, Japan's Nikkei, Seng, Federal Reserve, Bank of, Swiss National Bank, Brent, JPMorgan, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Rights SINGAPORE, Singapore, Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong, China, Bank of England, Central, Sweden, Norway, BNZ, Wellington
Both S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures were mostly unchanged. In Asia, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) slipped 0.3% while Tokyo's Nikkei (.N225) eased 0.1%. While core CPI is seen cooling to 4.3% year-on-year in August from 4.7%, rising energy costs are forecast to keep headline inflation elevated at 3.6%. And the latest spike in oil prices to ten-month highs is unlikely to escape the Fed's attention. On Wall Street, the S&P 500 fell 0.6% overnight, the Nasdaq declined 1% while Dow Jones was mostly flat.
Persons: Androniki, Ray Attrill, Dow Jones, Steve Englander, Stella Qiu, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, Apple, Oracle, Thursday SYDNEY, European Central Bank, Reuters, ECB, Nasdaq, Tokyo's Nikkei, Consumer, Index, Federal, Fed, National Australia Bank, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Standard Chartered, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Europe, Asia, Pacific
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) was flat while Tokyo's Nikkei (.N225) eased 0.2%. Australia's resource-heavy shares (.AXJO) lost 0.7%, Chinese blue-chips (.CSI300) were flat but Hong Kong's Hang Seng index (.HSI) moved 0.6% higher. While core CPI is seen cooling to 4.3% year-on-year in August from 4.7%, rising energy costs are forecast to keep headline inflation hot. And the latest spike in oil prices to ten-month highs is unlikely to escape the Fed's attention. Oil prices extended gains on Wednesday.
Persons: Androniki, HSI, Ray Attrill, Dow Jones, Stella Qiu, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, Apple, Oracle, Thursday SYDNEY, Reuters, European Central Bank, Consumer, Index, Federal, Fed, National Australia Bank, Brent, . West Texas, Nasdaq, ECB, U.S, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Pacific
The dollar was headed for its longest weekly winning streak in nine years on Friday, bolstered by a resilient run of U.S. economic data that has also put the end of the Federal Reserve's rate-hike cycle into question. The U.S. dollar index , which measures the greenback against its major peers, steadied at 105.02 in early trade, not far from the previous session's six-month high of 105.15. Sterling similarly languished near Thursday's three-month low and last bought $1.2484, set to clock a weekly loss of more than 0.8%. It is on track for a weekly loss of nearly 1% against the dollar, its worst week in about a month. The Australian dollar , often used as a liquid proxy for the yuan, was last 0.07% higher at $0.6381, but eyed a weekly loss of more than 1%.
Persons: Ray Attrill, Sterling, Alvin Tan Organizations: U.S, National Australia Bank . Data, Asia FX, RBC Capital Markets, New Zealand, of Japan's Locations: Asia, U.S, Germany, Europe's, Europe, Thursday's, United States
Dollar steady as traders bet Fed done with rates
  + stars: | 2023-09-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Data on Friday showed U.S. job growth picked up in August, but the unemployment rate jumped to 3.8%, while wage gains moderated. Markets are pricing in a 93% chance of the Fed holding steady on rates this month, and over 60% probability of no more hikes this year, CME FedWatch tool showed. The Japanese yen strengthened 0.03% to 146.18 per dollar, after dropping 0.5% on Friday following the labor data. Canada's central bank is due to meet this week and is expected to hold rates. The Canadian dollar was flat at 1.36 per dollar.
Persons: Ray Attrill, bitcoin Organizations: Federal Reserve, National Australia Bank ., Citi, Ministry of Finance, Reserve Bank of Australia, Canadian Locations: U.S, Japan, Canada's
Dollar set for weekly loss as crucial US jobs data looms
  + stars: | 2023-09-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar was on course to snap a six-week winning streak against major peers on Friday, as it headed into a pivotal monthly U.S. jobs report that is likely to inform the path for Federal Reserve policy over coming months. Elsewhere, the Chinese yuan strengthened after the nation's central bank cut forex reserve requirements for the first time in a year. It slipped 0.08% to 145.405 yen on Friday, putting its loss for the week at 0.7%. The single currency was little changed at $1.08455 following a 0.74% tumble on Thursday that pared its weekly advance to 0.49%. "Pill's comments appear consistent with another quarter-point turn of the screw on 21 September, but not necessarily thereafter," Attrill said.
Persons: pare, Ray Attrill, Huw Pill, Attrill, bitcoin, Bitcoin Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, National Australia Bank, ECB, Bank of England, People's Bank of, Securities and Exchange Commission, SEC Locations: Asia, People's Bank of China
U.S. Dollar and Chinese Yuan banknotes are seen in this illustration picture taken June 14, 2022. Strong economic data this week, particularly retail sales, had already bolstered the case for additional tightening. That all helped push 10-year Treasury yields to the highest since October at 4.328% on Thursday. "The risk aversion, the higher yields, the resilient economic data ... all of those things have played out to perfection for the U.S. Against the yen, the dollar eased 0.32% to 145.365 on Friday, after reaching a nine-month peak of 146.40 overnight.
Persons: Florence Lo, Tony Sycamore, Sycamore, Ray Attrill, Kevin Buckland, Jacqueline Wong, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, People's Bank of, U.S, Federal, IG, U.S ., National Australia Bank, Reuters, HK, . Treasury, Thomson Locations: Beijing, People's Bank of China, China, U.S
Banknotes of Japanese yen are seen in this illustration picture taken September 22, 2022. The Aussie bottomed at $0.6440, while the kiwi slid to a low of $0.5939, ahead of a rate decision by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand later on Wednesday. "But where we are at the moment, I think the jawboning will continue but I'm not convinced that we'll see intervention." The greenback predictably rode Treasury yields higher, with the dollar index ekeing out a slight gain to 103.22. The euro was little changed at $1.0902, while sterling dipped 0.05% to $1.2696, ahead of UK inflation data due later on Wednesday.
Persons: Florence Lo, Aninda Mitra, Shunichi Suzuki, Ray Attrill, I'm, Rae Wee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, New, Reserve Bank of New, People's Bank of, BNY Mellon Investment Management, Finance, National Australia Bank, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Asia, Beijing, China, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, People's Bank of China, Japan
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