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☆ As Trump vows mass deportation, polls suggest growing support – but not a mandate
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN’s national exit polling this year found that immigration was a strong issue for Trump in this election, but it doesn’t suggest a mandate for mass deportation. Voters gave Trump a roughly 9-point advantage over Vice President Kamala Harris on trust to handle immigration, according to the latest data. Complicating those findings is the fact that polling this year has found widely disparate levels of support for deportation. Surveys that ask respondents to choose between deportation and a path to citizenship, meanwhile, often find more support for the latter. Regardless of framing, however, national polls agree on a rise in support for deportation policies over recent years, coupled with a broader increase in nativist sentiment.

Persons: Donald Trump, –, Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, “, ”, Michael Tesler, Joe, Biden, CNN’s Henry Gertmenian Organizations: CNN, Trump, Voters, Gallup, Marquette Law School, CBS, Pew Research Center Locations: United States, Marquette, U.S

☆ We asked Americans what they’d heard about Trump and Harris throughout the campaign. Here’s what they told us
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-10 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Georgetown University, University of Michigan and s3mc.orgGeorgetown University, University of Michigan and s3mc.orgWhat also stands out in the charts over time is the lack of a sustained narrative about either candidate. On average, over the 20 weeks The Breakthrough survey was fielded this year, roughly 76% of US adults said weekly they’d heard at least some news about Trump. In the 15 full weeks of data following Harris’ entry into the race, a slightly smaller share – about 71% on average – said they’d heard something about her. Sentiments expressed by political independents when talking about the news surrounding Trump were negative throughout the campaign. Their sentiment when discussing what they’d heard about Harris, which was close to neutral at the start of her candidacy, declined modestly throughout the fall, undercutting her advantage over Trump on that metric.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump’s, Joe Biden, Harris, ”, Harris –, SSRS, Trump, Gallup’s Frank Newport, “, …, Hillary Clinton, they’d, Biden, –, undercutting, Jennifer Agiesta, Edward Wu Organizations: CNN, Trump’s, Trump, Georgetown University, University of Michigan Locations: Puerto Rico

☆ How exit polls work and what they will tell us on election night
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Exit polls are conducted by Edison Research for the National Election Pool on behalf of a consortium of media companies: CNN, ABC, CBS and NBC. The polling locations were themselves selected through random sampling, meaning the resulting interviews should be representative of Election Day voters across the state or nationally. In addition to the national exit poll, there are also exit polls conducted in specific states with key, competitive presidential or down-ballot races. Even so, exit polls are still polls, with margins for error – which means they’re most useful when treated as estimates, rather than precise measurements. That’s particularly true for the earliest exit poll numbers, which won’t yet have been adjusted to match the final election results.

Persons: who’ve, CNN’s Jennifer Agiesta Organizations: CNN, Edison Research, ABC, CBS, NBC Locations: Arizona, Georgia, Florida , Michigan, Nevada , North Carolina , Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, Wisconsin

☆ What Americans heard about Trump heading into the campaign’s final week: fascism and french fries
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-03 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Conversations around Vice President Kamala Harris, by contrast, continued to focus largely around broader and more conventional stories about her campaign. The poll, conducted by SSRS and Verasight on behalf of a research team from CNN, Georgetown University and the University of Michigan, was fielded from October 25-28. Georgetown University, University of Michigan and s3mc.org“Numerous former officers in the 2016-2020 Trump administration are sounding alarms that Trump will dismantle democracy if he’s elected,” wrote one Democratic-leaning independent. Georgetown University, University of Michigan and s3mc.orgWhen the survey asked respondents what they’d been hearing about Harris, the words “campaign,” “rally,” “interview,” “polls” and “ad” all cracked the top 10. Overall, the sentiment behind the words Americans used in describing what they’d heard about both Trump and Harris remained more negative than positive, with the sentiment around Harris continuing to dip from the earliest days of her campaign.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, SSRS, Trump’s, Trump, –, “, Arnold, ”, Joe Rogan, “ Trump, ‘, Hitler, ’, they’d, Harris, Jennifer Agiesta, Edward Wu Organizations: CNN, Georgetown University, University of Michigan, Madison, Fame, ”, Trump, Beyoncé Locations: Puerto Rico, Houston

☆ What the polls have told us about the 2024 election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

CNN —Election polls can’t foretell who will win the presidential election. But throughout the year, polling data has helped to capture the contours of the 2024 race, with several findings that fall well outside the margin of error. While the results of issue polls can sometimes vary based on framing, some results have been remarkably robust. Here are more findings from the polls about this year’s election:Which issues matter to which voters? How Trump and Harris supporters differ in their visions for AmericaPartisan divides on the issues run further than priorities.

Persons: can’t foretell, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, they’ll, ” Patrick Murray, Joe Biden’s, Biden, Harris, Roe, Wade, Trump, ” Harris, ” Trump, ”, they’re Organizations: CNN, Monmouth University, Trump, Gallup, Republican, Democrats, Democratic, Partisan, Pew Research Center Locations: –, America, Trump

Likely voters in Georgia divide 48% for Trump to 47% for Harris, and in North Carolina, Harris stands at 48% to Trump’s 47%. North Carolina, which narrowly supported Barack Obama in 2008, has voted Republican in the past three presidential elections. While the polls find similar political environments in Georgia and North Carolina overall, there are some significant differences. In both states, Harris leads among Black likely voters (84% to 13% in Georgia, 78% to 19% in North Carolina) and voters with college degrees (55% to 39% in Georgia, 53% to 42% in North Carolina). Interviews were conducted October 23-28, 2024, online and by telephone with registered voters, including 732 voters in Georgia and 750 in North Carolina.

Persons: CNN —, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, SSRS, Harris, Barack Obama, Joe Biden, Bill Clinton, they’ve, –, Harris ’, White, ”, Josh Stein, Republican Mark Robinson, Robinson, Stein, Biden, Hurricane Helene, Helene, Black, Trump Organizations: CNN, White House, Trump, Republican, Democrat, Wisconsin –, White, North, Trump voters, North Carolina, Voters, – Locations: Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, Michigan, Nevada , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North, In Georgia

In Michigan, Harris holds a lead over Trump by 48% to 43% among likely voters. Among those likely voters who say they’re extremely motivated to vote in Michigan, 51% support Harris to 45% for Trump. In Wisconsin, they break 52% Harris to 47% Trump, and in Pennsylvania, they divide 50% for Harris to 47% for Trump. Harris holds a wider lead among Black voters in Michigan (83% Harris to 12% Trump) than she does in Pennsylvania (76% Harris to 21% Trump). Likely voters include all registered voters in the poll weighted for their predicted likelihood of voting in this year’s election.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Joe Biden, Robert F, Kennedy, Jr, Trump, –, that’s, Elissa Slotkin, Mike Rogers, Pennsylvania’s Democratic Sen, Bob Casey, Dave McCormick’s, Democratic Sen, Tammy Baldwin, Republican Eric Hovde’s, Harris ’, Biden Organizations: CNN, Electoral College, SSRS, Trump, White House, Trump ., White, Harris, Black, Keystone State, Suburban, Michigan Democratic, Republican, Pennsylvania’s Democratic, Senate, Democratic Locations: Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Trump . In Michigan, Trump . In Wisconsin, Trump, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Southern, Western

In Nevada, 48% of likely voters support Trump and 47% back Harris. Hispanic likely voters in Nevada split about evenly between Harris and Trump (48% support Harris, 47% Trump). In Arizona, likely voters are split over which candidate cares more about people like them (45% say Harris does, 41% Trump). The gap is even wider in Nevada, where 71% of Democratic-leaning likely voters are very confident compared with 16% of Republican-aligned likely voters. Likely voters include all registered voters in the poll weighted for their predicted likelihood of voting in this year’s election.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, SSRS, Harris, Harris ’, Trump, White, Ruben Gallego, Kari Lake, Sen, Kyrsten Sinema, Democratic Sen, Jacky Rosen, Sam Brown, who’ve, Ethan Miller, Republican leaners Organizations: CNN, White, Trump ., Trump, Trump . Independent, Democratic, US Senate, Democratic Rep, Republican, Democrats Locations: Arizona, Nevada, Trump . In Nevada, Las Vegas, In Arizona, In Nevada

☆ CNN Poll: Most voters don’t think Trump will concede if he loses the 2024 election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Jennifer Agiesta | Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Overall, just 30% of registered voters think Trump will accept the results of the election and concede if he loses, while 73% say that Vice President Kamala Harris would accept an election loss. But that rises to 20% among registered voters who support Trump, compared with only 3% who feel that way among Harris supporters. The CNN Poll was conducted by SSRS online and by telephone October 20-23, 2024, among 1,704 registered voters nationwide drawn from a probability-based panel. Likely voters include all registered voters in the poll weighted for their predicted likelihood of voting in this year’s election. Results for the full sample of registered voters have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points; it is 3.1 for likely voters, and larger for subgroups.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Trump’s, There’s, Edward Wu Organizations: CNN, SSRS, Trump

☆ CNN Poll: Harris and Trump remain in a locked race and are tied heading into the final stretch
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Jennifer Agiesta | Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

Registered voters’ views of both Harris (41% favorable to 52% unfavorable) and Trump (41% favorable to 54% unfavorable) break negative. More likely voters say Harris rather than Trump cares about people like them (43% Harris to 37% Trump), is honest and trustworthy (41% Harris to 29% Trump), and will put the country’s interests above their own (45% Harris to 39% Trump). Across each of those attributes though, 16% or more of likely voters say neither candidate fits the bill. Harris holds a wide advantage on handling abortion and reproductive rights (52% Harris to 31% Trump) and a smaller one on protecting democracy (45% Harris to 41% Trump). Harris holds the advantage over Trump among women (50% Harris to 44% Trump), younger voters (51% Harris to 41% Trump among voters younger than 35), and voters of color, including Black likely voters (79% Harris to 13% Trump) and Hispanic likely voters (54% Harris to 37% Trump).

Persons: SSRS, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, who’ve, ”, Barack Obama, George H.W, Bush, Ronald Reagan, Al Gore, Bill Clinton’s, Harris ’, JD Vance, Tim Walz, Walz, Vance, Trump’s, White Organizations: CNN, Trump, Biden, Suburban, Republican, Democrat Locations: Black

☆ Harris media blitz and Trump campaign rallies capture Americans’ attention
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-19 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

The survey also finds dishonesty remaining a central theme of the election, with “lies” the most common word used in conjunction with Trump’s campaign. While both Harris and Trump have been holding rallies and speaking with podcasters, Harris has ramped up her media appearances. Mentions of the campaign made up 36% of the responses about Harris, and 28% of the responses about Trump, a 10-point rise for each candidate compared with the start of the month. “She is doing the media blitz everyone wanted.”Georgetown University, University of Michigan and s3mc.orgBy contrast, when Americans were asked to describe the news about Trump, “rally” was the second-most commonly word used in response. “He’s been posting all of his political rallies there.”Georgetown University, University of Michigan and s3mc.orgDemocrats, in particular, were also likely to mention Detroit.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, SSRS, ”, Howard Stern, Stephen Colbert, “ He’s, Hurricane Milton, “, Jennifer Agiesta, Edward Wu Organizations: CNN, Georgetown University, University of Michigan, Trump, CBS, s3mc.org Democrats, Detroit, Detroit Economic, Hurricane, Democratic National Convention, ABC Locations: California, New York, Aurora , Colorado, Coachella , California, Detroit, Florida

☆ Your election questions, answered
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-19 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +26 min

They ranged from questions about the Electoral College to specific inquiries about why ballots in some counties look the way they do. We’ll add answers to new questions weekly until the election and also send them out to the What Matters newsletter audience. CNN did not project that President Joe Biden would win the 2020 election until four days after Election Day. -- Linda in WashingtonThere were a lot of questions about the Electoral College, which should frustrate people on both sides of the aisle. I’m not including the election of 1800, even though it resulted in a tie in the Electoral College.

Persons: I’ve, Debbie, Ariel Edwards, Levy, Read, they’ve, Will, Trump, Dennis, Donald Trump, don’t, faithless, Sen, Bernie Sanders of, Ron Paul of Texas, Jeanette, Elon Musk, –, Democrats –, Elena, you’re, that’s, you’ve, Harris, Kamala Harris, CNN’s KFile, it’s, Ron, CNN’s Tami Luhby, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, George W, Bush, Jennifer Agiesta, what’s, we’re, hasn’t, noncitizens, Critics, doesn’t, Sheila, Nicole Unzicker, Unzicker, Terry I’m, Harvey Let’s, Doug Sosnik’s, Patricia, Al Gore, Rutherford B, Hayes, Samuel Tilden, Tilden, John F, Kennedy, Richard Nixon, James Garfield, Winfield Hancock, I’m, Sandra, Jack Smith, Julie Organizations: CNN, Electoral College, Washington, Puerto Rican, Social Security, Electoral, Library of Congress, Elon, Democrats, Trump, Colorado Presidents, Security, Federal, Republican, Heritage Foundation, Dominion, Senate, White, Democratic, Lumina Foundation, Supreme, eventual, Michigan Trump, Gallup Locations: Florida, Madison, Chad, Virginia, Michigan, Puerto Rico, Guam, Minnesota, Washington, DC, Puerto, Congress, Bernie Sanders of Vermont, Pennsylvania, Colorado, South Carolina, United States, California, Harris, Georgia, North Carolina, . Pennsylvania, Missouri, North Dakota, California , Maryland, Vermont, Washington ,, Ohio, Butler County, Texas, New York, It’s, today’s America, New Hampshire

• Harris’ media blitz: Vice President Kamala Harris will sit down with Fox News anchor Bret Baier on Wednesday. • Trump town halls: In a pre-recorded Fox News town hall airing Wednesday, former President Donald Trump called himself the “father of IVF” while speaking to an all-female audience. Later today, he will participate in a town hall hosted by Univision in Miami as he looks to gain ground with Latino voters. • Early voting: Early in-person voting is kicking off today in Iowa, Kansas, Oregon, Rhode Island and Tennessee. • What to know before you cast your vote: Read CNN’s voter handbook to see how to vote in your area, and read up on the 2024 candidates and their proposals on key issues.

Persons: • Harris, Kamala Harris, Bret Baier, Harris, •, Donald Trump Organizations: Fox News, Fox, Univision, CNN, Trump, • Locations: • Trump, Miami, Iowa , Kansas , Oregon, Rhode Island and Tennessee, Georgia

☆ How hurricane season is affecting the way Americans are following the Trump-Harris race
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-13 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Former President Donald Trump’s campaign also faced renewed focus on his legal troubles in the wake of a new filing by federal prosecutors, the survey finds. In the wake of Hurricane Helene, which has killed more than 230 people across the southeastern United States, “hurricane” was the word most frequently mentioned when respondents were asked what they’d heard about Trump. Democrats and Republicans were about equally likely to mention the hurricane when talking about Harris – although their perspectives on her response often differed sharply. Republicans were far likelier than Democrats to mention the hurricane in conjunction with Trump. Georgetown University, University of Michigan and s3mc.orgThe sentiment behind the words Americans used to describe what they’d heard about Harris remained modestly more positive than the words they used to describe the news about Trump.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Hurricane Helene, ”, they’d, Kamala Harris, SSRS, Hurricane Milton, Harris –, Harris “, Trump, Elon Musk, Jack Smith, Harris, Dick Cheney, Liz Cheney, Oprah Winfrey, Taylor Swift Organizations: CNN, Trump, Georgetown University, University of Michigan, Hurricane, Republicans, FEMA, Federal Emergency Management Agency, Republican Locations: Hurricane, United States, Florida, Georgia, Ukraine, Israel, Butler , Pennsylvania, Butler, New York, Wyoming

☆ Harris’ border visit and economy speech capture attention as warning signs emerge for campaign
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-06 | by ( Jennifer Agiesta | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

But some emerging trends in the data hint at warning signs for the vice president’s campaign. Looking at what people say they have heard, read or seen about Harris, “lie” has emerged as a persistent top word that some Americans associate with her. “Kamala says nothing,” wrote one respondent included in the latest survey. About 8% in the latest data use the word “lie” or “liar” in relation to Trump. “It has been relatively quiet this week,” one respondent to the latest survey wrote when asked about Trump.

Persons: CNN — Kamala Harris ’, Harris, Donald Trump, they’ve, Trump, ”, “ Kamala, “, Volodymyr Zelensky, they’d, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, ” CNN’s Ariel Edwards, Levy Organizations: CNN, ABC, Democratic, Georgetown University, University of Michigan, Trump, Republican National Convention, Republicans Locations: Arizona, Pittsburgh, Ukraine

John King talks with Michigan voters Anushka Jalitsagi and Jade Grey in Ann Arbor, Michigan. “If she comes up short in Michigan, I don’t think it’s because of young voters,” said Gray, a former co-president of the University of Michigan College Democrats who graduated in May. They were crucial to Joe Biden’s 2020 Michigan win and in the dramatic state-level gains the party made in 2022. But young voters’ level of support is a big question for 2024 because of anger and disappointment with how the Biden-Harris administration has handled the Israel-Hamas conflict. Read more about young voters in Michigan.

Persons: John King, Anushka Jalitsagi, Jade Grey, Gray, Kamala Harris, ”, “, Joe Biden’s, Harris, ” Gray, Anushka Jalisatgi Organizations: Michigan, CNN, University of Michigan College Democrats, ” Voters, Democratic, Biden, College Democrats Locations: Ann Arbor , Michigan, Michigan, Israel

☆ CNN Instant Poll: No clear winner in VP debate between Tim Walz and JD Vance
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | Jennifer Agiesta | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Among debate watchers, Walz remains the candidate who’s seen more positively and as more in touch with their needs and vision for the country. He was also narrowly seen as doing a better job than Walz of defending his running mate. Both men, the poll finds, are viewed by a majority of debate watchers as qualified to assume the presidency if needed. Debate watchers came away from the debate with roughly neutral views of Vance: 41% rated him favorably and 44% unfavorably. Results for the full sample of debate watchers have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5.3 percentage points.

Persons: Tim Walz, JD Vance, SSRS, Walz, Vance, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, That’s, Harris ’ Organizations: CNN, Democratic, Republican, Trump, America

☆ What’s the latest news about the presidential campaign? It depends on who you ask
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-29 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

That’s a shift from late August and early September, when roughly equal shares recalled hearing news about each of the candidates. Georgetown University, University of Michigan and s3mc.org“Donald Trump has been out on the campaign trail and it’s getting dangerous for him. Democrats were more likely to still focus on the September presidential debate, bringing up words like “lie” and references to Trump falsely claiming that migrants in Ohio were eating pets. Georgetown University, University of Michigan and s3mc.orgThe sentiment behind the words Americans used to describe what they’d heard about Harris remained more positive than the words they used to describe the news about Trump. However, the gap in sentiments about the two candidates was significantly smaller than it was last week in the wake of the debate.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, —, they’d, Harris, That’s, s3mc.org “ Donald Trump, Trump, ”, meanwhile, Oprah Winfrey, Trump’s Organizations: CNN, Trump, GOP, Georgetown University, University of Michigan, Republicans, Trump — Locations: Florida, Springfield , Ohio, Ohio

☆ Harris tries to turn the tables on Trump by embracing the border as a key issue
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-28 | by ( Eric Bradner | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Harris, during her trip to the key swing state of Arizona, lambasted Trump for his role earlier this year in tanking a border security bill that was the product of months of bipartisan negotiations. “It was the strongest border security bill we have seen in decades. The Democratic offensive on immigration and border security is an attempt to cut into one of Trump’s clearest-cut political advantages. Another CNN poll conducted by SSRS released Friday found the two candidates tied in North Carolina at 48% each. And the CNN poll found the scandal-plagued Republican nominee for governor, Lt. Gov.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Harris, Trump, Harris ’, Donald Trump, ’ ”, ”, amping, Harris “, nobody’s, SSRS, ” Harris, Helene, Tim Walz, Ohio Sen, JD Vance, Mark Robinson, Robinson, Patty Morin, Rachel Morin, Anne Fundner, Weston, Joe Biden, Biden, “, ” CNN’s Priscilla Alvarez, Ali Main, Ariel Edwards, Levy, Kit Maher Organizations: CNN, Democratic, Border Patrol, Minnesota Gov, Ohio, White, Trump, North, Republican, Gov, Republican National Committee, Republicans Locations: Arizona, tanking, Douglas, Mexico, Harris ’, Walker , Michigan, United States, Israel, Lebanon, Nebraska, Omaha, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Harris ’ Arizona, El Salvador, California, Central America, Mexico City

☆ CNN Poll: Harris and Trump are tied in North Carolina, while vice president leads in Nebraska’s 2nd District
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

CNN —Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are tied among likely voters in North Carolina, while Harris holds a comfortable lead in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, according to two new CNN polls conducted by SSRS. In North Carolina, Harris and Trump stand at 48% each among likely voters. In Nebraska’s 2nd District, the so-called blue dot encompassing Omaha, Harris has 53% to Trump’s 42%, the poll finds. An 86% majority of Democratic likely voters and 69% of independent likely voters favor keeping the current system, while 69% of GOP likely voters say they’d rather move to a winner-take-all system in the state. But just 41% in North Carolina say they’re very confident, rising to a 59% majority in Nebraska’s 2nd District.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, SSRS, Mark Robinson, Trump, Barack Obama, Joe Biden, they’ve, White, Biden, Brian Snyder, Josh Stein, Robinson, Stein, Tony Vargas, Don Bacon, Vargas, Bacon, Jim Watson, CNN’s Jennifer Agiesta, Edward Wu Organizations: CNN, Congressional, Gov, Democratic, Trump, North, Nebraska’s, Sun, College, Cornhusker State, Republican, Obama, Biden, Reuters Male, GOP, Republican Rep, Republicans, Getty Locations: North Carolina, Nebraska’s, The, Carolina, Omaha, Nebraska, Maine, Wilmington , North Carolina, Congress, Trump, North Carolina’s, North, Charlotte , North Carolina, AFP, The Nebraska

☆ Black voters: Harris still lags behind Biden’s 2020 margins but new CNN poll suggests she has room to grow support
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Edward Wu | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

In the latest poll, 79% of Black registered voters say they would definitely vote, up from 68% in the June poll. The poll suggests Trump’s improvements among Black voters relative to 2020 are driven largely by Black voters under the age of 60. Harris is also generally viewed more favorably among Black registered voters compared with registered voters overall, even after accounting for Black voters’ overwhelming Democratic lean. Democratic Black likely voters, however, are twice as likely as Democratic likely voters overall to consider the economy their top issue (42%, compared with 19%). Results among Black registered voters have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 7.8 percentage points; among Black likely voters, it is plus or minus 7.7 percentage points.

Persons: CNN — Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, SSRS, Joe Biden’s, Black, Trump, CNN’s, Harris, That’s, – Harris, Biden, Joe Biden, Andrew Harnik, don’t, CNN’s Jennifer Agiesta, Ariel Edwards, Levy Organizations: CNN, Trump, CNN’s, Biden, Black, Girard College, Democrats, Democratic Party, Black Democratic, Democratic Black, Democratic, White Americans, Black Americans Locations: Black, Philadelphia , Pennsylvania, United States

☆ CNN Poll: Harris leads Trump among young voters but falls short of Biden’s 2020 winning margin
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

Harris leads Trump 52% to 40% among these likely voters younger than 35. Where female likely voters younger than 35 prefer Harris over Trump, 53% to 39%, male likely voters are closely divided. And among registered voters, young women are 15 points likelier than men to express a positive view of Harris. The CNN Poll was conducted by SSRS online and by telephone September 19-22, 2024, among 2,074 registered voters nationwide drawn from a probability-based panel. Likely voters include all registered voters in the poll weighted for their predicted likelihood of voting in this year’s election.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Joe Biden, Biden, There’s, Young Trump, Obama, Trump, Trump’s, they’ve, Young, aren’t, Young Harris, CNN’s Jennifer Agiesta, Edward Wu Organizations: CNN, SSRS, Trump, Democratic, Quinnipiac University, Harvard Institute of Politics, Young, GOP, Young Republican, Republican, Democratic Party, Republicans, White, Trump voters

The latest poll finds Harris and Trump roughly even with independent likely voters – Harris at 45% to Trump at 41% - with a gender gap that is centered among independents. Harris is well ahead among likely voters younger than 30 (55% support her to 38% who favor Trump), and among Black (79% Harris to 16% Trump) and Latino (59% Harris to 40% Trump) likely voters. Likely voters overall say they trust Trump over Harris to handle the economy (50% Trump to 39% Harris), immigration (49% Trump to 35% Harris) and foreign policy (47% Trump to 40% Harris). Likely voters generally favor Harris’ approach on abortion and reproductive rights (52% Harris to 31% Trump), uniting the country (43% Harris to 30% Trump), and protecting democracy (47% Harris to 40% Trump). Likely voters include all registered voters in the poll weighted for their predicted likelihood of voting in this year’s election.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, SSRS, Libertarian Chase Oliver, Jill Stein, Trump, Harris ’, That’s, Joe Biden, – Harris, outpacing Trump, Trump’s, Tim Walz, Ohio Sen, JD Vance, Hillary Clinton, Clinton Organizations: CNN, Trump, Libertarian, Green Party, Democratic, Independent, White, Minnesota Gov, Voters, Republican

☆ CNN polling: Trump supporters drive lack of high confidence in election process in six battleground states
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN —Most likely voters in six key battleground states express at least some confidence in their state’s election process, according to recent CNN polling conducted by SSRS. But far fewer of them have high confidence in the process, with that mistrust driven largely by voters who support former President Donald Trump. And sizable shares of Trump voters lack even modest confidence in the system. Harris supporters’ expressions of confidence in the election process come amid a campaign that many of her backers view as a referendum on democracy itself. By contrast, only 9% of Trump supporters, on average, say the same.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump’s, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris Organizations: CNN, SSRS, Trump, Republican, ABC, Labor Locations: – Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Wisconsin . Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Peach State, Arizona , Georgia

The vice president had prepared extensively for their debate, and peppered nearly every answer with a comment designed to enrage the former president. Here are some takeaways from the debate:A turning point when Harris jabs Trump over the size of his rally crowds: Harris came onstage with a clear plan: Throw Trump off his game. When the vice president mentioned Trump’s criminal conviction and outstanding legal issues, he bit. Trump indulges in conspiracy theories: Despite signals from even his running mate, Trump did not refrain from repeating the conspiracy theory du jour during the debate. He said at one point that “in Springfield, they’re eating the dogs.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Harris, Trump’s, Biden, –, David Muir, “ We’ll, Muir, Joe Biden, Roe, Wade, Read Organizations: ABC Locations: Haiti, Springfield , Ohio, Springfield, United States, Harris

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