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Read previewAs we near the November elections, investors are increasingly focused on what a Donald Trump win would mean for global markets and economies. The charts below show how stock sectors moved in the 24 hours after the debate and how a Trump administration might impact sectors with varying regulatory burdens. If Trump wins, investors will need to cut through the noise and at least understand how he might impact different parts of the economy. Where monetary policy is concerned, leading economist Christophe Barraud believes a Trump administration could pressure the Federal Reserve to be very accommodative on rates, in other words, steeper or sooner cuts. It expects a Trump Administration to allow LNG export permits after the Biden Administration attempted to halt them.
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UBS Global Wealth Management says the next few months will be rocky for stocks and bonds. In its 2023 outlook, UBS explained how to survive that period intact and prepare for better times. Several of the strongest forces dragging markets down will start to fade in 2023, so investors just need to hang on a little longer and wait them out, according to UBS Global Wealth Management. While this may make for a tough investing backdrop in the interim, markets should return to normal in the latter half of 2023, according to Global Wealth Management Investment Chief Mark Haefele. He says that the next decade should be a good one for diversified investors because stocks, bonds, and alternative assets have all fallen to inexpensive prices.
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